Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2012. The polls listed here, by state are from 2009 to December 31, 2011 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note: Some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 17–20, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Herman Cain	42%	4	500	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	43%	Ron Paul	44%	1
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	40%	7
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7
BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll	October 13–24, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Herman Cain	38%	7	581	±4.1%
			45%	Mitt Romney	40%	5
			44%	Rick Perry	38%	6
Public Policy Polling	April 28 – May 1, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	40%	7	623	±3.9%
			46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
			49%	Sarah Palin	38%	11
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	48%	4
		Barack Obama	48%	Donald Trump	36%	12
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	46%	Tied	599	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mike Huckabee	48%	4
		Barack Obama	49%	Sarah Palin	41%	8
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	49%	6
Public Policy Polling	September 18–21, 2009	Barack Obama	47%	Sarah Palin	47%	Tied	617	±3.9%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	49%	4
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Talk Business-Hendrix College	September 15, 2011	Barack Obama	34%	Mitt Romney	50%	16	2,101	±2.1%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Field	November 15–27, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10	1,000	±3.1%
Field	November 15–27, 2011	Barack Obama	55%	Newt Gingrich	35%	20	1,000	±3.1%
Public Policy Polling	November 10–13, 2011	Barack Obama	60%	Michele Bachmann	31%	29	500	±4.4%
			61%	Herman Cain	32%	29
			60%	Newt Gingrich	34%	26
			57%	Ron Paul	32%	25
			60%	Rick Perry	31%	29
			57%	Mitt Romney	36%	21
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	32%	24	800	±3.5%
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11	800	±3.5%
Field	September 1–12, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	38%	13	1,001	±3.2%
Field	September 1–12, 2011	Barack Obama	54%	Rick Perry	35%	19	1,001	±3.2%
L.A. Times/USC	August 17–28, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Rick Perry	32%	24	1,408	±4.0%
			57%	Michele Bachmann	31%	26
			54%	Mitt Romney	35%	19
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	58%	Newt Gingrich	34%	24	892	±3.3%
			54%	Mike Huckabee	39%	15
			62%	Sarah Palin	31%	31
			56%	Mitt Romney	36%	20

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	December 1–4, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	42%	8	793	±3.5%
			52%	Herman Cain	36%	16
			48%	Ron Paul	39%	9
			52%	Rick Perry	37%	15
			47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	August 4–7, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Michele Bachmann	39%	12	510	±4.3%
			51%	Herman Cain	35%	16
			54%	Sarah Palin	38%	16
			51%	Rick Perry	38%	13
			48%	Mitt Romney	41%	7
Public Policy Polling	February 4–6, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Newt Gingrich	39%	14	517	±4.3%
			51%	Mike Huckabee	42%	9
			55%	Sarah Palin	36%	19
			47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	September 22–25, 2011	Barack Obama	55%	Michele Bachmann	36%	19	592	±4.0%
			54%	Newt Gingrich	38%	16
			53%	Rick Perry	41%	12
			47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2
Quinnipiac	September 8–13, 2011	Barack Obama	52%	Rick Perry	33%	19	1,230	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	September 8–13, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	36%	13	1,230	±2.8%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
NBC News/Marist College	December 4–7, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	41%	7	2,119	±2.1%
			51%	Newt Gingrich	39%	12
			49%	Ron Paul	36%	13
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	1,226	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	44%	2	1,226	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	November 28 – December 1, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	700	±3.7%
			50%	Newt Gingrich	44%	6
			51%	Herman Cain	37%	14
			46%	Rick Perry	40%	6
			50%	Ron Paul	38%	12
Rasmussen Reports	November 17, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	500	±4.5%
		Barack Obama	46%	Herman Cain	37%	9
		Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	43%	2
Quinnipiac	October 31 – November 7, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Herman Cain	41%	4	1,185	±2.9%
			45%	Newt Gingrich	42%	3
			46%	Rick Perry	40%	6
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	45%	3
Suffolk University	October 26–30, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Herman Cain	39%	3	800	±--%
			46%	Rick Perry	34%	8
			44%	Ron Paul	32%	12
			45%	Newt Gingrich	38%	7
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	42%	Tied
NBC News/Marist	October 10–12, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	41%	6	2,225	±2.1%
			47%	Rick Perry	39%	8
			45%	Mitt Romney	43%	2
Public Policy Polling	September 22–25, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	44%	5	476	±4.5%
			50%	Newt Gingrich	42%	8
			45%	Ron Paul	44%	1
			50%	Rick Perry	43%	7
			46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
Quinnipiac	September 14–19, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Rick Perry	42%	2	1,007	±3.1%
Quinnipiac	September 14–19, 2011	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	47%	7	1,007	±3.1%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 743	August 1–2, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	38%	12	743	±3.6%
			53%	Sarah Palin	34%	19
			44%	Rick Perry	39%	5
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied
Quinnipiac	July 27–31, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	36%	14	674	±3.8%
			54%	Sarah Palin	33%	21
			49%	Rick Perry	36%	13
			46%	Mitt Romney	41%	5
Sunshine State News/VSS	July 5–7, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,000 LV	±3.10%
Public Policy Polling	June 16–19, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	40%	9	848	±3.4%
			48%	Herman Cain	37%	11
			52%	Sarah Palin	40%	12
			48%	Tim Pawlenty	40%	8
			47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4
Suffolk University/7 News	April 10–12, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	43%	1	600	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mike Huckabee	41%	3
			41%	Tim Pawlenty	28%	13
			45%	Michele Bachmann	30%	15
			47%	Newt Gingrich	36%	11
			52%	Sarah Palin	34%	18
			49%	Donald Trump	34%	15
			47%	Haley Barbour	26%	17
			48%	Ron Paul	30%	18
Mason-Dixon	April 4–7, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	48%	5	800	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mike Huckabee	49%	5
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	39%	12
		Barack Obama	48%	Donald Trump	40%	8
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	42%	8	500	±4.4%
			50%	Mike Huckabee	43%	7
			52%	Sarah Palin	39%	13
			46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2
			48%	Jeb Bush	45%	3
			48%	Rudy Giuliani	42%	6
Public Policy Polling	December 17–20, 2010	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	42%	5	1,034	±3.0%
			49%	Mike Huckabee	44%	5
			52%	Sarah Palin	38%	14
			46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2
			48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mason Dixon	December 12–14, 2011	Barack Obama	41%	Newt Gingrich	50%	9	625	±4.0%
Mason Dixon	December 12–14, 2011	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	55%	17	625	±4.0%
Survey USA	December 6–7, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Newt Gingrich	48%	6	1,176	±2.9%
Survey USA	December 6–7, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7	1,176	±2.9%
Public Policy Polling	March 31 – April 3, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	45%	1	790	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	48%	3
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	43%	5
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	3
		Barack Obama	44%	Herman Cain	39%	5

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 13–16, 2011	Barack Obama	64%	Michele Bachmann	28%	36	568	±4.1%
			63%	Herman Cain	30%	33
			64%	Newt Gingrich	27%	37
			63%	Rick Perry	28%	35
			59%	Mitt Romney	32%	27

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute	October 11–16, 2011	Barack Obama	46.1%	Mitt Romney	38.5%	7.6	1,000	±3.0%
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute	October 11–16, 2011	Barack Obama	49.3%	Ron Paul	30.3%	19	1,000	±3.0%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
NBC News/Marist College	November 27–29, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	37%	11	1,393	±2.6%
			46%	Mitt Romney	39%	7
			54%	Michele Bachmann	31%	23
			47%	Newt Gingrich	37%	10
			50%	Herman Cain	32%	18
		Barack Obama	42%	Ron Paul	42%	Tied
Public Policy Polling	October 7–10, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	39%	10	749	±3.6%
			47%	Herman Cain	41%	6
			50%	Newt Gingrich	39%	11
			47%	Ron Paul	40%	7
			49%	Rick Perry	39%	10
			46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4
NBC News-Marist College	October 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Perry	37%	9	2,836	±1.8%
NBC News-Marist College	October 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	40%	3	2,836	±1.8%
Public Policy Polling	August 19–21, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Michele Bachmann	34%	17	798	±3.5%
			51%	Herman Cain	33%	18
			54%	Sarah Palin	33%	21
			51%	Rick Perry	38%	13
			49%	Mitt Romney	39%	10
Mason-Dixon	July 5–7, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Michele Bachmann	46%	1	629	±3.9%
Mason-Dixon	July 5–7, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	629	±3.9%
Public Policy Polling	May 27–30, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	32%	18	1,387	±2.6%
			54%	Newt Gingrich	33%	21
			55%	Sarah Palin	35%	20
			49%	Tim Pawlenty	37%	12
			49%	Mitt Romney	40%	9
Public Policy Polling	April 15–17, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	39%	11	1,109	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	53%	Sarah Palin	36%	17
			45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4
			51%	Donald Trump	35%	16
Public Policy Polling	January 7–9, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	38%	13	1,077	±3.0%
			47%	Mike Huckabee	43%	4
			53%	Sarah Palin	37%	16
			47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	35%	Newt Gingrich	52%	17	800	±3.5%
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	31%	Mitt Romney	56%	25	800	±3.5%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	August 25–28, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Michele Bachmann	46%	3	600	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	44%	3
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	44%	4
		Barack Obama	42%	Rick Perry	49%	7
		Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	48%	8

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Clarus Research	October 5–7, 2011	Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	53%	16	602	±4.0%
Clarus Research	October 5–7, 2011	Barack Obama	37%	Rick Perry	52%	15	602	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 17–19, 2009	Barack Obama	42%	Sarah Palin	49%	7	727	±3.6%
Public Policy Polling	July 17–19, 2009	Barack Obama	40%	Bobby Jindal	54%	14	727	±3.6%

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 28–31, 2011	Barack Obama	55%	Michele Bachmann	35%	20	673	±3.8%
			54%	Herman Cain	37%	17
			55%	Newt Gingrich	35%	20
			55%	Rick Perry	34%	21
			49%	Mitt Romney	38%	11
Critical Insights	October 18–23, 2011	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	40%	1	600	±4.0%
Critical Insights	October 18–23, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Perry	32%	14	600	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	March 3–6, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Newt Gingrich	37%	16	1,247	±2.8%
			51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
			57%	Sarah Palin	35%	22
			49%	Mitt Romney	41%	8

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov America/University of Massachusetts Amherst	November 9–22, 2011	Barack Obama	54%	Rick Perry	23%	31	Varies^[1]	Varies
		Barack Obama	51%	Herman Cain	28%	23
		Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	34%	15
Public Policy Polling	September 16–18, 2011	Barack Obama	59%	Michele Bachmann	28%	31	791	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	58%	Newt Gingrich	31%	27
		Barack Obama	55%	Ron Paul	30%	25
		Barack Obama	58%	Rick Perry	32%	26
		Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	40%	13
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2011	Barack Obama	60%	Herman Cain	27%	33	957	±3.2%
		Barack Obama	63%	Newt Gingrich	27%	36
		Barack Obama	63%	Sarah Palin	27%	36
		Barack Obama	59%	Tim Pawlenty	28%	31
		Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	37%	20
Public Policy Polling	November 29 – December 1, 2010	Barack Obama	57%	Newt Gingrich	33%	24	500	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	57%	Mike Huckabee	33%	24
		Barack Obama	61%	Sarah Palin	32%	29
		Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	43%	9

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA	November 13–16, 2011	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	600	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	40%	5
		Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	36%	14
Survey USA	October 12–14, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Michele Bachmann	30%	26	500	±4.5%
		Barack Obama	53%	Herman Cain	32%	21
		Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	31%	23
		Barack Obama	53%	Rick Perry	32%	21
		Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11
Inside Michigan/MRG	Sept 14–19, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	39%	11	600	±4.0%
Inside Michigan/MRG	Sept 14–19, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied	600	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 21–24, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Michele Bachmann	37%	16	593	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	33%	17
		Barack Obama	54%	Sarah Palin	36%	18
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	35%	15
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5
		Barack Obama	50%	Thaddeus McCotter	31%	19
EPIC-MRA	July 9–11, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	600	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	March 18–20, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Newt Gingrich	37%	16	502	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	50%	Mike Huckabee	41%	9
		Barack Obama	55%	Sarah Palin	35%	20
		Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	41%	7
		Barack Obama	52%	Scott Walker	32%	20
Public Policy Polling	December 3–6, 2010	Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	37%	15	1,224	±2.8%
		Barack Obama	51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
		Barack Obama	56%	Sarah Palin	35%	21
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4
		Barack Obama	49%	Rick Snyder	38%	11

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Survey USA	November 2–6, 2011	Barack Obama	57%	Michele Bachmann	29%	28	543	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	35%	13
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	35%	13
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	39%	6
Survey USA	June 15–17, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Michele Bachmann	39%	14	558	±4.2%
Survey USA	June 15–17, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Tim Pawlenty	46%	Tied	558	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	May 27–30, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Michele Bachmann	35%	21	1,179	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	51%	Herman Cain	30%	21
		Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	36%	18
		Barack Obama	56%	Sarah Palin	36%	20
		Barack Obama	51%	Tim Pawlenty	43%	8
		Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	36%	15
Public Policy Polling	December 4–5, 2010	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	38%	13	949	±3.2%
		Barack Obama	50%	Mike Huckabee	40%	10
		Barack Obama	54%	Sarah Palin	36%	18
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5
		Barack Obama	51%	Tim Pawlenty	43%	8
St. Cloud State University Survey	October 24 – November 4, 2009	Barack Obama	49%	Tim Pawlenty	40%	9	550	±5.0%
Public Policy Polling	July 7–8, 2009	Barack Obama	56%	Sarah Palin	35%	21	1,491	±2.5%
Public Policy Polling	July 7–8, 2009	Barack Obama	51%	Tim Pawlenty	40%	11	1,491	±2.5%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 4–6, 2011	Barack Obama	40%	Michele Bachmann	52%	12	796	±3.5%
			37%	Herman Cain	54%	17
			38%	Newt Gingrich	54%	16
			37%	Ron Paul	52%	15
			38%	Rick Perry	55%	17
			36%	Mitt Romney	54%	18
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Newt Gingrich	48%	6	817	±3.4%
			40%	Mike Huckabee	54%	14
			44%	Sarah Palin	48%	4
			40%	Mitt Romney	46%	6
			41%	Haley Barbour	51%	10

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports	November 9, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	39%	8	500	±4.5%
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	43%	4
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	45%	3
Public Policy Polling	September 9–12, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Michele Bachmann	43%	4	632	±3.9%
		Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	45%	2
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Perry	47%	2
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	April 28 – May 1, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	44%	2	555	±3.9%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mike Huckabee	49%	5
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	43%	5
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	45%	2
		Barack Obama	46%	Donald Trump	41%	5
Public Policy Polling	March 3–6, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	44%	Tied	612	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	43%	Mike Huckabee	49%	6
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	43%	5
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	44%	1
Public Policy Polling	November 29 – December 1, 2010	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	45%	1	515	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	42%	Mike Huckabee	49%	7
		Barack Obama	46%	Sarah Palin	43%	3
		Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	47%	6

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Herman Cain	45%	2	1,625	±2.4%
			42%	Newt Gingrich	50%	8
			40%	Ron Paul	48%	8
			40%	Mitt Romney	50%	10
			43%	Rick Perry	46%	3
Public Policy Polling	June 16–19, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Michele Bachmann	48%	6	819	±3.4%
			41%	Herman Cain	46%	5
			44%	Sarah Palin	48%	4
			41%	Tim Pawlenty	45%	4
			41%	Mitt Romney	49%	8
Public Policy Polling	November 10–13, 2010	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	46%	2	1,176	±2.9%
			41%	Mike Huckabee	51%	10
			45%	Sarah Palin	47%	2
			39%	Mitt Romney	50%	11

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	September 30 – October 2, 2011	Barack Obama	41%	Michele Bachmann	49%	8	739	±3.6%
		Barack Obama	41%	Newt Gingrich	48%	7
		Barack Obama	41%	Rick Perry	48%	7
		Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	51%	13
Public Policy Polling	January 26–27, 2011	Barack Obama	40%	Newt Gingrich	48%	8	977	±3.1%
		Barack Obama	38%	Mike Huckabee	51%	13
		Barack Obama	44%	Sarah Palin	45%	1
		Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	49%	12

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Las Vegas Review Journal/University of Nevada	December 12–20, 2011	Barack Obama	45.7%	Mitt Romney	39.8%	5.9	600	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	45.4%	Ron Paul	35.7%	9.7
		Barack Obama	47.3%	Newt Gingrich	35.4%	11.9
		Barack Obama	50.2%	Michele Bachmann	27.1%	23.1
		Barack Obama	48.8%	Jon Huntsman	30.1%	18.7
		Barack Obama	50.8%	Rick Perry	31.1%	19.7
		Barack Obama	49.3%	Rick Santorum	30.9%	18.4
Public Policy Polling	October 20–23, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	41%	8	500	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	49%	Herman Cain	46%	3
		Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	46%	3
		Barack Obama	51%	Rick Perry	41%	10
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	40%	10	601	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	39%	9
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	39%	12
		Barack Obama	49%	Rick Perry	40%	9
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1
Public Policy Polling	April 21–24, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	42%	4	491	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	43%	2
		Barack Obama	50%	Sarah Palin	39%	11
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	3
		Barack Obama	47%	Donald Trump	41%	6
Public Policy Polling	January 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	40%	11	932	±3.2%
		Barack Obama	51%	Mike Huckabee	41%	10
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	39%	13
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
NBC News/Marist College	November 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Rick Perry	36%	15	1,144	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	46%	3
		Barack Obama	53%	Michele Bachmann	33%	20
		Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	39%	10
		Barack Obama	53%	Herman Cain	30%	23
		Barack Obama	44%	Ron Paul	42%	2
University of New Hampshire/WMUR	November 15–20, 2011
		Barack Obama	54%	Rick Perry	35%	19	665	±3.8%
		Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	40%	12
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3
NBC News-Marist Poll	October 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Perry	40%	6	2,218	±2.1%
NBC News-Marist Poll	October 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	49%	9	2,218	±2.1%
Public Policy Polling	June 30 – July 5, 2011
		Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	42%	7	662	±3.8%
		Barack Obama	49%	Herman Cain	39%	10
		Barack Obama	53%	Sarah Palin	38%	15
		Barack Obama	48%	Tim Pawlenty	41%	7
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	46%	2
New Hampshire University	June 21 – July 1, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	773	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	47%	Tim Pawlenty	38%	11
		Barack Obama	47%	Michele Bachmann	41%	6
Public Policy Polling	March 31 – April 3, 2011	Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	39%	13	769	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	52%	Mike Huckabee	38%	14
		Barack Obama	56%	Sarah Palin	34%	22
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1
		Barack Obama	51%	Donald Trump	37%	14
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies	February 9–10, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	789	±3.49%
		Barack Obama	57%	Sarah Palin	34%	23
		Barack Obama	51%	Mike Huckabee	38%	13
		Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	33%	23

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	January 6–9, 2011
		Barack Obama	55%	Chris Christie	38%	17	520	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	37%	17
		Barack Obama	53%	Mike Huckabee	36%	17
		Barack Obama	59%	Sarah Palin	29%	30
		Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	37%	15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	December 11–13, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	39%	17	500	±4.4%
			56%	Michele Bachmann	36%	20
			51%	Ron Paul	38%	13
			53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15
			56%	Rick Perry	35%	21
Public Policy Polling	June 23–26, 2011	Barack Obama	52%	Michele Bachmann	37%	15	732	±3.6%
			52%	Herman Cain	36%	16
			46%	Gary Johnson	43%	3
			56%	Sarah Palin	36%	20
			51%	Tim Pawlenty	36%	15
			49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7
Public Policy Polling	February 4–6, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	35%	21	545	±4.2%
			55%	Mike Huckabee	36%	19
			51%	Gary Johnson	36%	15
			62%	Sarah Palin	33%	29
			53%	Mitt Romney	37%	16

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	December 10–12, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Newt Gingrich	28%	Gary Johnson	20%	17	500	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	December 10–12, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	27%	Gary Johnson	23%	17	500	±4.4%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Siena College	November 8–13, 2011	Barack Obama	63%	Herman Cain	27%	36	803	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	63%	Rick Perry	28%	35
		Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	34%	25
		Barack Obama	64%	Michele Bachmann	27%	37
		Barack Obama	60%	Ron Paul	31%	29
Marist College	October 25–27, 2011	Barack Obama	62%	Herman Cain	31%	31	1,030	±3.0%
		Barack Obama	64%	Rick Perry	29%	35
		Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	35%	24
Siena College	October 10–12, 2011	Barack Obama	58%	Herman Cain	32%	26	800	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	58%	Rick Perry	31%	27
		Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	37%	18

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	December 1–4, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	37%	13	865	±3.3%
		Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	45%	4
		Barack Obama	47%	Ron Paul	42%	5
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	42%	8
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied
Public Policy Polling	October 27–31, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	42%	8	615	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	44%	3
		Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	43%	7
		Barack Obama	48%	Ron Paul	40%	8
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	42%	8
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1
Public Policy Polling	September 30 – October 3, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	42%	7	760	±3.6%
		Barack Obama	45%	Chris Christie	46%	1
		Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	42%	7
		Barack Obama	46%	Ron Paul	43%	3
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	44%	4
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
Public Policy Polling	September 1–4, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Michele Bachmann	45%	2	520	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	43%	5
		Barack Obama	49%	Sarah Palin	42%	7
		Barack Obama	46%	Rick Perry	46%	Tied
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1
Public Policy Polling	August 4–7, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	40%	10	780	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	37%	13
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	39%	13
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	40%	8
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3
Public Policy Polling	July 7–10, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Michele Bachmann	43%	3	651	±3.8%
		Barack Obama	46%	Herman Cain	42%	4
		Barack Obama	50%	Sarah Palin	42%	8
		Barack Obama	46%	Tim Pawlenty	41%	5
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied
Public Policy Polling	June 8–11, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	37%	11	563	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	40%	10
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	38%	14
		Barack Obama	47%	Tim Pawlenty	40%	7
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	42%	8	835	±3.4%
		Barack Obama	47%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	40%	12
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3
		Barack Obama	52%	Donald Trump	35%	17
Public Policy Polling	April 14–17, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	45%	4	507	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	48%	Mike Huckabee	47%	1
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	40%	12
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3
		Barack Obama	51%	Donald Trump	39%	12
Public Policy Polling	March 17–20, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	42%	5	584	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	40%	11
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2
Public Policy Polling	February 16–21, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	44%	4	650	±3.8%
		Barack Obama	46%	Mike Huckabee	47%	1
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	41%	10
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	January 20–23, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	44%	6	575	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	49%	Mike Huckabee	45%	4
		Barack Obama	50%	Sarah Palin	41%	9
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	December 17–19, 2010	Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	42%	6	520	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	38%	14
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3
Public Policy Polling	November 19–21, 2010	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	45%	1	517	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	44%	Mike Huckabee	48%	4
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	43%	5
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied
Public Policy Polling	July 10–12, 2009	Barack Obama	49%	Sarah Palin	42%	7	767	±3.5%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	43%	1	1,437	±2.6%
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Newt Gingrich	43%	1	1,437	±2.6%
Quinnipiac	October 31 – November 7, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	38%	10	1,312	±2.7%
		Barack Obama	49%	Newt Gingrich	37%	12
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	36%	12
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	42%	3
Public Policy Polling	November 4–6, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Michele Bachmann	37%	14	1,022	±3.1%
		Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	39%	11
		Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	38%	13
		Barack Obama	50%	Ron Paul	36%	14
		Barack Obama	53%	Rick Perry	36%	17
		Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9
Quinnipiac	October 17–23, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	36%	11	1,668	±2.4%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4
		Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	39%	8
Public Policy Polling	October 13–16, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	40%	9	581	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	45%	3
		Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	40%	11
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	41%	9
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied
Quinnipiac	September 22–25, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Rick Perry	41%	3	1,301	±2.7%
Quinnipiac	September 22–25, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2	1,301	±2.7%
Public Policy Polling	August 11–14, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Michele Bachmann	41%	7	792	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	39%	8
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	38%	13
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Perry	41%	4
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	43%	2
Quinnipiac	July 12–18, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	36%	13	563	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	35%	16
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	35%	12
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4
Public Policy Polling	March 10–13, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	38%	12	559	±4.1%
		Barack Obama	48%	Mike Huckabee	41%	7
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	36%	16
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	40%	6
Public Policy Polling	December 10–12, 2010	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	41%	6	510	±4.3%
		Barack Obama	45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Barack Obama	49%	Sarah Palin	42%	7
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling/ Daily Kos/SEIU	December 13–14, 2011	Barack Obama	55%	Newt Gingrich	37%	18	979	±3.1%
Public Policy Polling/ Daily Kos/SEIU	December 13–14, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	40%	13	979	±3.1%
Survey USA	November 18–21, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	37%	14	528	±4.4%
Survey USA	November 18–21, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	528	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	June 19–21, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Michele Bachmann	35%	18	701	±3.7%
			53%	Herman Cain	32%	21
			57%	Sarah Palin	35%	22
			52%	Tim Pawlenty	34%	18
			50%	Mitt Romney	38%	12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	November 28 – December 7, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4	447	±5%
			52%	Newt Gingrich	35%	17
			48%	Rick Perry	30%	18
			55%	Herman Cain	28%	27
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	1,453	±2.6%
Quinnipiac	November 28 – December 5, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Newt Gingrich	40%	8	1,453	±2.6%
Public Policy Polling	November 17–20, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Herman Cain	35%	18	500	±4.4%
			49%	Newt Gingrich	43%	6
			46%	Ron Paul	42%	4
			51%	Rick Perry	38%	13
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Santorum	42%	5
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	40%	7	800	±3.5%
Survey USA	November 10, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied	800	±3.5%
Quinnipiac	October 31 – November 7, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Herman Cain	38%	10	1,436	±2.6%
			48%	Newt Gingrich	38%	10
			47%	Rick Perry	38%	9
			44%	Mitt Romney	43%	1
Franklin & Marshall College	October 24–30, 2011	Barack Obama	38%	Herman Cain	24%	14	525	±4.3%
			40%	Rick Perry	20%	20
			35%	Mitt Romney	26%	9
			38%	Rick Santorum	25%	13
Quinnipiac	September 21–26, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Rick Perry	40%	6	1,370	±2.7%
			45%	Mitt Romney	43%	2
			45%	Rick Santorum	42%	3
Franklin & Marshall College	August 22–29, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Michele Bachmann	23%	19	525	±4.3%
			38%	Rick Perry	27%	11
			36%	Mitt Romney	30%	6
Quinnipiac	July 25–31, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Michele Bachmann	39%	8	1,358	±2.7%
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Perry	39%	6
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	44%	2
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Santorum	43%	2
Public Policy Polling	June 30 – July 5, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Michele Bachmann	43%	7	545	±4.2%
			49%	Herman Cain	37%	12
			53%	Sarah Palin	39%	14
			47%	Tim Pawlenty	39%	8
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Santorum	40%	10
Quinnipiac	June 7–12, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	40%	7	1,277	±2.7%
Quinnipiac	June 7–12, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Rick Santorum	38%	11	1,277	±2.7%
Public Policy Polling	April 7–10, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Newt Gingrich	39%	8	593	±4.0%
			45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
			50%	Sarah Palin	39%	11
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	43%	1
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Santorum	43%	2
Public Policy Polling	January 3–5, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	40%	10	547	±4.2%
			47%	Mike Huckabee	44%	3
			51%	Sarah Palin	36%	15
			46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4
			48%	Rick Santorum	40%	8

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	February 16–22, 2011	Barack Obama	60%	Newt Gingrich	27%	33	544	±4.2%
		Barack Obama	56%	Mike Huckabee	31%	25
		Barack Obama	65%	Sarah Palin	24%	41
		Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	37%	17

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
NBC News/Marist College	December 4–7, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	42%	3	2,107	±2.1%
		Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	42%	4
		Barack Obama	47%	Ron Paul	37%	10
NBC News/Marist	October 10–12, 2011
		Barack Obama	42%	Herman Cain	44%	2	2,131	±2.1%
		Barack Obama	42%	Rick Perry	43%	1
		Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	46%	6
Public Policy Polling	August 25–28, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Michele Bachmann	44%	Tied	587	±4.0%
		Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	45%	1
		Barack Obama	45%	Sarah Palin	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	41%	Rick Perry	49%	8
		Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	53%	15
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Herman Cain	40%	3	741	±3.6%
		Barack Obama	44%	Jim DeMint	47%	3
		Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	44%	2
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	43%	5
		Barack Obama	42%	Tim Pawlenty	42%	Tied
		Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	50%	9
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	43%	1	1,167	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	43%	Mike Huckabee	49%	6
		Barack Obama	47%	Sarah Palin	41%	6
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7
		Barack Obama	45%	Jim DeMint	47%	2

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Newt Gingrich	42%	2	1,045	±3.0%
		Barack Obama	41%	Mike Huckabee	47%	6
		Barack Obama	48%	Sarah Palin	40%	8
		Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	46%	6
		Barack Obama	37%	John Thune	57%	20

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Vanderbilt University	October 28 – November 5, 2011	Barack Obama	39%	Rick Perry	40%	1	1,423	±2.6%
		Barack Obama	37%	Herman Cain	41%	4
		Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	42%	4
Vanderbilt University	June 3–8, 2011	Barack Obama	38%	Michele Bachmann	27%	11	700	±3.7%
		Barack Obama	38%	Newt Gingrich	26%	12
		Barack Obama	43%	Sarah Palin	29%	14
		Barack Obama	37%	Tim Pawlenty	28%	9
		Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	35%	2
Public Policy Polling	February 9–13, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Newt Gingrich	46%	3	500	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	41%	Mike Huckabee	53%	12
		Barack Obama	45%	Sarah Palin	45%	Tied
		Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	48%	7
FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University	January 14–16, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Sarah Palin	37%	5	710	±3.3%

Three Way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican	%	Third party/independent	%	Lead margin
Vanderbilt University	October 28 – November 5, 2011	Barack Obama	34%	Rick Perry	27%	"a qualified Independent candidate"	23%	7
			38%	Herman Cain	30%	"a qualified Independent candidate"	18%	8
			36%	Mitt Romney	25%	"a qualified Independent candidate"	23%	11
			33%	Mitt Romney	28%	Michael Bloomberg	14%	5
			34%	Mitt Romney	28%	Warren Buffett	18%	6
			38%	Mitt Romney	35%	Alec Baldwin	8%	3

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov	October 19–26, 2011	Barack Obama	33%	Ron Paul	38%	5	800	±3.46%
		Barack Obama	35%	Herman Cain	40%	5
		Barack Obama	34%	Mitt Romney	36%	2
		Barack Obama	37%	Rick Perry	45%	8
Public Policy Polling	June 25–27, 2011	Barack Obama	44%	Michele Bachmann	47%	3	795	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	43%	Herman Cain	43%	Tied
		Barack Obama	46%	Sarah Palin	44%	2
		Barack Obama	43%	Tim Pawlenty	44%	1
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	50%	8
		Barack Obama	40%	Ron Paul	45%	5
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	January 14–16, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Newt Gingrich	48%	5	892	±3.3%
		Barack Obama	39%	Mike Huckabee	55%	16
		Barack Obama	46%	Sarah Palin	47%	1
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	49%	7
		Barack Obama	45%	Rick Perry	45%	Tied
University of Texas	June 11–22, 2009	Barack Obama	34%	Mitt Romney	39%	5	924	±3.22%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 8–10, 2011	Barack Obama	35%	Michele Bachmann	49%	14	732	±3.6%
			36%	Herman Cain	43%	7
			23%	Jon Huntsman	63%	40
			41%	Sarah Palin	43%	2
			34%	Tim Pawlenty	45%	11
			31%	Mitt Romney	63%	32
Salt Lake Tribune	April 26–28, 2010	Barack Obama	22%	Mitt Romney	73%	51	400	±5.0%
			32%	Sarah Palin	53%	22
			31%	Ron Paul	48%	17
Dan Jones Poll	April 29, 2009	Barack Obama	27%	Mitt Romney	67%	40	254	±6.2%
Dan Jones Poll	April 29, 2009	Barack Obama	25%	Jon Huntsman	58%	33	254	±6.2%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	Barack Obama	58%	Michele Bachmann	30%	28	1,233	±2.8%
			58%	Herman Cain	26%	32
			53%	Mike Huckabee	36%	17
			62%	Sarah Palin	28%	34
			57%	Rick Perry	28%	29
			54%	Mitt Romney	34%	20

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac	December 13–19, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Newt Gingrich	41%	5	1,135	±2.9%
Quinnipiac	December 13–19, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	1,135	±2.9%
Public Policy Polling	December 11–13, 2011	Barack Obama	52%	Michele Bachmann	39%	13	600	±4%
		Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	43%	7
		Barack Obama	48%	Ron Paul	40%	8
		Barack Obama	51%	Rick Perry	41%	10
		Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6
Quinnipiac	October 3–9, 2011	Barack Obama	45%	Herman Cain	43%	2	1,459	±2.6%
		Barack Obama	47%	Rick Perry	42%	5
		Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
CNU/Times-Dispatch	October 3–8, 2011	Barack Obama	43%	Rick Perry	43%	Tied	1,027	±3.1%
CNU/Times-Dispatch	October 3–8, 2011	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,027	±3.1%
Roanoke College	September 6–17, 2011	Barack Obama	46%	Michele Bachmann	35%	9	601	±4%
		Barack Obama	50%	Sarah Palin	31%	19
		Barack Obama	43%	Ron Paul	33%	10
		Barack Obama	40%	Rick Perry	42%	2
		Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	45%	8
Quinnipiac	September 7–12, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Michele Bachmann	37%	11	1,368	±2.7%
		Barack Obama	50%	Sarah Palin	35%	15
		Barack Obama	44%	Rick Perry	42%	2
		Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	44%	2
Public Policy Polling	July 21–24, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Michele Bachmann	40%	9	500	±4.4%
		Barack Obama	49%	Herman Cain	38%	11
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	37%	14
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	39%	9
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4
Public Policy Polling	May 5–8, 2011	Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	37%	17	547	±4.2%
		Barack Obama	52%	Mike Huckabee	43%	9
		Barack Obama	55%	Sarah Palin	40%	15
		Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11
		Barack Obama	54%	Donald Trump	32%	22
		Barack Obama	51%	Bob McDonnell	43%	8
The Washington Post^[2]	May 2–4, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	503	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	53%	Mike Huckabee	34%	9
		Barack Obama	55%	Tim Pawlenty	35%	20
		Barack Obama	61%	Donald Trump	30%	31
		Barack Obama	61%	Sarah Palin	30%	31
The Washington Post^[2]	April 28 – May 1, 2011	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	677	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	50%	Mike Huckabee	46%	4
		Barack Obama	51%	Tim Pawlenty	38%	13
		Barack Obama	54%	Donald Trump	35%	19
		Barack Obama	55%	Sarah Palin	36%	19
Public Policy Polling	February 24–27, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	39%	12	524	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	51%	Mike Huckabee	43%	8
		Barack Obama	54%	Sarah Palin	35%	19
		Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6
Public Policy Polling	November 10–13, 2010	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	551	±4.2%
		Barack Obama	51%	Sarah Palin	40%	11
		Barack Obama	49%	Mike Huckabee	44%	5
		Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	41%	11

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Survey USA	November 21–23, 2011	Barack Obama	56%	Newt Gingrich	37%	19	549	±4.3%
Survey USA	November 21–23, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	41%	8	549	±4.3%
University of Washington	October 10–30, 2011	Barack Obama	54%	Rick Perry	41%	13	938	±3.2%
University of Washington	October 10–30, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9	938	±3.2%
Strategies 360	September 11–14, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Rick Perry	37%	14	500	±4.4%
Strategies 360	September 11–14, 2011	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	40%	9	500	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	May 12–15, 2011	Barack Obama	54%	Newt Gingrich	36%	18	1098	±3.0%
		Barack Obama	53%	Mike Huckabee	39%	14
		Barack Obama	57%	Sarah Palin	34%	23
		Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11
		Barack Obama	58%	Donald Trump	31%	27

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	September 30– October 2, 2011	Barack Obama	37%	Michele Bachmann	52%	15	932	±3.2%
		Barack Obama	36%	Newt Gingrich	51%	15
		Barack Obama	34%	Ron Paul	48%	14
		Barack Obama	36%	Rick Perry	52%	16
		Barack Obama	33%	Mitt Romney	54%	21
Public Policy Polling	September 1–4, 2011	Barack Obama	39%	Michele Bachmann	48%	9	708	±3.7%
		Barack Obama	40%	Newt Gingrich	45%	5
		Barack Obama	42%	Sarah Palin	45%	3
		Barack Obama	38%	Rick Perry	49%	11
		Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	49%	12
Public Policy Polling	January 20–23, 2011	Barack Obama	39%	Newt Gingrich	49%	10	1105	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	36%	Mike Huckabee	54%	18
		Barack Obama	42%	Sarah Palin	46%	4
		Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	50%	13

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
WRPI	October 18–26, 2011	Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	31%	19	605	±4%
		Barack Obama	48%	Rick Perry	30%	18
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	35%	11
Public Policy Polling	October 20–23, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Michele Bachmann	40%	11	1,170	±2.9%
		Barack Obama	49%	Herman Cain	42%	7
		Barack Obama	52%	Newt Gingrich	38%	14
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	39%	11
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3
Public Policy Polling	August 12–14, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Michele Bachmann	39%	12	830	±3.4%
		Barack Obama	50%	Herman Cain	36%	14
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	40%	12
		Barack Obama	50%	Rick Perry	40%	10
		Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5
Public Policy Polling	May 19–22, 2011	Barack Obama	53%	Newt Gingrich	35%	18	1,636	±2.4%
		Barack Obama	55%	Sarah Palin	36%	19
		Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	39%	12
		Barack Obama	50%	Paul Ryan	43%	7
Public Policy Polling	February 24–27, 2011	Barack Obama	51%	Newt Gingrich	39%	12	768	±3.5%
		Barack Obama	48%	Mike Huckabee	41%	7
		Barack Obama	54%	Sarah Palin	35%	19
		Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	38%	10
		Barack Obama	49%	Paul Ryan	40%	9
Public Policy Polling	December 10–12, 2010	Barack Obama	50%	Newt Gingrich	41%	9	702	±3.7%
		Barack Obama	47%	Mike Huckabee	41%	6
		Barack Obama	52%	Sarah Palin	38%	14
		Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4
Rasmussen Reports	October 26, 2011	Barack Obama	47%	Herman Cain	42%	5	500	±4.5%
		Barack Obama	42%	Rick Perry	46%	4
		Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	41%	4

Notes

^ The sample size for Obama vs Perry was 222, the sample size for Obama vs Cain was 228 and the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 446
^ ^a ^b Interviews conducted after the news of Osama bin Laden's killing.

[1] The sample size for Obama vs Perry was 222, the sample size for Obama vs Cain was 228 and the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 446

[osama-2] Interviews conducted after the news of Osama bin Laden's killing.

[1]

[2]

See also

Notes