2020 North Carolina Democratic primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search
2020 North Carolina Democratic primary

← 2016 March 3, 2020 2024 →

SC                         NC                         Super Tuesday II
122 delegates (110 pledged, 12 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention

The 2020 North Carolina Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The North Carolina primary is a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 122 delegates, of which 110 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure[edit]

North Carolina is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[1] with governor Roy Cooper having signed a bill on June 22, 2018 pushing the date of the primary back until the first Tuesday in March and calling for simultaneous state, local, and presidential primaries.[2]

Voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 6:30 a.m. until 7:30 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 110 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 110 pledged delegates, between 4 and 9 are allocated to each of the state's 13 congressional districts and another 14 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 24 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as North Carolina shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[3]

After county conventions on Saturday, March 28, 2020 to select delegates to the congressional district and state conventions and congressional district conventions on Saturday, April 25, 2020 to select national convention district level delegates, the state convention will subsequently be held on Saturday, June 6, 2020 to vote on the 24 pledged at-large and 14 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 110 pledged delegates North Carolina sends to the national convention will be joined by 12 unpledged PLEO delegates (8 members of the Democratic National Committee; 3 members of Congress, of which all are U.S. Representatives; and the governor).[3]

Polling[edit]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date Updated Dates polled Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Michael
Bloomberg
Elizabeth
Warren
Pete
Buttigieg
Amy
Klobuchar
Other Un-
decided[a]
270 to Win Feb 18, 2020 Jan 31, 2019–Feb 16, 2020 23.0% 19.3% 17.3% 10.3% 9.3% 4.3% 5.0%[b] 11.5%
RealClear Politics Feb 18, 2020 Jan 31, 2019–Feb 16, 2020 23.0% 19.3% 17.3% 10.3% 9.3% 4.3% 3.0%[c] 13.5%
FiveThirtyEight Feb 13, 2020 until Feb 13, 2020 [d] 18.7% 21.7% 20.4% 9.2% 10.1% 5.2% 3.9%[e] 10.8%
Average 21.6% 20.1% 18.3% 9.9% 9.6% 4.6% 3.9%[f] 12.0%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
University of Massachusetts Lowell Feb 12–18, 2020 450 (LV) ± 6.5% 16% 19% 10% 23% 13% 13%[h] 6%
SurveyUSA/WRAL News Feb 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 5.0% 20% 22% 11% 22% 8% 7%[i] 11%
Feb 11, 2020 New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
High Point University Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 225 (LV) 24% 16% 0% 8% 20% 11% 3% 9%[j] 8%
399 (RV) 19% 13% 1% 6% 25% 12% 4% 8%[k] 12%
Public Policy Polling Feb 4–5, 2020 604 (LV) 25% 14% 9% 16% 12% 5% 7%[l] 13%[m]
Jan 13, 2020 Booker withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling Jan 10–12, 2020 509 (LV) 31% 8% 1% 6% 18% 15% 5% 6%[n] 11%[o]
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019 Bloomberg launches his campaign
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 669 ± 3.5% 37% 2% 6% 4% 14% 15% 2% 8%[p] 10%
HighPoint University Nov 1–7, 2019 347[q] ± 6.4% 33% 2% 4% 5% 18% 13% 2% 6%[r] 10%
1,049[s] ± 3.6% 18% 2% 4% 4% 15% 7% 2% 7%[t] 23%
Siena Research/New York Times Oct 13–26, 2019 324 29% 1% 1% 1% 13% 15% 0% 3%[u] 32%
High Point University Sep 13–19, 2019 348 (A) 31% 4% 3% 6% 20% 15% 4% 3%[v] 9%
SurveyUSA/Civitas Aug 1–5, 2019 534 ± 6.1% 36% 1% 5% 8% 15% 13% 1% 2%[w] 17%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 397 ± 4.9% 39% 1% 8% 5% 22% 15% 1% 7%[x]

Results[edit]

North Carolina Democratic primary, 2020[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joseph R. Biden
Democratic Michael R. Bloomberg
Democratic Pete Buttigieg
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic Amy Klobuchar
Democratic Bernie Sanders
Democratic Tom Steyer
Democratic Elizabeth Warren
Democratic Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
Democratic Cory Booker (withdrawn)
Democratic Julián Castro (withdrawn)
Democratic John K. Delaney (withdrawn)
Democratic Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
Democratic Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Democratic Andrew Yang (withdrawn)
Total votes 100%

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Steyer with 3.0%; Gabbard with 2.0%
  3. ^ Steyer with 3.0%; Gabbard not averaged
  4. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  5. ^ Steyer with 2.5%; Gabbard with 1.4%
  6. ^ Steyer with 2.8%; Gabbard with 1.1%
  7. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
  9. ^ Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
  10. ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
  11. ^ Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
  12. ^ Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
  13. ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
  14. ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
  15. ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
  16. ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
  17. ^ Democrats only
  18. ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
  19. ^ All adults
  20. ^ Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
  21. ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
  22. ^ Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
  23. ^ Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
  24. ^ O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%

References[edit]

  1. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  2. ^ Putnam, Josh (June 22, 2018). "Cooper's Signature Gives 2020 North Carolina Primary Scheduling Certainty". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "North Carolina Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  4. ^ "2020 state candidate list grouped by contest" (PDF). Retrieved 2 January 2020.

External links[edit]