2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
  Amy Klobuchar.jpg Kurt Bills.jpg
Nominee Amy Klobuchar Kurt Bills
Party DFL Republican
Popular vote 1,854,595 867,874
Percentage 65.2% 30.5%

MinnesotaSenateElectionResults2012.svg
County Results

Klobuchar:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Bills:      40–50%

U.S. Senator before election

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

Elected U.S. Senator

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

The 2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected to a second term in a landslide, defeating the Republican nominee, State Representative Kurt Bills by almost one million votes, and carrying all but two of the state's counties.

Background[edit]

Incumbent Amy Klobuchar was first elected in 2006 to succeed the retiring DFL incumbent Mark Dayton. Klobuchar beat Republican candidate Mark Kennedy by 58% to 38%. Klobuchar served as Minnesota's only senator between January 3 and July 7, 2009, due to the contested results of Minnesota's senatorial election held the previous year, finally decided in favor of DFLer Al Franken.

DFL primary[edit]

The Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party held its Senate primary on August 14, 2012.[1]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Dick Franson, perennial candidate[2]
  • Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Jack Shepard, dentist, convicted felon, fugitive and perennial candidate[3][4]
  • Darryl Stanton

Results[edit]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 183,702 90.79
DFL Dick Franson 6,832 3.38
DFL Jack Shepard 6,638 3.28
DFL Darryl Stanton 5,160 2.55
Total votes 202,332 100

Republican primary[edit]

The Republican Party of Minnesota held its nominating convention in May 2012 and held its Senate primary on August 14, 2012.[1]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Kurt Bills, state representative; won May 2012 convention nomination[6]
  • David Carlson, former Marine Corps sergeant; candidate in August 2012 primary.
  • Bob Carney Jr., inventor, independent businessman; finished 2nd in 2010 GOP primary for Governor of Minnesota, candidate in August 2012 primary[7]

Withdrew[edit]

  • Joe Arwood, St. Bonifacius city councilman; withdrew before May 2012 convention
  • Pete Hegseth, executive director of Vets for Freedom; withdrew after May 2012 convention
  • Anthony Hernandez, former state senate candidate; withdrew before May 2012 convention to run for Congress against Rep. Betty McCollum.
  • Dan Severson, former state representative; withdrew after May 2012 convention

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kurt Bills 63,380 51.12
Republican David Carlson 43,847 35.37
Republican Bob Carney, Jr. 16,755 13.51
Total votes 123,982 100

Independence primary[edit]

Campaign[edit]

The Independence Party of Minnesota did not plan to run a candidate in the general election. Party chairman Mark Jenkins said in November 2011 that he saw the Senate election as "a distraction from having our best and brightest engaged in state legislative races".[8] At the party's convention in June 2012, neither candidate was endorsed although Williams won a majority of the votes and came within two votes of the required 60% needed for the party's endorsement. He proceeded with his run for the Senate but the party focused its attention on state legislative races.[9]

Candidates[edit]

Results[edit]

Independence Party primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Stephen Williams 3,068 59.67
Independence Glen R. Anderson Menze 2,074 40.33
Total votes 5,142 100

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Debates[edit]

Klobuchar and Bills held their second debate on August 29, 2012 at the State Fair, sponsored by MPR News. Their third debate, on September 16 in Duluth, was about the nation's struggle with deficit spending and unemployment. The audience was assembled by the Duluth Area Chamber of Commerce and Duluth News Tribune.[11]

External links
  • Complete video at Minnesota Public Radio, second debate, August 29, 2012
  • Audio from Minnesota Public Radio, third debate, September 18, 2012

Fundraising[edit]

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Current Through
Amy Klobuchar (DFL) $6,301,413 $2,530,567 $5,393,798 $0 July 25, 2012
Kurt Bills (R) $394,547 $388,720 $5,841 $0 July 25, 2012
Source: Federal Election Commission[12]

Top contributors[edit]

This section lists the top contributors by employer. These organizations themselves didn't donate, but these numbers include donations from their PACs, members, employees, owners, and their immediate families.

Amy Klobuchar Contribution Kurt Bills Contribution
Dorsey & Whitney $61,100 Liberty PAC $10,000
Target Corp $56,050 Craw $10,000
General Mills $51,750 Primera Technology $10,000
U.S. Bancorp $51,139 Minnesota Limited Pipeline $7,500
Robins, Kaplan, Miller & Ciresi $49,150 Ameriprise Financial $5,000
Medtronic Inc. $41,025 Bachmann for Congress $5,000
Toys R Us $36,500 Exactdrive $5,000
Leonard, Street & Deinard $34,350 New Spark Holdings $5,000
Comcast Corp $33,623 TACPAC $5,000
Wells Fargo $32,400 Twin City Fan Companies $5,000
Source: Center for Responsive Politics,[13] Current through: March 9, 2012

Top industries[edit]

Amy Klobuchar Contribution Kurt Bills Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $989,929 Leadership PACs $17,850
Retired $447,082 Republican/Conservative $13,750
Leadership PACs $302,150 Financial Institutions $13,250
Lobbyists $282,430 Real Estate $12,550
Financial Institutions $269,033 Retired $10,350
Entertainment industry $256,711 Energy Industry $10,250
Women's Issues $196,866 Electronics Manufacturing $10,000
Retail industry $181,850 Misc. Business $9,450
Commercial Banks $159,139 Manufacturing & Distributing $7,850
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $149,725 Computers/Internet $7,350
Source: Center for Responsive Politics,[14] Current through: March 9, 2012

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[17] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[18] Safe D November 5, 2012

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Amy
Klobuchar (DFL)
Kurt
Bills (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 973 ±3.1% 55% 29% 16%
Survey USA July 17–19, 2012 552 ±4.3% 55% 31% 5% 9%
KSTP/Survey USA September 6–9, 2012 551 ±4.2% 55% 34% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 824 ±3.4% 55% 36% 10%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 800 ±3.5% 57% 28% 7% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 5–8, 2012 937 ±3.2% 57% 31% 12%
SurveyUSA/KSTP October 12–14, 2012 550 ±4.2% 58% 30% 5% 7%
St. Cloud State U. October 15–21, 2012 600 ±5% 63% 36% 1%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 500 ±4.5% 56% 33% 2% 9%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon October 23–25, 2012 800 ±3.5% 65% 22% 13%
SurveyUSA October 26–28, 2012 574 ±4.1% 60% 29% 4% 7%
KSTP/SurveyUSA November 1–3, 2012 556 ±4.2% 60% 30% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 1,164 ±2.9% 62% 32% 6%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2012 [19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 1,854,595 65.23% +7.17%
Republican Kurt Bills 867,974 30.53% -7.41%
Independence Stephen Williams 73,539 2.59% -0.64%
Grassroots Tim Davis 30,531 1.07% N/A
Open Progressives Michael Cavlan 13,986 0.49% N/A
n/a Write-ins 2,582 0.09% +0.05%
Total votes 2,843,207 100.0% N/A
DFL hold

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b http://www.sos.state.mn.us/index.aspx?page=239
  2. ^ Grow, Doug (August 22, 2011). "GOP ready to go after Sen. Klobuchar but has a problem: no first-tier candidate". MinnPost.com. Retrieved August 26, 2011.
  3. ^ "Convicted felon Jack Shepard, exiled in Italy, files again to run for U.S. Senate". MinnPost. June 1, 2012. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
  4. ^ "Fugitive U.S. Senate candidate Shepard sues Huffington Post, says he's not an arsonist". MinnPost. June 27, 2012. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
  5. ^ a b c "Statewide Results for U.S. Senator". Minnesota Secretary of State. August 15, 2012. Archived from the original on August 24, 2012. Retrieved August 15, 2012.
  6. ^ "Bills wins GOP nod for U.S. Senate", by Rachel E. Stassen, May 18, 2012, Minneapolis Star Tribune
  7. ^ "Minnesota's Cookie Cutter GOP", by Bob Carney Jr., May 27, 2012, Minneapolis Star Tribune
  8. ^ "Minn. Independence Party not in 2012 Senate race". Real Clear Politics. November 12, 2011. Retrieved November 15, 2011.
  9. ^ "Independence Party stays out of U.S. Senate race, opposes constitutional amendments". Politics in Minnesota. June 25, 2011. Retrieved July 17, 2011.
  10. ^ a b Condon, Patrick (June 6, 2012). "Minn. 3rd party gets contested Senate primary". Associated Press. Star Tribune. Retrieved June 11, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^ http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2012/09/18/politics/klobuchar-bills-debate/
  12. ^ "Federal Election Commission". Summary Reports Search. July 25, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
  13. ^ "Center for Responsive Politics". Top Contributors. September 3, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
  14. ^ "Center for Responsive Politics". Top Industries. September 3, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
  15. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  16. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  17. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  18. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  19. ^ https://www.sos.state.mn.us/elections-voting/2012-general-election-results/

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites