2010 United States Senate election in Oregon
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ron Wyden won re-election to a third full term.
Contents
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and mentalist, perennial candidate[1]
- Loren Hooker, farmer[1]
- Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Dates administered | Ron Wyden | Loren Hooker | Pavel Goberman | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | May 7–9, 2010 | 80% | 9% | 4% | 8% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron Wyden | 323,652 | 89.55% | |
| Democratic | Loren Hooker | 25,152 | 6.75% | |
| Democratic | Pavel Goberman | 9,985 | 2.68% | |
| Democratic | Write Ins | 3,782 | 1.02% | |
| Total votes | 376,353 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Shane Dinkel, U.S. Army officer and farm worker[1]
- Jim Huffman, Lewis & Clark Law School law professor[3]
- Loren Later, businessman[1]
- Robin Parker, businessman[1]
- Thomas Stutzman, real estate broker[1]
- Keith Waldron, farmer and truck driver[1]
- Walter Woodland, woodworker[1]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Dates administered | Jim Huffman | Thomas Stutzman | Keith Waldron | Robin Parker | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | May 7–9, 2010 | 20% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 43% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Huffman | 110,450 | 41.70 | |
| Republican | Loren Later | 39,753 | 15.01 | |
| Republican | G. Shane Dinkel | 36,760 | 13.88 | |
| Republican | Thomas Stutzman | 31,859 | 12.03 | |
| Republican | Keith Waldron | 24,602 | 9.29 | |
| Republican | Robin Parker | 14,637 | 5.53 | |
| Republican | Walter Woodland | 4,417 | 1.67 | |
| Republican | Write Ins | 2,213 | 0.86 | |
| Total votes | 267,054 | 100 | ||
General election[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Bruce Cronk (Working Families), retired electrician[4]
- Marc Delphine (Libertarian), financial planner and LGBT and Tea Party activist[4][5]
- Jim Huffman (Republican), Lewis & Clark Law School law professor[4]
- Rick Staggenborg (Progressive), physician and founder of Soldiers For Peace[4]
- Ron Wyden (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
Campaign[edit]
Wyden, a popular incumbent with a 52% approval rating in a July poll,[6] touted bipartisanship and promised to hold town-hall meetings annually in each of Oregon's 36 counties and to open offices outside of Portland and Salem.[7] A Survey USA poll taken a few days before the election showed that 23% of Republicans supported Wyden.[8]
Huffman, widely considered as an underdog, financed his own campaign. He defended bonuses for Wall Street executives and questioned global warming.[9]
Debates[edit]
The first debate took place on October 21, 2010 in Medford, Oregon and was broadcast by KOBI-TV. Only the two major-party candidates, Huffman and Wyden, participated in the debate.[10] The second debate, which was hosted by the City Club of Portland at the Governor Hotel, took place on October 22. The debate played live on KOIN and re-aired on Oregon Public Broadcasting later that night.[11]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D[12] | October 9, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe D[13] | October 8, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Safe D[citation needed] | |
| RealClearPolitics | Likely D[14] | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D[15] | September 30, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Safe D[16] | October 9, 2010 |
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Dates administered | Jim Huffman (R) | Ron Wyden (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | February 16, 2010 | 35% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 24, 2010 | 38% | 51% |
| Survey USA | June 7–9, 2010 | 38% | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2010 | 37% | 47% |
| Davis, Hibbits and Midghall | June 21, 2010 | 32% | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 26, 2010 | 35% | 51% |
| Survey USA | July 25–27, 2010 | 35% | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 22, 2010 | 36% | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8, 2010 | 35% | 53% |
| Survey USA | September 12–14, 2010 | 38% | 54% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2010 | 36% | 52% |
| Survey USA | October 12–14, 2010 | 34% | 56% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17, 2010 | 40% | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2010 | 42% | 53% |
| Survey USA | October 23–28, 2010 | 32% | 57% |
Fundraising[edit]
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Wyden (D) | $5,529,660 | $4,820,297 | $1,827,374 | $0 |
| James Huffman (R) | $2,227,784 | $1,576,662 | $651,118 | $1,350,000 |
| Marc Delphine (L) | $4,728 | $4,805 | $221 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[17] | ||||
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron Wyden (Incumbent) | 825,507 | 57.22% | |
| Republican | Jim Huffman | 566,199 | 39.25% | |
| Working Families | Bruce Cronk | 18,940 | 1.31% | |
| Libertarian | Marc Delphine | 16,028 | 1.11% | |
| Progressive | Rick Staggenborg | 14,466 | 1.00% | |
| Write-In | 1,448 | 0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 1,442,588 | 100.0% | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
References[edit]
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Candidate Filings, United States Senate election". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved February 12, 2010.
- ^ a b "Official Results May 2010 Primary Election" (PDF). sos.oregon.gov. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ Mapes, Jeff (March 4, 2010). "Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman announces run against Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 5, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e "Candidate Filings, Governor (2010 General Election)". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved September 13, 2010.
- ^ http://marcforsenate.com/2010/03/22/about-marc/
- ^ http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0b8dbb4e-b838-4e1e-9b6c-d6c5d794185c
- ^ http://www.statesmanjournal.com/article/20101028/NEWS/10280337/1001/news#ixzz14WlSG8xm[permanent dead link]
- ^ http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=96e03446-a38c-4b68-aaa1-aa652fd9e342
- ^ Duara, Nigel (November 3, 2010). "Ore. Democrat holds Senate seat against professor". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Wyden, challenger debate tonight". The Mail Tribune. Southern Oregon Media Group. October 21, 2010. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
- ^ Graves, Bill (October 8, 2010). "Challenger Jim Huffman champions limited government in quest to unseat Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Oregon Live LLC. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2010.
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2010.
External links[edit]
- Elections Division of the Oregon Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Oregon at Project Vote Smart
- Oregon U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Oregon Senate General Election: Jim Huffman (R) vs Ron Wyden (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Oregon Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Oregon Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Oregon Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Official campaign websites
