2019 Bolivian general election

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General elections are due to be held in Bolivia on 20 October 2019.[1]

Primary elections[edit]

Primary elections were held on 27 January 2019.[2][3][1] Maria Eugenia Choque, President of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE), stated that international observers had worked with the TSE to monitor the primary election results.[2] She also stated that they had been given an "information seminar" about all the logistics, legal and communication regarding the primary and had even visited polling stations to make assessments and recommendations.[2] By the time the primary was held, however, only one candidate had been registered for each of the nine parties or alliances which will participate in the general elections.[3] Morales received 36.54% of the total primary votes.[4] Revolutionary Nationalist Movement candidate Virginio Lema was his closest challenger, receiving 7.10% of the total primary votes.[4]

Presidential candidates[edit]

On 27 January 2019, the TSE announced that nine candidates would contest the presidential elections.[5][6][4]

Party Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate
Movement for Socialism (MAS) Evo Morales Álvaro García Linera
Civic Community Carlos Mesa Gustavo Pedraza
Solidarity Civic Unity Víctor Hugo Cárdenas Humberto Peinado
Christian Democratic Party Jaime Paz Zamora Paola Barriga
Revolutionary Nationalist Movement Virginio Lema Fernando Untoja Choque
Bolivia Alliance Says No Oscar Ortiz Edwin Rodriguez
The Front For Victory Israel Rodriquez Faustino Challapa
National Action Party of Bolivia Ruth Nina Leopoldo Chui
Third System Movement Felix Patzi Lucia Mendieta

Opinion polls[edit]

  First place   Second place

2017[edit]

Polling firm Date Morales Mesa García Linera Costas Doria Medina Quiroga Revilla Patzi Burgos Chappuis Blank
Mercados y Muestras[7] January 31% 16% N/A 9% 10% 4% 2% 4% N/A 14%
Mercados y Muestras[8] March 26% 20% N/A 8% 12% 4% 2% 3% N/A 12%
Mercados y Muestras[9] May 29% 21% N/A 5% 7% 2% N/A 2% 4% 13%
Captura Consulting[10] September/October 37% 20% N/A 10% 5% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A 24% 17% 13% 7% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A

2018 & 2019[edit]

Polling firm Date Morales Mesa García Linera Doria Medina Albarracín Revilla Quiroga Patzi Others Blank NS/NC
Mercados y Muestras[11] January 2018 22% N/A 15% 13% N/A 7% 5% 4% N/A N/A 10%
Mercados y Muestras[12] March/April 2018 24% N/A 14% 8% 10% 5% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A
Captura Consulting[13] March 2018 27% 18% 9% 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% N/A N/A N/A
Captura Consulting[14] May 2018 27% 23% 11% 7% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
Mercados y Muestras[15] July 2018 27% 25% 8% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% N/A N/A 6%
IPSOS[16] August 2018 29% 27% 7% 9% N/A 3% N/A N/A 8% N/A 5%
IPSOS[17] October 2018 39% 25% 6% 4% N/A N/A 3% N/A 7% N/A 16%
Mercados y Muestras[18] November 2018 29% 34% N/A 10% N/A N/A N/A N/A 7% 20% N/A
Mercados y Muestras[19] December 2018 30% 39% 4% 2% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 20% N/A
Mercados y Muestras[20] January 2019 32% 32% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 25% N/A
Mercados y Muestras[21] February 2019 31% 30% 6.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16.7%
Tal Cual[22] March 2019 35.6% 30.3% 7.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16.7%
Estudios y Tendencias[23] April 2019 26.4% 21.1% 5.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16.7%

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Tribunal Electoral de Bolivia confirma la fecha para elecciones primarias Sputnik, 14 September 2018
  2. ^ a b c https://www.plenglish.com/index.php?o=rn&id=38099&SEO=bolivian-elections-raise-international-expectations
  3. ^ a b https://www.eluniverso.com/noticias/2019/01/27/nota/7160858/evo-morales-aspira-su-cuarto-mandato-elecciones-primarias-bolivia
  4. ^ a b c https://twitter.com/MonicaAparicioA/status/1089734216806551553
  5. ^ [1] 27 January 2019
  6. ^ Mesa va con un cruceño, Samuel se baja y Costas perfila a gente joven El Deber, 28 November 2018
  7. ^ "Encuesta: Evo no supera el 30% de apoyo y arriesga un balotaje con Mesa - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  8. ^ "Encuesta: Evo no supera el 30% de apoyo y arriesga un balotaje con Mesa - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  9. ^ "Encuesta: Evo no supera el 30% de apoyo y arriesga un balotaje con Mesa - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  10. ^ "Encuesta: Evo tiene una intención de voto del 37%". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  11. ^ "Encuesta: Morales baja al 22% en la intención de voto - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  12. ^ "Emerge el nombre de Albarracín como alternativa, él dice gracias". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  13. ^ "Nueva intención de voto es liderada por Evo con un 27,9%". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  14. ^ Reynolds, Cesar Aguilar. "Encuesta de Captura Consulting demuestra que Evo Morales,es el candidato con mayor preferencia en Bolivia". kandire.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  15. ^ "Intención de voto coloca a Morales con un 27% y a Carlos Mesa con 25% - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  16. ^ "Intención de voto favorece a Carlos Mesa en cinco ciudades de Bolivia". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  17. ^ "Encuesta de Ipsos le da 14 puntos de ventaja a Evo sobre Mesa". EL DEBER (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  18. ^ De 2018, 4 De Diciembre. "El ex presidente boliviano Carlos Mesa aventaja a Evo Morales en una encuesta preelectoral". Infobae (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  19. ^ "En 2 meses, la preferencia de Mesa sube, baja y empata con Morales - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  20. ^ "En 2 meses, la preferencia de Mesa sube, baja y empata con Morales - Diario Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-05.
  21. ^ "Evo y Mesa empatan; Ortiz despega en intención de voto - Pagina Siete". www.paginasiete.bo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-04-16.
  22. ^ "Evo, Mesa y Ortíz pelean el primer lugar en Santa Cruz, según encuesta de Tal Cual - Diario Eju". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-04-01.
  23. ^ "Si las elecciones fueran hoy ¿Por quien votaría? - HoyBolivia". hoybolivia.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-04-07.