2016 Minnesota Democratic caucuses

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2016 Minnesota Democratic caucuses

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  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 46 31
Popular vote 126,229 78,381
Percentage 61.69% 38.31%

Minnesota Democratic presidential caucus election results, 2016.svg
Minnesota results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Tie

The 2016 Minnesota Democratic caucuses took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Minnesota as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Minnesota caucuses.

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
61.6%
Hillary Clinton
38.4%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[1]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 800

January 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
59%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 426

July 30 – August 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Martin O'Malley
4%
Lincoln Chafee 3%, Jim Webb 2%, Not sure 10%
Suffolk University[3]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 100

April 24–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton
63%
Elizabeth Warren
15%
Joe Biden
4%
Cory Booker 3%, Deval Patrick 2%, Mark Warner 2%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 373

January 18–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Amy Klobuchar
11%
Elizabeth Warren 4%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 0%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%
Amy Klobuchar
43%
Andrew Cuomo
14%
Elizabeth Warren
10%
Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 30%

Results[edit]

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 69

Minnesota Democratic caucuses, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 126,229 61.69% 46 1 47
Hillary Clinton 78,381 38.31% 31 13 44
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 204,610 100% 77 16 93
Source: The Green Papers

Analysis[edit]

Bernie Sanders scored an imperative, much-needed victory in the Minnesota caucus, a state he had targeted to keep his path to the nomination alive. With its populist, mostly white electorate, Minnesota was a state seen as favorable to Sanders based on his performance in previous caucus contests, which was only aided by high voter turnout, almost topping the record of 211,000 votes in the 2008 Minnesota Democratic Presidential Primary. Sanders ran up big margins in Minneapolis and the Minneapolis suburbs, and in the working-class, mostly white Iron Range of northern Minnesota which contains the city of Duluth, where he won north of 60% of the vote. Sanders won 76 out of 87 counties and all eight congressional districts in the state.

Sanders had campaigned hard for the state, appearing with Rep. Keith Ellison, the Congressional Progressive Caucus co-chair who endorsed Sanders in October 2015.[5]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race". Star Tribune. January 23, 2016.
  2. ^ "Walker, Clinton Lead in Minnesota; General Closer than 2008 and 2012" (PDF). Retrieved 2015-08-04.
  3. ^ "Suffolk Marginals" (PDF). suffolk.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  4. ^ "PPP MN" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  5. ^ Reporter, Samantha Lachman Staff; Post, The Huffington (2016-03-01). "Bernie Sanders Wins Crucial Victory In Minnesota Caucus". The Huffington Post. Retrieved 2016-09-25.