View source for 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey

{{Short description|Election in New Jersey}}
{{main article|2016 United States presidential election}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name     = 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey
| country           = New Jersey
| type              = presidential
| ongoing           = no
| previous_election = 2012 United States presidential election in New Jersey
| previous_year     = 2012
| election_date     = November 8, 2016
| next_election     = 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey
| next_year         = 2020
| turnout = 68% {{increase}}
| image_size = x200px
| image1             = Hillary_Clinton_by_Gage_Skidmore_2.jpg
| nominee1           = '''[[Hillary Clinton]]''' 
| party1             = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state1        = [[New York (state)|New York]]
| running_mate1      = '''[[Tim Kaine]]'''
| electoral_vote1    = '''14'''
| popular_vote1      = '''2,148,278'''
| percentage1        = '''55.45%'''
| map_image         = New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
| map_size          = 205px
| map_caption       =County Results
{{col-start}}
{{col-2}}
'''Clinton'''
{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}
{{col-2}}
'''Trump'''
{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}
{{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}}
{{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}}
{{col-end}}
| title             = President
| before_election   = [[Barack Obama]]
| before_party      = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election    = [[Donald Trump]]
| after_party       = Republican Party (United States)
| image2             = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 
| nominee2           = [[Donald Trump]] 
| running_mate2      = [[Mike Pence]]
| party2             = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state2        = [[New York (state)|New York]]
| electoral_vote2    = 0
| popular_vote2      = 1,601,933
| percentage2        = 41.35%
}}
[[File:United States presidential election in New Jersey, 2016.svg|thumb|upright=1.35|Treemap of the popular vote by county]]
{{ElectionsNJ}}
The '''2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey''' was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the [[2016 United States presidential election]] in which all 50 states plus the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]] participated. [[New Jersey]] voters chose electors to represent them in the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]] via a popular vote, pitting the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]]'s nominee, businessman [[Donald Trump]], and running mate [[Governor of Indiana|Indiana Governor]] [[Mike Pence]] against [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party]] nominee, former [[United States Secretary of State|Secretary of State]] [[Hillary Clinton]], and her running mate Virginia [[United States Senate|Senator]] [[Tim Kaine]]. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=[[National Archives and Records Administration]]|access-date=December 14, 2020}}</ref>

Clinton won the state with 55.5% of the vote over Trump's 41.35%, or a 14-point margin. Despite her victory in the state, Clinton's vote share was slightly poorer than the vote shares President [[Barack Obama]] got from the state in [[2008 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2008]] and [[2012 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2012]].

==Primary elections==
New Jersey's [[United States presidential primary|presidential primaries]] were on June 7, 2016, with the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]], [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]], and [[Libertarian Party (United States)|Libertarian]] parties participating.<ref>Green papers for 2016 primaries [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NJ-D#0607 (D)] [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NJ-R#0607 (R)]. Retrieved 2016-04-05.</ref> Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any 1 primary in which to vote.

===Democratic primary===
{{main|2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary}}
Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:<ref name="nj_primary-candidates">{{cite web |url=http://nj.gov/state/elections/2016-results/2016-official-primary-candidates-president.pdf |title=Official List / Candidates for President / For PRIMARY ELECTION 06/07/2016 Election |publisher=NJ.gov |date=April 14, 2016 |access-date=2017-11-04}}</ref>
*[[Bernie Sanders]]
*[[Hillary Clinton]]
{{2016NJDem}}

===Republican primary===
3 candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:<ref name="nj_primary-candidates" />
*[[Ted Cruz]] (withdrawn prior to primary)
*[[John Kasich]] (withdrawn prior to primary)
*[[Donald Trump]]

{{2016NJRep}}

==General election==
===Predictions===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source
!Ranking
!As of
|-
|align="left" |[[Los Angeles Times]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html |title=Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. |newspaper=[[Los Angeles Times]] |date=2016-11-06 |access-date=2016-11-13}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| November 6, 2016
|-
| align="left" |[[CNN]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Chalian |first1=David |author-link1=David Chalian|title=Road to 270: CNN's new election map |url=https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/ |access-date=March 3, 2019 |work=[[CNN]] |date=November 4, 2016}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
|November 4, 2016
|-
| align="left" |[[The Cook Political Report|Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard |title=2016 Electoral Scorecard |date=November 7, 2016 |website=[[The Cook Political Report]] |language=en |access-date=March 3, 2019}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
|November 7, 2016
|-
| align="left" |[[Electoral-vote.com]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov08.html |title=2016 Electoral Map Prediction |date=November 8, 2016 |website=[[Electoral-vote.com]] |access-date=March 3, 2019}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
|November 8, 2016
|-
| align="left" |[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/ |title=2016 President |last=Sabato |first=Larry J. |author-link=Larry Sabato |date=November 7, 2016 |website=[[University of Virginia Center for Politics]] |access-date=March 3, 2019}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
|November 7, 2016
|-
|align="left" |[[Fox News]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/11/07/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge.html |title=Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge |publisher=[[Fox News]] |date=2016-11-07 |access-date=2016-11-13}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}
|November 7, 2016
|}

Candidate ballot access:<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.njelections.org/2016-results/2016-official-general-candidates-president.pdf |title=Official List Candidates for President For GENERAL ELECTION 11/08/2016 Election |date=August 12, 2016 |publisher=[[New Jersey Secretary of State]] - Division of Elections |access-date=November 9, 2016}}</ref>
* [[Hillary Clinton]]/[[Tim Kaine]], Democratic
* [[Donald Trump]]/[[Mike Pence]], Republican
* Darrell Castle/[[Scott Bradley (politician)|Scott Bradley]], Constitution
* [[Rocky De La Fuente]]/[[Michael Steinberg (lawyer)|Michael Steinberg]], American Delta Party
* [[Gary Johnson]]/[[Bill Weld]], Libertarian
* [[Alyson Kennedy]]/[[Osborne Hart]], Socialist Workers Party
* [[Gloria La Riva]]/[[Eugene Puryear]], Socialism and Liberation
* [[Monica Moorehead]]/[[Lamont Lilly]], Workers World Party
* [[Jill Stein]]/[[Ajamu Baraka]], Green Party

===Results===
[[File:2016 NJ presidential results by muni graduated.svg|thumb|upright=1.1|Results of the general election by [[List of municipalities in New Jersey|municipality]], darker colors indicate higher win percentage:<br>
-Blue municipalities won by Clinton<br>
-Red municipalities won by Trump<br>
-Purple municipality, Clinton and Trump tied ([[Teterboro, New Jersey|Teterboro]] only)]]
{{Election box begin | title=2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey<ref name=Official_res>{{cite web |url=http://www.njelections.org/2016-results/2016-official-general-results-president-1206b.pdf |title=Official List Candidates for President For GENERAL ELECTION 11/08/2016 Election |publisher=New Jersey Secretary of State - Division of Elections |date=December 6, 2016 |access-date=December 6, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170107140227/http://www.njelections.org/2016-results/2016-official-general-results-president-1206b.pdf |archive-date=January 7, 2017 |url-status=dead }}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
 |party      = Democratic Party (United States)
 |candidate  = [[Hillary Clinton]]
 |votes      = 2,148,278
 |percentage = 55.45%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Republican Party (United States)
 |candidate  = [[Donald Trump]] 
 |votes      = 1,601,933
 |percentage = 41.35%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Libertarian Party (United States)
 |candidate  = [[Gary Johnson]]
 |votes      = 72,477
 |percentage = 1.87%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Green Party of the United States
 |candidate  = [[Jill Stein]]
 |votes      = 37,772
 |percentage = 0.98%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Constitution Party (United States)
 |candidate  = Darrell Castle
 |votes      = 6,161
 |percentage = 0.16%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Socialist Workers Party (United States)
 |candidate  = [[Alyson Kennedy]]
 |votes      = 2,156
 |percentage = 0.06%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate|
 |party      = [[American Delta Party]]
 |candidate  = [[Rocky De La Fuente]]
 |votes      = 1,838
 |percentage = 0.05%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Workers World Party
 |candidate  = [[Monica Moorehead]]
 |votes      = 1,749
 |percentage = 0.05%
|change=
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party      = Party for Socialism and Liberation
 |candidate  = [[Gloria La Riva]]
 |votes      = 1,682
 |percentage = 0.04%
|change=
}}
{{Election box majority|
 |votes      = 546,345
 |percentage = 14.10%
 |change     = 
}}
{{Election box turnout|
 |votes      = 3,874,046
 |percentage =  
 |change     = 
}}
{{Election box end}}

===Results by county===
{|class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right"
|-
! County
! Clinton votes
! Clinton %
! Trump votes
! Trump %
! Other votes
! Other %
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Atlantic County, New Jersey|Atlantic]] || '''60,924''' || '''51.61%''' || 52,690 || 44.64% || 4,427 || 3.75%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Bergen County, New Jersey|Bergen]] || '''231,211''' || '''54.76%''' || 175,529 || 41.57% || 15,473 || 3.66%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Burlington County, New Jersey|Burlington]] || '''121,725''' || '''55.01%''' || 89,272 || 40.34% || 10,286 || 4.65%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Camden County, New Jersey|Camden]] || '''146,717''' || '''64.06%''' || 72,631 || 31.71% || 9,699 || 4.23%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Cape May County, New Jersey|Cape May]] || 18,750 || 38.07% || '''28,446''' || '''57.75%''' || 2,061 || 4.18%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Cumberland County, New Jersey|Cumberland]] || '''27,771''' || '''51.11%''' || 24,453 || 45.01% || 2,107 || 3.88%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Essex County, New Jersey|Essex]] || '''240,837''' || '''76.97%''' || 63,176 || 20.19% || 8,871 || 2.84%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Gloucester County, New Jersey|Gloucester]] || 66,870 || 47.34% || '''67,544''' || '''47.82%''' || 6,840 || 4.84%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Hudson County, New Jersey|Hudson]] || '''163,917''' || '''74.32%''' || 49,043 || 22.24% || 7,582 || 3.44%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Hunterdon County, New Jersey|Hunterdon]] || 28,898 || 40.33% || '''38,712''' || '''54.02%''' || 4,050 || 5.65%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Mercer County, New Jersey|Mercer]] || '''104,775''' || '''66.29%''' || 46,193 || 29.23% || 7,090 || 4.49%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Middlesex County, New Jersey|Middlesex]] || '''193,044''' || '''58.76%''' || 122,953 || 37.42% || 12,560  || 3.82%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Monmouth County, New Jersey|Monmouth]] || 137,181 || 43.17% || '''166,723''' || '''52.47%''' || 13,846 || 4.36%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Morris County, New Jersey|Morris]] || 115,249 || 45.46% || '''126,071''' || '''49.72%''' || 12,217 || 4.82%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Ocean County, New Jersey|Ocean]] || 87,150 || 31.49% || '''179,079''' || '''64.71%''' || 10,496 || 3.79%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Passaic County, New Jersey|Passaic]] || '''116,759''' || '''59.50%''' || 72,902 || 37.15% || 6,567 || 3.35%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Salem County, New Jersey|Salem]] || 11,904 || 39.88% || '''16,381''' || '''54.87%''' || 1,568 || 5.25%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Somerset County, New Jersey|Somerset]] || '''85,689''' || '''54.08%''' || 65,505 || 41.34% || 7,251 || 4.58%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Sussex County, New Jersey|Sussex]] || 24,212 || 32.21% || '''46,658''' || '''62.08%''' || 4,288 || 5.71%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Union County, New Jersey|Union]] || '''147,414''' || '''65.94%''' || 68,114 || 30.47% || 8,042 || 3.60%
|-
| align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Warren County, New Jersey|Warren]] || 17,281 || 34.78% || '''29,858''' || '''60.10%''' || 2,097 || 5.12%
|}

====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican====
<ref>{{Cite news|last=Bump|first=Philip|title=The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election|language=en-US|work=Washington Post|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/15/the-counties-that-flipped-parties-to-swing-the-2016-election/|access-date=2020-09-01|issn=0190-8286}}</ref>

*[[Gloucester County, New Jersey|Gloucester]] (largest municipality: [[Washington Township, Gloucester County, New Jersey|Washington Township]])
*[[Salem County, New Jersey|Salem]] (largest city: [[Salem, New Jersey|Salem]])

===By congressional district===
Clinton won 7 of 12  congressional districts.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/|title=Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project|website=www.swingstateproject.com|access-date=7 April 2018}}</ref>
{|class=wikitable
! District
! Clinton
! Trump
! Representative
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|1|1st}}
| '''60.6%'''
| 36.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Donald Norcross]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|2|2nd}}
| 46.0%
| '''50.6%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Frank LoBiondo]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|3|3rd}}
| 45.2%
| '''51.4%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Tom MacArthur]] 
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|4|4th}}
| 41.0%
| '''55.8%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Chris Smith (New Jersey politician)|Chris Smith]]
|- align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|5|5th}}
| rowspan=2| 47.7%
| rowspan=2| '''48.8%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Scott Garrett]]
|- align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Josh Gottheimer]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|6|6th}}
| '''56.2%'''
| 40.6%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Frank Pallone, Jr.]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|7|7th}}
| '''48.6%'''
| 47.5%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Leonard Lance]] 
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|8|8th}}
| '''75.7%'''
| 21.5%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Albio Sires]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|9|9th}}
| '''64.3%'''
| 33.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Bill Pascrell]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|10|10th}}
| '''85.2%'''
| 12.8%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Donald M. Payne Jr.]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|11|11th}}
| 47.9%
| '''48.8%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Rodney Frelinghuysen]]
|- align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|12|12th}}
| '''65.0%'''
| 31.8%
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Bonnie Watson Coleman]]
|- align=center
|}

===Analysis===

Hillary Clinton's 55.5% of the vote was 2.9% less than [[Barack Obama]]'s win in the state in [[2012 United States presidential election in New Jersey|2012]]. This was the first time since [[1976 United States presidential election in New Jersey|1976]] that New Jersey did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring [[Pennsylvania]]. [[Donald Trump]] became the first Republican to win Gloucester County since [[George H. W. Bush]] in [[1988 United States presidential election in New Jersey|1988]].

Overall, the trend from 2012 to 2016 was that suburban areas of central and northern New Jersey voted more Democratic, while the shore and southern New Jersey voted more Republican.

Clinton's most notable improvements over Obama in 2012 were seen in Union, Somerset, and Morris County. In Morris, Clinton came within 5% of winning the county, which has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. Clinton's stronger performance in the suburban towns of north-central New Jersey, such as [[Summit, New Jersey|Summit]], [[Westfield, New Jersey|Westfield]], and [[Bridgewater Township, New Jersey|Bridgewater]], helped her narrowly win the 7th congressional district.

On the other hand, southern New Jersey, especially Cumberland County and Salem County, voted significantly more Republican than they had in 2012. For example, even though Cumberland County voted Democratic in both 2012 and 2016, Clinton won it by just 6%, whereas Obama had won it by nearly 24% in 2012. Additionally, the four shore counties (Monmouth, Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May) all voted more Republican than they had in 2012. While Romney had won these four counties collectively by around 6% in 2012, Trump won them by 17% in 2016.

==See also==
* [[United States presidential elections in New Jersey]]
* [[Presidency of Donald Trump]]
* [[2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries]]
* [[2016 Republican Party presidential primaries]]
* [[Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election#New Jersey|Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey]]

==References==
{{Reflist}}

{{2016 United States presidential election}}
{{State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election}}
{{U.S. presidential primaries}}

[[Category:2016 United States presidential election by state|New Jersey]]
[[Category:United States presidential elections in New Jersey|2016]]
[[Category:2016 New Jersey elections|Presidential]]