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Opinion polling on the Jair Bolsonaro presidency

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Opinion polling has been regularly conducted in Brazil since the start of Jair Bolsonaro's four-year term administration, gauging public support for the President of Brazil and his government. Typically, an approval rating is based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked to evaluate the overall administration of the current president. Participants might also be asked whether they approve of the way president handles his job, if they trust him, to rate his personality, or to opine on various policies promoted by the government.

Overall administration evaluation

The public was asked to evaluate the performance of Jair Bolsonaro's administration. A question might ask:

The administration of President Jair Bolsonaro has been excellent, good, regular, bad or terrible?[1]
Polling group Date Sample size Good / Excellent Regular Bad / Terrible Unsure / No opinion Net +/-
Datafolha[2] July 04–05, 2019 2,086 33% 31% 33% 2% 0
Paraná Pesquisas[1] Jun 20–25, 2019 2,102 30% 27% 41% 2% -11%
Ibope[3][4] Jun 20–23, 2019 2,000 32% 32% 32% 3% 0
XP/Ipespe[5] Jun 11–13, 2019 1,000 34% 28% 35% 3% -1%
XP/Ipespe[6] May 20–21, 2019 1,000 34% 26% 36% 4% -2%
XP/Ipespe[7] May 6–8, 2019 1,000 35% 31% 31% 3% +4%
Ibope[8][9][10] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 35% 31% 27% 7% +8%
Datafolha[11] Apr 2–3, 2019 2,086 32% 33% 30% 4% +2%
XP/Ipespe[12] Apr 1–3, 2019 1,000 35% 32% 26% 7% +9%
Ibope[13][14][15] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 34% 34% 24% 8% +10%
XP/Ipespe[16] Mar 11–13, 2019 1,000 37% 32% 24% 8% +13%
XP/Ipespe[7] Mar 6–8, 2019 1,000 35% 31% 31% 3% +4%
Ibope[17][14] Fev 22–25, 2019 2,002 39% 30% 19% 12% +20%
CNT/MDA[18][19] Fev 21–23, 2019 2,002 39% 29% 19% 13% +20%
XP/Ipespe[20] Fev 11–13, 2019 1,000 40% 32% 17% 11% +23%
Ibope[21][14] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 49% 26% 11% 14% +38%
XP/Ipespe[22] Jan 9–11, 2019 1,000 40% 29% 20% 11% +20%

  majority approval   plurality approval   neutral evaluation   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.


Graphical timeline[4]

Presidential approval ratings

The public was asked whether they approved or disapproved of the way Jair Bolsonaro governs Brazil.[4]

Polling group Date Sample size Approves Disapproves Unsure / No opinion Net +/-
Paraná Pesquisas[1] Jun 20–25, 2019 2,102 44% 51% 5% -7%
Ibope[4] Jun 20–23, 2019 2,000 46% 48% 5% -2%
Ibope[4] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 51% 40% 9% +11%
Ibope[4] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 51% 38% 9% +13%
Ibope[4] Fev 22–25, 2019 2,002 57% 31% 12% +26%
CNT/MDA[19] Fev 21–23, 2019 2,002 57% 28% 14% +29%
Ibope[4] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 67% 21% 12% +46%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.


Graphical timeline[4]

Public trust in Bolsonaro

The public was asked whether they trusted Jair Bolsonaro.[4]

Polling group Date Sample size Trusts Doesn't trust Unsure / No opinion Net +/-
Ibope[4] Jun 20–23, 2019 2,000 46% 51% 3% -5%
Ibope[4] Apr 12–15, 2019 2,000 51% 45% 4% +6%
Ibope[4] Mar 16–19, 2019 2,002 49% 44% 6% +5%
Ibope[4] Fev 22–25, 2019 2,002 55% 38% 7% +17%
Ibope[4] Jan 24–28, 2019 2,002 62% 30% 7% +32%

  majority approval   plurality approval   majority disapproval   plurality disapproval

Results may not always add to 100% due rounding methodology employed by various polling groups.


Graphical timeline[4]

Issue-specific support

Gun control

Loosening gun control laws[23][24] was one of Bolsonaro's major campaign promises during the 2018 elections. The changes were first signed it into a decree in May.[25] In March 2019, a Ibope survey[26] asked the public whether they approved of the policy and related questions. Polls conducted by Datafolha[27] and Paraná Pesquisas[28] presented similar findings.

Should gun control laws be loosened?

Are you favorable to (any kind of) carrya?

Does having a gun at home make it safer?

Does carrying a gun make someone safer?

Does increasing the number of armed people make society safer?

See also

Notes

a.^ The question doesn't distinguish between open and concealed carry, as Brazilian laws at the time of the research made no distinction between them,[29] only asking if participant is favorable to people carrying guns in their daily lives.

References

  1. ^ a b c "Pesquisa Nacional – Avaliação Federal/ Junho 2019". Paraná Pesquisas. 28 June 2019.
  2. ^ "33% aprovam governo Bolsonaro" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 8 July 2019.
  3. ^ "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Junho" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 28 Jun 2019.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Avaliação negativa de Bolsonaro aumenta; confiança no presidente diminui" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 28 Jun 2019.
  5. ^ "Pesquisa XP com a População - Junho 2019" (PDF). Poder360. 14 Jun 2019.
  6. ^ MORTARI, Marcos (24 May 2019). "Após manifestações, Bolsonaro vê rejeição superar aprovação pela primeira vez, mostra XP/Ipespe". Retrieved 24 May 2019.
  7. ^ a b Mortari, Marcos (10 May 2019). "Mourão supera Bolsonaro em avaliações positivas e é aprovado por 39%, mostra XP/Ipespe". InfoMoney. Retrieved 17 May 2019.
  8. ^ "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Abril" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 24 April 2019.
  9. ^ "Avaliação positiva de Jair Bolsonaro permanece estável em abril; avaliação negativa continua em tendência de crescimento" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 24 April 2019.
  10. ^ "35% aprovam governo Bolsonaro, e 27% reprovam, diz pesquisa Ibope" (in Portuguese). G1. 24 April 2019.
  11. ^ "Após três meses de governo, Bolsonaro é aprovado por 32%" (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 8 April 2019.
  12. ^ "Aprovação de Bolsonaro segue tendência de queda, diz XP/Ipespe" (in Portuguese). Valor. 5 April 2019. Archived from the original on 24 April 2019.
  13. ^ "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Março" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  14. ^ a b c "Cerca de um terço dos brasileiros avalia como ótima ou boa a administração de Jair Bolsonaro" (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  15. ^ "Ibope: Aprovação de Bolsonaro cai e rejeição cresce desde a posse" (in Portuguese). Valor. 20 March 2019.
  16. ^ "XP/Ipespe: Governo Bolsonaro tem aprovação de 69%; 24% desaprovam" (in Portuguese). Valor. 18 March 2019.
  17. ^ "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Fevereiro" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  18. ^ "39% dos brasileiros avaliam governo Bolsonaro como bom ou ótimo" (in Portuguese). Gazeta do Povo. 26 February 2019.
  19. ^ a b "3143ª Pesquisa CNT/MDA - fevereiro de 2019" (in Portuguese). CTN/MDA. 26 February 2019.
  20. ^ "Aprovação de Bolsonaro segue em queda; agora é de 35%, diz XP" (in Portuguese). Poder 360. 5 April 2019.
  21. ^ "Avaliação do Governo Federal - Janeiro" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 20 Mar 2019.
  22. ^ "XP/Ipespe: Bolsonaro tem aprovação de 69% e é rejeitado por 20%" (in Portuguese). Valor. 17 January 2019. Archived from the original on 24 April 2019.
  23. ^ "Bolsonaro promete facilitar posse de armas" (in Portuguese). Terra. 29 December 2018.
  24. ^ "Além de posse, Bolsonaro quer facilitar porte e definir limite de arma por pessoa" (in Portuguese). Folha de S. Paulo. 3 January 2019.
  25. ^ "Decreto de Bolsonaro que regulamenta uso e porte de armas no país libera compra de fuzil por qualquer cidadão" (in Portuguese). G1. 20 May 2019.
  26. ^ "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública sobre a Flexibilização do Posse de Armas" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Ibope. 5 June 2019.
  27. ^ "Violência" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Datafolha. 14 January 2019.
  28. ^ "Arma de Fogo em Casa / Maio 2019" (PDF) (in Portuguese). Paraná Pesquisas. 21 May 2019.
  29. ^ "LEI No 10.826, DE 22 DE DEZEMBRO DE 2003". December 22, 2003. Retrieved 2019-07-01.

Category:Jair Bolsonaro Category:Opinion polling in Brazil

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