2019 European Parliament election in Germany

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search

European Parliament election in Germany, 2019

← 2014 26 May 2019 2024 →

All 96 German seats to the European Parliament
  First party Second party Third party
 
Party CDU/CSU SPD Green
Alliance EPP PES Green
Last election 34 seats, 35.3% 27 seats, 27.3% 11 seats, 10.7%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Party Left AfD FDP
Alliance Left EFDD ALDE
Last election 7 seats, 7.4% 7 seats, 7.1% 3 seats, 3.4%

The 2019 European Parliament election in Germany will be held on 26 May 2019, electing members of the national Germany constituency to the European Parliament.

Background[edit]

This will be the first election to be held nationally since the 2017 federal election, in which Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition between the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats declined heavily in popularity, with the eurosceptic right-wing Alternative for Germany making significant gains and coming third. In 2018, the left leaning Greens and the AfD made large gains in regional elections in Bavaria and Hesse, whilst the traditional centre-left Social Democratic Party sustained heavy losses.

Electoral threshold[edit]

Since the 2014 European Parliament election, Germany does not have a formal threshold of the vote share required in order for a party to win an EP seat. This has allowed a number of smaller parties to gain representation, since they only have to reach about 0.5% of the vote share needed to get their first seat with the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.

Although the European Council had recommended that countries with greater than 35 MEPs should introduce a threshold between 2–5%, the German government abandoned its plans for a 2% threshold in November 2018.[1]

Opinion polls[edit]

Federal level[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Union SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2019 1,282 32 18 19 6 10 7 8 13
Infratest dimap 1–3 Apr 2019 1,503 30 17 19 7 11 7 9 11
INSA 28 Mar–1 Apr 2019 4,000 29 16 16 8 12 8 11 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Mar 2019 1,325 33 18 18 6 10 7 8 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Mar 2019 1,290 35 18 18 6 9 7 7 17
Infratest dimap 11–13 Mar 2019 1,508 32 19 18 7 11 6 7 13
INSA 27 Feb–1 Mar 2019 4,000 29 16 15 9 12 9.5 9.5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Feb 2019 1,226 33 18 19 8 10 6 6 14
Infratest dimap 11–13 Feb 2019 1,503 33 18 19 6 10 7 7 14
INSA 25–28 Jan 2019 2,056 30 15 17 8 12 8 10 13
Forsa 9–11 Jan 2019 1,505 35 15 20 6 10 8 6 15
INSA 8–10 Dec 2018 2,047 30 16.5 17.5 9.5 14.5 9 3 12.5
INSA 19–22 Oct 2018 1,260 27 16 20 10 16 8 3 11
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 32.9 20.5 8.9 9.2 12.6 10.7 5.0 12.4
2014 European election 25 May 2014 35.4 27.3 10.7 7.4 7.1 3.4 8.9 8.1

By state[edit]

Bavaria[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD Grüne AfD FW FDP Linke Others Lead
GMS 28 Mar–3 Apr 2019 1,000 39 11 18 13 5 6 3 5 21
Infratest dimap 14–18 Mar 2019 1,001 41 12 19 10 5 5 3 5 22
GMS 21–27 Feb 2019 1,006 36 11 17 14 5 7 4 6 19
GMS 27 Dec–2 Jan 2019 1,003 36 10 18 13 5 8 4 6 18
2018 state election 14 Oct 2018 37.2 9.7 17.6 10.2 11.6 5.1 3.2 5.4 19.6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 38.8 15.3 9.8 12.4 2.7 10.2 6.1 4.8 23.5
2014 European election 25 May 2014 40.5 20.1 12.1 8.1 4.3 3.1 2.9 9.0 20.4

References[edit]

  1. ^ Christian Kerl. "Europawahl 2019: Große Koalition begräbt Pläne für Sperrklausel". Retrieved 19 January 2019.