2022 South Australian state election

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2022 South Australian state election

← 2018 19 March 2022 2026 →

All 47 seats in the South Australian House of Assembly
24 seats are needed for a majority
11 (of the 22) seats in the South Australian Legislative Council
  PremierMarshall2018.jpg Peter Malinauskas.jpg
Leader Steven Marshall Peter Malinauskas
Party Liberal Labor
Leader since 4 February 2013 9 April 2018
Leader's seat Dunstan Croydon
Last election 25 seats 19 seats
Seats needed Steady Increase5
TPP @ 2018 51.9% 48.1%

Incumbent Premier

Steven Marshall
Liberal



The 2022 South Australian state election will elect members to the 55th Parliament of South Australia on 19 March 2022. All seats in the House of Assembly or lower house, whose current members were elected at the 2018 election, and half the seats in the Legislative Council or upper house, last filled at the 2014 election, will become vacant. The first term incumbent Liberal Party of Australia (SA) government, currently led by Premier Steven Marshall, will seek a second four-year term and will be challenged by the Australian Labor Party (SA) opposition, currently led by Opposition Leader Peter Malinauskas.

Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates in the lower house and optional preference single transferable voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament.

Background[edit]

House of Assembly[edit]

In the House of Assembly at the 2018 election, the Liberal opposition formed a two-seat majority government with 25 of 47 seats, after retaining three of the four redistributed notionally Liberal seats won by Labor at the 2014 election (Colton, Elder and Newland) and winning the newly-created notionally ultra marginal Labor seat of King. The former 16-year four-term Labor government went in to opposition with 19 seats. The crossbench was represented by 3 independents: Frances Bedford, Troy Bell and Geoff Brock. Despite the change of government, there was actually a statewide two-party-preferred swing away from the Liberals toward Labor.[1][2][3][4]

Legislative Council[edit]

In the Legislative Council at the 2018 election, the 11 of 22 seats up for election were 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 1 Green, 1 Conservative and 1 Dignity. The final outcome was 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 2 SA Best and 1 Green.[3][5][6] Conservative MLC Dennis Hood, who had been elected as a Family First MLC in 2014, defected to the Liberals nine days after the 2018 state election.[7][8] The 22 seat upper house composition is therefore 9 Liberal on the government benches, 8 Labor on the opposition benches, and 5 to minor parties on the crossbench, consisting of 2 SA Best, 2 Green, and 1 Advance SA.[3] The government therefore requires at least three additional non-government members to form a majority and carry votes on the floor.[9]

Pendulum[edit]

Metropolitan seats
Inner-rural seats
Outer-rural seats
LIBERAL SEATS (25)
Marginal
King Paula Luethen LIB 0.7%
Adelaide Rachel Sanderson LIB 1.0%
Heysen Josh Teague LIB 1.8% v SAB
Newland Richard Harvey LIB 2.0%
Elder Carolyn Habib LIB 4.4%
Finniss David Basham LIB 4.6% v SAB
Fairly safe
Dunstan Steven Marshall LIB 6.1%
Hartley Vincent Tarzia LIB 7.8%
Waite Sam Duluk LIB 7.8%
Colton Matt Cowdrey LIB 7.9%
Chaffey Tim Whetstone LIB 8.6% v SAB
Black David Speirs LIB 8.7%
Davenport Steve Murray LIB 8.8%
Gibson Corey Wingard LIB 9.3%
Narungga Fraser Ellis LIB 9.5% v SAB
Kavel Dan Cregan LIB 9.7% v SAB
Safe
Morphett Stephen Patterson LIB 10.5%
Morialta John Gardner LIB 10.7%
Unley David Pisoni LIB 11.3%
Hammond Adrian Pederick LIB 12.1% v SAB
Schubert Stephan Knoll LIB 14.3%
Bragg Vickie Chapman LIB 17.4%
MacKillop Nick McBride LIB 17.6% v SAB
Stuart Dan van Holst Pellekaan LIB 23.1%
Flinders Peter Treloar LIB 26.3%
LABOR SEATS (19)
Marginal
Mawson Leon Bignell ALP 0.3%
Wright Blair Boyer ALP 3.5%
Lee Stephen Mullighan ALP 3.8%
Torrens Dana Wortley ALP 4.6%
Hurtle Vale Nat Cook ALP 5.3%
Badcoe Jayne Stinson ALP 5.5%
Taylor Jon Gee ALP 5.7% v SAB
Fairly safe
Giles Eddie Hughes ALP 7.4% v SAB
Light Tony Piccolo ALP 9.9%
Safe
Port Adelaide Susan Close ALP 11.1% v SAB
Enfield Andrea Michaels ALP 11.6% v IND
West Torrens Tom Koutsantonis ALP 13.2%
Elizabeth Lee Odenwalder ALP 13.9% v SAB
Reynell Katrine Hildyard ALP 14.5%
Kaurna Chris Picton ALP 14.9%
Ramsay Zoe Bettison ALP 15.5% v SAB
Playford Michael Brown ALP 16.3%
Croydon Peter Malinauskas ALP 24.4%
Cheltenham Joe Szakacs ALP 24.5% v LDP
INDEPENDENT SEATS (3)
Florey Frances Bedford IND 6.1% v ALP
Frome Geoff Brock IND 8.2% v LIB
Mt Gambier Troy Bell IND 10.3% v LIB

Date[edit]

The last state election was held on 17 March 2018 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a Commonwealth election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the Government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[10] This means that barring unforeseen events, the election will be held on 19 March 2022.

The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 introduced set dates for writs for general elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, 6 days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon 3 days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)).

Polling[edit]

House of Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP BST GRN OTH LIB ALP
16 Mar 2019 YouGov Galaxy [11] 42% 37% 7% 7% 10% 52% 48%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Antony Green. "2018 SA election results". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  2. ^ "House of Assembly State Summary". Electoral Commission of South Australia. Government of South Australia. March 2018. Retrieved 17 March 2018.
  3. ^ a b c Antony Green (2018-04-04). "Final Results of the 2018 South Australian Election". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  4. ^ "Notional two-party preferred results". ECSA. Archived from the original on 4 April 2018. Retrieved 4 April 2018.
  5. ^ "2018 Legislative Council election results: ECSA 23 April 2018". Archived from the original on 24 April 2018. Retrieved 24 April 2018.
  6. ^ William Bowe (2018-03-18). "Third time lucky". Pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  7. ^ "Dennis Hood dumps Cory Bernardi's Australian Conservatives to join SA Liberals". Abc.net.au. 2018-03-26. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  8. ^ ""We didn't realise the power of Family First": Fallen Conservative rues botched re-branding". Indaily.com.au. 2018-03-20. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  9. ^ ""They're dickheads": Darley kills off power-sharing deal with X-colleagues". Indaily.com.au. 2018-04-23. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
  10. ^ "Australian elections timetable". Australian Parliamentary Library. Retrieved 5 February 2013.
  11. ^ "First Published poll of the state voting intention in South Australia". adelaidenow.com.au. 16 March 2019. Retrieved 16 March 2019.