2016 Washington Democratic caucuses

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Washington Democratic caucuses, 2016

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  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 74 27
Percentage 72.72% 27.10%

Washington Democratic Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Washington Democratic caucuses were held on March 26 in the U.S. state of Washington as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, Democratic caucuses were held in Alaska and Hawaii. While the Republican primary was later held on May 24, 2016.

Sanders overwhelmingly won the March 26 caucus which had about 230,000 participants, winning 72.7% of the state's legislative district delegates to Clinton's 27.1%, giving Sanders a net gain of 47 pledged delegates.[1]

However, Clinton won the state's non-binding primary which was held on May 24, receiving about 52% of the vote[2]

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 29, 2016 Bernie Sanders
72.72%
Hillary Clinton
27.10%
Other
0.18%
Gravis Marketing[3]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 256

May 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
35%
Elizabeth Warren
26%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Joe Biden 4%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Unsure 12%
Hillary Clinton
45%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Lincoln Chafee
2%
Bill De Blasio 2%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Unsure 12%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 391

May 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
24%
Martin O'Malley
4%
Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Not sure 12%
2016 Washington State Democratic precinct caucuses, Eckstein Middle School, Seattle, Washington, March 26, 2016. Precinct Committee Officers and other convenors.
2016 Washington State Democratic precinct caucuses, Eckstein Middle School, Seattle, Washington, March 26, 2016.

Results[edit]

Washington Democratic caucuses, March 26, 2016
Candidate District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 19,159 72.72% 74 0 74
Hillary Clinton 7,140 27.10% 27 10 37
Others
Uncommitted 46 0.18% 0 7 7
Total 26,345 100% 101 17 118
Source: The Green Papers
Washington Democratic primary, May 24, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 420,461 52.38% 27 10 37
Bernie Sanders 382,293 47.62% 74 0 74
Others
Uncommitted
Total 802,754 100.00% 101 17 118
Source: Washington Secretary of State - Official Primary Results

Analysis[edit]

Sanders scored a landslide victory in the Washington caucus. His victory did not come as a huge surprise, since Seattle as a city had donated the most money per capita to the Bernie Sanders for President Campaign, and Washington state (particularly Seattle) has a history of electing more left-leaning politicians including other self-proclaimed socialists to office.[5] Sanders won all counties in the state on the day of the caucus.

Washington was a bit of a lost cause for Clinton. She had lost the Washington caucus eight years earlier to Barack Obama, and her husband had lost the caucus in 1992 to both Paul Tsongas and Jerry Brown.[6]

At a rally in Wisconsin on March 26, Sanders told supporters "We knew from day one that politically we were going to have a hard time in the Deep South, but we knew things were going to improve when we headed west."[7] Clinton won the Washington Democratic Primary, but lost the caucus. The same was true with Nebraska. She won the Primary and lost the caucus.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Washington Democratic Party Official Website
  2. ^ Santos, Melissa (2016-05-24). "Trump, Clinton win Washington's presidential primary". The News Tribune. Retrieved 2018-07-15.
  3. ^ "Washington State poll: Paul leads GOP field, Murray leads McMorris Rodgers; Right to Work up 45% to 33% – Gravis". Gravismarketing.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  4. ^ "PPP WA" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  5. ^ "Western caucuses primed for Sanders". Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  6. ^ "Western caucuses primed for Sanders". Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  7. ^ Chozick, Amy (2016-03-26). "Bernie Sanders Seizes 3 States, Sweeping Democratic Contests". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-08-07.