(486958) 2014 MU69

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(486958) 2014 MU69
KBO 2014 MU69 HST.jpg
2014 MU69 imaged by HST in 2014[a]
Discovery [1][2]
Discovered by Hubble Space Telescope
Discovery site Earth's orbit
Discovery date 26 June 2014
Designations
MPC designation (486958) 2014 MU69
Ultima Thule (unofficial)[3]
2014 MU69 · PT1 [4]
1110113Y [5] · 11 [6]
TNO[1] · cubewano[5][7]
distant[2]
Orbital characteristics[1]
Epoch 4 September 2017 (JD 2458000.5)
Uncertainty parameter 5[1] · 2[2]
Observation arc 118 days[1] · 851 days[2]
Aphelion 46.552 AU
Perihelion 42.364 AU
44.458 AU
Eccentricity 0.0471 · 0.036[8]
296.44 yr (108,274 d)
306.31°
0° 0m 11.88s / day
Inclination 2.4518° · 1.9°[8]
158.99°
183.66°
Physical characteristics
Dimensions 20 km + 18 km[9]
(as contact/binary system)
Mean diameter
25–45 km[6]
30 km[10]
30–45 km[5]
0.04–0.10 (assumed)[5]
0.04–0.15 (assumed)[6]
26.8[11]
11.1[1]

(486958) 2014 MU69, previously designated PT1 and 1110113Y, and nicknamed Ultima Thule by the New Horizons team,[3] is a trans-Neptunian object from the Kuiper belt located in the outermost regions of the Solar System. It was discovered by astronomers using the Hubble Space Telescope on 26 June 2014.[2] The irregular shaped classical Kuiper belt object is a suspected contact binary or even close binary system and measures approximately 30 kilometers (19 miles) in diameter.

In August 2015, this object was selected as the next target for the New Horizons probe shortly after it had visited Pluto. The flyby will occur on 1 January 2019, which will make it the farthest object in the Solar System ever to be visited by a spacecraft.[4] After four course changes in October and November 2015, New Horizons is on course toward 2014 MU69.[12][13]

On 13 March 2018, NASA announced that (486958) 2014 MU69 will receive the nickname Ultima Thule. The decision was based on the results of a public voting campaign.[14] Ultima Thule /ˈθl/, or Ultima for short, serves as an unofficial name for the object until the IAU decides on an official name at some point after the flyby.[3]

History[edit]

The orbits of New Horizons potential targets 1-3. 2014 MU69 (PT1) is in blue. 2014 OS393 (PT2) is in red. 2014 PN70 is in green.

Discovery[edit]

On 26 June 2014, 2014 MU69 was discovered using the Hubble Space Telescope during a preliminary survey to find a suitable Kuiper belt object for the New Horizons probe to fly by. The discovery required the use of the Hubble Space Telescope, because with an apparent magnitude of nearly 27 it is too faint for all but the most powerful telescopes. The Hubble Space Telescope is also capable of very precise astrometry and hence a reliable orbit determination.[11][15][16]

Designation[edit]

When 2014 MU69 was first observed, it was labelled 1110113Y,[17] and nicknamed "11", for short.[6][4] Its existence as a potential target of the New Horizons probe was announced by NASA in October 2014[18][19] and it was unofficially designated as "Potential Target 1", or PT1. Its official designation, 2014 MU69, was assigned by the Minor Planet Center (MPC) in March 2015 after sufficient orbital information was gathered.[4] After further observations pinning down its orbit, it was officially given the permanent minor planet number (486958) on 12 March 2017 (M.P.C. 103886).[20]

Its provisional designation, 2014 MU69, indicates that it was the 1745th object discovered during the second half of June 2014. A proper name for the object will be selected in due course,[21] after the flyby when its nature is better known.[14] NASA invited suggestions from the public on a nickname to be used in the meantime.[14]

On 13 March 2018, NASA has announced that (486958) 2014 MU69 will be nicknamed Ultima Thule, after a distant place located beyond the "borders of the known world". The popular campaign wrapped up on December 6, 2017. The campaign involved 115,000 participants from around the world, who nominated some 34,000 names. Of those, 37 names reached the ballot for voting and were evaluated for popularity – this included eight names suggested by the New Horizons team and 29 nominated by the public. The team then narrowed its selection to the 29 publicly nominated names and gave preference to names near the top of the polls. Ultima Thule was nominated by about 40 members of the public and one of the highest vote-getters among all name nominees.[3]

Characteristics[edit]

In 2014, the object was first estimated to have a diameter of 30–45 km (20–30 mi) based on its brightness and distance.[5] Observations in 2017 concluded that 2014 MU69 is no more than 30 km (20 mi) long and very elongated. It may actually be a close or contact binary.[10] In an occultation on July 17, 2017, a two-lobed shape was revealed, with diameters of 20 and 18 km (12 and 11 miles), respectively.[9] This means that 2014 MU69 is likely a primordial binary in the Kuiper Belt.[clarification needed][22]

Its orbital period is slightly more than 295 years and it has a low inclination and low eccentricity compared to other objects in the Kuiper belt.[23] These orbital properties mean that it is a cold classical Kuiper belt object which is unlikely to have undergone significant perturbations.[5] Observations in May and July 2015 as well as in July and October 2016 greatly reduced the uncertainties in the orbit.[11][2] The updated orbit parameters are available in the MPC database.

2014 MU69 has a red spectrum, making it the smallest Kuiper belt object to have its colors measured.[24]

Between 25 June and 4 July 2017, the Hubble Space Telescope spent 24 orbits observing 2014 MU69, in an effort to determine its rotation period and further reduce the orbit uncertainty.[25] First results show that the brightness of 2014 MU69 varies by less than 20 percent as it rotates.[9] This places significant constraints on the axis ratio of 2014 MU69 to <1.14 assuming an equatorial view. Together with the fact that its shape has been shown to be very irregular,[10] the small amplitude indicates that its pole is pointed towards Earth. This means that the timing of the New Horizons fly-by does not need to be adjusted to look at the "larger" axis of the object, simplifying the engineering of the fly-by significantly. The small amplitude makes it difficult to uniquely identify the rotation period at this time. Distant satellites of 2014 MU69 have been excluded to a depth of >29th magnitude.[26]

Stellar occultations[edit]

In June and July 2017, 2014 MU69 occulted three background stars.[27] The team behind New Horizons has formed a specialised "KBO Chasers" team to observe these stellar occultations from South America, Africa and the Pacific Ocean.[28][29][30]

Predicted ground tracks of the stellar occultations for 2014 MU69

On 3 June 2017, two teams of NASA scientists tried to detect the shadow of 2014 MU69 from Argentina and South Africa.[31] When they found that none of their telescopes had observed the object's shadow, it was initially speculated that 2014 MU69 might be neither as large or as dark as previously expected, and that it might be highly reflective or even a swarm.[32][33] Additional data taken with the Hubble Space Telescope in June and July 2017 revealed that the telescopes had been placed in the wrong location, and that these speculations were wrong.[34][35]

2014 MU69's shadow traces its most likely binary shape, as seen in the stellar occultation that occurred over Argentina on 17 July 2017. The best-fit red circles reveal MU69's possible doubled-lobed – or binary – nature.

On 10 July 2017, the airborne telescope SOFIA was successfully placed close to the predicted centerline for the second occultation while flying over the Pacific Ocean from Christchurch, New Zealand. The main purpose of those observations was the search for hazardous material like rings or dust near 2014 MU69 that could threaten the New Horizons spacecraft during its flyby in 2019. Data collection has been successful. A preliminary analysis suggested that the central shadow was missed;[36] only in January 2018 it was realized that SOFIA had indeed observed a very brief dip from the central shadow.[37] The data collected by SOFIA will also be valuable to put constraints on dust near 2014 MU69.[38][39] Detailed results of the search for hazardous material were presented on the 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences, on 20 October 2017.[40]

On 17 July 2017, the Hubble Space Telescope was used to check for debris around 2014 MU69, setting constraints on rings and debris within the Hill sphere of 2014 MU69 at distances of up to 75,000 km from the main body.[41] For the third and final occultation, team members set up another ground-based "fence line" of 24 small, mobile telescopes along the predicted ground track of the occultation shadow in southern Argentina (Chubut and Santa Cruz Provinces) to try to better constrain, or even determine, the size of 2014 MU69.[29][42] The average spacing between these telescopes was as small as 4.5 km (2.8 mi).[43] Using the latest observations from Hubble, the position of 2014 MU69 was known with much better precision than for the June 3 occultation, and this time the shadow of 2014 MU69 was successfully observed by at least five of the mobile telescopes.[42] Combined with the SOFIA observations, this will put good constraints on possible debris near 2014 MU69.[39][35]

Results from the occultation on 17 July show that 2014 MU69 has a very irregular shape (an "extreme prolate spheroid"), or may even be a close or contact binary.[10][44] According to the number and duration of the observed chords, 2014 MU69 has two "lobes", with diameters of 20 km and 18 km, respectively.[9] A preliminary analysis of all collected data did suggest that 2014 MU69 may be accompanied by an orbiting moonlet, which is about 200-300km away.[45][46] However, it was later realized that a problem with the data processing software was responsible for a shift in the apparent location of the target. After accounting for the software bug, the short dip observed on 10 July is now considered to be a detection of the primary body.[37]

There are currently two potentially useful 2014 MU69 occultations predicted for 2018, but neither is as good as the three 2017 events.[27] Hubble observations are planned to support ground observations (taken from Senegal and Columbia) of the August 4 occultation, from which ultra-precise astrometry and shape information about the target can be derived.[47][48]

Exploration[edit]

Animation of New Horizons's trajectory from 19 January 2006 to January 2019
   New Horizons  ·   (486958) 2014 MU69 ·   Earth ·   132524 APL ·   Jupiter  ·   Pluto

Having completed its flyby of Pluto, the New Horizons spacecraft has been maneuvered for a flyby of 2014 MU69. Closest approach will occur at 12:33 am, January 1, 2019 (EST),[46] at which point it will be 43.4 AU from the Sun in the constellation Sagittarius.[49][50][51][52] At this distance, the one-way transit time for radio signals between Earth and New Horizons will be 6 hours.[46] The first images from New Horizons are scheduled to be attempted around August 21, 2018, four months before the flyby.[53][54] If obstacles are detected, the spacecraft has the option of diverting to a more distant rendezvous until mid December, 2018.[46]

2014 MU69 is the first object to be targeted for a flyby that was discovered after the visiting spacecraft was launched.[11] New Horizons is planned to come within 3,500 km (2,200 mi) of 2014 MU69, three times closer than the spacecraft's earlier encounter with Pluto. Images with a resolution as fine as 30 m (98 ft) to 70 m (230 ft) are expected.[46][55]

The science objectives of the flyby include characterizing the geology and morphology of 2014 MU69, mapping the surface composition (searching for ammonia, carbon monoxide, methane, and water ice). Searches will be conducted of the surrounding environment to detect possible orbiting moonlets, a coma, or rings.[46]

Gallery[edit]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ New Horizons target, 2014 MU69 (green circles), as it travels across a dense field of stars and noise in the background. Images taken at 10-minute intervals by WFC3 in 2014.

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f "JPL Small-Body Database Browser: 486958 (2014 MU69)" (2014-10-22 last obs.). Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Retrieved 15 March 2017. 
  2. ^ a b c d e f "486958 (2014 MU69)". Minor Planet Center. Retrieved 15 March 2017. 
  3. ^ a b c d "New Horizons Chooses Nickname for 'Ultimate' Flyby Target". NASA. 13 March 2018. Retrieved 13 March 2018. 
  4. ^ a b c d Talbert, Tricia (28 August 2015). "NASA's New Horizons Team Selects Potential Kuiper Belt Flyby Target". NASA. Retrieved 4 September 2015. 
  5. ^ a b c d e f Lakdawalla, Emily (15 October 2014). "Finally! New Horizons has a second target". Planetary Society blog. Planetary Society. Archived from the original on 15 October 2014. 
  6. ^ a b c d Buie, Marc (15 October 2014). "New Horizons HST KBO Search Results: Status Report" (PDF). Space Telescope Science Institute. p. 23. 
  7. ^ Marc W. Buie. "Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 486958". SwRI (Space Science Department). Retrieved 2018-02-18. 
  8. ^ a b Stern, Alan (August 2015). "OPAG: We Did It!" (PDF). Presentation to the Outer Planets Assessment Group (OPAG) of the Lunar and Planetary Institute. Universities Space Research Association. p. 33. 
  9. ^ a b c d Alan Stern (8 August 2017). "The PI's Perspective: The Heroes of the DSN and the 'Summer of MU69'". New Horizons – NASA. Retrieved 8 August 2017. 
  10. ^ a b c d "New Horizons' Next Target Just Got a Lot More Interesting". NASA. 3 August 2017. 
  11. ^ a b c d Lakdawalla, Emily (1 September 2015). "New Horizons extended mission target selected". Planetary Society blog. Planetary Society. 
  12. ^ Dunn, Marcia (22 October 2015). "NASA's New Horizons on new post-Pluto mission". AP News. Retrieved 25 October 2015. 
  13. ^ "NASA's New Horizons Completes Record-Setting Kuiper Belt Targeting Maneuvers". New Horizons Team. 5 November 2015. Retrieved 6 November 2015. 
  14. ^ a b c "Help Nickname New Horizons' Next Flyby Target". NASA. November 6, 2017. NASA’s New Horizons mission to Pluto and the Kuiper Belt is looking for your ideas on what to informally name its next flyby destination, a billion miles (1.6 billion kilometers) past Pluto. 
  15. ^ J. R. Spencer; M. W. Buie; et al. (2015). "The Successful Search for a Post-Pluto KBO Flyby Target for New Horizons Using the Hubble Space Telescope" (PDF). European Planetary Science Congress (EPSC) Abstract. Copernicus Office. 
  16. ^ S. B. Porter; et al. (2017). Ultra-High Resolution Orbit Determination of (486958) 2014 MU69: Predicting an Occultation with 1% of an Orbit. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.02. Retrieved 9 August 2017. 
  17. ^ "Hubble Survey Finds Two Kuiper Belt Objects to Support New Horizons Mission". HubbleSite news release. Space Telescope Science Institute. 1 July 2014. 
  18. ^ "NASA's Hubble Telescope Finds Potential Kuiper Belt Targets for New Horizons Pluto Mission". HubbleSite. 15 October 2014. 
  19. ^ Wall, Mike (15 October 2014). "Hubble Telescope Spots Post-Pluto Targets for New Horizons Probe". Space.com. Archived from the original on 15 October 2014. 
  20. ^ "MPC/MPO/MPS Archive". Minor Planet Center. Retrieved 24 November 2017. 
  21. ^ Stern, Alan (28 April 2017). "No Sleeping Back on Earth!". NASA. Retrieved 2017-09-18. we’re going to give 2014 MU69 a real name, rather than just the “license plate” designator it has now. The details of how we’ll name it are still being worked out 
  22. ^ A. H. Parker; et al. (2017). Multiplicity of the New Horizons Extended Mission Target (486958) 2014 MU69. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.04. 
  23. ^ Porter, S. B.; Parker, A. H.; et al. (eds.). Orbits and Accessibility of Potential New Horizons KBO Encounter Targets (PDF). 46th Lunar and Planetary Science Conference (2015). 
  24. ^ "Scientists Determine Color of Kuiper Belt Objects JR1 and MU69 | Planetary Science, Space Exploration". Sci-News.com. Retrieved 2 November 2016. 
  25. ^ "The Lightcurve of New Horizons Encounter TNO 2014 MU69". Retrieved 27 July 2017. 
  26. ^ S. D. Benecchi; et al. (2017). The HST Lightcurve of (486958) 2014MU69. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.07. 
  27. ^ a b "Mission Support of the New Horizons 2014 MU69 Encounter via Stellar Occultations". Retrieved 27 July 2017. 
  28. ^ "2014MU69 occultation campaign". Retrieved 27 July 2017. 
  29. ^ a b "KBO Chasers". NASA. Retrieved 27 July 2017. 
  30. ^ M. W. Buie; et al. (2017). Overview of the strategies and results of the 2017 occultation campaigns involving (486958) 2014 MU69. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.01. 
  31. ^ A. J. Verbiscer; et al. (2017). Portable Telescopic Observations of the 3 June 2017 Stellar Occultation by New Horizons Kuiper Extended Mission Target (486958) 2014 MU69. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.05. 
  32. ^ "New Mysteries Surround New Horizons' Next Flyby Target: NASA's New Horizons spacecraft doesn't zoom past its next science target until New Year's Day 2019, but the Kuiper Belt object, known as 2014 MU69, is already revealing surprises". NASA. 5 July 2017. 
  33. ^ "The Case of the Dog that Didn't Bark in the Night". 7 July 2017. 
  34. ^ "June 3rd got the hazard search we wanted done but didn't put telescopes in the right place because back then we didn't have the MU69 orbit prediction well enough in hand. Subsequent HST June–July data helped with that". 20 July 2017. 
  35. ^ a b "The #mu69occ campaign: Occam's razor wins again..." 21 July 2017. 
  36. ^ a b c Chang, Kenneth (8 August 2017). "Chasing Shadows for a Glimpse of a Tiny World Beyond Pluto". The New York Times. Retrieved 9 August 2017. 
  37. ^ a b "New Horizons prepares for encounter with 2014 MU69". Planetary Society. 24 January 2018. Retrieved 25 January 2018. 
  38. ^ "SOFIA to Make Advance Observations of Next New Horizons Flyby Object". NASA. 10 July 2017. 
  39. ^ a b "SOFIA in Right Place at Right Time to Study Next New Horizons Flyby Object". NASA. 11 July 2017. 
  40. ^ E. F. Young; et al. (2017). Debris search around (486958) 2014 MU69: Results from SOFIA and ground-based occultation campaigns. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.06. 
  41. ^ J. Kammer; et al. (2017). Probing the Hill Sphere of 2014 MU69 with HST FGS. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 216.04. 
  42. ^ a b "NASA's New Horizons Team Strikes Gold in Argentina". NASA. 19 July 2017. 
  43. ^ "2014 MU69 presentation". Retrieved 27 July 2017. 
  44. ^ A. M. Zangari; et al. (2017). A stellar occultation by (486958) 2014 MU69: results from the 2017 July 17 portable telescope campaign. 49th Meeting of the AAS Division for Planetary Sciences Abstract. 504.03. 
  45. ^ Amos, Jonathan (12 December 2017). "New Horizons strikes distant gold". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 13 December 2017. 
  46. ^ a b c d e f Green, Jim (December 12, 2017). "New Horizons Explores the Kuiper Belt". 2017 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting in New Orleans: 12–15. Retrieved 13 December 2017. 
  47. ^ Clark, Stephen (6 January 2018). "Plot thickens as New Horizons moves within year of next flyby". spaceflightnow.com. Retrieved 9 March 2018. 
  48. ^ Buie, Marc (9 February 2018). "New Horizons support observations for 2014MU69 encounter - HST Proposal 15450". NASA. Retrieved 9 March 2018. 
  49. ^ "Maneuver Moves New Horizons Spacecraft toward Next Potential Target". 23 October 2015. Retrieved 5 November 2015. 
  50. ^ "New Horizons Continues Toward Potential Kuiper Belt Target". 26 October 2015. Retrieved 5 November 2015. 
  51. ^ "On Track: New Horizons Carries Out Third KBO Targeting Maneuver". 29 October 2015. Retrieved 5 November 2015. 
  52. ^ "Asteroid 2014 MU69". The Sky Live. Retrieved 11 November 2015. 
  53. ^ Emily Lakdawalla (2018-01-24). "New Horizons prepares for encounter with 2014 MU69". The Planetary Society. Retrieved 2018-02-23. 
  54. ^ Alan Stern (2017-12-06). "The PI's Perspective: Wrapping up 2017 En Route to Our Next Flyby". Retrieved 2018-02-23. MU69 flyby operations will begin with distant navigation imaging to help us accurately home in on our target; that work will start in late August or September and will continue until literally 48 hours before flyby. 
  55. ^ "New Horizons Files Flight Plan for 2019 Flyby". Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory. 6 September 2017. 

External links[edit]