2020 United States presidential election in California

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2020 United States presidential election in California

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout%
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Primary elections[edit]

In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[3] Early voting began several weeks earlier.

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti have declined to run.[4][5][6]

Republican primary[edit]

The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[7] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.[8]

As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump’s delegate choices.[9] Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.

President Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.


2020 California Republican primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 2,279,120 92.2% 172
Bill Weld 66,904 2.7%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 64,749 2.6%
Rocky De La Fuente 24,351 1.0%
Matthew John Matern 15,469 0.6%
Robert Ardini 12,857 0.5%
Zoltan Istvan 8,141 0.3%
Total 2,471,591 100%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.

There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention.[11] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.

Bernie Sanders rally at the Los Angeles Convention Center
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally in San Jose, California on March 1, 2020
Joe Biden's presidential campaign in Bel Air, Los Angeles on March 5, 2020
2020 California Democratic presidential primary[12][13]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Bernie Sanders 2,080,846 35.97 225
Joe Biden 1,613,854 27.90 172
Elizabeth Warren 762,555 13.18 11
Michael Bloomberg 701,803 12.13 7
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] 249,256 4.31 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] 126,961 2.19 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] 113,092 1.96 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 43,571 0.75 0
Tulsi Gabbard 33,769 0.58 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 13,892 0.24 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 7,377 0.13 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 7,052 0.12 0
Rocky De La Fuente 6,151 0.11 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 6,000 0.10 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 4,606 0.1 0
Michael Ellinger 3,424 0.08 0
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 3,270 0.06 0
Mark Greenstein 3,190 0.06 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 2,022 0.03 0
Mosie Boyd 1,639 0.03 0
Robert Jordan (write-in) 20 0.00 0
Daphne Bradford (write-in) 8 0.00 0
Nakia Anthony (write-in) 3 0.00 0
Willie Carter (write-in) 3 0.00 0
Michael Dename (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Jeffrey Drobman (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Heather Stagg (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Total votes 5,784,364 100.00 415

Libertarian primary[edit]

The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California Libertarian primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jacob Hornberger 2,898 17.5
Libertarian Ken Armstrong 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Vermin Supreme 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen 1,896 11.4
Libertarian Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 1,459 8.8
Libertarian Adam Kokesh 1,302 7.9
Libertarian Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman 1,039 6.3
Libertarian Sam Robb 993 6.0
Libertarian Max Abramson 970 5.9
Libertarian Steve Richey 649 3.9
Libertarian Souraya Faas 590 3.6
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt 486 2.9
Libertarian Keenan Wallace Dunham 440 2.7
Total votes 16,564 100%

Green primary[edit]

2020 California Green primary[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Howie Hawkins 4,202 36.2% 16 estimated
Dario Hunter 2,558 22.0% 9 estimated
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 2,071 17.8% 8 estimated
Dennis Lambert 1,999 17.2% 7 estimated
David Rolde 774 6.7% 3 estimated
Total 9,656 100.00% 43

Other primaries[edit]

American Independent primary[edit]

The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California American Independent primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
American Independent Phil Collins 11,532 32.8
American Independent Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 7,263 21.0
American Independent Don Blankenship 6,913 19.7
American Independent J.R. Myers 5,099 14.5
American Independent Charles Kraut 4,216 12.0
Total votes 35,723 100%

Peace and Freedom primary[edit]

California Peace and Freedom primary, 2020[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 2,570 66.0
Peace and Freedom Howie Hawkins 1,325 34.0
Total votes 3,895 100%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D June 25, 2020
Politico[21] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[22] Safe D June 22, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[24] Safe D June 25, 2020
JHK Forecasts[25] Safe D June 27, 2020
The Economist[26] Safe D July 5, 2020
CBS News[27] Likely D July 26, 2020
Elections Daily[28] Safe D July 20, 2020
ABC News[29] Safe D July 31, 2020

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[b] Margin
Real Clear Politics May 8–26, 2020 June 6, 2020 58.0% 30.7% 11.3% Biden +27.3
FiveThirtyEight Until May 26, 2020 June 23, 2020 61.4% 31.4% 7.5% Biden +29.7

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California May 19–26, 2020 1,048 (LV) ± 4.6% 33% 57% 6%[d] 3%
SurveyUSA May 18–19, 2020 537 (LV) ± 5.4% 30% 58% 5% 7%
Emerson College May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 59% 12%
Public Policy Polling Mar 28–29, 2020 962 (RV) 29% 67% 3%
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 26% 62% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 4% 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 60% 3%[e] 3%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 31% 58% 11%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 57% 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 30% 60% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 35% 59% 6%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 56% 3%[f] 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 59% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 32% 59% 9%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 36% 64%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 11%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 27% 61% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 56% 11%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 6%[g] 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 36% 59% 3%[h] 2%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 31% 59% 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 58% 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 61% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.7% 36% 59% 5%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 54% 4%[i] 4%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 60% 7%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 33% 59% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 38% 63%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 57% 10%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 29% 62% 9%

with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tulsi
Gabbard (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 43% 19%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 32% 57% 5%[j] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 56% 3%[k] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 33% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 59% 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 55% 7%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 37% 53% 4%[l] 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 56% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 58% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 53% 14%

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 25% 51% 24%
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 32% 51% 10%[m] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[n] 5%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 54% 16%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 59% 7%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 36% 56% 8%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 50% 16%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 31% 59% 7%[o] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[p] 6%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 57% 13%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 52% 11%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 50% 11%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) 33% 54% 8%[q] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 56% 4%[r] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) 30% 58% 12%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 56% 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 53% 4%[s] 7%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 52% 14%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 54% 13%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.8% 30% 53% 17%

with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 9%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Deval
Patrick (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 34% 32%

with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 39% 26%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% 8%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 57% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 47% 19%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Jerry
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 11%

with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Garcetti (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 49% 17%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%

with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Hanks (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 51% 15%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%

with Donald Trump and Eric Holder

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Eric
Holder (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 38% 26%

with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mitch
Landrieu (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michelle
Obama (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 64% 8%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 57% 8%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Oprah
Winfrey (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 57% 14%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 52% 13%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%

with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mark
Zuckerberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 42% 22%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%

with Mike Pence and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 29% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 30% 58% 13%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 27% 58% 15%

with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20-22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 48% 20%

with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 48% 17%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 45% 21%

with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 31% 59% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 31% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 13%

with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 53% 13%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 50% 16%

with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 21% 56% 23%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 21% 56% 24%

with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 24% 44% 32%

with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 23% 58% 19%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 56% 19%

with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 24%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 49% 26%
Hypothetical polling with former candidates

with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%

with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 47% 20%

with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 25%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 51% 25%

with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 44% 30%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew after early voting started, but before the date of the election.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  5. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  6. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  7. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
  8. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  9. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  10. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  11. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  12. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  13. ^ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
  14. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  15. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  16. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  17. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  18. ^ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  19. ^ Other with 1%; neither with 3%

References[edit]

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