2020 United States Senate election in Alabama

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2020 United States Senate election in Alabama

← 2017 (special) November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Doug Jones
Democratic



The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election, will run for a full term. Jones is one of only two Democratic U.S. senators facing reelection in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016, the other being Gary Peters from Michigan.[1]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Doug Jones (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Endorsements[edit]

Doug Jones
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representative
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Bradley Byrne
State officials
  • Arthur Orr, Alabama State Senator and Executive Vice President for Cook's Pest Control[31]
Mayors
Arnold Mooney
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Organizations
Jeff Sessions
U.S. Senators
Other individuals
Organizations
Tommy Tuberville
Individuals
Organizations

First round[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Stanley
Adair
Bradley
Byrne
John
Merrill
Arnold
Mooney
Roy
Moore
Jeff
Sessions
Tommy
Tuberville
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R) [A] October 29–31, 2019 511 ± 4.4% 11% 6% 2% 11% 36% 23%
Cygnal (R) October 10–12, 2019 536 1% 18% 9% 2% 11% 32% 28%
Moore Information (R)[B] August 11–13, 2019 400 ± 5.0% 17% 13% 1% 15% 33% 3% 17%
Cygnal (R) June 22–23, 2019 612  4.0% 21% 12% 2% 13% 29% 22%
Cygnal (R) 13% 8% 9% 29% 21%
Moore Information (R)[B] June 10–11, 2019 650 ± 4.0% 16% 7% 2% 18% 23% 6% 28%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stanley Adair
Republican Bradley Byrne
Republican John Merrill
Republican Arnold Mooney
Republican Roy Moore
Republican Ruth Page Nelson
Republican Jeff Sessions
Republican Tommy Tuberville
Total votes 100.0%

Runoff[edit]

Polling[edit]

with Bradley Byrne and Gary Palmer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bradley
Byrne
Gary
Palmer
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[C] February 10–12, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 27% 27% 46%
Hypothetical polling
with Mo Brooks and Bradley Byrne
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mo
Brooks
Bradley
Byrne
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[C] March 10–12, 2019 501 ± 4.4% 43% 32% 25%
with Mo Brooks and Roy Moore
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mo
Brooks
Roy
Moore
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[C] March 10–12, 2019 501 ± 4.4% 52% 32% 16%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Tossup November 8, 2019
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Lean R October 3, 2019
Rothenberg Political Report[49] Lean R October 11, 2019

Polling[edit]

Notes[edit]

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action

References[edit]

  1. ^ Simone Pathé (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?". Roll Call.
  2. ^ Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
  3. ^ Ross, Sean (August 21, 2019). "State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
  4. ^ a b c "Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?". AL.com. Retrieved December 16, 2017.
  5. ^ https://twitter.com/DickDurbin/status/1192939990923087872
  6. ^ "Klobuchar fundraises for Doug Jones following Roy Moore Senate run". The Hill. June 20, 2019. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
  7. ^ "Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care". Politico. October 23, 2019. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
  8. ^ https://twitter.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/1192627151964659713
  9. ^ "California's Kamala Harris raising money for Doug Jones based on Sessions opposition". November 7, 2019.
  10. ^ @brianschatz (November 7, 2019). "Doug Jones prosecuted the racist Birmingham bomber and is a great Senator. His opponent will be either Jeff Sessions or Roy Moore and if that doesn't make you want to send money I don't know what to tell you. But seriously please give. Thanks" (Tweet). Retrieved November 7, 2019 – via Twitter.
  11. ^ a b Vollers, Anna Claire (September 8, 2019). "Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham". al.
  12. ^ James Varney. "Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight". The Washington Times.
  13. ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
  14. ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
  15. ^ a b "EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race". The Gadsen Times. November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
  16. ^ "South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020". WPMI. February 20, 2019. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  17. ^ Lyman, Brian (June 25, 2019). "John Merrill enters GOP race for U.S. Senate seat". Montgomery Advertiser. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  18. ^ Talk 99.5 [@realtalk995] (May 6, 2019). "BREAKING NEWS: Alabama State Representative Arnold Mooney (@ArnoldForAL) just announced on the @MAShow995 that he will run for Senate in 2020. #ALPolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2019 – via Twitter.
  19. ^ Clark, Dartunorro; Hillyard, Vaughn (June 20, 2019). "Roy Moore, who lost Alabama Senate race after allegations of sexual misconduct, announces another run for the seat". NBC News. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
  20. ^ James Arkin; Alex Isenstadt; Marianne Levine (November 7, 2019). "Standing between Jeff Sessions and the Senate is a certain Donald Trump". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
  21. ^ Cason, Mike (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate". The Birmingham News. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
  22. ^ Howell, Ed (August 18, 2019). "GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying". Daily Mountain Eagle. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
  23. ^ Ross, Sean (April 11, 2019). "Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 11, 2019.
  24. ^ Arkin, James (May 3, 2019). "Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 3, 2019. Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.
  25. ^ "Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V". Yellowhammer News. May 3, 2019. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
  26. ^ Little, Jim (April 5, 2019). "Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones". Pensacola News Journal. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  27. ^ Ross, Sean (April 22, 2019). "Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  28. ^ Bowman, Bridget (February 20, 2019). "Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off". Roll Call. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
  29. ^ Ross, Sean (March 21, 2019). "Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
  30. ^ "Former Miss America Heather Whitestone McCallum rules out Alabama 2020 U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News. June 20, 2019.
  31. ^ "State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator". June 23, 2019.
  32. ^ "Muscle Shoals mayor endorses Byrne for Senate". Yellowhammer News.
  33. ^ "Opelika Mayor Gary Fuller endorses Bradley Byrne for U.S. Senate". Opelika Observer. June 4, 2019.
  34. ^ "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. May 22, 2019.
  35. ^ "I am proud to endorse @ArnoldForAL for U.S. Senate. Arnold is a strong constitutional conservative and the best candidate to beat Doug Jones. He has a proven record of taking on the establishment in Alabama, and will do the same in DC". Twitter.
  36. ^ "Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative'". Yellowhammer News. October 31, 2019.
  37. ^ Mooney, Arnold (October 28, 2019). "Proud to receive the endorsement of a conservative hero, Senator Jim DeMint! #ALSENpic.twitter.com/BYYp3yqQUp". @ArnoldforAL.
  38. ^ McKinless, Thomas; McKinless, Thomas (November 7, 2019). "Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate" – via www.rollcall.com.
  39. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Frazin, Rachel (November 8, 2019). "Eleven GOP senators sign open letter backing Sessions's comeback bid". The Hill.
  40. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Pappas, Alex (November 8, 2019). "Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump". Fox News.
  41. ^ https://twitter.com/IngrahamAngle/status/1192520973452554242
  42. ^ https://twitter.com/MarkSKrikorian/status/1192878609561731073
  43. ^ https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/28/sessions-considering-running-senate-alabama-060720
  44. ^ a b c "Coach Tuberville Announces Support". Tommy Tuberville for U.S. Senate. July 30, 2019.
  45. ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'". Alabama Media Group. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
  46. ^ "Alabama Farmers Federation endorses Trump, Tuberville and Cavanaugh". Alabama Political Reporter. September 25, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2019.
  47. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  48. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  49. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites