2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election

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2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election

← 2015 November 5, 2019 2023 →
  Tate Reeves.jpg Jim Hood 2007 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Tate Reeves Jim Hood
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Phil Bryant
Republican



The 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election will take place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next Governor of Mississippi. Primary elections occurred on August 6, 2019. Runoff elections were held on August 27, 2019.[1] Incumbent Governor Phil Bryant is ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent Attorney General Jim Hood, the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi, and the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves after a runoff.

Situated in the Deep South, Mississippi is one of the most Republican states in the country. No Democrat has been elected governor since Ronnie Musgrove in 1999. However, the state's Democratic Attorney General Jim Hood, who has held his office since 2004 and has yet to lose a statewide election, has put the Republican's winning streak of four elections in a row to the test, and the race has become competitive.

Background[edit]

Uniquely among the states, the Constitution of Mississippi establishes a sort of Electoral College at the state level, for the election of Governor. Article 5, Section 140 of the state constitution states that each state legislative district is assigned an electoral vote, and that a candidate running for governor must receive a majority of electoral votes (essentially, they must win a majority of state legislative districts) in addition to winning a majority of the popular vote in order to be elected governor.[2] Article 5, Section 141 of the state constitution states that if no candidate wins both a popular and electoral vote majority, the state House of Representatives is assigned to decide the winner, choosing from the two highest popular vote winners.[3] This provision came into play only one time in the state's history; Democratic candidate Ronnie Musgrove in the 1999 gubernatorial election garnered a plurality, but not a majority; the House selected Musgrove.[4]

In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased.[5] These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist Redeemers and overturning the Reconstruction-era 1868 Constitution, as part of Jim Crow Era policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics.[5] Because of this, as well as present gerrymandering that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.[4]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in runoff[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Tate Reeves
U.S. Governors
Federal Officials
U.S. Mayors
State Legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Bill Waller Jr.
State legislators
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Robert
Foster
Tate
Reeves
Bill
Waller Jr.
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 24–27, 2019 500 ± 4.5% 13% 41% 31% 15%
Impact Management Group June 10–14, 2019 354 ± 5.3% 9% 50% 19% 28%
Mason-Dixon January 30 – February 1, 2019 400 ± 5.0% 9% 62% 29%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Lynn
Fitch
Tate
Reeves
Undecided
JMC Analytics February 15–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 12% 21% 67%
Mason-Dixon December 13–15, 2017 400 ± 5.0% 18% 37% 45%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tate Reeves 187,312 48.9
Republican Bill Waller Jr. 128,010 33.4
Republican Robert Foster 67,758 17.7
Total votes 383,080 100.0

Runoff[edit]

Republican primary runoff results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tate Reeves 179,623 54.1
Republican Bill Waller Jr. 152,201 45.9
Total votes 331,824 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Michael Brown[41]
  • William Bond Compton Jr., candidate for Governor in 2007 and 2011 and U.S. Senate in 2014, and nominee for State House District 83 in 2015[41]
  • Robert J. Ray[41]
  • Robert Shuler Smith, Hinds County District Attorney[42]
  • Gregory Wash[41]
  • Velesha Williams, former director for the Metro Jackson Community Prevention Coalition and former U.S. Army officer[43][9]
  • Albert Wilson, businessman and community organizer[44]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Phillip West, former state representative and former mayor of Natchez (endorsed Jim Hood)[45]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jim Hood
U.S. Governors
Local and statewide officials

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jim
Hood
Robert
Shuler Smith
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns January 29, 2018 2,145 ± 1.8% 36% 34% 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jim
Hood
Chokwe Antar
Lumumba
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns January 29, 2018 2,145 ± 1.8% 49% 27% 23%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Hood 208,634 69.0
Democratic Michael Brown 33,247 11.0
Democratic Velesha Williams 20,844 6.9
Democratic Robert Shuler Smith 20,395 6.7
Democratic Robert Ray 5,609 1.8
Democratic William Bond Compton Jr. 5,321 1.8
Democratic Albert Wilson 5,122 1.7
Democratic Gregory Wash 3,218 1.1
Total votes 302,390 100.0

Constitution Party[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Bob Hickingbottom[48]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • David Singletary, U.S. Air Force veteran and former hotel owner[49]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[50] Lean R October 15, 2019
Inside Elections[51] Lean R July 19, 2019
Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] Lean R October 12, 2019

Debates[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Tate Reeves (R)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Mayors
State Legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Jim Hood (D)
Politicians
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tate
Reeves (R)
Jim
Hood (D)
David
Singletary (I)
Undecided
Hickman Analytics (D)[A] September 22–26, 2019 500 ± 4.0% 42% 45%
Hickman Analytics (D)[A] August 11–15, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 42% 43%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 2–16, 2019 1,171 ± 4.2% 51% 42% 6%
Impact Management Group June 10–14, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 48% 36% 4% 12%
Hickman Analytics (D)[A] May 5–9, 2019 604 ± 4.0% 40% 45%
Mason-Dixon January 30 – February 1, 2019 625 ± 4.0% 42% 44% 14%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[B] January 28–30, 2019 600 ± 3.5% 51% 36% 13%
Mason-Dixon April 12–14, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 39% 44% 17%
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College December 15–19, 2017 578 ± 4.1% 45% 38% 18%
Mason-Dixon December 13–15, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 37% 43% 20%
Hypothetical polling
with Tate Reeves, Jim Hood, and Bill Waller Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tate
Reeves (R)
Jim
Hood (D)
Bill
Waller Jr. (I)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 30 – February 1, 2019 625 ± 4.0% 38% 40% 9% 13%
with Bill Waller Jr. and Jim Hood
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Waller Jr. (R)
Jim
Hood (D)
David
Singletary (I)
Undecided
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 2–16, 2019 1,171 ± 4.2% 53% 41% 6%
Impact Management Group June 10–14, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 43% 36% 4% 17%

Results[edit]

Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2019
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Tate Reeves
Democratic Jim Hood
Constitution Bob Hickingbottom
Independent David Singletary
Total votes

Notes[edit]

Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Jim Hood campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by the Tate Reeves campaign

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Mississippi Voter Information Guide" (PDF). State of Mississippi - Secretary of State.
  2. ^ MS Const. art. V, § 140
  3. ^ MS Const. art. V, § 141.
  4. ^ a b Wilson, Reid (9 June 2019). "Legal fight over Jim Crow-era law upends Mississippi governor race". The Hill. Retrieved 2 October 2019.
  5. ^ a b "Black Voters Sue Over Mississippi's Jim Crow-Era Election Law". NPR. 24 September 2019. Retrieved 2 October 2019.
  6. ^ "Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves announces he is running for governor". WTVA News.
  7. ^ Press, The Associated (4 January 2019). "GOP's Reeves officially running for Mississippi governor". WAPT.
  8. ^ "Hood, Reeves could headline 2019 governor's race". Mississippi Business Journal. Associated Press. June 26, 2016. Retrieved December 5, 2016.
  9. ^ a b c d e f Pender, Geoff; Ramseth, Luke (December 6, 2018). "List: Who's running for governor, AG and other open seats in Mississippi". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 8, 2018.
  10. ^ "Former chief justice Waller to run for Mississippi governor". WREG. Associated Press. February 14, 2019. Retrieved February 14, 2019.
  11. ^ Pittman, Ashton. "Hard-right Conservative 'Farmer Bob' to Announce Run for Governor". www.jacksonfreepress.com. Retrieved 2018-12-11.
  12. ^ "GOP rep set to enter 2019 race for Mississippi governor". thestate. Retrieved 2018-12-11.
  13. ^ "Marx withdraws from 2019 governor's race". www.hubcityspokes.com.
  14. ^ Beveridge, Lici (May 3, 2018). "Republican Petal Mayor Hal Marx will run for governor in 2019". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  15. ^ Pender, Geoff; Ramseth, Luke; Bologna, Giacomo (28 January 2019). "UPDATED: Who's running for governor, AG and other open seats in Mississippi". Clarion Ledger. Retrieved 12 February 2019.
  16. ^ "Lynn Fitch to run for attorney general". The Clarion Ledger.
  17. ^ Pender, Geoff. "2019 Right Around Corner on Political Calendars". Retrieved April 13, 2017.
  18. ^ "Trent Lott for governor, 2019?". Clarionledger.com. Retrieved 2017-02-23.
  19. ^ "Trent Lott not ruling out gubernatorial bid". TheHill.com. Retrieved 2017-02-23.
  20. ^ Ramseth, Luke (February 28, 2019). "Chris McDaniel announces decision on run for governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2019.
  21. ^ Crawford, Bill. "Waller, Randolph rumored as potential Reeves challengers". Retrieved September 15, 2017.
  22. ^ Pender, Geoff (March 1, 2019). "Attorney General race gets surprise, high-profile GOP candidate on qualifying deadline". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  23. ^ https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/20/former-governor-haley-barbour-among-those-supporting-tate-reeves-gop-gubernatorial-runoff/
  24. ^ "Bryant endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". WJTV. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  25. ^ Reeves wins GOP nomination for governor
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "LOCAL MAYORS ENDORSE LT. GOV. TATE REEVES FOR GOVERNOR". WXXV25. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  27. ^ Bologna, Giacomo (August 15, 2019). "Once enemies, now allies: Chris McDaniel endorses Tate Reeves for Mississippi governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved August 27, 2019.
  28. ^ Carter, Josh (August 5, 2019). "Mississippi native Brett Favre endorses Tate Reeves for governor". WLBT. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  29. ^ Jake Mangum. "@tatereeves for Mississippi Governor!". Twitter.
  30. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 3, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Manufacturers Association". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  31. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 13, 2019). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  32. ^ "NRA Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor of Mississippi". NRA ILA. July 9, 2019. Retrieved July 13, 2019.
  33. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (July 22, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Right to Life PAC". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  34. ^ "Robert Foster endorses Bill Waller ahead of Mississippi governor primary runoff". Clairon-Ledger. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  35. ^ "Gubernatorial hopefuls Reeves and Waller reveal newest endorsements". WXXV25. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
  36. ^ a b c d "'I think he's more electable than Tate': Four past GOP chairmen throw support to Waller over Reeves". Mississippi Today. Retrieved July 22, 2019.
  37. ^ "2019 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
  38. ^ "2019 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
  39. ^ "Amid Positive Polls, Jim Hood to Announce Run for Mississippi Governor". Retrieved 2018-10-03.
  40. ^ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/06/us/elections/results-mississippi-primary-election.html
  41. ^ a b c d "Mississippi election 2019: Who's running for governor, other state offices". The Clarion Ledger.
  42. ^ "Embattled DA Robert Shuler Smith running for governor". Hattiesburg American. February 23, 2019. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
  43. ^ Pittman, Ashton (December 3, 2018). "Jackson Woman Joins Dem Race for Governor; State Rep Exploring GOP Race". Jackson Free Press. Retrieved December 4, 2018.
  44. ^ Huffman, Sam (11 January 2019). "Albert Wilson announces campaign for governor". WJTV.
  45. ^ "Democrat leaves Mississippi governor's race". WTOK. Associated Press. May 31, 2019. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  46. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (December 3, 2018). "Is the Democratic mayor of Magnolia considering a challenge of Jim Hood in Governor's race?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 4, 2018.
  47. ^ "2019 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
  48. ^ MBJ, For the (7 April 2019). "BILL CRAWFORD — Can lesser knowns keep favored candidates from saving us?".
  49. ^ Ramseth, Luke (May 2, 2019). "He sings karaoke and wears a marijuana suit. He wants to be the next Mississippi governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  50. ^ "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report.
  51. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
  52. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
  53. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Mississippi, there is a VERY important election for Governor on November 5th. I need you to Get Out and Vote for our Great Republican nominee, @TateReeves. Tate is strong on Crime, tough on Illegal Immigration, and will protect your Second Amendment..." Twitter.
  54. ^ Donald J. Trump. "....He loves our Military and supports our Vets! Democrat Jim Hood will never give us his vote, is anti-Trump and pro-Crooked Hillary. Get Out and Vote for Tate Reeves on November 5th. He has my Complete & Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  55. ^ https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/20/former-governor-haley-barbour-among-those-supporting-tate-reeves-gop-gubernatorial-runoff/
  56. ^ "Bryant endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". WJTV. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  57. ^ Reeves wins GOP nomination for governor
  58. ^ https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/09/17/jeb-bush-headed-mississippi-pricey-tate-reeves-fundraiser/2351735001/
  59. ^ https://twitter.com/tatereeves/status/1164634977264427011
  60. ^ Bologna, Giacomo (August 15, 2019). "Once enemies, now allies: Chris McDaniel endorses Tate Reeves for Mississippi governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved August 27, 2019.
  61. ^ Carter, Josh (August 5, 2019). "Mississippi native Brett Favre endorses Tate Reeves for governor". WLBT. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  62. ^ Jake Mangum. "@tatereeves for Mississippi Governor!". Twitter.
  63. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 3, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Manufacturers Association". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  64. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 13, 2019). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  65. ^ "NRA Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor of Mississippi". NRA ILA. July 9, 2019. Retrieved July 13, 2019.
  66. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (July 22, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Right to Life PAC". Yall Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  67. ^ https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/sep/2/stacey-abrams-passes-on-2020-run-turns-focus-to-vo/
  68. ^ https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_cedde14c-8929-11e9-960d-df53ad20043e.html
  69. ^ https://www.djournal.com/opinion/jason-shelton-mayor-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/article_7fa5a099-1117-530e-8a60-00d28cba324c.html
  70. ^ https://democraticgovernors.org/mississippi/dga-statement-on-jim-hoods-primary-victory-in-mississippi/
  71. ^ https://yallpolitics.com/2019/09/24/mississippi-association-of-educators-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites