2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election

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2020 Conservative leadership election

← 2017 July – August 2020
Opinion polls
Turnout65.01%
  Erin O'Toole (cropped).png Peter MacKay crop (cropped).JPG
Candidate Erin O'Toole Peter MacKay
Riding Durham N/A[a]
Third round points 19,271.74
(57.02%)
14,528.26
(42.98%)
Second round points 11,903.69
(35.22%)
11,756.01
(34.78%)
First round points 10,681.40
(31.60%)
11,328.55
(33.52%)

  LeslynLewis-HEADSHOT1-lg.jpg Derek Sloan Image.jpg
Candidate Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Riding N/A[b] Hastings—Lennox and Addington
Third round points Eliminated Eliminated
Second round points 10,140.30
(30.00%)
Eliminated
First round points 6,925.38
(20.49%)
4,864.67
(14.39%)

CPCLeadership2020Riding.png
First round winner by riding for the 2020 Conservative Leadership Election.
2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election final round results map.png

Previous leader

Andrew Scheer

Elected leader

Erin O'Toole

2020 Conservative leadership election
Date23 August 2020
ConventionShaw Centre, Ottawa[1]
Resigning leaderAndrew Scheer
Won byErin O'Toole
Ballots175,192
Candidates4
Entrance Fee$300,000 (of which $100,000 is a refundable compliance deposit)[2]
Progressive Conservative leadership elections
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Conservative leadership elections
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The 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election was a leadership election held to elect a successor to Andrew Scheer, who in December 2019 announced his pending resignation as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.[3] The election was conducted by postal ballot from mid-July to August 21, 2020,[4] with the ballots processed and results announced on August 23–24, 2020.[5] The $300,000 entrance fee made it the most expensive leadership race in the history of Canadian politics.[6]

Four main candidates were running for the position, including longtime member of parliament and former veterans affairs minister Erin O'Toole, founder of the Conservative Party Peter Mackay, Toronto lawyer Leslyn Lewis and member of parliament Derek Sloan.

The election was originally scheduled for June 27, 2020, but on March 26, the party suspended the race due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis in Canada.[7] Party officials said they would revisit their decision on May 1.[7] On April 29, it was announced that the race would proceed by postal ballot with the election itself being rescheduled from June to August. To be counted, ballots needed to be completed and received by 21 August 2020 at 5:00pm EDT.[8][4] The leadership election results were expected to be announced on 23 August,[9] but the first round results were not announced until the early morning on 24 August, due to machine malfunctions causing significant delays. MacKay led the first ballot with 33.52% by a narrow margin of around 2%. O'Toole subsequently led on the second ballot and won on the third ballot, becoming the new leader of the Conservative Party. Many considered O'Toole's win as an upset victory.[10]

Campaign[edit]

Background[edit]

On 21 October 2019, the 2019 Canadian federal election was held. The Conservatives remained in opposition against a minority Liberal government. Under the Conservative Party's constitution, an election loss results in a leadership review at the next party convention. The following day, Scheer announced his intention to remain leader of the party.[11]

As early as 23 October, there were reports that party members were already privately voicing dissatisfaction with Scheer's leadership, and suggestions that he could face a leadership challenge at the next party convention in April.[12] By the end of the month, Conservative figures were making their criticism public, and an online petition was launched that called for Scheer to resign.[13] Former MP and cabinet minister Peter MacKay described the election as "like having a breakaway on an open net and missing the net"; he attributed the loss to Scheer's socially conservative views, which he said "hung around [his] neck like a stinking albatross" and distracted from other policies and issues. MacKay's comments additionally fuelled speculation that he was vying for the leadership.[14]

On 6 November, Scheer met with the Conservative caucus for the first time since the election, where they discussed the federal election and why the party failed to win. Scheer attributed the loss not to policy, but poor communication. During the meeting, the caucus voted against adopting the provisions of the Reform Act; as adopting them would have allowed the caucus to begin the process of ousting Scheer, his leadership was seen as safe until the April convention.[15] However, criticism did not abate; a report in the Toronto Star cited calls for Scheer's resignation from within the business community, energy sector and several high-profile party insiders.[16]

On 12 December, Scheer announced that he was stepping down as leader, pending the election of his successor. He also said he would stay on as MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle "for the near future".[17] The leadership convention was scheduled for 27 June 2020.[18]

Impact of the coronavirus pandemic[edit]

The on-going COVID-19 pandemic affected the timing of the leadership election. On 12 March, Peter MacKay, Erin O'Toole, Rick Peterson and Leslyn Lewis suspended all public campaign events, while Marilyn Gladu "assess[ed] events and activities on a daily and event-by-event basis", due to public health guidelines.[19] The next day, 13 March, Gladu, Rudy Husny and Rick Peterson called for either the race to be postponed or for entry deadlines to be pushed back.[20] On 19 March, Husny dropped out, citing an unwillingness to fundraise during a public health emergency.[21] Peterson followed on 20 March, criticizing the organizing committee's unwillingness to move the deadlines as unfair.[22]

On 26 March, the Leadership Election Organizing Committee (LEOC) postponed the race, as well as cancelling debates planned for April and pushing back the membership deadline to 15 May. The LEOC did not set a new date, and said they would revisit the decision on 1 May.[7] On 29 April, the LEOC announced the resumption of the contest, with the vote taking place entirely by mail-in ballot and without a convention. The ballot must be completed and received by 21 August.[4] No definitive date was set for when the results would be announced, but the LEOC clarified that the results would be announced "as soon as those ballots can be properly processed and examined by scrutineers while respecting any health guidelines in place at that time."[23]

Allegations of hacking[edit]

On 19 June, Erin O'Toole accused MacKay's campaign of theft of confidential campaign data and strategy including Zoom conference videos after discovering that their "systems were hacked earlier this week".[24] Later that day, O'Toole filed a formal complaint and requested that the RCMP, OPP, and Toronto Police Service investigate Peter MacKay's campaign and his senior campaign staff member Jamie Lall.[25]

On 20 June, MacKay's campaign dismissed the allegations and called them a "desperate, last ditch strategy" and "mildly amusing."[26] Lall publicly denied the allegations in a post on his personal Twitter account.[27]

On 22 June, the National Post reported that the O'Toole campaign received a confession letter from MP staff member implicating Lall and describing him as a "senior regional adviser to the Peter MacKay campaign."[28] Later in the day, the RCMP released a statement saying they have begun an investigation into O'Toole's allegations against the MacKay campaign, while Lall stated that he is "aggressively pursuing" legal action against the O'Toole campaign.[29] MacKay spokesperson Chisholm Pothier told CBC News Tuesday that the O'Toole team sent its confidential passwords and logins to more than 300 MPs and their political staff members — something Pothier said was done "negligently and with no reasonable expectation of privacy."[30] In response, O'Toole campaign manager Fred DeLorey tweeted, "this is a willful attempt at deception. There is a big diff between sending invitees a code for specific meetings and someone breaking into the private admin and stealing all of the files. The former is standard operations, the latter is a crime. That is what is being investigated."[31]

On 24 June, an ex-staff member to MP Greg McLean admitted to trying to leak Erin O'Toole's confidential video records, but says the MacKay campaign turned him down, according to Toronto Star's Alex Boutilier and Kieran Leavitt.[32] MP McLean later tweeted, "sadly, this is completely inconsistent with what was told to me and senior O'Toole officials by this young man. I know not to trust this. The police investigation will determine the truth"[33] Erin O'Toole Campaign staff member Anthony Koch also tweeted, "how do you explain the Calgary and midtown Toronto IP addresses that accessed the zoom admin account illegally multiple times over the course of a week and downloaded over 140 unique videos?"[34]

Timeline[edit]

2019[edit]

  • 21 October — The 2019 Canadian federal election was held. The Conservatives remained in opposition against a minority Liberal government.[35] Under CPC rules, a loss in an election triggers an automatic leadership review.
  • 22 October — CPC Leader Andrew Scheer announced he will continue as leader.[11]
  • 12 December — Andrew Scheer announced his pending resignation as leader of the Conservatives, Andrew Scheer will remain MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle when a new leader is elected.[17]
  • 21 December — The party executive announced that a national party policy convention scheduled for mid-April 2020 has been postponed until November "so greater focus could be given to the details and organization around the Conservative leadership election process."[36]
  • 24 December — The party announced that former Deputy Leader Lisa Raitt will co-chair the organizing committee for the leadership race.[37] Dan Nowlan is the committee's other co-chair.[38]

2020[edit]

  • 13 January — Leadership election process officially commences.[39][2][40]
  • 27 February — Deadline for potential candidates to enter leadership election. Candidates must have, by this date, paid at least $25,000 towards their registration fee and submitted signatures of at least 1,000 party members qualified to nominate them for leader.[2][40][41]
  • 25 March — Deadline for candidates to meet all entry requirements, including having paid the $300,000 entrance fee and compliance deposit in full and collected signatures of 3,000 qualified party members from 30 Electoral District Associations, in at least seven provinces or territories.[2][40][42]
  • 26 March — Leadership race suspended indefinitely due to ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis.[7] Party officials said that the schedule for the debates and leadership convention would be revisited on 1 May 2020.[7]
  • 29 April — The party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee announced the resumption of the leadership election process, with the vote to occur via mail-in ballot that needs to be received by 21 August 2020.[8][4]
  • 15 May — New deadline to sign up as a member for purposes of voting in the leadership race. Previous deadline was 17 April 2020.[43]
  • 17 June — French-language debate in Toronto, moderated by Dan Nowlan and Lisa Raitt.[44][45][46]
  • 18 June — English-language debate in Toronto, moderated by Dan Nowlan and Lisa Raitt.[44][45][47]
  • 24 June — Etobicoke—Lakeshore Conservative Association debate (online)
  • 27 June — Original date of the leadership election, cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic
  • 8 July — Vancouver Centre Conservative Association debate via Zoom
  • 14 July — Announcement by the party that 269,469 members are eligible to vote in the leadership race, of which about 100,000 purchased their membership since the start of 2020.[48]
  • 18 July — Announcement by the party that ballots have been sent out to members.[49]
  • 29 July — Independent Press Gallery of Canada debate in Toronto
  • 21 August, 5 pm EDT — Deadline for election ballots to be filled out and received in order to be counted. The previous date for the election had been 27 June 2020.[4]
  • 23–24 August — Leadership election results announcement at the Shaw Centre in Ottawa.[50] According to the Leadership Election Organizing Committee: "The result will be announced as soon as those ballots can be properly processed and examined by scrutineers while respecting any health guidelines in place at that time.” The first ballot was intended to be announced at 6:30 pm but was not announced after midnight EDT on 24 August, due to issues with the envelope-opening and vote counting machines. The final result and O'Toole's victory speech were delivered shortly after 1 am EDT.[23][5]

Full results[edit]

Results by round[51]
Candidate 1st round 2nd round 3rd round
Votes cast % Points allocated % Votes cast % Points allocated % Votes cast % Points allocated %
Erin O'Toole (cropped).jpg Erin O'Toole 51,258 29.39% 10,681.40 31.60% 56,907 33.20% 11,903.69 35.22% 90,635 58.86% 19,271.74 57.02%
Peter MacKay crop (cropped).JPG Peter MacKay 52,851 30.30% 11,328.55 33.52% 54,165 31.60% 11,756.01 34.78% 63,356 41.14% 14,528.26 42.98%
LeslynLewis-HEADSHOT1-lg.jpg Leslyn Lewis 43,017 24.67% 6,925.38 20.49% 60,316 35.20% 10,140.30 30.00% Eliminated
Derek Sloan Image.jpg Derek Sloan 27,278 15.64% 4,864.67 14.39% Eliminated
Total 174,404 100% 33,800 100% 171,388 100% 33,800 100% 153,991 100% 33,800 100%
Analysis of transferred votes, ranked in order of 1st preference votes
Candidate Maximum
Round
Maximum
Votes
Share in
Maximum
Round
Maximum Votes
First Round VotesTransfer Votes
Peter MacKay 3 63,356 41.14%
Erin O'Toole 3 90,635 58.86%
Leslyn Lewis 2 60,316 35.20%
Derek Sloan 1 27,278 15.64%
Eligible votes 153,991 88.3%
Exhausted votes 20413 11.7%
First round (votes cast)
MacKay
30.30%
O'Toole
29.39%
Lewis
24.67%
Sloan
15.64%
First round (points allocated)
MacKay
33.52%
O'Toole
31.60%
Lewis
20.49%
Sloan
14.39%
Second round (votes cast)
Lewis
35.20%
O'Toole
33.20%
MacKay
31.60%
Second round (points allocated)
O'Toole
35.22%
MacKay
34.78%
Lewis
30.00%
Third round (votes cast)
O'Toole
58.86%
MacKay
41.14%
Third round (points allocated)
O'Toole
57.02%
MacKay
42.98%

Provincial summary[edit]

2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership election results by province.
First round results
Province Peter Mackay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Points % Points % Points % Points %
Alberta 826 24.30% 1,084 31.89% 957 28.16% 532 15.65%
British Columbia 1,281 30.50% 1,255 29.88% 1,047 24.93% 617 14.69%
Manitoba 414 29.57% 373 26.64% 360 25.71% 253 18.07%
New Brunswick 533 53.30% 153 15.30% 204 20.40% 110 11.00%
Newfoundland and Labrador 282 40.23% 240 34.24% 118 16.83% 61 8.70%
Nova Scotia 710 64.55% 142 12.91% 160 14.55% 88 8.00%
Ontario 4,056 33.52% 3,414 28.21% 2,557 21.13% 2,073 17.13%
Prince Edward Island 206 51.50% 55 13.75% 96 24.00% 43 10.75%
Quebec 2,685 34.42% 3,532 45.28% 781 10.01% 802 10.28%
Saskatchewan 224 16.01% 369 26.38% 554 39.60% 252 18.01%
Territories 111 37.00% 65 21.67% 90 30.00% 34 11.33%
Second round results
Province Peter Mackay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis
Points % Points % Points %
Alberta 866 25.46% 1,229 36.14% 1,306 38.40%
British Columbia 1,329 31.65% 1,413 33.65% 1,457 34.70%
Manitoba 434 31.00% 429 30.64% 537 38.36%
New Brunswick 546 54.58% 177 17.73% 277 27.68%
Newfoundland and Labrador 288 41.21% 258 36.85% 154 21.95%
Nova Scotia 723 65.70% 161 14.59% 217 19.71%
Ontario 4246 35.09% 3907 32.23% 3947 32.62%
Prince Edward Island 208 51.93% 65 16.37% 127 31.70%
Quebec 2765 35.44% 3771 48.34% 1265 16.22%
Saskatchewan 237 16.93% 421 30.07% 742 53.00%
Territories 114 37.94% 73 24.45% 113 37.61%
Third round results
Province Peter Mackay Erin O'Toole
Points % Points %
Alberta 1,158 34.06% 2,242 65.94%
British Columbia 1,693 40.31% 2,507 59.69%
Manitoba 579 41.36% 821 58.64%
New Brunswick 647 64.70% 353 35.30%
Newfoundland and Labrador 332 47.43% 368 52.57%
Nova Scotia 820 74.55% 280 25.45%
Ontario 5,428 44.86% 6,672 55.14%
Prince Edward Island 250 62.50% 150 37.50%
Quebec 3,080 39.49% 4,720 60.51%
Saskatchewan 393 28.07% 1,007 71.93%
Territories 148 49.33% 152 50.67%

Debates[edit]

Debates among candidates for the 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election[44][45][52][53][54][55][56]
No. Date Place Host Language Participants
 P  Participant
 N  Non-invitee  A  Absent invitee  O  Out of race (exploring or withdrawn)
Lewis MacKay O'Toole Sloan
1 17 June 2020 Toronto, Ontario Conservative Party of Canada French P P P P
2 18 June 2020 Toronto, Ontario Conservative Party of Canada English P P P P
3 24 June 2020 Webex Etobicoke—Lakeshore Conservative Association English P A P P
4 8 July 2020 Zoom Vancouver Centre Conservative Association English P A P P
5 29 July 2020 Toronto, Ontario Independent Press Gallery of Canada (IPG) English A A P P

The fifth debate was turned into a fireside chat with the remaining two candidates after Leslyn Lewis released a statement sending her regrets due to a medical issue.[56][57] Soon after Peter MacKay chose to not attend the debate.[58][56][59]

Rules and procedures[edit]

On 11 January 2020, the party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee released the Rules and Procedures for the 2020 Leadership document.[2][60] It confirmed the vote would be held under instant-runoff voting, open to those who are members of the Conservative Party of Canada as of 17 April. (This date was later pushed back to 15 May.) To appear on the ballot, a member must apply to the Leadership Candidate Nomination Committee between 13 January and 27 February, with 1,000 signatures of endorsement from party members (which must span at least 30 Electoral Districts in 7 provinces),[42] a $25,000 installment of the registration fee and a completed 42-page Leadership Contestant Questionnaire, which requires them to declare they accept "the policies, principles, goals and objectives" of the Conservative Party.[61] If approved by the Committees, the applicant has until 25 March to provide the remainder of the 3,000 endorsement signatures and $200,000 registration fee.[40] In addition a $100,000 Compliance Deposit is required prior to 25 March but is returned upon completing required financial filings and adhering to Rules and Procedures document. As in the 2017 leadership election, each electoral district is given 100 points which are distributed according to weight of a candidate's vote in that electoral distribute, with the first candidate receiving 16,901 points wins the leadership race.[62]

Candidates[edit]

Verified candidates are authorized contestants that have paid the full $200,000 registration fee, the entire $100,000 compliance deposit, and submitted all 3,000 required signatures of endorsement by 25 March 2020. Verified candidates have secured their name on the leadership ballot.[63][64]

Approved[edit]

Leslyn Lewis[edit]

Background

Leslyn Lewis, 49, is a Toronto lawyer and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2015 election.[65] Leslyn Lewis holds a bachelor's degree from University of Toronto, two master's degrees, a law degree from Osgoode Hall Law School[66] and a PhD in International Law.[65] Leslyn Lewis is also a Vice Chair of the Ontario Trillium Foundation and Chair of the Partnership Committee.[66]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020[67]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: Leslyn Lewis
Campaign slogan: Courage • Compassion • Common Sense[68]
Campaign slogan (Français): Courage • Compassion • Bon Sens[69]
Endorsements of Leslyn Lewis
MPs: (7)
Senators:
Provincial & territorial politicians: (7)
Municipal politicians: (1)
Former MPs: (8)
Former Senators:
Former provincial politicians: (2)
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (1)
Organizations: (1)
Media:
Total endorsements: 28

Peter MacKay[edit]

Background

Peter MacKay, 55, was the MP for Central Nova (2004–2015), and for Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough (1997–2004). He was Minister of Justice and Attorney General (2013–2015), Minister of National Defence (2007–2013), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2006–2007), Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (2004–2015). He was the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada (2003) at the time of the merger. Prior to entering politics, Peter MacKay worked as a Crown Attorney.[97][98]

Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020[99]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.petermackay.ca
Campaign slogan: Unite Build Lead[100]
Campaign slogan (Français): Unir Bâtir Diriger[101]
Endorsements of Peter MacKay
MPs: (47)
Senators: (15)
Provincial & territorial politicians: (42)
Municipal politicians:
Former MPs: (47)
Former Senators: (12)
Former Provincial & territorial politicians: (10)
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (4)
Organizations:
Media: (1)
Total endorsements: 178

Erin O'Toole[edit]

Background

Erin O'Toole, 48, is the MP for Durham (2012–present), the Shadow Minister of Foreign Affairs (2017–present), and the former Shadow Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness (2015–2016) and Minister of Veterans Affairs (2015). He placed third in the 2017 Conservative leadership election. Prior to entering politics, Erin O'Toole served in the Royal Canadian Air Force, where he held the rank of Captain, and was a lawyer after completing military service.[98]

Candidacy announced: 25 January 2020[255][256]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.erinotoole.ca
Campaign slogan: True Blue Leadership[257]
Campaign slogan (Français): Un Vrai Bleu[258]
Endorsements of Erin O'Toole
MPs: (38)
Senators: (3)
Provincial & territorial politicians: (44)
Municipal politicians: (1)
Former MPs: (4)
Former Senators: (1)
Former provincial politicians: (1)
Former municipal politicians: (1)

Other prominent individuals: (4)

Organizations:
Media:
Total endorsements: 97

Derek Sloan[edit]

Background

Derek Sloan, 36, is the MP for Hastings—Lennox and Addington (2019–present). Prior to entering politics, Derek Sloan worked as a lawyer in private practice.[329][330][331]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020[332]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.dereksloan.ca
Campaign slogan: Conservative. Without Apology[333]
Campaign slogan (Français): Conservateur Sans Se Dérober[334]
Endorsements of Derek Sloan
MPs:
Senators:
Provincial politicians:
Municipal politicians:
Former MPs: (2)
Former Senators:
Former provincial politicians:
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (2)
Organizations: (2)
Total endorsements: 6

Withdrew or failed to qualify[edit]

Failed to qualify as authorized contestants[edit]

Approved applicants who failed to pass the second qualification stage that required 2,000 signatures and the submission of the full $100,000 compliance fee and at least $50,000 of the entrance fee by 25 March 2020 or who disqualified between Stage 1 and Stage 2.[340]

Marilyn Gladu[edit]
Marilyn Gladu
Background

Marilyn Gladu, 57, is the MP for Sarnia—Lambton (2015–present), and was the Shadow Minister of Health (2017–2020),[341] Shadow Minister of Science (2015–2017). Prior to entering politics, she was an engineer for Dow Chemical.[342][343]

Candidacy announced: 9 January 2020[344]
Candidacy suspended: 25 March 2020
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: https://www.marilyngladu.ca
Rudy Husny[edit]
Background

Rudy Husny is Director of Stakeholder Relations in the Office of the Leader of the Official Opposition and candidate in Outremont in 2011 and 2015.[345][346]

Candidacy announced: 8 February 2020[347][348]
Candidacy suspended: 19 March 2020[349]

Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Husny cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign, saying it is just not right to ask people for money during a public health emergency.[349]

Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: [1]
Jim Karahalios[edit]
Background

Jim Karahalios is a corporate lawyer and founder of activist groups "Axe The Carbon Tax" and "Take Back Our PC Party". He sued the Ontario PC party after narrowly losing an election in November 2018 for party president, but the case has not yet been tried. He is accusing the Ontario PC party of ballot stuffing in that election.[350]

Karahalios obtained the required 3,000 verified signatures and collected $300,000 for the entrance fee, but CPC officers refused to put his name on the ballot. The exact reasons for Karahalios's disqualification were not released.[351] Karahalios contested the disqualification in court.[352][23] On 20 May 2020, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice reinstated his candidacy.[353][354] The judge's decision was made on the basis that the subcommittee which disqualified Karahalios did not have the authority to do so. The day after Karahalios was reinstated as a candidate, he was disqualified by the leadership election organizing committee (LEOC), a body which the judge stated had the authority to disqualify candidates.[355]

Candidacy announced: 28 January 2020[356]
Disqualified: 20 March 2020
Reinstated by court: 20 May 2020
Disqualified: 21 May 2020
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: Jim Karahalios for Conservative Party Leader
Endorsements of Jim Karahalios
Rick Peterson[edit]
Rick Peterson
Background

Rick Peterson, 65, is a venture capitalist, party fundraiser, principal of Peterson Capital, and a former candidate for leadership of the British Columbia Conservative Party. He was a member of the Progressive Conservatives at the time of the merger. He ran and placed 12th in the 2017 Conservative leadership election.[358][359]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020[360]
Candidacy suspended: 20 March 2020[22]

Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Peterson also cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[22]

Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: rickcpc.ca
Endorsements of Rick Peterson
Senators:
Former provincial politicians:
Other prominent individuals:

Failed to qualify as approved applicants[edit]

Declared candidates who failed to pass the first qualification stage by obtaining at least 1,000 signatures, submit at least $25,000 of the entrance fee by 27 February 2020 and/or pass the vetting process.[340]

Richard Décarie[edit]
Background

Richard Décarie, 61, was the Deputy Chief of Staff to then-Opposition Leader Stephen Harper and Chief of Staff & Senior Advisor to then-Premier Jean Charest.[364][365]

Candidacy announced: 30 January 2020 [365]
Notes
Décarie advocated for social conservative values.[365]  "I think 'LGBTQ' is a Liberal term. I don't talk about people that way, I talk about persons, and I think we all need the full respect for being a human being."[366] When asked by an interviewer whether "being gay" was a "choice" or not, Décarie said that it was.  This answer lead to calls by Kory Teneycke, a former senior aide to both Stephen Harper and Doug Ford, that he be barred from running.[61] Décarie acquired the required number of signatures and paid the deposit but was disqualified by the party following his interview with the nomination committee.[367] Endorsed Derek Sloan.[336]
Clayton Knutzon[edit]
Background

Clayton Knutzon is a former Freedom Conservative Party candidate in Alberta.[368][356]

Candidacy announced: 22 December 2019[356]
Bobby Singh[edit]
Background

Bobby Singh is a Toronto businessman and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2019 election. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[369]

Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020[67]
Irvin Studin[edit]
Background

Irvin Studin is a senior fellow at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, a Rhodes Scholar, former professional soccer player with the Toronto Lynx, and served in the Privy Council Office between 2002 and 2006.[370]

Candidacy announced: 25 February 2020[370]

Withdrawn prior to 27 February 2020[edit]

Bryan Brulotte[edit]
Background

CEO and chair of employment firm MaxSys Staffing and Consulting (1993–present), deputy chief of staff to Paul Dick (1993), Progressive Conservative candidate for Lanark-Carleton in 2000.[371]

Candidacy announced: 16 December 2019[371][372]
Candidacy suspended: 14 January 2020[373]
Campaign Website: www.bryanbrulotte.ca
Notes

Withdrew following the release of the leadership election rules. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[373]

Aron Seal[edit]

Aron Seal, a former policy advisor to Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Director of Policy for Tony Clement and Jim Flaherty.[360][374][375][376]

Candidacy announced: 22 October 2019
Candidacy suspended: 25 February 2020[376]
Campaign website: www.millennialconservative.ca
Notes

Withdrew saying that new signature requirements and deadlines were "designed to keep outsider candidates out". Endorsed Rudy Husny.[376]

Declined[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Donors[413][414][415][416]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
3,355 4,174 2,941 2,478
Q2
6,369 7,510 8,413 2,754
Total
9,724 11,684 11,354 5,232
2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Fundraising[413][414][415][417]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
$1,045,851 $784,997 $447,646 $410,263
Q2
$1,160,000 $1,250,000 $996,000 $329,000
Total
$2,205,851 $2,034,997 $1,443,646 $739,263
2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Most Donated to Candidate by Province [414][418][419]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
New Brunswick
Newfoundland and Labrador
Nova Scotia
Manitoba
Quebec
Alberta
British Columbia
Ontario
Prince Edward Island
Saskatchewan
The territories
Q2
Manitoba
New Brunswick
Newfoundland and Labrador
Nova Scotia
The territories
Alberta
Quebec
Ontario
British Columbia
Prince Edward Island
Saskatchewan
Total
TBD TBD TBD TBD

During the first quarter Marilyn Gladu raised $94,734, Rick Peterson raised $35,598 and Rudy Husny raised $28,941. They withdrew from the leadership race during the first quarter.[413] Jim Karahalios raised $294,522 from 1,700 donors, but was disqualified.[413]

Some numbers for the second quarter (April to the end of June 2020) were obtained by The Globe and Mail and confirmed with the campaigns. The Conservative Party has not confirmed any numbers for the second quarter. Finalized numbers must be submitted to Elections Canada at the end of July and should be available some time after.[415]

Opinion polling[edit]

After candidate registration deadline[edit]

Conservative Party members[edit]

Polling firm/link Last date of polling Sample size Margin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan Undecided Notes
Mainstreet/iPolitics 14-15 August 2020 5,267 ± 1.3% 41% 32% 16% 11%
Mainstreet/iPolitics 20-21 May 2020 7,958 ± 1.1% 39% 31% 10% 6% 14%
Mainstreet/iPolitics 12 May 2020 6,624 ± 2.62% 40% 34% 9% 5% 13%

Conservative Party supporters[edit]

Polling firm/link Last date of polling Sample size Margin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan Undecided Notes
Maru/Blue 28 July 2020 1,828 ± 2.6% 55% 23% 11% 11% --
Léger 21 June 2020 351 ± 2.51% 30% 10% 8% 5% 47%
Abacus Data 21 May 2020 1,800 ± 2.3% 69% 31% -- -- -- Did not include Lewis and Sloan.

All Canadians[edit]

Polling firm/link Last date of polling Sample size Margin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan Undecided Notes
Maru/Blue 28 July 2020 1,514 ± 2.9% 51% 25% 16% 8% --
Léger 21 June 2020 1,521 ± 2.51% 18% 5% 4% 2% 70%
Abacus Data 21 May 2020 1,800 ± 2.3% 61% 39% -- -- -- Did not include Lewis and Sloan.

Before candidate registration deadline[edit]

Conservative Party supporters[edit]

Polling firm/link Last date of polling Sample size Margin of error
Other
Undecided
Notes
Léger 4 March 2020 382 ± 2.5% -- -- 38% -- -- -- -- -- -- 9% -- -- -- 6% 47% --
Léger 1 February 2020 402 ± 2.53% -- -- 42% -- -- -- 6% -- -- 4% -- -- -- 3% 45% Gladu 2%

Décarie 1%

Léger 7 January 2020 392 ± 2.49% 18% 18% 12% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% -- 29% --
EKOS Research[2] 17 December 2019 340 ± 5.3% 27.8% 12.3% 14.6% 4.0% 0.9%* 8.0% 0.0%* 1.6% 0.9% 2.4% 0.0%* 19.8%* 7.6% *Includes

write-ins

All Canadians[edit]

Polling firm/link Last date of polling Sample size Margin of error
Other
Undecided
Notes
Léger 4 March 2020 1,540 ± 2.5% -- 25% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 14% 63% O'Toole 4%

Peterson 2%

Gladu 2%

Décarie 2%

Lewis 1%

Sloan 1%

Karahalios 1%

Husny 1%

Léger 1 February 2020 1,501 ± 2.53% -- 28% -- -- -- 4% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 8% 60% O'Toole 3%

Gladu 3%

Décarie 2%

Léger 7 January 2020 1,557 ± 2.49% 10% 7% 4% 9% 1% 2% 3% 12% 51%
EKOS Research[3] 17 December 2019 1,543 ± 2.5% 19.3% 11.8% 8.0% 6.3% 5.2% 3.5% 0.3%* 0.5%* 2.1% 0.2%* 3.9% 0.4%* 17.0% 22.9% *Write ins
Angus Reid 11 December 2019 4,516 ± 1.0% 27% 21% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 0% Respondents could pick up to 3 choices

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Resident of Ontario. Former MP for Central Nova, Nova Scotia.
  2. ^ Resident of Ontario. Candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in 2015.

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