2019 Finnish parliamentary election

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2019 Finnish parliamentary election

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All 200 seats in Parliament
101 seats needed for a majority
Turnout68.7% (Turnout)[1]
72.0% (In Finland)[2]
  First party Second party Third party
  Antti Rinne Jussi Halla-aho Petteri Orpo
Leader Antti Rinne Jussi Halla-aho Petteri Orpo[3]
Party Social Democratic Finns National Coalition
Leader since 9 May 2014 10 June 2017 11 June 2016
Last election 34 seats, 16.5% 38 seats, 17.7% 37 seats, 18.2%
Seats won 40 39 38
Seat change Increase 6 Increase 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 546,471 538,805 523,957
Percentage 17.73% 17.48% 17.00%
Swing Increase 1.23pp Decrease 0.22pp Decrease 1.20pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Juha Sipilä Pekka Haavisto Li Andersson
Leader Juha Sipilä Pekka Haavisto Li Andersson[4]
Party Centre Green League Left Alliance
Leader since 9 June 2012 3 November 2018 6 June 2016
Last election 49 seats, 21.1% 15 seats, 8.5% 12 seats, 7.1%
Seats won 31 20 16
Seat change Decrease 18 Increase 5 Increase 4
Popular vote 423,920 354,194 251,808
Percentage 13.76% 11.49% 8.17%
Swing Decrease 7.34pp Increase 2.99pp Increase 1.07pp

  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
  Anna-Maja Henriksson Sari Essayah Harry Harkimo
Leader Anna-Maja Henriksson[5] Sari Essayah[6] Harry Harkimo
Party Swedish People's & Åland Coalition[a] Christian Democrat Movement Now
Leader since 12 June 2016 29 August 2015 21 April 2018
Last election 10 seats,[b] 5.3%[c] 5 seats, 3.5%
Seats won 10[b] 5 1
Seat change Steady 0 Steady 0 New
Popular vote 151,278[d] 120,144 69,427
Percentage 4.93%[e] 3.90% 2.25%
Swing Decrease 0.37pp Increase 0.40pp New

Prime Minister before election

Juha Sipilä
Centre

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in Finland on 14 April 2019.[7]

Background[edit]

The incumbent government was formed by a three party center-right coalition, composed of the Centre Party, Finns Party and National Coalition Party.[8] On 28 May 2015, the parliament elected Juha Sipilä as prime minister by a vote of 128–62.[9]

2017 government crisis[edit]

On 10 June 2017, the Finns Party elected Jussi Halla-aho as the new leader of the party, after the long-time leader Timo Soini had decided to step down. Following the talks among the three coalition leaders, Sipilä and Minister of Finance Petteri Orpo announced that they would no longer cooperate in a coalition government with the Finns Party. The collapse of government was averted on 13 June when twenty MPs defected from the Finns Party's parliamentary group, forming what would eventually become the Blue Reform party. One MP (Kike Elomaa) later returned to the Finns Party and another (Kaj Turunen) defected to National Coalition Party, leaving the Blue Reform with 18 and Finns Party with 17 MPs. Veera Ruoho furthermore defected to the National Coalition. Sipilä's government retained a majority in the Parliament as the Blue Reform continued as a member of the coalition and the Finns Party was moved to the opposition.[10]

On 8 March 2019, prime minister Sipilä resigned. However, that same day president Sauli Niinistö reappointed him as head of a caretaker government. According to Sipilä, his government collapsed because of the failure to reach agreement on the controversial health care reform. But several Finnish political analysts (Thomas Karv, Teivo Teivainen) interpreted his resignation as a strategic move that could give the coalition parties, Sipilä's Centre Party in particular, more freedom during the election campaign. Thus, the Centre Party might be able to revive itself in the polls, in which the party was lagging behind the Social Democrats. [11]

Campaign[edit]

After the Oulu child sexual exploitation scandal, support for the anti-immigration Finns Party surged from 8% in late 2018 to 17.5% by the election.

The Social Democrats proposed raising taxes to fund the country's generous welfare system.[12]

The election saw "an unusual level of aggression on the campaign trail"[13] considering "attacks on politicians are rare in Finland"[14]. In late March, a man struck Left Alliance candidate Suldaan Said Ahmed in the chest while calling him an infidel and pedophile[15] a day after a man wearing logos of far-right anti-immigrant group Soldiers of Odin attempted to attack Foreign Minister Timo Soini of the Blue Party.[14]

Electoral system[edit]

The 200 members of the Eduskunta were elected using proportional representation in 13 multi-member constituencies, with seats allocated according to the d'Hondt method. The number of elected representatives is proportional to the population in the district six months prior to the elections. Åland has single member electoral district and its own party system.[16] Compared to the last election in 2015, one seat has been reallocated from Savonia-Karelia to Uusimaa.

Electoral district Seats File:Suomen vaalipiirit 2013.png
01 Helsinki 22
02 Uusimaa 36
03 Finland Proper 17
04 Satakunta 8
05 Åland 1
06 Tavastia 14
07 Pirkanmaa 19
08 South-East Finland 17
09 Savonia-Karelia 15
10 Vaasa 16
11 Central Finland 10
12 Oulu 18
13 Lapland 7

Opinion polls[edit]

5 poll average of finnish opinion polls from April 2015 to the election 2019. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Results[edit]

The Centre Party lost the most seats, with the Social Democratic Party, Green League, and the Left Alliance recording the largest gains.

The Finns Party, Movement Now and the National Coalition Party also gained one seat each since the last election. However, twenty members of the Finns Party had defected during the 2017 Finnish government crisis, so technically they had a net gain of twenty-one MP's since the split.

The Swedish People's Party and the Christian Democrats retained all of their seats, that they had won in the previous election and the Åland Coalition retained their seat in Åland Islands.

The Centre Party received its lowest vote share since the 1917 Finnish parliamentary election.

Due to the devastating defeat, Juha Sipilä consequently announced that he would continue as the chairman only until Centre Party's next convention in September 2019.[17]

Suomen Eduskunta 2019.svg
Party Votes % Seats +/–
Social Democratic Party 546,471 17.73 40 +6
Finns Party 538,805 17.48 39 +1
National Coalition Party 523,957 17.00 38 +1
Centre Party 423,920 13.76 31 –18
Green League 354,194 11.49 20 +5
Left Alliance 251,808 8.17 16 +4
Swedish People's Party 139,640 4.53 9 0
Christian Democrats 120,144 3.90 5 0
Movement Now 69,427 2.25 1 New
Blue Reform 29,943 0.97 0 New
Pirate Party 19,032 0.62 0 0
Åland Coalition 11,640 0.38 1 0
Seven Star Movement 11,366 0.37 0 New
Citizens' Party 7,645 0.25 0 New
Feminist Party 6,662 0.22 0 New
Liberal Party – Freedom to Choose 5,014 0.16 0 New
Communist Party 4,305 0.14 0 0
Animal Justice Party 3,378 0.11 0 New
Independence Party 2,444 0.08 0 0
Finnish People First 2,366 0.08 0 New
Communist Workers' Party – For Peace and Socialism 1,240 0.04 0 0
Aito suomalainen yhteislista 589 0.02 0 New
Reform List 525 0.02 0 New
Alternative for Åland 358 0.01 0
Rehtiliike yhteislista 344 0.01 0 New
Yhteislista Jaana ja Leo 87 0.00 0 New
Independents 6,612 0.21 0
Total 3,081,916 100 200 0
Valid votes 3,081,916 99.42
Invalid/blank votes 17,844 0.58
Total votes cast 3,099,760 100
Registered voters/turnout 4,255,466 72.79
Source: Vaalit

Government formation[edit]

During election debates, the Social Democrats, the National Coalition Party, Green League, Left Alliance, and the Swedish People's Party stated that they were interested in joining a coalition that does not include the Finns Party.[18] Despite being ruled-out by five parties, Finns Party chairman, Jussi Halla-aho said that all parties should show responsibility when forming a coalition. He said the most responsible way to form a coalition, is to include the Finns Party.[18]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Sits in parliament with the Swedish People's, but ran separately, their party leader is Mats Löfström.
  2. ^ a b 9 seats won by Swedish People's and 1 seat won by Åland Coalition
  3. ^ 4.9 for Swedish People's and 0.4 for Åland Coalition.
  4. ^ 139,640 voted for Swedish People's and 11,638 voted for Åland Coalition.
  5. ^ 4.53 for Swedish People's and 0.4 for Åland Coalition.

References[edit]

  1. ^ [1]
  2. ^ [2]
  3. ^ "Nyt se ratkesi – Stubb sivuun, Petteri Orpo on kokoomuksen uusi puheenjohtaja". Ilta-sanomat. 11 June 2016. Retrieved 11 June 2016.
  4. ^ "Li Andersson kruunattiin virallisesti puheenjohtajaksi". Iltalehti. 2016-06-11. Retrieved 2016-06-11.
  5. ^ "Anna-Maja Henriksson valittiin Rkp:n puheenjohtajaksi – "Me teimme sen. Me rikoimme lasikaton!"". Helsingin sanomat. 12 June 2016. Retrieved 12 June 2016.
  6. ^ "Kristillisdemokraattien uusi puheenjohtaja on Sari Essayah – haluaa malliksi Saksan sisarpuolue CDU:n". Helsingin Sanomat. 28 August 2015. Retrieved 29 August 2015.
  7. ^ Upcoming Elections 2015-2030, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
  8. ^ Sipilä opts for right-leaning government, YLE News 7 May 2015, accessed 3 June 2015.
  9. ^ "Juha Sipilä valittiin äänin 128-62 pääministeriksi". Verkkouutiset. 2016-05-28. Retrieved 2016-03-03.
  10. ^ "Hallituskriisi raukesi perussuomalaisten jakautumiseen: monivaiheinen politiikan superpäivä kerrattuna". Yle News. 13 June 2017. Retrieved 28 June 2017.
  11. ^ "Finland's Juha Sipilä Hopes to Turn Crisis into Election Reboot". Politico Europe. 10 March 2019. Retrieved 12 March 2019.
  12. ^ https://news.yahoo.com/finlands-top-candidate-prime-minister-says-wants-raise-075456854--business.html
  13. ^ "Scuffles, suspected assault at Helsinki election event". Yleisradio Oy. April 13, 2019. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  14. ^ a b "Attempted street attack on Foreign Minister Timo Soini". Yleisradio Oy. March 24, 2019. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  15. ^ "Police probe attack on foreign-background election candidate in Helsinki". Yleisradio Oy. March 25, 2019. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  16. ^ Electoral Districts, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
  17. ^ "Juha Sipilä jättää puheenjohtajan tehtävät, ei halua tulla tänään median eteen – Katso, miten puoluesihteeri kommentoi Sipilän eroa" (in Finnish). Yle. 16 April 2019. Retrieved 16 April 2019.
  18. ^ a b "Five party leaders reject idea of forming ruling coalition with Finns Party". helsinkitimes.fi. 2019.