2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California
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All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 61.86% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2018, with the primary elections being held on June 5, 2018. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state of California, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
Democrats won in seven congressional districts previously represented by Republicans, all of which voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. This reduced the California House Republican delegation by half and left the Republican Party with the fewest seats in California since just before the 1946 election cycle.
Republican incumbents Jeff Denham, David Valadao, Steve Knight, Mimi Walters, and Dana Rohrabacher (who had been elected to fifteen terms) were all defeated. Democrats also picked up two open seats previously held by retiring GOP incumbents: thirteen-term incumbent Ed Royce and nine-term incumbent Darrell Issa. The seven Democratic House pickups in California were the most made by the party in the 2018 election cycle.
Overview
[edit]Statewide
[edit]United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 Primary election — June 5, 2018 | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
Democratic | 4,189,103 | 63.55% | 117[a] | 55 | 52 | |
Republican | 2,250,074 | 34.13% | 95[b] | 46 | 45 | |
No party preference | 95,908 | 1.45% | 24[c] | 2 | 2 | |
Green | 38,737 | 0.59% | 10 | 3 | 3 | |
Libertarian | 11,493 | 0.17% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
American Independent | 6,747 | 0.10% | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
Peace and Freedom | 233 | <0.01% | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 6,592,295 | 100% | 258 | 106 | — |
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 General election — November 6, 2018[6] | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 39 | 46 | 7 | |
Republican | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 14 | 7 | 7 | |
Green | 103,459 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | ||
No party preference | 97,202 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | ||
Valid votes | 12,184,522 | 95.85% | — | — | — | |
Invalid votes | 528,020 | 4.15% | — | — | — | |
Totals | 12,712,542 | 100.00% | 53 | 53 | — | |
Voter turnout | 64.54% (registered voters)
50.45% (eligible voters) |
By district
[edit]Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California by district:[7]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 131,548 | 45.11% | 160,046 | 54.89% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,594 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 243,081 | 77.01% | 72,576 | 22.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 315,657 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 134,875 | 58.07% | 97,376 | 41.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 232,251 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 156,253 | 45.87% | 184,401 | 54.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 340,654 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 205,860 | 78.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 55,158 | 21.13% | 261,018 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 201,939 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,939 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 7 | 155,016 | 55.04% | 126,601 | 44.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 281,617 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 113,414 | 56.49% | 87,349 | 43.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 200,763 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 115,945 | 52.25% | 105,955 | 47.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,900 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 11 | 204,369 | 74.13% | 71,312 | 25.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 275,681 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 275,292 | 86.82% | 41,780 | 13.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,072 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 260,580 | 88.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 34,257 | 11.62% | 294,837 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 211,384 | 79.22% | 55,439 | 20.78% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,823 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 177,989 | 72.97% | 65,940 | 27.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,929 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 16 | 82,266 | 57.55% | 60,693 | 42.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 142,959 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 17 | 159,105 | 75.35% | 52,057 | 24.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 211,162 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 18 | 225,142 | 74.49% | 77,096 | 25.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 302,238 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 19 | 162,496 | 73.75% | 57,823 | 26.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 220,319 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 20 | 183,677 | 81.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 42,044 | 18.63% | 225,721 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | 57,239 | 50.38% | 56,377 | 49.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 113,616 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 22 | 105,136 | 47.28% | 117,243 | 52.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 222,379 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 23 | 74,661 | 36.28% | 131,113 | 63.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 205,774 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 24 | 166,550 | 58.56% | 117,881 | 41.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 284,431 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 133,209 | 54.37% | 111,813 | 45.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 245,022 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 26 | 158,216 | 61.94% | 97,210 | 38.06% | 0 | 0.00% | 255,426 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 27 | 202,636 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,636 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 28 | 196,662 | 78.37% | 54,272 | 21.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 250,934 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 29 | 124,697 | 80.61% | 29,995 | 19.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 154,692 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 30 | 191,573 | 73.40% | 69,420 | 26.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,993 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 31 | 110,143 | 58.74% | 77,352 | 41.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 187,495 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 32 | 121,759 | 68.78% | 55,272 | 31.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 177,031 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 33 | 219,091 | 70.03% | 93,769 | 29.97% | 0 | 0.00% | 312,860 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 34 | 110,195 | 72.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 41,711 | 27.46% | 151,906 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 35 | 103,420 | 69.40% | 45,604 | 30.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 149,024 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 36 | 122,169 | 59.02% | 84,839 | 40.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 207,008 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 37 | 210,555 | 89.08% | 25,823 | 10.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 236,378 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 38 | 139,188 | 68.85% | 62,968 | 31.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,156 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 39 | 126,002 | 51.56% | 118,391 | 48.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 244,393 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 40 | 93,938 | 77.35% | 0 | 0.00% | 27,511 | 22.65% | 121,449 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 41 | 108,227 | 65.10% | 58,021 | 34.90% | 0 | 0.00% | 166,248 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 42 | 100,892 | 43.50% | 131,040 | 56.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 231,932 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 43 | 152,272 | 77.67% | 43,780 | 22.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 196,052 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 44 | 143,322 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 143,322 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 45 | 158,906 | 52.05% | 146,383 | 47.95% | 0 | 0.00% | 305,289 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 46 | 102,278 | 69.15% | 45,638 | 30.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 147,916 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 47 | 143,354 | 64.86% | 77,682 | 35.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,036 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 48 | 157,837 | 53.55% | 136,899 | 46.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 294,736 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 49 | 166,453 | 56.42% | 128,577 | 43.58% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,030 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 50 | 125,448 | 48.28% | 134,362 | 51.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 259,810 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 51 | 109,527 | 71.20% | 44,301 | 28.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 153,828 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 52 | 188,992 | 63.85% | 107,015 | 36.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,007 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 53 | 185,667 | 69.07% | 83,127 | 30.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,794 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 200,681 | 1.65% | 12,184,522 | 100.0% |
Notes
[edit]- ^ 112 campaigning Democratic candidates. Suspended campaign: Dotty Nygard (District 10); Aja Brown (District 44); Michael Kotick, Laura Oatman, and Rachel Payne (District 48). Although she suspended her campaign, Brown did advance to the general election.[1][2]
- ^ 93 campaigning Republican candidates. Suspended campaign: Stacey Dash (District 44) and Stelian Onufrei (District 48).[3][4]
- ^ No ballot access: American Solidarity Party, K9 Party, and Socialist Equality Party. Brian T. Carroll (ASP, District 22), Robert Pendleton (K9, District 49), and Kevin Mitchell (SEP, District 51), appear on ballot as "No party preference."[5]
District 1
[edit]
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The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the 1st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Doug LaMalfa, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Audrey Denney, educator and farmer
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jessica Holcombe, business attorney[9]
- David Peterson, small business owner
- Marty Walters, environmental scientist[10]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Dennis Duncan
- Larry Jordan
- Brandon Storment
Green candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Lewis Elbinger, retired diplomatic officer
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 98,354 | 51.7 | |
Democratic | Audrey Denney | 34,121 | 17.9 | |
Democratic | Jessica Holcombe | 22,306 | 11.7 | |
Democratic | Marty Waters | 16,032 | 8.4 | |
Republican | Gregory Cheadle | 11,660 | 6.1 | |
Democratic | David Peterson | 5,707 | 3.0 | |
Green | Lewis Elbinger | 2,191 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 190,371 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]After advancing to the general election, Democratic candidate Audrey Denney was forced to pause her campaign for emergency tumor-removal surgery in August,[12] but returned in time to debate LaMalfa in September.[13]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Denney lost, having received 45.1% of the vote, but would win the Democratic party nomination for the 2020 election.[22]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 160,046 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Audrey Denney | 131,548 | 45.1 | |
Majority | 28,498 | 9.8 | ||
Total votes | 291,594 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the 2nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+22.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jared Huffman, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Andy Caffrey, sustainability conversion planner
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Dale K. Mensing, cashier and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 144,005 | 72.5 | |
Republican | Dale K. Mensing | 41,607 | 20.9 | |
Democratic | Andy Caffrey | 13,072 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 198,684 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 243,081 | 77.0 | |
Republican | Dale K. Mensing | 72,576 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 315,657 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the 3rd district since 2013 and had previously represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- John Garamendi, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Kevin Puett, retired associate director
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Charlie Schaupp, retired Marine officer
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 74,552 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Charlie Schaupp | 58,598 | 42.1 | |
Democratic | Kevin Puett | 5,971 | 4.3 | |
Total votes | 139,121 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 134,875 | 58.1 | |
Republican | Charlie Schaupp | 97,376 | 41.9 | |
Total votes | 232,251 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Tom McClintock, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mitchell White, accountant and auditor
Democratic candidates
[edit]The 4th district was added as a Republican-held seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting on November 9, 2017.[25]
Advanced to general
[edit]- Jessica Morse, national security strategist[26]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Regina Bateson, military security analyst[26]
- Roza Calderon, geoscientist, geographer and cartographer[26]
- Robert Lawton, businessman
Withdrawn
[edit]- Steven Castellano
- Chris Drew, product specialist
- Richard Martin
- Rochelle Wilcox, media law and appeals attorney (endorsed Morse)[26]
Declined
[edit]- Charlie Brown, retired Air Force Lieutenant Colonel and nominee for this seat in 2006 and 2008 (endorsed Morse)[27][26]
Campaign
[edit]In February, the California Democratic Party endorsed[28] Jessica Morse. Calderon was able to successfully collect 322 CDP-credentialed delegate signatures needed to block the endorsement, in which Morse only received 44 delegate votes. However, CDP staff refused to accept the forms after it was alleged they closed doors early to prevent the submission. A petition was later filed with the Compliance Review Commission[29] by Calderon. The CRC voted to accept and count the signatures, ultimately disqualifying enough signatures to proceed with Morse's endorsement.
California allows candidates to include their professional description under their names on the ballot, however Regina Bateson later challenged Morse's ballot designation title of "National Security Fellow" at the Sacramento Superior Court after months of controversy that Morse, who had not worked in three years, was "fluffing" her credentials.[30] California's secretary of state, Alex Padilla, had struck down Morse's 3 ballot designations before Judge Gevercer ruled[31] that she presented "no credible evidence" to use the ballot designation of "National Security Fellow". Instead, he held that this title would mislead the average person about her recent activities. In the official Certified Candidate List, Morse's ballot designation was left blank.
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 109,679 | 51.8 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 42,942 | 20.3 | |
Democratic | Regina Bateson | 26,303 | 12.4 | |
Republican | Mitchell White | 14,433 | 6.8 | |
Democratic | Roza Calderon | 13,621 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Robert Lawton | 4,593 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 211,571 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]State officials
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California and nominee for Governor in 2018[38]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[40]
- EMILY's List[41]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom McClintock (R) |
Jessica Morse (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Morse)[42] | October 15–16, 2018 | 840 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 184,401 | 54.1 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 156,253 | 45.9 | |
Majority | 28,148 | 8.2 | ||
Total votes | 340,654 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 5th district since 2013 and previously represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Mike Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Douglas S. Van Raam, independent candidate for this seat in 2014
Green candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jason Kishineff, homemaker
Other candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Anthony Mills, mariner
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Nils Palsson, teacher, nonprofit director and candidate for this seat in 2016
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 121,428 | 79.3 | |
No party preference | Anthony Mills | 13,538 | 8.8 | |
No party preference | Nils Palsson | 12,652 | 8.3 | |
Green | Jason Kishineff | 5,458 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 153,076 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 205,860 | 78.9 | |
No party preference | Anthony Mills | 55,158 | 21.1 | |
Total votes | 261,018 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6
[edit]
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The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the 6th district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 75.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jrmar Jefferson, business executive
- Doris Matsui, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 99,789 | 87.9 | |
Democratic | Jrmar Jefferson | 13,786 | 12.1 | |
Democratic | Ralph Nwobi (write-in) | 9 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 113,584 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 162,411 | 80.4 | |
Democratic | Jrmar Jefferson | 39,528 | 19.6 | |
Total votes | 201,939 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 7
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The 7th district is based in north central California and includes southern and eastern Sacramento County. Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the 7th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+3.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Ami Bera, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
[edit]- Brad Westmoreland, lawyer[44]
Republican candidates
[edit]California's 7th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[45]
Advanced to general
[edit]- Andrew Grant, U.S. Marine officer and businessman[46]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Yona Barash, cancer surgeon
Withdrawn
[edit]- Omba Kipuke, public activist
Declined
[edit]- Scott Jones, Sacramento County Sheriff and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[47]
Green candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Robert Richardson, software developer
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Reginald Claytor, aerospace mechanical worker
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 84,776 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Andrew Grant | 51,221 | 31.2 | |
Republican | Yona Barash | 22,845 | 13.9 | |
Green | Robert Christian "Chris" Richardson | 3,183 | 1.9 | |
No party preference | Reginald Claytor | 2,095 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 164,120 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[49]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "On the Radar" Program[50]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ami Bera (D) |
Andrew Grant (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Grant)[51] | June 12–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Lean D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 155,016 | 55.0 | |
Republican | Andrew Grant | 126,601 | 45.0 | |
Majority | 28,415 | 10.0 | ||
Total votes | 281,617 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 8
[edit]
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The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Paul Cook, who had represented the 8th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Paul Cook, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Tim Donnelly, former state assembly member, candidate for governor in 2014 and for this seat in 2016
Democratic candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Marge Doyle, registered nurse
- Ronald O'Donnell, educator, author, businessman and general election candidate for state senator from 23rd district in 2016
- Rita Ramirez, retired college professor and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Cook (incumbent) | 44,482 | 40.8 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 24,933 | 22.8 | |
Democratic | Marjorie "Marge" Doyle | 23,675 | 21.7 | |
Democratic | Rita Ramirez | 10,990 | 10.1 | |
Democratic | Ronald J. O'Donnell | 5,049 | 4.6 | |
Republican | Joseph Napolitano (write-in) | 0 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 109,129 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Cook (incumbent) | 102,415 | 60.0 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 68,370 | 40.0 | |
Total votes | 170,785 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 9
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who had represented the 9th district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+8.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jerry McNerney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Marla Livengood, agriculture policy advisor
Withdrawn
[edit]- Marco Gutierrez
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 55,923 | 53.2 | |
Republican | Marla Livengood | 43,242 | 41.1 | |
American Independent | Mike Tsarnas | 6,038 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 105,203 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 113,414 | 56.5 | |
Republican | Marla Livengood | 87,349 | 43.5 | |
Total votes | 200,763 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 10
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Harder: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 10th district was based in the Central Valley and included Modesto (and the remainder of Stanislaus County), Manteca, and Tracy (with other portions of southern San Joaquin County). Republican Jeff Denham, who had represented the 10th district since 2013 and previously represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ted Howze, veterinarian
Democratic candidates
[edit]California's 10th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[52]
Advanced to general
[edit]- Josh Harder, educator and venture capitalist[53]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mike Barkley, lawyer, accountant, programmer and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Michael Eggman, farmer, small businessman and general election candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Virginia Madueno, former mayor of Riverbank[54][55]
- Sue Zwahlen, registered nurse and former Modesto City Schools Board of Education member
Withdrawn
[edit]- Lisa Battista
- Mateo Morelos Bedolla
- TJ Cox, engineer and small businessman (running in the 21st)[56]
- Dotty Nygard, registered nurse and former Riverbank City Council member[57]
- Seth Vaughn
Declined
[edit]- Cathleen Galgiani, state senator from the 5th district[58]
- José Hernández, former NASA astronaut and general election candidate for this seat in 2012[54][59]
Independent candidates
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Scott Shoblom, attorney
- Terra Snover
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Michael Eggman (D) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Virginia Madueño (D) |
Sue Zwahlen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Harder)[60] | May 2–6, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 5%[61] | 4% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,719 | 37.5 | |
Democratic | Josh Harder | 20,742 | 17.0 | |
Republican | Ted D. Howze | 17,723 | 14.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Eggman | 12,446 | 10.2 | |
Democratic | Virginia Madueño | 11,178 | 9.2 | |
Democratic | Sue Zwahlen | 9,945 | 8.2 | |
Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 2,904 | 2.4 | |
Democratic | Dotty Nygard (withdrawn) | 1,100 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 121,757 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[62]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
- California Labor Federation[64]
- California Teachers Association[64]
- National Education Association[64]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence[64]
- Council for a Livable World[64]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[40]
- End Citizens United[64]
- J Street PAC[24]
- League of Conservation Voters[65]
- Sierra Club[66]
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Jeff Denham | Josh Harder | |||||
1 | September 22, 2018 | Turlock Journal Univision 19 |
Kristina Hacker | [67] | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[68] | October 21–25, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
UC Berkeley[69] | September 16–23, 2018 | 726 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[70] | June 27 – July 1, 2018 | 501 | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
ALG Research (D-Eggman)[71] | March 13–15, 2018 | 400 | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Although Denham led the reported vote count for several days, Harder ultimately won the general election by almost 10,000 votes with Denham conceding defeat on November 14.[72][73]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Harder | 115,945 | 52.3 | |
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 105,955 | 47.7 | |
Majority | 9,990 | 4.6 | ||
Total votes | 221,900 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 11
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the 11th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Mark DeSaulnier, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Dennis Lytton, transportation manager
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- John Fitzgerald, small business owner
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Chris Wood, civil engineer
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 107,115 | 68.3 | |
Republican | John Fitzgerald | 36,279 | 23.1 | |
Democratic | Dennis Lytton | 8,695 | 5.5 | |
No party preference | Chris Wood | 4,789 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 156,878 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 204,369 | 74.1 | |
Republican | John Fitzgerald | 71,312 | 25.9 | |
Total votes | 275,681 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 12
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who had represented the 12th district since 2013 and previously represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Nancy Pelosi, incumbent U.S. Representative, House Democratic Leader and former Speaker of the House
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Shahid Buttar, lawyer, advocate and artist
- Stephen Jaffe, civil rights attorney
- Ryan Khojasteh, immigrant rights commissioner
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Lisa Remmer, educator
Withdrawn
[edit]- Chase Demasi
Green candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Barry Hermanson, retired entrepreneur
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Goldstein, lawyer and author
Endorsements
[edit]Organisations
- Progressive Democrats of America[74]
- Veterans for Bernie Sanders[74]
Newspapers
Local officials
- John Avalos, former member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[75]
- Matt Gonzalez, former president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[76]
- Jason West, former mayor of New Paltz, New York[77]
Individuals
- Medea Benjamin, activist and co-founder of Code Pink[78]
- Cindy Cohn, executive director of the Electronic Frontier Foundation[79]
- Cory Doctorow, co-editor of Boing Boing[80]
- Gayle McLaughlin, candidate for Lieutenant Governor of California[81]
- Sascha Meinrath, founder of X-Lab[82]
- Preston Picus, former candidate for California's 12th congressional district[83]
- Linda Sarsour, co-chair of the 2017 Women's March
- Norman Solomon, journalist and founder of the Institute for Public Accuracy[84]
- Trevor Timm, executive director of the Freedom of the Press Foundation[85]
Organizations
- Demand Universal Healthcare[86]
- SF Berniecrats[87]
- Veterans for Bernie Sanders[87]
Local officials
- Gayle McLaughlin (Independent), former mayor of Richmond[88]
Individuals
- Tim Canova, law professor and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2016 and 2018[87]
- Jimmy Dore, comedian and political commentator[89]
- Preston Picus (Independent), candidate for California's 12th congressional district in 2016[87]
- Holly Wood, writer and candidate for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district in 2018[87]
Local officials
- Matt Gonzalez, former president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[76]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 141,365 | 68.5 | |
Republican | Lisa Remmer | 18,771 | 9.1 | |
Democratic | Shahid Buttar | 17,597 | 8.5 | |
Democratic | Stephen Jaffe | 12,114 | 5.9 | |
Democratic | Ryan A. Khojasteh | 9,498 | 4.6 | |
Green | Barry Hermanson | 4,217 | 2.0 | |
No party preference | Michael Goldstein | 2,820 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 206,382 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 275,292 | 86.8 | |
Republican | Lisa Remmer | 41,780 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 317,072 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 13
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Incumbent Democrat Barbara Lee, who had represented the 13th district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 92.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+40.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Barbara Lee, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jeanne Marie Solnordal
Libertarian candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- James M. Eyer
Green candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Laura Wells, political activist, financial & business analyst and nominee for governor in 2010
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Lanenna Joiner
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 159,751 | 99.3 | |
Green | Laura Wells (write-in) | 832 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Jeanne Marie Solnordal (write-in) | 178 | 0.1 | |
Libertarian | James M. Eyer (write-in) | 39 | 0.0 | |
No party preference | Lanenna Joiner (write-in) | 26 | 0.0 | |
American Independent | Vincent May (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 160,829 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 260,580 | 88.4 | |
Green | Laura Wells | 34,257 | 11.6 | |
Total votes | 294,837 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 14
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who had represented the 14th district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jackie Speier, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Cristina Osmeña, solar industry executive[92]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 123,900 | 79.4 | |
Republican | Cristina Osmeña | 32,054 | 20.6 | |
Total votes | 155,954 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 211,384 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Cristina Osmeña | 55,439 | 20.8 | |
Total votes | 266,823 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 15
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the 15th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+20.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Eric Swalwell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Rudy Peters, small business owner
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Brendan St. John, medical device consultant
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 90,971 | 70.5 | |
Republican | Rudy Peters | 33,771 | 26.2 | |
No party preference | Brendan St. John | 4,322 | 3.3 | |
Total votes | 129,064 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 177,989 | 73.0 | |
Republican | Rudy Peters | 65,940 | 27.0 | |
Total votes | 243,929 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 16
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno, Madera, and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the 16th district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jim Costa, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Elizabeth Heng, small business owner and former House staffer
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 39,527 | 53.0 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Heng | 35,080 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 74,607 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]As a minority, millennial female running against an established male politician, Heng received a number of comparisons to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.[93] Heng gained notoriety during the campaign for aggressive attack ads, including one where she depicted a silver-haired man who resembled Costa walking on a sidewalk in red high heels, which prompted questions of sexism.[94] More controversially her campaign ran an ad featuring images of the Cambodian genocide, part of her family heritage. This ad was banned on Facebook and Twitter, leading to conservative claims of social media bias and unjustified censorship.[95][96] Both social media sites ended up reversing course and allowed the commercials.[94]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[97]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Costa (D) |
Elizabeth Heng (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[98] | September 14–19, 2018 | 515 | ± 5.2% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 82,266 | 57.5 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Heng | 60,693 | 42.5 | |
Majority | 21,573 | 15.0 | ||
Total votes | 142,959 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 17
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna, who had represented the 17th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+25.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Ro Khanna, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Ron Cohen, certified public accountant
Libertarian candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Kennita Watson, retired software engineer
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 72,676 | 62.0 | |
Republican | Ron Cohen | 26,865 | 22.9 | |
Democratic | Khanh Tran | 8,455 | 7.2 | |
Democratic | Stephen Forbes | 6,259 | 5.3 | |
Libertarian | Kennita Watson | 2,997 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 117,252 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 159,105 | 75.3 | |
Republican | Ron Cohen | 52,057 | 24.7 | |
Total votes | 211,162 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 18
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Incumbent Democrat Anna Eshoo, who had represented the 18th district since 2013 and previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Anna Eshoo, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Christine Russell, technology company director
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- John Karl Fredrich, teacher
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 133,993 | 73.4 | |
Republican | Christine Russell | 42,692 | 23.4 | |
No party preference | John Karl Fredrich | 5,803 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 182,488 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 225,142 | 74.5 | |
Republican | Christine Russell | 77,096 | 25.5 | |
Total votes | 302,238 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 19
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who had represented the 19th district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+24.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Zoe Lofgren, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Justin James Aguilera
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Karl Ryan
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 97,096 | 99.0 | |
Republican | Justin James Aguilera (write-in) | 792 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Karl Ryan (write-in) | 160 | 0.2 | |
American Independent | Robert Ornelas (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 98,055 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 162,496 | 73.8 | |
Republican | Justin James Aguilera | 57,823 | 26.2 | |
Total votes | 220,319 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 20
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
|
The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the 20th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election
[edit]Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jimmy Panetta, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Douglas Deitch, nonprofit executive director
Republican candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Casey Clark
Independent candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Ronald Paul Kabat, certified public accountant
Withdrawn
[edit]- Robert Neil Cheader
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 102,828 | 80.7 | |
No party preference | Ronald Paul Kabat | 19,657 | 15.4 | |
Democratic | Douglas Deitch | 4,956 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Casey K. Clark (write-in) | 20 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 127,461 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 183,677 | 81.4 | |
No party preference | Ronald Paul Kabat | 42,044 | 18.6 | |
Total votes | 225,721 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 21
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Cox: Cox—50–60% Valadao: Valadao—50–60% Valadao—60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. Incumbent Republican David Valadao, who had represented the 21st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- David Valadao, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic candidates
[edit]California's 21st district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[52]
Advanced to general
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Emilio Huerta, civil rights attorney and general election candidate for this seat in 2016
Cox was running in the 10th district race before switching to run in the 21st district in March 2017.[101] Democrat Emilio Huerta, who ran for the seat in 2016 and was planning to run again, dropped out shortly before Cox entered the race.[102]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 34,290 | 62.8 | |
Democratic | TJ Cox | 20,293 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 54,583 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[62]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator from California
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California[103]
U.S. Representatives
State officials
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California and nominee for Governor in 2018[105]
Labor unions
- California Labor Federation
- Service Employees International Union
Organizations
- 314 Action
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[40]
- Equality California
- J Street PAC
- League of Conservation Voters
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Valadao (R) |
TJ Cox (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[106] | September 20–24, 2018 | 555 | ± 5.4% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
David Valadao | TJ Cox | |||||
1 | , 2018 | KSEE-TV KGET-TV |
Evan Onstot Jim Scott |
[107] | P | P |
Results
[edit]On election night, Valadao held an 8-point lead, the Associated Press and other news networks called the race for Valadao, and Cox conceded. However, mail-in and absentee ballots, which constituted about sixty percent of all ballots cast in the race, started arriving in the days and weeks following election day and swung heavily toward Cox. On November 26, Cox took the lead, retaining it until all ballots had been counted; Valadao conceded the race on December 6.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | TJ Cox | 57,239 | 50.4 | |
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 56,377 | 49.6 | |
Majority | 862 | 0.8 | ||
Total votes | 113,616 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 22
[edit]
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The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Incumbent Republican Devin Nunes, who had represented the 22nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Primary election
[edit]In 2017, Nunes received criticism for his handling of the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections.[108]
Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Devin Nunes, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic candidates
[edit]California's 22nd district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[52]
Advanced to general
[edit]- Andrew Janz, Fresno County deputy District attorney[109]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Bobby Bliatout, nonprofit healthcare executive
- Ricardo "Rico" Franco, technology consultant
Withdrawn
[edit]- Mallory Kremer, obstetrician-gynecologist physician[110]
- Jose Sigala, Tulare City Council member
- Paul Vargas
Libertarian candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Bill Merryman, human resources analyst
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Brian Carroll, teacher
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Representatives
- American Solidarity Party of California[111]
Local officials
- Gayle McLaughlin (Independent), former mayor of Richmond[34]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 70,112 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Andrew Janz | 38,596 | 31.7 | |
Democratic | Bobby Bliatout | 6,002 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | Ricardo "Rico" Franco | 4,365 | 3.6 | |
No party preference | Brian Carroll | 1,591 | 1.3 | |
Libertarian | Bill Merryman | 1,137 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 121,803 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
Newspapers
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Devin Nunes (R) |
Andrew Janz (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[114] | October 19–21, 2018 | 840 | – | 51% | 46% | 3% |
SurveyUSA[115] | September 20–25, 2018 | 582 | ± 5.7% | 55% | 41% | 4% |
UC Berkeley[116] | September 16–23, 2018 | 912 | ± 4.0% | 53% | 45% | 2% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz)[117] | September 10–13, 2018 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Tulchin Research (D-Janz)[118] | July 22–25, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz)[117] | July 12–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 41% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[119] | June 22–24, 2018 | 632 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 117,243 | 52.8 | |
Democratic | Andrew Janz | 105,136 | 47.2 | |
Majority | 12,107 | 5.6 | ||
Total votes | 222,379 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 23
[edit]
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The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. Republican House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who had represented the 23rd district since 2013 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+14.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Kevin McCarthy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
[edit]- Joe Aleman
Democratic candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Tatiana Matta, public relations professional[120]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mary Helen Barro, businesswoman and educator[121]
- Wendy Reed, businesswoman, community advocate and general election candidate for this seat in 2016[122]
- Kurtis Wilson, realtor and motivational speaker
Withdrawn
[edit]- Robert Owen, former Tulare County Prosecutor and U.S. Marine[123]
Independent candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- James Davis