2021 Bulgarian general election

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2021 Bulgarian general election

14 November 2021 (2021-11-14) (general)
21 November 2021 (2021-11-21) (presidential, second round)
Turnout40.5% (presidential, first round)
40.23% (parliamentary)
Presidential election
← 2016
  Rumen Radev official portrait (cropped).jpg Anastas Gerdzhikov (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rumen Radev Anastas Gerdzhikov
Party Independent Independent
Alliance BSPzB, PP, ITN, IBG-NI GERBSDS
Running mate Iliana Iotova Nevyana Miteva

President before election

Rumen Radev
Independent

Elected President

TBD

Parliamentary election

All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader % Seats ±
PP Kiril Petkov
Asen Vasilev
25.67 67 New
GERBSDS Boyko Borisov 22.74 59 -4
DPS Mustafa Karadayi 13.00 34 +5
BSPzB Korneliya Ninova 10.21 26 -10
ITN Slavi Trifonov 9.52 25 -40
DB Atanas Atanasov
Hristo Ivanov
6.37 16 -18
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 4.86 13 +13
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
November 2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election - Vote Strength.svg
Distribution of seats for the 2021 Bulgarian General election.png
Prime Minister before
Stefan Yanev Stefan Yanev (caretaker)
Independent

General elections were held in Bulgaria on 14 November 2021 to elect both the President and the National Assembly.[1][2]

They were the country's third parliamentary elections in 2021, with no party able to form a government after the elections in April and July.[3][4] A second round of the presidential elections will be held on 21 November 2021 as no candidate was able to receive a majority of the vote in the first round.[5][6] Incumbent president Rumen Radev gathered around 49% of the vote, being forced into a runoff, facing university professor Anastas Gerdzhikov.[7]

We Continue the Change won the most seats, although it was not a majority. Shortly after the election, they announced that coalitions talks were going to be held.[8]

Nationwide turnout fell to 40%, Bulgaria's lowest participation rate in 30 years for both presidential and legislative elections.[9]

Background[edit]

The previous parliamentary election which was held in July 2021, resulted in a narrow victory for the newly established There Is Such a People (ITN) over the ruling GERB party;[10] however, ITN won only 65 out of 240 seats in the National Assembly of Bulgaria.[10] Following the elections, ITN opted to try and form a minority government and started talks with potential partners (DB, IBG-NI, and BSP) in order to secure their support. Nevertheless, these attempts proved unsuccessful, and ITN announced on 10 August that they were withdrawing their proposed cabinet, making a third election more likely.[11][12] Slavi Trifonov, the leader of ITN, said in a video statement that this meant new elections.[13][14] The mandate to form a cabinet went to GERB.[15][16]

GERB, the party of the previous prime minister Boyko Borisov, said earlier that it would not try to form a government.[17] The BSP said that if the scenario repeats itself, it would suggest that the incumbent caretaker cabinet becomes permanent. IBG-NI also expressed confidence that it could come up with a solution if handed the mandate to form a government.[18] Trifonov subsequently announced that he would not support any other parties proposing a cabinet.[19] Parliament announced on 2 September that Bulgaria would hold the first round of the presidential election on 14 November, with a snap election likely to take place in the same month.[20][21]

On 6 September 2021, BSP handed back the last mandate of forming a government, meaning the parliament would be dissolved and a third parliamentary election would officially take place in 2021.[22] President Rumen Radev declared on 11 September that there would be two-in-one elections on 14 November for the first time in Bulgarian history, where voters would be able to vote on the president and the parliament. This decision was taken "to save treasury costs and voters' time".[23]

Electoral system[edit]

The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[24][25]

The President of Bulgaria is elected using the two-round system,[26] with voters also given a none of the above option.[27]

Parties and coalitions[edit]

Parliamentary parties[edit]

Party Main ideology Leader(s) Current seats
ITN Populism Slavi Trifonov
65
GERBSDS Conservatism Boyko Borisov
63
BSPzB Democratic socialism Korneliya Ninova
36
DB Liberal conservatism Hristo Ivanov
34
DPS Turkish minority interests Mustafa Karadayi
29
IBG-NI Anti-corruption Maya Manolova
13

Parties admitted to the elections[edit]

When only some of the leaders of a coalition are its official representatives, their names are in bold. All lines with a light grey background indicate support for a party or coalition that has been agreed upon outside of the official CEC electoral registration.

Name Main ideology Leader(s) July 2021 result
Votes
(%)
Seats
RVO Revival of the Fatherland 2 Left-wing nationalism Nikolay Malinov 0.37%
(LSChSR)
0 / 240
NS New Force Bulgarian nationalism Atanas Sirakov
NDLO National Movement for a Left Unification Socialism Boyan Durankev
Marian Dimitrov
Timur Glozhenski
LA Left Alternative Socialism Ivan Atanasov
Patriotic Front NFSB National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria 4 Bulgarian nationalism Valeri Simeonov 3.10%
(BP)
0 / 240
BDSR Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" Liberalism Tsvetan Manchev
BNDS Entire Bulgaria Agrarianism Georgi Valchev
Revival Revival 5 Bulgarian nationalism Kostadin Kostadinov 2.97%
0 / 240
NOD KOD Conservative Union of the Right 7 Conservatism Petar Moskov 0.28%
0 / 240
BZNS Bulgarian Agrarian National Union Agrarianism
Nikolay Nenchev
BDF Bulgarian Democratic Forum Conservatism Zhaklin Toleva
RzB Republicans for Bulgaria Conservatism
Tsvetan Tsvetanov 0.31%
BSDD Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy 8 Direct democracy Georgi Nedelchev
0 / 240
BSDE Bulgarian Social Democratic PartyEuroLeft 10 Social democracy Aleksandar Tomov
0 / 240
Ataka Attack 11 Bulgarian nationalism Volen Siderov 0,45%
0 / 240
ONB Society for a New Bulgaria 13 Bulgarian nationalism Kalin Krulev
0 / 240
GN People's Voice 14 Populism Svetoslav Vitkov 0,17%
0 / 240
DPS Movement for Rights and Freedoms 17 Turkish minority interests Mustafa Karadayi 10,57%
29 / 240
Pravoto Rights, Reforms, Alternative, Opportunities,
Responsibility, Tolerance and Unity
20 Populism Maria Koleva
0 / 240
VMRO–BND IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement 21 National conservatism Krasimir Karakachanov 3.10%
(BP)
0 / 240
BNO Bulgarian National Unification 22 Bulgarian nationalism Georgi Georgiev-Goti
0 / 240
Volya Volya Movement 23 Right-wing populism Veselin Mareshki 3.10%
(BP)
0 / 240
ITN There Is Such a People 24 Populism Slavi Trifonov 23,78%
65 / 240
We Continue
the Change
PP We Continue the Change 25 Anti-corruption Kiril Petkov New
0 / 240
Volt Volt Bulgaria European federalism Nastimir Ananiev
SEC Middle European Class Pro-Europeanism Georgi Manev
PDS Political Movement "Social Democrats" Social democracy Elena Noneva
MIR Morality, Initiative and Patriotism 26 Conservatism Simeon Slavchev 0,12%
0 / 240
BOG Prosperity-Unification-Building 27 Patriotism Ivan Gaberov
0 / 240
BNS–ND Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy 28 Anti-immigration Boris Ivanov
Bogdan Yotsov
0,17%
0 / 240
PD Direct Democracy 29 Direct democracy Petar Klisarov 0,11%
0 / 240
Democratic
Bulgaria
DB Yes, Bulgaria! 30 Liberalism Hristo Ivanov 9,31%
27 / 240
DSB Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria Conservatism Atanas Atanasov
ZD Green Movement Green politics Borislav Sandov
Vladislav Panev
DEN Dignity of a United People Liberalism Naiden Zelenogorski
Stand Up.BG!
We are coming!
D21 Movement 21 31 Social democracy Tatyana Doncheva 4,95%
13 / 240
DBG Bulgaria for Citizens Movement Liberal conservatism Dimitar Delchev
ENP United People's Party Liberalism Valentina Vasileva-Filadelfevs
ZNS Agrarian People's Union Agrarianism Rumen Yonchev
IS.BG Stand Up.BG Anti-corruption
Maya Manolova
OT Poisonous Trio and Citizens Direct democracy
Nikolay Hadjigenov
GERB – SDS GERB GERB 32 Conservatism
Boyko Borisov 23,21%
63 / 240
SDS Union of Democratic Forces Conservatism
Rumen Hristov
DG George's Day Movement Conservatism Dragomir Stefanov
BSP for
Bulgaria
BSP Bulgarian Socialist Party 33 Social democracy Korneliya Ninova 14,78%
43 / 240
NZ New Dawn Left-wing nationalism Mincho Minchev
CPB Communist Party of Bulgaria Communism
Aleksandar Paunov
Ecoglasnost Green politics
Emil Georgiev
Trakiya Trakiya Political Club Bulgarian nationalism Stefan Nachev
ABV Alternative for Bulgarian Revival Social democracy Rumen Petkov
BL Bulgarian Left Democratic socialism Boyan Kirov
BP Bulgarian Spring Social democracy Velizar Enchev
DSH Movement for Social Humanism Progressivism Alexander Radoslavov
DNK Movement of Independent Candidates Left-wing populism Boyko Mladenov
Boyko Nikiforov
Mincho Kuminev
Ognyan Boyukliev
NS People's Force Left-wing nationalism Georgi Dimov
ND Normal State Georgi Kadiev
OKZNI All-People's Committee for the Protection of National Interests
SENKO Council of the European Scientific and Cultural Community
SO Union for the Fatherland Vasil Tochkov
FPB Federation of Consumers in Bulgaria Consumer interests Emil Georgiev
ND ZSCD For Social and Civic Development Mladen Ivanov
NSZ National Syndicate "Protection" Krasimir Mitov
OBT United Bloc of Labour Social democracy Ekaterina Atanasova
BPL Bulgarian Progressive Line 34 Democratic socialism Krassimir Yankov 0.37%
(LSChSR)
0 / 240
Greens Green Party 35 Green politics Vladimir Nikolov 0,12%
0 / 240
Brigada Brigade 36 Arben Khavalyov 0,08%
0 / 240

Presidential candidates[edit]

Candidates admitted to the elections[edit]

Name Running mate Parties or coalitions supporting the campaign Sources
Yolo Denev

Politician and writer

Mario Filev 1 [28]
Nikolay Malinov

Chairman of the party Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland

Svetlana Koseva Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland 2 [28]
Rosen Milenov

Former national security officer

Ivan Ivanov 3 [28]
Valeri Simeonov

Chairman of the party National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria

Tsvetan Mancev NFSB, BNDS "Whole Bulgaria", Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" 4 [28]
Kostadin Kostadinov

Chairman of the party Revival

Elena Guncheva Revival 5 [28]
Rumen Radev
Incumbent President of Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova
ITN, BSPzB, PP, IBG-NI 6 [28]
Goran Blagoev

Politician and journalist

Ivelina Georgieva Conservative Association of the Right and Republicans for Bulgaria 7 [28]
Blagoy Petrevski

Politician

Sevina Hadjiyska Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy 8 [28]
Marina Malcheva

Politician

Savina Lukanova 9 [28]
Aleksander Tomov

Chairman of the Bulgarian Social Democratic Party

Lachezar Avramov. Bulgarian Social Democratic PartyBulgarian Euro-Left 10 [28]
Volen Siderov

Chairman of the party Attack

Magdalena Tasheva Attack 11 [28]
Boyan Rasate

Chairman of the party Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy

Elena Vatashka BNU-ND 12 [28]
Zhelyo Zhelev

Politician

Kalin Krulev Society for a New Bulgaria 13 [28]
Anastas Gerdzhikov
Rector of Sofia University
Nevyana Miteva GERBSDS 14 [28]
Svetoslav Vitkov

Chairman of the party People's Voice

Veselin Belokonski People's Voice 15 [28]
Luna Yordanova

Singer and television personality

Iglena Ilieva 16 [28]
Mustafa Karadaya
Chairman of the Movement for Rights and Freedoms
Iskra Mihaylova DPS 17 [28]
Tsveta Kirilova

Journalist and television presenter

Georgi Tatunov 18 [28]
Lozan Panov
Chairman of the Supreme Court of Cassation of Bulgaria
Maria Kasimova Justice for All Initiative and DB 19 [28]
Maria Koleva

Director and writer

Gancho Popov Law Party 20 [28]
Milen Mihov

Vice chairman of the party IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement

Mariya Tsvetkova. IMRO–BNM 21 [28]
Georgi Georgiev

Politician

Stoyan Tsvetkov BNO 22 [28]
Veselin Mareshki

Chairman of the party Volya Movement

Polina Tsankova Volya Movement 23 [28]

Campaign[edit]

The campaign started after the election was officially announced to take place on 14 November. The pandemic remained a large issue, especially with the rise of the Delta variant in the country.[29] The anti-corruption parties (ITN, DB, and IBG-NI) are all looking to hold their ground, while the traditional parties (GERB, DPS, and BSP) want to capitalise over the frustrations the public has with the inability to form a government. The elections are widely being hoped to bring an end to the political stalemate that has lasted since the April 2021 elections when no govermment could be formed. This time, there is more pressure on the anti-establishment parties to start negotiating a coalition government after the elections.[30]

After the president announced the new caretaker cabinet,[31] the two economy and finance ministers who were replaced in the reshuffle, Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev, declared that they would compete in the November election, as part of a new coalition named We Continue the Change.[32] This coalition hopes to be a new anti-corruption force that can unite all others to effectively form a government.

The global energy crisis was a large issue in the campaign, with natural gas prices soaring to record highs.[33] Different parties are offering their solutions on how to fix this, with some supporting relying more on Russia for energy, while others look to nuclear power in the longer term. This has tied into the high levels of inflation in the country, hitting record levels at 4.8% in September,[34] which has caused public dissatisfaction.

Another large issue has been on COVID-19 vaccinations. Due to a low vaccine take-up and high rises in the number of cases, the caretaker government implemented a green pass, or also known as the vaccine passport.[35] The green pass introduces the rule that citizens must have proof of their vaccination status in several locations such as hospitals, schools and restaurants. Because of this, it caused widespread protests,[36] that could end up harming the incumbent government, especially President Radev.

On 6 October, the instructions of the Minister of Health and the Chief State Health Inspector for voting were approved, they do not differ from those for the elections on 11 July. Deputy Chairman of the Central Election Commission, Rositsa Mateva, said ”there is no requirement for a green certificate for voting in the parliamentary and presidential elections on 14 November.”[37]

Bulgaria’s Central Election Commission accepted the registrations of 23 candidates in for the presidential elections, the number of candidates were announced after the 12 October deadline for applications. This is the largest number of candidates in a presidential election in Bulgaria since the country began direct democratic elections of its head of state; previously, the highest number was 21, which occurred in 1992 and 2016.[38]

OSCE announced it would send an observation team to the general elections in a statement, "following an invitation from the authorities of Bulgaria and in accordance with its mandate, ODIHR has deployed an Election Assessment Mission (EAM) for these elections." It noted that ODIHR had previously observed 12 elections in the country, most recently the 11 July 2021 early parliamentary elections.[39]

Opinion polls[edit]

Legislative election[edit]

Graphical representation of recalculated data

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample Turnout range[a] Certain undecided turnout ITN GERBSDS BSP DB DPS IBG-NI VMRO Revival PP Others None of the above Lead
November 2021 election 14 November 2021 9.5% 22.7% 10.2% 6.4% 13.0% 2.3% 1.1% 4.9% 25.7% 4.2% 1.4% 2.8%
Gallup Exit-Poll 9.3% 23.1% 10.4% 6.4% 11.4% 3.0% 1.1% 5.0% 26.3% 3.6% 3.2%
Alpha Research Exit-Poll 9.6% 23.2% 10.9% 6.5% 10.7% 2.6% 1.1% 4.8% 26.3% 1.8% 3.1%
Alpha Research 7−9 Nov 2021 1017 [47%-73%] 9.9% 24.1% 16% 10.2% 9.8% 3.6% 3.8% 16.5% 6.1% 7.6%
Barometar 4−9 Nov 2021 839 [43.3%–61.7%] 13.4% 26.4% 15.8% 8.1% 11.4% 2.9% 3.7% 1.5% 11.2% 5.5% 10.6%
Gallup 1−9 Nov 2021 1006 ~48% 11.4% 23.5% 15.2% 9.6% 11.3% 3.4% 2.1% 3.5% 15.5% 4.5% 8%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 4−8 Nov 2021 1016 [66.9%-86.1%] 13.5% 12.2% 23.5% 14.6% 11% 10.3% 4.2% 16.2% 8% 7.3%
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 12.2% 25.4% 15.6% 9.7% 10.6% 4.2% 3.1% 17.3% 1.9% 8.1%
Trend 1–7 Nov 2021 1013 45% 12.8% 22.9% 15.1% 9.1% 10.3% 3.3% 2.2% 3.6% 14.8% 5.9% 7.8%
Market Links 2−7 Nov 2021 1112 [58%–90%] 4.5% 9.7% 23% 12.1% 10.5% 11.2% 4.1% 1.2% 3% 16.3% 1.2% 8.9% 6.7%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 [65%-66%] [8%-9%] 12.5% 23.8% 15% 9.2% 9.5% 3.5% 2.5% 3% 15.5% 3.7% 1.8% 8.3%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 [52.4%–85.8%] 13.4% 23.8% 16.7% 9.1% 9.7% 4.1% 2.1% 2.5% 15.6% 1.9% 1.1% 7.1%
Sociology Web Researcher 1 Oct−1 Nov 2021 43,987 48% 19.3% 22.1% 16.6% 8.5% 10.3% 2.9% 2.1% 3.3% 10.1% 4.8% 2.8%
Gallup 23−31 Oct 2021 1081 [58.2%–78.2%] ~15.6%
odds
11.3% 24.2% 15.7% 9.8% 11.1% 3.1% 2.3% 3.3% 13.7% 5.5% 6.1%-
8.5%
Estat 23−31 Oct 2021 993 [58%-84.2%] 15.2% 24.1% 18.1% 7.4% 9.2% 3.3% 2.3% 3.3% 14.3% 2.8% 6%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 22−26 Oct 2021 815 [69.1%-82.1%] 16.4% 12.3% 22.3% 15.1% 11.8% 10.3% 3.2% 1.2% 2.5% 15.8% 3% 0.3% 6.5%
Barometar 13−18 Oct 2021 858 [42.2%–61.5%] 14.3% 26.2% 14.9% 8.8% 11.6% 2.9% 3.7% 1.5% 10.5% 5.5% 11.3%
Gallup 10−17 Oct 2021 1009 [54.2%–74.2%] 12.2% 22.5% 15.1% 11.2% 10.8% 3.7% 2.3% 2.9% 13.4% 5.9% 7.4%
Exacta 6−12 Oct 2021 1025 49% 12% 15.2% 23.5% 15% 10.2% 9.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% 15.5% 4.2% 8%
Sova Harris 5−12 Oct 2021 1010 [55.2%–87.1%] 14.4% 24.2% 19.1% 9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.8% 1.9% 14.6% 0.4% 1.7% 5.1%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 6−10 Oct 2021 812 11.7% 24.2% 15.8% 10.3% 11% 3.2% 0.7% 1.7% 12.8% 3.7% 0.7% 8.4%
Alpha Research 4−10 Oct 2021 1123 47.6% 10.6% 10.4% 23.1% 16.8% 10.9% 9.3% 3.2% 2.1% 2.9% 15.9% 5.4% 6.3%
Sociology Web Researcher 1 Sep−1 Oct 2021 86,376 56% 4.7% 22.9% 24.3% 14.1% 6.9% 7.1% 2.8% 1.8% 3.2% 7.8% 4.4% 1.4%
Gallup 21−26 Sep 2021 2000 [50.6%–73.2%] 12.3% 21.4% 13.4% 12.1% 11.4% 4.1% 2.2% 3.3% 15.2% 4.6% 6.2%
Market Links 14−20 Sep 2021 1076 [57%–90%] 5.4% 14.9% 25% 16% 13.1% 10.8% 3.6% 3.5% 11.9% 1.1% 9%
Barometar 12−16 Sep 2021 810 [35.4%–55.9%] 15.1% 25.6% 13.2% 9.2% 11.9% 3.2% 3.8% 3% 15% 10.5%
Trend 8–15 Sep 2021 1012 53% 17.5% 24.4% 16.6% 8.5% 9.3% 3.8% 2.2% 2.9% 9.1% 5.7% 6.9%
Alpha Research 8−15 Sep 2021 1017 51.7% 4.6% 18.6% 23.2% 18.1% 14.5% 10.5% 4.5% 3.8% 6.8% 4.6%
Gallup 2−10 Sep 2021 1007 [47.1%–70.9%] 15.5% 22.5% 16.1% 15.8% 11.9% 4.8% 2.4% 3.1% 7.9% 6.4%
Market Links 13−22 Aug 2021 1055 [52%–90%] 4.5% 17.2% 23.7% 17.2% 18.1% 12% 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% 5.6%
Trend 23–30 Jul 2021 1006 21.6% 22.4% 14.5% 14.1% 10.2% 4.4% 1.9% 2.9% 8% 0.8%
Market Links 21–28 Jul 2021 1059 [48%–88%] 4.1% 22.6% 19.8% 17.9% 17.2% 9.6% 5.4% 2.1%[b] 3.7% 1.4% 2.8%
July 2021 election 11 July 2021 40.4% 23.8% 23.2% 13.2% 12.5% 10.6% 5% 3.1%[b] 3% 4.4% 1.3% 0.6%

Presidential election[edit]

Graphical representation of recalculated data
First round

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample Turnout range[c] Certain undecided turnout
Rumen Radev official portrait (cropped).jpg Anastas Gerdzhikov (cropped).jpg Мустафа Карадайы.jpg Костадин Костадинов снимка.jpg Valeri Simeonov 2017-11-15 (cropped).jpg Volen Siderov ATAKA.jpg Mareshi1.JPG Others None of the above Lead
Radev
Ind.[d]
Gerdzhikov
Ind.[e]
Karadayi
DPS
Panov
Ind.[f]
Kostadinov
Revival
Simeonov
PF
Siderov
Attack
Mihov
VMRO
Mareshki
Volya
Yordanova
Ind.
November 2021 election 14 November 2021 49.4% 22.8% 11.5% 3.7% 3.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 4.4% 2.3% 26.6%
Alpha Research Exit-Poll 50.1% 23.8% 9.6% 3.5% 4.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 26.3%
Gallup Exit-Poll 50.0% 24.0% 9.1% 3.5% 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 4.5% 2.4% 26.0%
Alpha Research 7−9 Nov 2021 1017 [47%-73%] 46.4% 28.3% 8.8% 6.9% 3.2% 6.4% 18.1%
Exacta 6−9 Nov 2021 1025 [47%-48%] [8%-9%] 48.0% 27.9% 9.0% 6.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 0.4% 20.1%
Barometar 4−9 Nov 2021 839 [50.5%–63.4%] 44.6% 27.3% 11.4% 6.4% 2.1% 3.1% 5.2% 17.3%
Gallup 1−9 Nov 2021 1006 ~48% 48.6% 25.3% 9.1% 5.2% 3.0% 1.5% 1.1% 4.1% 2.1% 23.3%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 4−8 Nov 2021 1016 [66.9%-80.9%] 14.6% 48.2% 22.8% 9.1% 7.3% 2.0% 1.1% 9.5% 25.4%
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 48.3% 25.6% 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 1.4% 3.1% 22.7%
Trend 1–7 Nov 2021 1013 43% 46.8% 24.4% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.6% 1.0% 6.8% 22.4%
Market Links 2−7 Nov 2021 1112 [58%–90%] 2.8% 46.7% 25.6% 10.3% 7.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.9% 4.9% 21.1%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 [66%-67%] [8%-9%] 48.0% 27.1% 7.5% 7.0% 2.2% 0.7% 1.5% 4.1% 1.9% 20.9%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 [52.4%–85.8%] 56.2% 23.5% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% 32.7%
Gallup 23−31 Oct 2021 1081 [57.1%–77.1%] 47.6% 25.1% 8.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 1.1% 4.8% 2.5% 22.5%
Estat 23−31 Oct 2021 993 [54.7%-84.5%] 49.7% 27.3% 5.4% 8.3% 3.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.8% 2% 22.4%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 22−26 Oct 2021 815 [70.6%-83.1%] 17.4% 47.5% 21.8% 8.6% 6.2% 1.7% 0.8% 4.6% 0.5% 26.7%
Barometar 13−18 Oct 2021 858 [54%-65.5%] 44.8% 27.3% 11.2% 6.8% 1.9% 3.0% 4.9% 17.5%
Gallup 10−17 Oct 2021 1009 56.4% 51.2% 22.5% 7.9% 6.2% 3.1% 1.6% 1.1% 3.7% 2.7% 28.7%
Sova Harris 5−12 Oct 2021 1010 [55.2%–87.1%] 60.4% 24.8% 6.1% 5.3% 3.4% 35.6%
Centre for Analysis and Marketing 6−10 Oct 2021 812 <50% 49.5% 22.3% 9.1% 7.5% 1.7% 0.7% 1% 4.9% 27.3%
Alpha Research 4−10 Oct 2021 1123 52.7% 11.3% 42.6% 28.1% 8.7% 8.2% 3.9% 1.8% 1.6% 3.9% 14.5%
2016 election 6 November 2016 56.3% 25.4% 11.2% 57.8% 5.6% 3.4%
Hypothetical second round
Polling Firm Fieldwork
Date
Sample Rumen Radev official portrait (cropped).jpgRadev Anastas Gerdzhikov (cropped).jpg Gerdzhikov Panov Lead
Mediana 4–8 Nov 2021 957 65.5% 35.5% 30%
Exacta 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 1025 63.5% 36.5% 27%
Sova Harris 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 1000 67% 33% 34%
Estat 23–31 Oct 2021 490 62.2% 37.8% 24.4%
Sova Harris 5–12 Oct 2021 1010 70.6% 29.4% 41.2%
86.7% 13.3% 73.4%
2016 election 13 November 2016 59.4% 23.2%

Results[edit]

Polling stations opened at 08:00 and closed at 20:00.[40]

The winner of the elections were Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev.[41] Their party (We Continue the Change) garnered more than 25% of the vote. GERB remained second with more than 22%. DPS finished third place by over 13%, overtaking BSP. BSP had a disappointing result finishing fourth with around 10%. There Is Such a People, the winner of the last election, was seen as the election loser, dropping to fifth and gathering less than 10% of the vote. Democratic Bulgaria also significantly reduced their score by losing over 50% of the voters from the last election, gaining only around 6%. Lastly, Revival managed to enter the parliament with around 5% of the votes, running on a campaign of opposing vaccine mandates and Bulgarian nationalism. Stand Up BG! We're coming! lost all their seats in the parliament, gathering only 2%, whilst IMRO was unsuccessful in entering parliament.[42]

We Continue the Change was the first political force in 14 districts of the country, including all three of Sofia, the capital city. They also hold major cities such as Burgas, Varna and Plovdiv. GERB-SDS won in 12 districts, including Sofia-Oblast, Gabrovo, and Blagoevgrad. DPS was first in 5 districts in Kardzhali and Razgrad, as well as in Targovishte, Silistra, and Shumen. Overseas, the results of the parliamentary vote differ from those in the country, as DPS gathered the most votes abroad with over 38% support. In second place abroad was We Continue the Change with over 22 percent. There Is Such a People, which was helped by the votes abroad, finished third, and GERB-SDS ranked fourth.[42]

Incumbent president Radev gathered around 49% of the vote, being forced into a runoff, facing the university professor Gerdzhikov on 21 November.[43]

President[edit]

CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Rumen RadevIliana IotovaIndependent (BSPzB, PP, ITN, IBG-NI)1,322,38549.42
Anastas GerdzhikovNevyana MitevaIndependent (GERBSDS)610,86222.83
Mustafa KaradayiIskra MihaylovaMovement for Rights and Freedoms309,68111.57
Kostadin KostadinovElena GunchevaRevival104,8323.92
Lozan PanovMaria KasimovaIndependent (Democratic Bulgaria)98,4883.68
Luna YordanovaIglena IlievaIndependent21,7330.81
Volen SiderovMagdalena TashevaAttack14,7920.55
Svetoslav VitkovVeselin BelokonskiPeople's Voice13,9720.52
Milen MihovMariya TsvetkovaIMRO – Bulgarian National Movement13,3760.50
Rosen MilenovIvan IvanovIndependent12,6440.47
Goran BlagoevIvelina GeorgievaRepublicans for Bulgaria12,3230.46
Veselin MareshkiPolina TsankovaVolya Movement10,5360.39
Valeri SimeonovTsvetan ManchevPatriotic Front8,5680.32
Nikolay MalinovSvetlana KosevaRussophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland8,2130.31
Tsveta KirilovaGeorgi TutanovIndependent7,7060.29
Aleksandar TomovLachezar AvramovBulgarian Social Democratic PartyEuroLeft7,2350.27
Boyan RasateElena VatashkaBulgarian National Union – New Democracy6,7980.25
Marina MalchevaSavina LukanovaIndependent6,3150.24
Zhelyo ZhelevKalin KrulevSociety for a New Bulgaria6,1540.23
Blagoy PetrevskiSevina HadjiyskaBulgarian Union for Direct Democracy5,5180.21
Yolo DenevMario FilevIndependent5,3940.20
Maria KolevaGancho PopovPravoto4,6660.17
Georgi Georgiev-GotiStoyan TsvetkovBulgarian National Unification2,9580.11
None of the above60,7862.27
Total2,675,935100.00
Valid votes2,675,93599.65
Invalid/blank votes9,4870.35
Total votes2,685,422100.00
Registered voters/turnout6,949,93838.64
Source: Electoral Commission of Bulgaria

National Assembly[edit]

Bulgaria National Assembly November 2021.svg
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
We Continue the Change673,14125.3267New
GERBSDS596,45622.4459–4
Movement for Rights and Freedoms340,99712.8334+5
BSP for Bulgaria267,81610.0726–10
There Is Such a People249,7269.3925–40
Democratic Bulgaria166,9666.2816–18
Revival127,5494.8013+13
Stand Up.BG! We are coming!60,0572.260–13
IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement28,3191.0700
Bulgarian Social Democratic PartyEuroLeft13,7100.5200
Attack12,1530.4600
Society for a New Bulgaria11,6320.440New
People's Voice11,5480.4300
National Union of the Right11,2400.4200
Patriotic Front8,6020.3200
Volya Movement7,0810.2700
Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland6,8030.2600
Pravoto6,7130.250New
Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy5,8940.220New
Morality, Initiative and Patriotism3,9470.1500
Green Party2,9680.1100
Bulgarian National Unification2,4680.0900
Prosperity-Unification-Building1,7230.060New
Bulgarian Progressive Line1,4980.0600
Direct Democracy1,3430.0500
Brigade1,1510.0400
Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy1,0990.0400
Independents1830.0100
None of the above35,7391.34
Total2,658,522100.002400
Registered voters/turnout6,635,305
Source: Electoral Commission of Bulgaria

Aftermath[edit]

Hristo Ivanov and the entire party leadership of Yes, Bulgaria! announced on 15 November their resignation following the DB coalition's poor results in the 14 November elections.[44]

Kornelia Ninova, the leader of BSP, also resigned after her party's "catastrophic" result. They achieved their worst ever result, falling into 4th place.[45]

Following the win of PP, Petkov told reporters after initial results were released that "Bulgaria is taking a new path. If we can stop [corruption] and redistribute money for the well-being of the taxpayers, then we should be able to come to an agreement with several parties." Petkov said he is willing to partner with all parties that would join the fight against corruption in Bulgaria.[46] Petkov announced he was seeking to become prime minister and said he wants to pursue "transparent" coalition negotiations with DB and There Is Such a People.[47]

Analysts such as Boryana Dimitrova and Parvan Simeonov predicted that We Continue the Change, There Is Such a People, DB, and BSP will form a coalition.[48]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Minimum and maximum values.
  2. ^ a b Result of Bulgarian Patriots
  3. ^ Minimum and maximum values.
  4. ^ Supported by BSP for Bulgaria, ITN, PP, Stand Up.BG, Volt Bulgaria, ABV, Movement 21, SSD, OBT and PDS
  5. ^ Supported by GERB, SDS, BZNS and DG
  6. ^ Supported by Democratic Bulgaria

References[edit]

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  2. ^ "Bulgarians vote in elections for third time this year". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 14 November 2021.
  3. ^ Sofia, Agence France-Presse in (11 September 2021). "Crisis-hit Bulgaria to hold new snap election on 14 November". the Guardian. Retrieved 11 September 2021.
  4. ^ "Bulgaria to hold 3rd parliamentary election of 2021". The Edwardsville Intelligencer. 11 September 2021. Retrieved 11 September 2021.
  5. ^ "Bulgaria will hold November 14 presidential vote amid political crisis". POLITICO. 2 September 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  6. ^ "Bulgaria to hold presidential election on Nov. 14". Reuters. 2 September 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  7. ^ "Bulgaria to hold runoff for presidential elections". www.aa.com.tr. Retrieved 16 November 2021.
  8. ^ Tsolova, Tsvetelia (16 November 2021). "Bulgaria's centrist party launches coalition talks after surprise election win". Reuters. Retrieved 16 November 2021.
  9. ^ "Electoral Commission of Bulgaria 2021 results" (in Bulgarian).
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  11. ^ "Bulgaria's Winning Party Withdraws Proposed Cabinet, Paving Way For New Vote". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 14 August 2021.
  12. ^ "Bulgaria Edges Closer to Third Election in a Year". Balkan Insight. 10 August 2021. Retrieved 14 August 2021.
  13. ^ "Bulgaria's Winning Party Withdraws Proposed Cabinet, Paving Way For New Vote". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 14 August 2021.
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  24. ^ Bulgaria IFES
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  26. ^ Bulgaria IFES
  27. ^ Bulgaria’s 2016 presidential elections: Voters to have ‘I don’t support anyone’ option Sofia Glove, 9 October 2016
  28. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w "Order of presidential candidates on ballot paper and order of parties and coalitions for November 14 two-in-one elections determined by draw". bnt.bg. Retrieved 11 November 2021.
  29. ^ "Bulgaria battles surge in COVID-19 cases amid vaccine opposition". euronews. 8 September 2021. Retrieved 11 September 2021.
  30. ^ Crowcroft, Orlando (12 November 2021). "Bulgaria gets ready for its third election in eight months". euronews. Retrieved 13 November 2021.
  31. ^ "Bulgarian President Radev names reshuffled caretaker Cabinet". The Sofia Globe. 16 September 2021. Retrieved 3 October 2021.
  32. ^ "Former caretaker ministers Kiril Petkov and Assen Vassilev to announce their political project today". bnr.bg. Retrieved 3 October 2021.
  33. ^ "Amid soaring prices, millions in Europe could struggle to heat homes". euronews. 6 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
  34. ^ "Bulgaria's inflation reaches nine-year peak in September". www.intellinews.com. 19 October 2021. Retrieved 23 October 2021.
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  36. ^ Reuters (20 October 2021). "Hundreds protest against Bulgaria's COVID health pass". Reuters. Retrieved 23 October 2021.
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  40. ^ "Presidential, legislative elections kick off in Bulgaria – La Prensa Latina Media". Retrieved 14 November 2021.
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  44. ^ "Elections: Hristo Ivanov and the Entire Management of 'Yes, Bulgaria' Resign – Novinite.com – Sofia News Agency". www.novinite.com. Retrieved 15 November 2021.
  45. ^ "Leader of the Bulgarian Socialists Kornelia Ninova has Resigned – Novinite.com – Sofia News Agency". www.novinite.com. Retrieved 17 November 2021.
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