2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary

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2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary

← 2016 February 11, 2020 2024 →

33 delegates (24 pledged, 9 unpledged)

The 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, as the second nominating contest in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the Iowa caucuses the week before. The New Hampshire primary is a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 33 delegates, of which 24 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure[edit]

The state's ballot access laws have traditionally been lenient, with prospective presidential candidates required to pay only a $1,000 fee to secure a line on the primary ballot.[1]

Primary elections are expected to be held on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, with the vast majority of polling places closed by 7 p.m. and a small number of cities allowed to close at 8 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates must meet a viability threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 24 pledged delegates, 8 each are allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[2]

The national convention delegation meeting will subsequently be held in Concord on Saturday, April 25, 2020 to vote on the 5 pledged at-large and 3 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 24 pledged delegates New Hampshire sends to the national convention will be joined by 9 unpledged PLEO delegates (5 members of the Democratic National Committee and 4 members of Congress, of which 2 are Senators and 2 are U.S. Representatives).[2]

Candidates on the ballot[edit]

The following candidates are on the ballot[3] and are listed in order of filing.

A local eccentric named Rod Webber tried to file for a ballot place under the name of “Epstein Didn’t Kill Himself," but was refused by the Secretary of State.”[4] De la Fuente is the first person in the history of the primary to be on both Republican and Democratic ballots simultaneously.

Forums, cattle calls, and other events[edit]

As per tradition, campaigning for the state's centennial primary began early in 2017, with over thirty hopefuls arriving to either "test the waters" or "dive right in." Among the first to show up was John Delaney who announced his candidacy in 2017. Over 30 notable people have visited the state with the presidency on their minds, 25 of whom were official candidates.

Among the more notable events of the campaign, was the 2019 state convention, which had 19 hopefuls give speeches.[5] This was the largest of the so-called "cattle call" events.

There was a "People's Forum" in October, and it is expected that the seventh national televised debate will take place in the state in January 2020.

Polling[edit]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Elizabeth
Warren
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Pete
Buttigieg
Tulsi
Gabbard
Amy
Klobuchar
Andrew
Yang
Kamala
Harris
Others Undecided[a]
270 to Win Nov 13, 2019 Oct 14–Nov 11, 2019 21.0% 19.3% 16.5% 10.3% 4.0% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 5.4%[b] 14.4%
RealClear Politics Nov 11, 2019 Oct 9–Nov 10, 2019 19.7% 19.7% 19.0% 11.3% 4.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.0% 5.3%[c] 11.4%
Average 20.4% 19.5% 17.8% 10.8% 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 5.4%[d] 12.7%
   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Tulsi
Gabbard
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Nov 6–10, 2019 1,134 (LV) ± 3.8 20% 1% 15% 6% 1% 3% 14% 16% 4% 5%[f] 14%
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
University of New Hampshire/CNN Oct 21–27, 2019 574 (LV) ± 4.1% 15% 2% 10% 5% 3% 5% 2% 21% 18% 5% 4%[g] 10%
Boston Herald/FPU Oct 9–13, 2019 422 (LV) ± 4.8% 24% 2% 9% 1% 4% 2% 0% 22% 25% 1% 4%[h] 7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Oct 8–10, 2019 610 (LV) ± 3.7% 18% 2% 7% [note 1] 2% [note 1] 1% 9% 25% 2% 32% [note 1]
YouGov/CBS News Oct 3–11, 2019 506 ±5.4% 24% 1% 7% 2% 4% 2% 1% 17% 32% 5% 5%[i]
Saint Anselm College Sep 25–29, 2019 423 ± 4.8% 24% 1% 10% 3% 5% 3% <1% 11% 25% 2% 3%[j] 9%
Monmouth University Sep 17–21, 2019 401 ± 4.9% 25% 2% 10% 2% 3% 2% 1% 12% 27% 2% 3%[k] 9%
HarrisX/No Labels Sep 6–11, 2019 595 ± 4.0% 22% 3% 5% 6% 5% 1% 1% 21% 15% 2% 5%[l] 14%
Boston Herald/FPU Sep 4–10, 2019 425 ± 4.8% 21% 1% 5% 3% 6% 1% 2% 29% 17% 5% 2%[m] 9%
Emerson College Sep 6–9, 2019 483 ± 4.4% 24% 4% 11% 6% 8% 1% 1% 13% 21% 3% 7%[n]
YouGov/CBS News Aug 28–Sep 4, 2019 526 ± 5.2% 26% 2% 8% 1% 7% 1% 1% 25% 27% 1% 1%[o]
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 250 ± 6.2% 15% 0% 8% 5% 7% 4% 2% 21% 12% 4% 8%[p] 11%
Suffolk University Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 21% 1% 6% 3% 8% 1% 0% 17% 14% 1% 6%[q] 21%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jul 23–25, 2019 587 ± 3.3% 21% 1% 8% 13% 0% 13% 16% 1% 7% 19%
YouGov/CBS News Jul 9–18, 2019 530 ± 5% 27% 1% 7% 2% 12% 1% 2% 20% 18% 1% 5%[r]
University of New Hampshire/CNN Jul 8–15, 2019 386 ± 5.0% 24% 2% 10% 1% 9% 0% 2% 19% 19% 1% 4%[s] 9%
Saint Anselm College Jul 10–12, 2019 351 ± 5.2% 21% 1% 12% 1% 18% 3% 0% 10% 17% 5% 3%[t] 11%
Change Research Jul 6–9, 2019 1,084 ± 3.0% 19% 1% 13% 3% 15% 1% 1% 20% 22% 1% 3%[u]
Change Research Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 420 13% 2% 14% 2% 13% 1% 2% 26% 24% 2% 4%[v]
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 24% 0% 14% 1% 3% 1% 4% 28% 21% 1% 3%[w]
YouGov/CBS News May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 502 ± 4.9% 33% 3% 10% 0% 7% 1% 4% 20% 17% 1% 2%[x]
Tel Opinion Research* May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 33% 7% 7% 1% 12% 11% 28%
Monmouth University May 2–7, 2019 376 ± 5.1% 36% 2% 9% 0% 6% 2% 2% 18% 8% 1% 2%[y] 11%
Change Research May 3–5, 2019 864 ± 3.3% 26% 2% 12% 1% 8% 1% 3% 30% 9% 2% 4%[z]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 551 ± 4.0% 34% 1% 10% 7% 1% 3% 16% 9% 19%
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 429 ± 4.7% 20% 3% 12% 1% 6% 1% 3% 12% 8% 1% 4%[aa] 27%
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 241 ± 6.3% 18% 3% 15% 1% 4% 2% 3% 30% 5% 2% 5%[ab] 12%
Saint Anselm College Apr 3–8, 2019 326 ± 5.4% 23% 4% 11% 1% 7% 2% 6% 16% 9% 9%[ac] 13%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 240 ± 6.3% 22% 3% 1% 1% 10% 4% 5% 26% 7% 6%[ad] 14%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 405 ± 4.8% 25% 5% 1% 12% 8% 5% 27% 9% 10%[ae]
YouGov/UMass Amherst Feb 7–15, 2019 337 ± 6.4% 28% 3% 14% 1% 6% 20% 9% 9%[af] 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 518 ± 4.1% 22% 4% 13% 2% 2% 13% 9% 0%[ag] 35%
Change Research Jan 2–3, 2019 1,162 24% 3% 4% 2% 9% 26% 11% 22%[ah]
University of New Hampshire Aug 2–19, 2018 198 ± 7.0% 19% 6% 3% 30% 17% 12%[ai] 12%
Suffolk University Apr 26–30, 2018 295 ± 5.7% 20% 8% 4% 13% 26% 8%[aj] 18%
30% 10% 6% 25% 14%[ak] 12%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 188 ± 7.1% 26% 5% 6% 1% 28% 11% 9%[al] 13%
University of New Hampshire Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 219 ± 6.6% 35% 3% 1% 0% 24% 15% 7%[am] 15%
University of New Hampshire Oct 3–15, 2017 212 ± 6.7% 24% 6% 1% 1% 31% 13% 14%[an] 11%

Head-to-head polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Tel Opinion Research May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 63% 21% 15%
66% 22% 13%
58% 29% 13%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 400 ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
58% 33% 8%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michelle Obama Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Tulsi
Gabbard
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU Oct 9-13, 2019 422 (LV) ± 4.8% 25.6% 19.7% 1.9% 4.5% 0.2% 2.8% 2.4% No voters 14.7% 20.1% 0.9% 3.1%[ao] 6.6%

Results[edit]

New Hampshire Democratic primary, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet
Democratic Joe Biden
Democratic Cory Booker
Democratic Steve Bullock
Democratic Pete Buttigieg
Democratic Julián Castro
Democratic John Delaney
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic Henry Hewes
Democratic Amy Klobuchar
Democratic Kamala Harris
Democratic Wayne Messam
Democratic Bernie Sanders
Democratic Joe Sestak
Democratic Tom Steyer
Democratic Elizabeth Warren
Democratic Marianne Williamson
Democratic Andrew Yang
Total votes 100%

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Steyer with 2.3%; Booker with 1.8%; Sestak and Bennet with 0.5%; Castro with 0.3%; Bullock, Messam, Williamson, and Delaney with 0.0%
  3. ^ Steyer with 2.3%; Booker with 1.7%; Bennet and Sestak with 0.5%; Castro with 0.3%; Bullock, Delaney, and Williamson with 0.0%
  4. ^ Steyer with 2.3%; Booker with 1.8%; Bennet and Sestak with 0.5%; Castro with 0.3%; Bullock, Delaney, Messam, and Williamson with 0.0%
  5. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
  7. ^ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
  8. ^ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
  9. ^ Steyer with 4%, Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
  10. ^ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
  11. ^ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
  12. ^ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
  13. ^ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
  14. ^ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
  15. ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
  16. ^ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
  17. ^ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
  18. ^ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
  19. ^ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
  20. ^ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  21. ^ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  22. ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  23. ^ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  24. ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  25. ^ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
  26. ^ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  27. ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  28. ^ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  29. ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
  30. ^ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
  31. ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
  32. ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
  33. ^ Gillibrand with 0%
  34. ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
  35. ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
  36. ^ Patrick with 4%; Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
  37. ^ Patrick with 8%; Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
  38. ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
  39. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
  40. ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
  41. ^ Steyer with 0.5%; Castro and Williamson with no voters; other with 2.6%
  1. ^ a b c The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "New Hampshire Election Laws, 655:48 Fees". New Hampshire Secretary of State. 2017. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  2. ^ a b "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. March 31, 2019. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
  3. ^ https://sos.nh.gov/nhsos_content.aspx?id=8589987259. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  4. ^ https://lawandcrime.com/live-trials/live-trials-current/jeffrey-epstein/man-attempts-to-run-for-president-in-new-hampshire-as-epstein-didnt-kill-himself/
  5. ^ https://time.com/5671595/2020-democrats-new-hampshire-voters/

External links[edit]