2016 Montana gubernatorial election

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Montana gubernatorial election, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
  Steve Bullock.jpg Greg Gianforte 115th congress (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Steve Bullock Greg Gianforte
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Mike Cooney Lesley Robinson
Popular vote 255,933 236,115
Percentage 50.3% 46.3%

Montana Governor Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County results
Bullock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Gianforte:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Steve Bullock
Democratic

Elected Governor

Steve Bullock
Democratic

The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Montana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock won reelection to a second term in office with 50.3% of the vote. Less than a year later, Gianforte would go on to win a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Mike Anderson

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Bullock (incumbent) 109,450 91.3%
Democratic Bill McChesney 10,486 8.7%
Total votes 119,936 100%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Niki Sardot

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Greg Gianforte

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Gianforte 109,882 76.4%
Republican Terry Nelson 33,987 23.6%
Total votes 143,869 100%

Third Parties and Independents[edit]

Independent[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Christopher Zarcone[8]

Libertarian[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate

Withdrew[edit]

  • Ron Vandevender, perennial candidate[8]

General election[edit]

Debates[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Greg Gianforte
Governors
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organazations

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Lean D November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Lean D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[21] Lean D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[22] Lean D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[23] Lean D November 1, 2016

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Bullock (D)
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Ted
Dunlap (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 449 ± 4.6% 44% 46% 7% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 410 ± 4.6% 45% 44% 8% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 403 ± 4.6% 46% 46% 7% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 376 ± 4.6% 48% 43% 7% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 385 ± 4.6% 51% 41% 7% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 405 ± 4.6% 53% 39% 7% 1%
Mason-Dixon October 10–12, 2016 1,003 ± 3.2% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Montana State University Billings October 3–10, 2016 590 ± 4.0% 44% 32% 3% 20%

Results[edit]

Montana gubernatorial election, 2016[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Steve Bullock (incumbent) 255,933 50.25% +1.35%
Republican Greg Gianforte 236,115 46.35% -0.99%
Libertarian Ted Dunlap 17,312 3.40% -0.36%
Total votes 509,360 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

References[edit]

  1. ^ Dennison, Mike (March 1, 2016). "Bullock files for re-election for governor". KTVQ. Retrieved March 2, 2016.
  2. ^ "Former legislator steps into Democratic governor's race". Independent Record. March 12, 2016. Retrieved March 12, 2016.[permanent dead link]
  3. ^ a b c "AG Tim Fox files paperwork for re-election in 2016". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. November 13, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
  4. ^ McCumber, David (August 17, 2015). "Gianforte files exploratory papers for governor". The Montana Standard. Retrieved August 18, 2015.
  5. ^ Calvin, Bobby (January 20, 2016). "Gianforte officially launches campaign for Montana governor". The Missoulian. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  6. ^ Bragg, Dennis. "Nelson jumps into Montana gubernatorial race".
  7. ^ "Brad Johnson drops out of race for Montana governor". Billings Gazette. January 27, 2016. Retrieved January 28, 2016.
  8. ^ a b c Carter, Troy (February 1, 2015). "First contestant enters GOP gubernatorial field". Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  9. ^ Flint, Aaron (January 26, 2015). "Report: Taylor Brown Doesn't Rule Out Run for Governor". Northern Broadcasting System. Retrieved March 7, 2015.
  10. ^ Jacobson, Louis (January 23, 2015). "Democrats Have More Seats to Defend in 2015-2016 Governors Races". Governing. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
  11. ^ a b c d "Former US Senator Conrad Burns, Former US Reps Rehberg, Hill, and Marlenee Endorse Gianforte-Robinson Ticket". Greg Gianforte for Montana. April 12, 2016.
  12. ^ a b "Daines, Zinke Endorse Greg Gianforte, Lesley Robinson For Gov., Lt. Gov. Of Montana". Fairfield Sun Times. April 5, 2016.
  13. ^ a b c d "Montana Attorney General Tim Fox, Former Governors Endorse Gianforte-Robinson Ticket". Greg Gianforte for Montana. April 11, 2016.
  14. ^ "Gianforte-Robinson Land Important Endorsement in 2016 Election, AG is Montana's Number One Industry". Greg Gianforte for Montana. April 21, 2016.
  15. ^ "GIANFORTE/ROBINSON LAND ENDORSEMENT FROM MONTANA CHAMBER OF COMMERCE". National Federation of Independent Business. June 17, 2016.
  16. ^ "NFIB Endorses Greg Gianforte for Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. August 16, 2016.
  17. ^ Backus, Perry (March 20, 2016). "Libertarian from Conner running for governor". Independent Record. Retrieved August 11, 2016.
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Endorsements". gregformontana.com. Retrieved October 30, 2016.
  19. ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  20. ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  21. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  22. ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  23. ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  24. ^ "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved January 5, 2017.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites (Archived)