2018 United States Senate election in Texas

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2018 United States Senate election in Texas

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout53.01% (of registered voters)
42.07% (of voting age population)[1]
  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg Beto O'Rourke, Official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 3).jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Beto O'Rourke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,260,553 4,045,632
Percentage 50.9% 48.3%

2018 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
County results
Cruz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
O'Rourke:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Ted Cruz
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Ted Cruz
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Ted Cruz ran successfully for re-election to a second term against Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke. The primary for all parties was held on March 6, 2018, making it the first primary of the 2018 season.[2] As Cruz and O'Rourke both won majorities in their primaries, they did not participate in the May 22 runoff primary that was held for some nominations in Texas.[3]

No Democrat has won a general election for statewide office in Texas since Bob Bullock was reelected as lieutenant governor in 1994, with election forecasters declaring it a safe Republican seat at the beginning of the 2018 cycle.[4] However, O'Rourke gradually closed the gap,[5] and leading up to the election, the race was considered unexpectedly competitive.[6]

On Election Day, Cruz defeated O'Rourke[7] by a margin of 50.9 to 48.3 percent; the race was the closest U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1978.[8]

Background[edit]

In 2012, after a stunning upset victory in the Republican primary, then-Solicitor General of Texas Ted Cruz defeated former member of the Texas House of Representatives Paul Sadler by a 16-point margin (56%–40%). Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. As conservatives began turning to the Republican Party in once strongly Democratic areas, Democratic voters became concentrated in Southern Texas (which hold majority minority counties) and large metropolitan cities, such as Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and Dallas, as well as the far western majority-minority city of El Paso, which O'Rourke represented in the U.S. House.

Since 1990, Texas has voted for Republican statewide candidates in all elections, whether it be presidential, gubernatorial, or senatorial, often by large margins. In 1998, Governor George W. Bush won re-election by 37 points over his Democratic challenger, Garry Mauro. In 2000, Governor Bush won Texas by 21 points over Vice President Al Gore. In 2004, President Bush won Texas over Senator John Kerry by 23 points, winning rural areas by landslide margins, capturing urban zones, and coming very close to winning the Latino vote (49% to Kerry's 50%). Democrat Barack Obama was defeated by margins of 12 points in 2008, against John McCain, and 16 points in 2012, against Mitt Romney, respectively. However, in 2016, Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton by only a 9-point margin, demonstrating a possible shift away from the Safe Republican status it had held for over a decade. This has led Democrats to begin targeting Texas as a potential future swing state. It should also be noted that Ted Cruz defeated Donald Trump in the Texas Republican primary for U.S. President in 2016.

As of June 2018, Senator Cruz held a 49%–44% approval rating among Texans in a state Donald Trump won by 9 points against Hillary Clinton in 2016. Among groups that tend to affiliate themselves more with the Democratic Party, Senator Cruz held a 29% approval rating among Hispanics, 37% among females, and 42% among college-educated voters.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Failed to qualify[edit]

  • Thomas Dillingham, businessman[16]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Bruce Jacobson
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Stefano
de Stefano
Bruce
Jacobson
Mary
Miller
Geraldine
Sam
Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 ± 4.7% 73% 1% 2% 2% 1% 21%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 612 ± 5.3% 91% 1% 3% 3% 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Michael
McCaul
Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies September 29 – October 1, 2016 321 ± 3.5% 52% 12% 7% 29%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 51% 19% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
George P.
Bush
Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 448 40% 21% 12% 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Dan
Patrick
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 49% 27% 24%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 448 38% 23% 15% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz
Rick
Perry
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 37% 46% 18%

Results[edit]

County results of the Republican primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
Cruz
  •   Cruz—≥90%
  •   Cruz—80–90%
  •   Cruz—70–80%
No votes
  •   No votes
Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 1,322,724 85.36%
Republican Mary Miller 94,715 6.11%
Republican Bruce Jacobson Jr. 64,791 4.18%
Republican Stefano de Stefano 44,456 2.87%
Republican Geraldine Sam 22,887 1.48%
Total votes 1,549,573 100%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Sema Hernandez
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sema
Hernandez
Edward
Kimbrough
Beto
O'Rourke
Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 ± 5.7% 6% 4% 38% 53%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 453 ± 7.4% 19% 8% 73%

Results[edit]

County results of the Democratic primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
O'Rourke
  •   O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80-90%
  •   O'Rourke—70-80%
  •   O'Rourke—60-70%
  •   O'Rourke—50-60%
  •   O'Rourke—40-50%
  •   O'Rourke—<40%
  •   Kimbrough / O'Rourke—50%
O'Rourke/Hernandez tie
  •   O'Rourke/Hernandez tie—<50%
O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie
  •   O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie—50%
Hernandez
  •   Hernandez—>90%
  •   Hernandez—80-90%
  •   Hernandez—70-80%
  •   Hernandez—60-70%
  •   Hernandez—50-60%
  •   Hernandez—40-50%
  •   Hernandez—<40%
Kimbrough
  •   Kimbrough / O'Rourke—50%
  •   Kimbrough—<40%
  •   Kimbrough—40-50%
  •   Kimbrough—50-60%
  •   Kimbrough—60-70%
  •   Kimbrough—70-80%
  •   Kimbrough—80-90%
  •   Kimbrough—>90%
Democratic primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 644,632 61.81%
Democratic Sema Hernandez 247,424 23.72%
Democratic Edward Kimbrough 150,858 14.47%
Total votes 1,042,914 100%

Libertarian nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Carl Bible, nurse[49]
  • Jonathan Jenkins, tech entrepreneur[50][51]
  • Bob McNeil, businessman[52] (American Citizen Party)[a]

Declined[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ American Citizen Party does not have ballot access. Appears on ballot as "Independent."[53]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Tossup October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[57] Likely R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Lean R November 5, 2018
CNN[59] Lean R October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[60] Lean R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[61] Lean R October 5, 2018
Fox News[62][a] Lean R October 30, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Ted Cruz (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Texas State Senators
Texas State Representatives
Local Officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Texas State Senators
  • Wendy Davis, former State Senator (D-10th District) and 2014 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas[115]
Texas State Representatives
  • Chris Turner, State Representative (101st District) and Chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus[116]
Local Officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising[edit]

In the third quarter of 2018, O'Rourke raised $38.1 million. This amount was the largest quarterly total raised by a U.S. Senate candidate[199] until Jaime Harrison raised $57 million in the third quarter of 2020 in the South Carolina election.[200] Cruz and O'Rourke combined to raise a record-setting total of $126 million during the 2018 campaign.[201][202]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Ted Cruz (R) $45,668,718 $45,990,176 $157,959
Beto O'Rourke (D) $80,344,836 $80,458,720 $284,816
Neal Dikeman (L) $33,732 $33,398 $333
Source: Federal Election Commission[202]

Polling[edit]

Polling for the 2018 Senate election in Texas.png
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Neal
Dikeman (L)
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) November 3–5, 2018 2,135 ± 2.1% 52% 43% 1% 4%
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) November 1–2, 2018 1,211 49% 49% 1%
Emerson College October 28–30, 2018 781 ± 3.7% 50% 47% 1% 2%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 2018 1,078 ± 3.5% 51% 46% 1% 3%
University of Texas Tyler October 15–28, 2018 905 LV 47% 43% 4% 6%
1,033 RV ± 3.0% 47% 42% 4% 8%
Dixie Strategies October 25–26, 2018 588 ± 4.0% 52% 42% 5%
GBA Strategies (D-End Citizens United) October 18–21, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 50% 46% 2% 2%
University of Texas/YouGov October 15–21, 2018 927 ± 3.2% 51% 45% 2% 2%
Ipsos October 12–18, 2018 1,298 ± 3.2% 49% 44% 3% 1%
Tulchin Research (D-MoveOn) October 10–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 49% 45% 3% 3%
CNN/SSRS October 9–13, 2018 716 LV ± 4.5% 52% 45% 0% 2%
862 RV ± 4.1% 50% 45% 0% 3%
WPA Intelligence (R-Club for Growth) October 8–13, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 52% 43% 1% 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–11, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 51% 43% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University October 3–9, 2018 730 ± 4.4% 54% 45% 0% 2%
YouGov October 2–5, 2018 881 50% 44% 2% 4%
Emerson College October 1–5, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 47% 42% 3% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 19–20, 2018 613 ± 4.0% 48% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) September 19–20, 2018 603 ± 4.0% 49% 46% 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018 508 ± 4.4% 50% 50%
Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2018 807 ± 4.1% 54% 45% 0% 1%
Chism Strategies (D-Reform Austin) September 11–12, 2018 1,161 ± 3.0% 49% 45% 5%
Ipsos September 6–14, 2018 992 ± 4.0% 45% 47% 3% 5%
Crosswind Media & Public Relations September 6–9, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 47% 44%
Dixie Strategies September 6–7, 2018 519 ± 4.3% 46% 42% 1% 11%
Emerson College August 22–25, 2018 550 ± 4.4% 38% 37% 4% 21%
NBC News/Marist August 12–16, 2018 759 ± 3.8% 49% 45% 1% 6%
Civiqs[a] August 8–11, 2018 [b] 47% 48%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) August 1–2, 2018 797 ± 3.5% 46% 42%
Quinnipiac University July 26–31, 2018 1,118 ± 3.5% 49% 43% 0% 6%
Texas Lyceum July 9–26, 2018 441 LV ± 4.7% 41% 39% 1% 19%
806 RV ± 3.5% 36% 34% 3% 24%
Gravis Marketing July 3–7, 2018 602 ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
YouGov June 19–22, 2018 821 LV 50% 40% 3% 7%
1,025 RV ± 3.6% 44% 36% 3% 13%
University of Texas/YouGov June 8–17, 2018 1,200 ± 2.8% 41% 36% 2% 3% 17%
GQR Research (D-End Citizens United) May 29 – June 5, 2018 1,000 ± 3.1% 49% 43% 8%
Quinnipiac University May 23–29, 2018 961 ± 3.8% 50% 39% 0% 9%
Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC) May 21–28, 2018 601 ± 4.1% 48% 36% 3% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Giffords) May 21–22, 2018 861 ± 3.3% 48% 42% 10%
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018 575 ± 4.1% 47% 40% 6%[203] 7%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 2018 1,029 ± 3.6% 47% 44% 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) January 17–18, 2018 757 ± 3.6% 45% 37% 18%
WPA Intelligence (R-Cruz) December 12–14, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 52% 34% 1% 13%
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 2017 1,000 ± 3.1% 30% 30% 3% 37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Joaquin
Castro (D)
Other Undecided
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 2017 1,000 ± 3.1% 31% 35% 3% 31%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% 48% 36% 16%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 1,018 ± 3.1% 32% 31% 14% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Wendy
Davis (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% 49% 37% 14%

Results[edit]

On November 6, 2018, Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke. However, O'Rourke gave Democrats their best performance in a Texas statewide election since Ann Richards was elected governor in 1990.[204] In addition, O'Rourke flipped several counties in Texas that Donald Trump carried in 2016, including Williamson (includes Round Rock and Georgetown), historically conservative Tarrant (includes Fort Worth and suburbs within the DFW metroplex), Jefferson (includes Beaumont and Port Arthur), Nueces (includes Corpus Christi), sparsely populated Brewster (includes Big Bend National Park), and Hays (includes San Marcos). Cruz only flipped one county that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, sparsely populated Kenedy (coastal region south of Corpus Christi).

United States Senate election in Texas, 2018[205]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 4,260,553 50.89% -5.57%
Democratic Robert Francis O'Rourke 4,045,632 48.33% +7.71%
Libertarian Neal Dikeman 65,470 0.78% -1.28%
Total votes 8,371,655 100% N/A
Republican hold

By county[edit]

Legend
Counties won by Cruz
Counties won by O'Rourke
2018 U.S. Senate election results by Texas county
County Cruz
Republican
O'Rourke
Democratic
Dikeman
Libertarian
Margin Total
votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Anderson 11,335 76.92% 3,307 22.44% 94 0.64% 8,028 54.48% 14,736
Andrews 3,338 80.80% 776 18.78% 17 0.41% 2,562 62.02% 4,131
Angelina 19,166 72.46% 7,130 26.96% 153 0.58% 12,036 45.51% 26,449
Aransas 6,677 74.35% 2,247 25.02% 56 0.62% 4,430 49.33% 8,980
Archer 3,208 89.06% 376 10.44% 18 0.50% 2,832 78.62% 3,602
Armstrong 819 91.10% 74 8.23% 6 0.67% 745 82.87% 899
Atascosa 7,753 63.53% 4,332 35.50% 119 0.98% 3,421 28.03% 12,204
Austin 8,772 79.05% 2,241 20.19% 84 0.76% 6,531 58.85% 11,097
Bailey 1,204 74.50% 405 25.06% 7 0.43% 799 49.44% 1,616
Bandera 7,643 79.75% 1,865 19.46% 76 0.79% 5,778 60.29% 9,584
Bastrop 15,067 54.87% 12,082 44.00% 312 1.14% 2,985 10.87% 27,461
Baylor 1,070 86.64% 156 12.63% 9 0.73% 914 74.01% 1,235
Bee 4,342 60.16% 2,811 38.95% 64 0.89% 1,531 21.21% 7,217
Bell 47,437 54.79% 38,417 44.37% 723 0.84% 9,020 10.42% 86,577
Bexar 217,600 39.59% 326,946 59.49% 5,024 0.91% 109,346 19.90% 549,570
Blanco 4,181 71.99% 1,570 27.03% 57 0.98% 2,611 44.96% 5,808
Borden 320 93.29% 22 6.41% 1 0.29% 298 86.88% 343
Bosque 5,718 79.92% 1,374 19.20% 63 0.88% 4,344 60.71% 7,155
Bowie 20,157 71.17% 7,982 28.18% 182 0.64% 12,175 42.99% 28,321
Brazoria 65,693 58.78% 45,228 40.47% 832 0.74% 20,465 18.31% 111,753
Brazos 35,971 55.78% 27,876 43.23% 640 0.99% 8,095 12.55% 64,487
Brewster 1,879 45.99% 2,147 52.55% 60 1.47% 268 6.56% 4,086
Briscoe 553 88.62% 69 11.06% 2 0.32% 484 77.56% 624
Brooks 543 28.24% 1,376 71.55% 4 0.21% 833 43.32% 1,923
Brown 10,391 85.65% 1,670 13.77% 71 0.59% 8,721 71.88% 12,132
Burleson 5,079 77.54% 1,426 21.77% 45 0.69% 3,653 55.77% 6,550
Burnet 13,859 74.95% 4,444 24.03% 187 1.01% 9,415 50.92% 18,490
Caldwell 6,147 53.54% 5,227 45.53% 107 0.93% 920 8.01% 11,481
Calhoun 4,198 68.61% 1,874 30.63% 47 0.77% 2,324 37.98% 6,119
Callahan 4,373 87.06% 610 12.14% 40 0.80% 3,763 74.92% 5,023
Cameron 28,574 36.67% 48,770 62.60% 568 0.73% 20,196 25.92% 77,912
Camp 2,749 70.63% 1,119 28.75% 24 0.62% 1,630 41.88% 3,892
Carson 2,192 89.14% 245 9.96% 22 0.89% 1,947 79.18% 2,459
Cass 8,148 79.75% 2,024 19.81% 45 0.44% 6,124 59.94% 10,217
Castro 1,219 75.11% 394 24.28% 10 0.62% 825 50.83% 1,623
Chambers 12,146 80.01% 2,926 19.27% 109 0.72% 9,220 60.73% 15,181
Cherokee 11,631 77.85% 3,207 21.46% 103 0.69% 8,424 56.38% 14,941
Childress 1,526 86.21% 236 13.33% 8 0.45% 1,290 72.88% 1,770
Clay 3,710 86.52% 547 12.76% 31 0.72% 3,163 73.76% 4,288
Cochran 541 78.86% 140 20.41% 5 0.73% 401 58.45% 686
Coke 1,150 88.67% 137 10.56% 10 0.77% 1,013 78.10% 1,297
Coleman 2,759 88.26% 351 11.23% 16 0.51% 2,408 77.03% 3,126
Collin 187,245 52.63% 165,614 46.55% 2,927 0.82% 21,631 6.08% 355,786
Collingsworth 810 87.28% 113 12.18% 5 0.54% 697 75.11% 928
Colorado 5,779 75.67% 1,825 23.90% 33 0.43% 3,954 51.77% 7,637
Comal 44,079 71.68% 16,830 27.37% 586 0.95% 27,249 44.31% 61,495
Comanche 3,799 82.41% 781 16.94% 30 0.65% 3,018 65.47% 4,610
Concho 803 81.94% 163 16.63% 14 1.43% 640 65.31% 980
Cooke 11,879 81.70% 2,550 17.54% 111 0.76% 9,329 64.16% 14,540
Coryell 10,626 66.99% 5,067 31.94% 170 1.07% 5,559 35.04% 15,863
Cottle 458 82.23% 97 17.41% 2 0.36% 361 64.81% 557
Crane 836 79.24% 213 20.19% 6 0.57% 623 59.05% 1,055
Crockett 928 72.73% 340 26.65% 8 0.63% 588 46.08% 1,276
Crosby 978 68.78% 437 30.73% 7 0.49% 541 38.05% 1,422
Culberson 297 35.91% 521 63.00% 9 1.09% 224 27.09% 827
Dallam 970 87.00% 139 12.47% 6 0.54% 831 74.53% 1,115
Dallas 241,124 33.13% 481,395 66.14% 5,368 0.74% 240,271 33.01% 727,887
Dawson 2,192 72.70% 811 26.90% 12 0.40% 1,381 45.80% 3,015
Deaf Smith 2,680 70.99% 1,067 28.26% 28 0.74% 1,613 42.73% 3,775
Delta 1,562 80.85% 354 18.32% 16 0.83% 1,208 62.53% 1,932
Denton 158,744 53.67% 134,649 45.52% 2,409 0.81% 24,095 8.15% 295,802
Dewitt 4,974 81.13% 1,128 18.40% 29 0.47% 3,846 62.73% 6,131
Dickens 635 84.22% 113 14.99% 6 0.80% 522 69.23% 754
Dimmit 840 29.03% 2,042 70.56% 12 0.41% 1,202 41.53% 2,894
Donley 1,110 86.79% 161 12.59% 8 0.63% 949 74.20% 1,279
Duval 1,330 32.34% 2,765 67.23% 18 0.44% 1,435 34.89% 4,113
Eastland 5,377 86.66% 800 12.89% 28 0.45% 4,577 73.76% 6,205
Ector 20,996 68.90% 9,230 30.29% 248 0.81% 11,766 38.61% 30,474
Edwards 604 79.79% 145 19.15% 8 1.06% 459 60.63% 757
Ellis 41,022 67.71% 19,106 31.53% 461 0.76% 21,916 36.17% 60,589
El Paso 50,943 25.02% 151,482 74.40% 1,189 0.58% 100,539 49.38% 203,614
Erath 10,055 79.64% 2,486 19.69% 84 0.66% 7,569 59.95% 12,625
Falls 3,215 68.70% 1,445 30.88% 20 0.43% 1,770 37.82% 4,680
Fannin 8,569 79.71% 2,107 19.60% 74 0.69% 6,462 60.11% 10,750
Fayette 8,228 78.52% 2,198 20.98% 53 0.51% 6,030 57.54% 10,479
Fisher 1,139 76.24% 340 22.76% 15 1.00% 799 53.48% 1,494
Floyd 1,394 74.19% 476 25.33% 9 0.48% 918 48.86% 1,879
Foard 321 73.79% 113 25.98% 1 0.23% 208 47.82% 435
Fort Bend 111,423 43.62% 142,399 55.75% 1,616 0.63% 30,976 12.13% 255,438
Franklin 3,300 83.04% 639 16.08% 35 0.88% 2,661 66.96% 3,974
Freestone 5,243 79.90% 1,279 19.49% 40 0.61% 3,964 60.41% 6,562
Frio 1,636 44.46% 2,016 54.78% 28 0.76% 380 10.33% 3,680
Gaines 3,317 86.18% 513 13.33% 19 0.49% 2,804 72.85% 3,849
Galveston 67,641 59.53% 45,065 39.66% 916 0.81% 22,576 19.87% 113,622
Garza 1,068 82.98% 203 15.77% 16 1.24% 865 67.21% 1,287
Gillespie 9,890 78.85% 2,572 20.51% 81 0.65% 7,318 58.34% 12,543
Glasscock 513 92.60% 37 6.68% 4 0.72% 476 85.92% 554
Goliad 2,326 75.72% 717 23.34% 29 0.94% 1,609 52.38% 3,072
Gonzales 4,173 74.19% 1,421 25.26% 31 0.55% 2,752 48.92% 5,625
Gray 5,246 88.90% 615 10.42% 40 0.68% 4,631 78.48% 5,901
Grayson 31,655 73.37% 11,157 25.86% 332 0.77% 20,498 47.51% 43,144
Gregg 24,569 68.37% 11,133 30.98% 234 0.65% 13,436 37.39% 35,936
Grimes 6,499 75.51% 2,037 23.67% 71 0.82% 4,462 51.84% 8,607
Guadalupe 33,938 62.19% 20,079 36.79% 554 1.02% 13,859 25.40% 54,571
Hale 5,360 72.51% 1,970 26.65% 62 0.84% 3,390 45.86% 7,392
Hall 807 83.11% 161 16.58% 3 0.31% 646 66.53% 971
Hamilton 2,795 83.93% 507 15.23% 28 0.84% 2,288 68.71% 3,330
Hansford 1,552 90.76% 138 8.07% 20 1.17% 1,414 82.69% 1,710
Hardeman 973 83.73% 185 15.92% 4 0.34% 788 67.81% 1,162
Hardin 17,391 86.53% 2,636 13.12% 71 0.35% 14,755 73.42% 20,098
Harris 498,902 41.31% 700,200 57.98% 8,652 0.72% 201,298 16.67% 1,207,754
Harrison 16,226 71.82% 6,245 27.64% 122 0.54% 9,981 44.18% 22,593
Hartley 1,467 90.33% 153 9.42% 4 0.25% 1,314 80.91% 1,624
Haskell 1,362 81.36% 302 18.04% 10 0.60% 1,060 63.32% 1,674
Hays 33,308 41.77% 45,584 57.16% 854 1.07% 12,276 15.39% 79,746
Hemphill 1,209 87.93% 157 11.42% 9 0.65% 1,052 76.51% 1,375
Henderson 20,891 78.80% 5,415 20.43% 205 0.77% 15,476 58.38% 26,511
Hidalgo 46,505 30.64% 104,416 68.81% 834 0.55% 57,911 38.16% 151,755
Hill 8,927 78.08% 2,443 21.37% 63 0.55% 6,484 56.71% 11,433
Hockley 4,844 79.49% 1,211 19.87% 39 0.64% 3,633 59.62% 6,094
Hood 20,090 80.34% 4,720 18.88% 195 0.78% 15,370 61.47% 25,005
Hopkins 9,306 78.07% 2,545 21.35% 69 0.58% 6,761 56.72% 11,920
Houston 5,552 75.43% 1,772 24.08% 36 0.49% 3,780 51.36% 7,360
Howard 5,651 76.32% 1,693 22.87% 60 0.81% 3,958 53.46% 7,404
Hudspeth 509 54.56% 407 43.62% 17 1.82% 102 10.93% 933
Hunt 21,115 74.12% 7,151 25.10% 222 0.78% 13,964 49.02% 28,488
Hutchinson 5,854 88.14% 753 11.34% 35 0.53% 5,101 76.80% 6,642
Irion 636 86.18% 96 13.01% 6 0.81% 540 73.17% 738
Jack 2,498 88.80% 296 10.52% 19 0.68% 2,202 78.28% 2,813
Jackson 3,991 82.46% 832 17.19% 17 0.35% 3,159 65.27% 4,840
Jasper 9,504 80.32% 2,282 19.29% 47 0.40% 7,222 61.03% 11,833
Jeff Davis 683 58.03% 466 39.59% 28 2.38% 217 18.44% 1,177
Jefferson 36,731 49.48% 37,128 50.01% 380 0.51% 397 0.53% 74,239
Jim Hogg 410 27.74% 1,060 71.72% 8 0.54% 650 43.98% 1,478
Jim Wells 4,520 45.66% 5,331 53.85% 49 0.49% 811 8.19% 9,900
Johnson 39,571 75.47% 12,411 23.67% 454 0.87% 27,160 51.80% 52,436
Jones 4,115 82.56% 832 16.69% 37 0.74% 3,283 65.87% 4,984
Karnes 2,900 70.12% 1,203 29.09% 33 0.80% 1,697 41.03% 4,136
Kaufman 26,118 68.07% 12,002 31.28% 252 0.66% 14,116 36.79% 38,372
Kendall 15,292 77.25% 4,340 21.92% 164 0.83% 10,952 55.32% 19,796
Kenedy 100 55.56% 77 42.78% 3 1.67% 23 12.78% 180
Kent 288 85.46% 44 13.06% 5 1.48% 244 72.40% 337
Kerr 16,822 75.76% 5,198 23.41% 185 0.83% 11,624 52.35% 22,205
Kimble 1,495 87.73% 195 11.44% 14 0.82% 1,300 76.29% 1,704
King 124 94.66% 6 4.58% 1 0.76% 118 90.08% 131
Kinney 827 68.97% 358 29.86% 14 1.17% 469 39.12% 1,199
Kleberg 4,081 47.48% 4,456 51.84% 59 0.69% 375 4.36% 8,596
Knox 855 78.23% 229 20.95% 9 0.82% 626 57.27% 1,093
Lamar 12,711 76.72% 3,731 22.52% 126 0.76% 8,980 54.20% 16,568
Lamb 2,741 79.29% 699 20.22% 17 0.49% 2,042 59.07% 3,457
Lampasas 5,836 78.13% 1,569 21.00% 65 0.87% 4,267 57.12% 7,470
La Salle 673 45.20% 813 54.60% 3 0.20% 140 9.40% 1,489
Lavaca 6,688 86.44% 1,019 13.17% 30 0.39% 5,669 73.27% 7,737
Lee 4,487 76.74% 1,322 22.61% 38 0.65% 3,165 54.13% 5,847
Leon 5,711 86.67% 855 12.98% 23 0.35% 4,856 73.70% 6,589
Liberty 16,041 77.96% 4,421 21.49% 114 0.55% 11,620 56.47% 20,576
Limestone 5,211 75.35% 1,672 24.18% 33 0.48% 3,539 51.17% 6,916
Lipscomb 942 88.28% 116 10.87% 9 0.84% 826 77.41% 1,067
Live Oak 3,029 82.96% 601 16.46% 21 0.58% 2,428 66.50% 3,651
Llano 7,954 78.33% 2,124 20.92% 76 0.75% 5,830 57.42% 10,154
Loving 47 87.04% 6 11.11% 1 1.85% 41 75.93% 54
Lubbock 58,780 64.19% 32,068 35.02% 731 0.80% 26,712 29.17% 91,579
Lynn 1,369 80.67% 323 19.03% 5 0.29% 1,046 61.64% 1,697
McCulloch 2,245 84.05% 400 14.98% 26 0.97% 1,845 69.08% 2,671
Mclennan 45,855 61.24% 28,452 38.00% 568 0.76% 17,403 23.24% 74,875
McMullen 387 90.00% 41 9.53% 2 0.47% 346 80.47% 430
Madison 3,033 79.17% 780 20.36% 18 0.47% 2,253 58.81% 3,831
Marion 2,448 70.00% 1,018 29.11% 31 0.89% 1,430 40.89% 3,497
Martin 1,297 83.46% 243 15.64% 14 0.90% 1,054 67.82% 1,554
Mason 1,560 79.31% 402 20.44% 5 0.25% 1,158 58.87% 1,967
Matagorda 7,330 70.10% 3,049 29.16% 78 0.75% 4,281 40.94% 10,457
Maverick 2,951 27.38% 7,727 71.71% 98 0.91% 4,776 44.32% 10,776
Medina 11,444 70.73% 4,621 28.56% 114 0.70% 6,823 42.17% 16,179
Menard 632 80.72% 145 18.52% 6 0.77% 487 62.20% 783
Midland 32,867 78.34% 8,723 20.79% 365 0.87% 24,144 57.55% 41,955
Milam 5,922 74.15% 1,997 25.00% 68 0.85% 3,925 49.14% 7,987
Mills 1,764 88.02% 229 11.43% 11 0.55% 1,535 76.60% 2,004
Mitchell 1,585 82.85% 323 16.88% 5 0.26% 1,262 65.97% 1,913
Montague 6,424 86.57% 941 12.68% 56 0.75% 5,483 73.88% 7,421
Montgomery 137,395 72.28% 51,268 26.97% 1,433 0.75% 86,127 45.31% 190,096
Moore 3,248 80.00% 787 19.38% 25 0.62% 2,461 60.62% 4,060
Morris 2,953 69.74% 1,260 29.76% 21 0.50% 1,693 39.99% 4,234
Motley 483 91.65% 40 7.59% 4 0.76% 443 84.06% 527
Nacogdoches 13,775 63.68% 7,732 35.74% 126 0.58% 6,043 27.93% 21,633
Navarro 10,391 72.08% 3,918 27.18% 107 0.74% 6,473 44.90% 14,416
Newton 3,660 78.27% 993 21.24% 23 0.49% 2,667 57.04% 4,676
Nolan 3,120 76.58% 928 22.78% 26 0.64% 2,192 53.80% 4,074
Nueces 45,956 48.85% 47,392 50.38% 719 0.76% 1,436 1.53% 94,067
Ochiltree 2,160 89.44% 230 9.52% 25 1.04% 1,930 79.92% 2,415
Oldham 732 89.71% 82 10.05% 2 0.25% 650 79.66% 816
Orange 21,164 80.37% 5,050 19.18% 118 0.45% 16,114 61.20% 26,332
Palo Pinto 7,547 80.03% 1,837 19.48% 46 0.49% 5,710 60.55% 9,430
Panola 7,120 81.38% 1,598 18.26% 31 0.35% 5,522 63.12% 8,749
Parker 44,071 80.87% 9,956 18.27% 468 0.86% 34,115 62.60% 54,495
Parmer 1,675 81.43% 372 18.08% 10 0.49% 1,303 63.34% 2,057
Pecos 2,161 61.39% 1,339 38.04% 20 0.57% 822 23.35% 3,520
Polk 12,794 76.38% 3,850 22.99% 106 0.63% 8,944 53.40% 16,750
Potter 16,689 68.33% 7,521 30.79% 214 0.88% 9,168 37.54% 24,424
Presidio 436 26.15% 1,221 73.25% 10 0.60% 785 47.09% 1,667
Rains 3,702 84.02% 681 15.46% 23 0.52% 3,021 68.57% 4,406
Randall 38,479 79.41% 9,613 19.84% 363 0.75% 28,866 59.57% 48,455
Reagan 692 82.97% 136 16.31% 6 0.72% 556 66.67% 834
Real 1,311 83.82% 245 15.66% 8 0.51% 1,066 68.16% 1,564
Red River 3,427 77.57% 973 22.02% 18 0.41% 2,454 55.55% 4,418
Reeves 1,128 47.04% 1,255 52.34% 15 0.63% 127 5.30% 2,398
Refugio 1,636 65.65% 847 33.99% 9 0.36% 789 31.66% 2,492
Roberts 441 95.87% 19 4.13% 0 0.00% 422 91.74% 460
Robertson 4,295 68.52% 1,942 30.98% 31 0.49% 2,353 37.54% 6,268
Rockwall 26,615 68.77% 11,754 30.37% 330 0.85% 14,861 38.40% 38,699
Runnels 2,842 87.88% 385 11.90% 7 0.22% 2,457 75.97% 3,234
Rusk 12,597 77.37% 3,609 22.17% 76 0.47% 8,988 55.20% 16,282
Sabine 3,456 87.12% 496 12.50% 15 0.38% 2,960 74.62% 3,967
San Augustine 2,266 75.13% 734 24.34% 16 0.53% 1,532 50.80% 3,016
San Jacinto 7,499 80.30% 1,785 19.11% 55 0.59% 5,714 61.18% 9,339
San Patricio 11,335 62.22% 6,777 37.20% 107 0.59% 4,558 25.02% 18,219
San Saba 1,811 87.53% 247 11.94% 11 0.53% 1,564 75.59% 2,069
Schleicher 735 77.21% 209 21.95% 8 0.84% 526 55.25% 952
Scurry 3,705 84.92% 642 14.71% 16 0.37% 3,063 70.20% 4,363
Shackelford 1,174 91.65% 103 8.04% 4 0.31% 1,071 83.61% 1,281
Shelby 6,008 79.46% 1,521 20.12% 32 0.42% 4,487 59.34% 7,561
Sherman 692 84.18% 87 10.58% 43 5.23% 605 73.60% 822
Smith 53,760 69.46% 23,182 29.95% 458 0.59% 30,578 39.51% 77,400
Somervell 3,033 82.17% 633 17.15% 25 0.68% 2,400 65.02% 3,691
Starr 2,443 22.65% 8,273 76.72% 68 0.63% 5,830 54.06% 10,784
Stephens 2,631 88.65% 324 10.92% 13 0.44% 2,307 77.73% 2,968
Sterling 442 90.95% 44 9.05% 0 0.00% 398 81.89% 486
Stonewall 497 80.94% 112 18.24% 5 0.81% 385 62.70% 614
Sutton 934 77.45% 265 21.97% 7 0.58% 669 55.47% 1,206
Swisher 1,461 77.10% 420 22.16% 14 0.74% 1,041 54.93% 1,895
Tarrant 309,189 49.24% 313,497 49.93% 5,208 0.83% 4,308 0.69% 627,894
Taylor 29,811 73.32% 10,489 25.80% 357 0.88% 19,322 47.52% 40,657
Terrell 323 69.16% 139 29.76% 5 1.07% 184 39.40% 467
Terry 2,169 77.11% 629 22.36% 15 0.53% 1,540 54.75% 2,813
Throckmorton 617 87.77% 77 10.95% 9 1.28% 540 76.81% 703
Titus 5,685 71.02% 2,265 28.29% 55 0.69% 3,420 42.72% 8,005
Tom Green 24,648 71.18% 9,690 27.98% 292 0.84% 14,958 43.19% 34,630
Travis 119,278 24.63% 359,772 74.30% 5,154 1.06% 240,494 49.67% 484,204
Trinity 4,146 80.12% 998 19.29% 31 0.60% 3,148 60.83% 5,175
Tyler 5,919 82.91% 1,185 16.60% 35 0.49% 4,734 66.31% 7,139
Upshur 11,529 82.44% 2,364 16.91% 91 0.65% 9,165 65.54% 13,984
Upton 854 82.83% 169 16.39% 8 0.78% 685 66.44% 1,031
Uvalde 4,348 54.80% 3,528 44.46% 59 0.74% 820 10.33% 7,935
Val Verde 5,345 46.87% 5,955 52.21% 105 0.92% 610 5.35% 11,405
Van Zandt 15,182 84.66% 2,634 14.69% 116 0.65% 12,548 69.98% 17,932
Victoria 19,005 69.85% 8,046 29.57% 157 0.58% 10,959 40.28% 27,208
Walker 11,535 64.61% 6,186 34.65% 132 0.74% 5,349 29.96% 17,853
Waller 10,167 61.24% 6,335 38.16% 101 0.61% 3,832 23.08% 16,603
Ward 2,096 71.78% 800 27.40% 24 0.82% 1,296 44.38% 2,920
Washington 10,134 75.11% 3,263 24.18% 95 0.70% 6,871 50.93% 13,492
Webb 13,814 27.97% 35,159 71.20% 408 0.83% 21,345 43.23% 49,381
Wharton 9,094 70.27% 3,793 29.31% 55 0.42% 5,301 40.96% 12,942
Wheeler 1,679 92.76% 125 6.91% 6 0.33% 1,554 85.86% 1,810
Wichita 23,648 69.72% 9,971 29.40% 299 0.88% 13,677 40.32% 33,918
Wilbarger 2,639 76.74% 776 22.56% 24 0.70% 1,863 54.17% 3,439
Willacy 1,527 35.31% 2,773 64.12% 25 0.58% 1,246 28.81% 4,325
Williamson 99,857 47.96% 105,850 50.84% 2,514 1.21% 5,993 2.88% 208,221
Wilson 13,025 73.51% 4,567 25.77% 127 0.72% 8,458 47.73% 17,719
Winkler 1,123 77.18% 321 22.06% 11 0.76% 802 55.12% 1,455
Wise 19,023 82.29% 3,915 16.94% 179 0.77% 15,108 65.35% 23,117
Wood 13,987 83.55% 2,635 15.74% 118 0.70% 11,352 67.81% 16,740
Yoakum 1,558 81.87% 335 17.60% 10 0.53% 1,223 64.27% 1,903
Young 5,543 86.54% 821 12.82% 41 0.64% 4,722 73.72% 6,405
Zapata 821 36.93% 1,392 62.62% 10 0.45% 571 25.69% 2,223
Zavala 589 20.19% 2,313 79.29% 15 0.51% 1,724 59.10% 2,917
Total 4,351,421 51.43% 4,044,631 47.80% 65,470 0.77% 306,790 3.63% 8,461,522
Cruz
Republican
O'Rourke
Democratic
Dikeman
Libertarian
Margin Total
votes

By congressional district[edit]

Cruz won 20 of 36 congressional districts [206]

District Cruz O'Rourke Representative
1st 71% 28% Louie Gohmert
2nd 50% 49% Ted Poe
Dan Crenshaw
3rd 51% 48% Sam Johnson
Van Taylor
4th 74% 25% John Ratcliffe
5th 60% 39% Jeb Hensarling
Lance Gooden
6th 51% 48% Joe Barton
Ron Wright
7th 46% 53% John Culberson
Lizzie Fletcher
8th 71% 28% Kevin Brady
9th 19% 80% Al Green
10th 49.4% 49.6% Michael McCaul
11th 78% 21% Mike Conaway
12th 60% 39% Kay Granger
13th 79% 20% Mac Thornberry
14th 58% 41% Randy Weber
15th 42% 57% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 26% 73% Beto O'Rourke
Veronica Escobar
17th 54% 45% Bill Flores
18th 20% 79% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 71% 28% Jodey Arrington
20th 33% 66% Joaquín Castro
21st 49.6% 49.5% Lamar Smith
Chip Roy
22nd 49.9% 49.3% Pete Olson
23rd 47% 52% Will Hurd
24th 48% 51% Kenny Marchant
25th 52% 47% Roger Williams
26th 57% 42% Michael Burgess
27th 60% 39% Michael Cloud
28th 40% 59% Henry Cuellar
29th 25% 74% Gene Green
Sylvia Garcia
30th 18% 82% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 50% 48% John Carter
32nd 44% 55% Pete Sessions
Colin Allred
33rd 22% 77% Marc Veasey
34th 42% 58% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 27% 72% Lloyd Doggett
36th 71% 28% Brian Babin


Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  2. ^ Not yet released

References[edit]

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  72. ^ Ryan Sitton. "Texas has a choice to make and I #ChooseCruz because @tedcruz has Texas booming while @betoorourke will take our state backwards. WATCH and RETWEET! #KeepTexasRed #TexasDebate". Twitter.
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  76. ^ @leachfortexas (August 28, 2018). "The momentum is building!! Proud to welcome @GregAbbott_TX & @tedcruz to Collin County for our #Victory2018 Labor Day Kickoff! You won't want to miss this - get your tix today! @KenPaxtonTX @VanTaylorTX @AngelaPaxtonTX @Scott_SanfordTX @MattShaheen @candynoble #KeepTexasStrong" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  78. ^ @RepStickland (August 23, 2018). "Looks like @BetoORourke 's comments on the NFL have gone viral. What should go viral are his absolutely insane liberal positions on late term abortion, anti #2a & failed Obamacare for all. He's wrong for Texas. #txlege #CruzCrew @tedcruz" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  85. ^ @PatrickSvitek (September 19, 2018). ".@TedCruz and @DonaldJTrumpJr to do rally and fundraiser in Wichita Falls on Oct. 3, per local state rep @RepJamesFrank: www.facebook.com/repjamesfrank/posts/1811472588950466?__xts__[0]=68.ARAz0b7kTwEcjp_8QHOL4xtbZB8e8nrhxiYgXnSnpozaY3NrhmznUIxBq92Z5i7PilQO3LBTbRcKobwc75UFz-3PjGyDOE-smtY0b9Wut7Yk150wPPiCvyIWmKt2NN_RR4O8wWfSs5DWCy8S1IEh4s4YacWU-2YadgVJWEthLQ-opMfic2m5aw&__tn__=-R … #txsen #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  108. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand. "Every dollar you give before Nov. 6 goes a long way in making sure Dems can flip seats in the Senate and fight this administration's dangerous agenda. Donate what you can to help @BetoORourke, @kyrstensinema and @RosenforNevada win in tough red states". Twitter.
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  115. ^ @WendyDavis (August 26, 2018). ".⁦@BetoORourke⁩ is as authentic as it gets. Every day he's speaking to what true TX values embody-that every voice matters & that everyone merits opportunity. You've seen that viral video. Now read this excellent article. Bye-bye ⁦@tedcruz⁩" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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External links[edit]

Official campaign websites