2022 United States Senate elections
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35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent running Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent running Republican incumbent retiring No election Rectangular inset (Oklahoma): both seats up for election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class III senators were last elected in 2016, and will be up for election again in 2022.
All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class III currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. Two special elections will also be held in California to fill the final weeks of Kamala Harris's term[1] and Oklahoma to serve the four remaining years of Jim Inhofe's term.
Five Republican senators, Richard Shelby (AL), Roy Blunt (MO), Richard Burr (NC), Rob Portman (OH), Pat Toomey (PA) and one Democratic senator, Patrick Leahy (VT) have announced that they are not seeking re-election in addition to Inhofe; 15 Republicans and 13 Democrats are running for re-election.
Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 House elections, will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve beginning in the 118th United States Congress. Democrats have held a majority in the Senate since January 20, 2021, following the party's twin victories in the runoffs for Georgia's regularly-scheduled and special 2020 Senate elections, and the inauguration of Democrat Kamala Harris as Vice President. There are 48 Democratic Senators and 2 independent Senators who caucus with them; with Harris's tie-breaking vote, the Democrats hold an effective 51-seat majority in the chamber.
Partisan composition[edit]
| Parties | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Independent | Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last election (2020) | 48 | 2 | 50 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Before these elections | 48 | 2 | 50 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Not up | 34 | 2 | 30 | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 1 (2018→2024) | 21 | 2 | 10 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 2 (2020→2026) | 13 | 0 | 20 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Up | 14 | 0 | 20 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 3 (2016→2022) | 14 | 0 | 20 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Special: Class 2 & 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| General election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent retiring (declared) | 1 | — | 5 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent running (declared) | 13 | — | 15 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Special elections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Appointee running | 1 | — | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In contrast to 2018, where Democrats were defending 10 seats in states that Donald Trump won in 2016, Democrats hold no seats in any state that was won by Trump in 2020. Meanwhile, the GOP is defending two seats (Wisconsin and Pennsylvania) in states President Joe Biden won in 2020, compared to just one seat (Nevada won by Hillary Clinton in 2016) that was up for grabs in 2018.
Change in composition[edit]
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections[edit]
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| D40 Hawaii Running |
D39 Ga. Running |
D38 Conn. Running |
D37 Colo. Running |
D36 Calif. Running |
D35 Ariz. Running |
D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
| D41 Ill. Running |
D42 Md. Running |
D43 Nev. Running |
D44 N.H. Running |
D45 N.Y. Running |
D46 Ore. Running |
D47 Vt. Retiring |
D48 Wash. Running |
I1 | I2 |
| Majority (with Independents and Vice President) ↑ | |||||||||
| R41 N.C. Retiring |
R42 N.D. Running |
R43 Ohio Retiring |
R44 Okla. (reg) Running |
R45 Okla. (sp) Retiring |
R46 Pa. Retiring |
R47 S.C. Running |
R48 S.D. Running |
R49 Utah Running |
R50 Wisc. Running |
| R40 Mo. Retiring |
R39 La. Running |
R38 Ky. Running |
R37 Kans. Running |
R36 Iowa Running |
R35 Ind. Running |
R34 Idaho Running |
R33 Fla. Running |
R32 Ark. Running |
R31 Alaska Running |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 Ala. Retiring |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections[edit]
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| Ark. TBD |
Ariz. TBD |
Alaska TBD |
Ala. TBD |
I2 | I1 | D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
| Calif. TBD |
Colo. TBD |
Conn. TBD |
Fla. TBD |
Ga. TBD |
Hawaii TBD |
Idaho TBD |
Ill. TBD |
Ind. TBD |
Iowa TBD |
| Majority TBD → | |||||||||
| Kans. TBD | |||||||||
| N.D. TBD |
N.C. TBD |
N.Y. TBD |
N.H. TBD |
Nev. TBD |
Mo. TBD |
Md. TBD |
La. TBD |
Ky. TBD | |
| Ohio TBD |
Okla. (sp) TBD |
Okla. (reg) TBD |
Ore. TBD |
Pa. TBD |
S.C. TBD |
S.D. TBD |
Utah TBD |
Vt. TBD |
Wash. TBD |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | Wisc. TBD |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
| Key: |
|
|---|
Predictions[edit]
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election) and the other candidates and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:
- "tossup" / "battleground": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
| Constituency | Incumbent | 2022 election ratings | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | PVI[2] | Senator | Last election[c] |
Cook March 4, 2022[3] |
IE February 24, 2022[4] |
Sabato March 1, 2022[5] |
RCP February 24, 2022[6] | |||||||
| Alabama | R+15 | Richard Shelby (retiring) |
64.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | |||||||
| Alaska | R+9 | Lisa Murkowski | 44.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | |||||||
| Arizona | R+3 | Mark Kelly | 51.2% D (2020 special)[d] |
Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | |||||||
| Arkansas | R+16 | John Boozman | 59.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| California | D+14 | Alex Padilla | Appointed (2021)[e] |
Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| Colorado | D+3 | Michael Bennet | 50.0% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | |||||||
| Connecticut | D+7 | Richard Blumenthal | 63.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | |||||||
| Florida | R+3 | Marco Rubio | 52.0% R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | |||||||
| Georgia | R+3 | Raphael Warnock | 51.0% D (2020 special)[f] |
Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | |||||||
| Hawaii | D+15 | Brian Schatz | 73.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| Idaho | R+19 | Mike Crapo | 66.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Illinois | D+7 | Tammy Duckworth | 54.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | |||||||
| Indiana | R+11 | Todd Young | 52.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Iowa | R+6 | Chuck Grassley | 60.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Kansas | R+11 | Jerry Moran | 62.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Kentucky | R+16 | Rand Paul | 57.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Louisiana | R+12 | John Kennedy | 60.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Maryland | D+14 | Chris Van Hollen | 60.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| Missouri | R+11 | Roy Blunt (retiring) |
49.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | |||||||
| Nevada | EVEN | Catherine Cortez Masto | 47.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | |||||||
| New Hampshire | EVEN | Maggie Hassan | 48.0% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | |||||||
| New York | D+10 | Chuck Schumer | 70.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| North Carolina | R+3 | Richard Burr (retiring) |
51.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | |||||||
| North Dakota | R+20 | John Hoeven | 78.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Ohio | R+6 | Rob Portman (retiring) |
58.0% R | Lean R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | |||||||
| Oklahoma | R+20 | James Lankford | 67.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Oklahoma (special) |
R+20 | Jim Inhofe (retiring) |
62.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Oregon | D+6 | Ron Wyden | 56.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| Pennsylvania | R+2 | Pat Toomey (retiring) |
48.8% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | |||||||
| South Carolina | R+8 | Tim Scott | 60.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| South Dakota | R+16 | John Thune | 71.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Utah | R+13 | Mike Lee | 68.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||||
| Vermont | D+15 | Patrick Leahy (retiring) |
61.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||||
| Washington | D+8 | Patty Murray | 58.8% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | |||||||
| Wisconsin | R+2 | Ron Johnson | 50.2% R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | |||||||
| Overall[g] | D - 47 R - 48 5 tossups |
D - 47 R - 50 3 tossups |
D - 47 R - 49 4 tossups |
D - 46 R - 47 7 tossups | ||||||||||
Retirements[edit]
Democrats[edit]
One Democrat has announced his retirement.
| State | Senator | Ref |
|---|---|---|
| Vermont | Patrick Leahy | [7] |
Republicans[edit]
Six Republicans have announced their retirement.
| State | Senator | Ref |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Richard Shelby | [8] |
| Missouri | Roy Blunt | [9] |
| North Carolina | Richard Burr | [10] |
| Ohio | Rob Portman | [11] |
| Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | [12] |
| Pennsylvania | Pat Toomey | [13] |
Race summary[edit]
Special elections during the preceding Congress[edit]
In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.
Elections are sorted by date then state.
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Status | Candidates | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
| California (Class 3) |
Alex Padilla | Democratic | 2021 (Appointed) | Incumbent running |
|
| Oklahoma (Class 2) |
Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 (special) 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
Incumbent resigning January 3, 2023.[14] |
|
Elections leading to the next Congress[edit]
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2023.
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Status | Major candidates[h][i] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
| Alabama | Richard Shelby | Republican | 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[21] | |
| Alaska | Lisa Murkowski | Republican | 2002 (appointed) 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Arizona | Mark Kelly | Democratic | 2020 (special) | Incumbent running |
|
| Arkansas | John Boozman | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running | |
| California | Alex Padilla | Democratic | 2021 (appointed) | Incumbent running |
|
| Colorado | Michael Bennet | Democratic | 2009 (appointed) 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running | |
| Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal | Democratic | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Florida | Marco Rubio | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock | Democratic | 2021 (special) | Incumbent running |
|
| Hawaii | Brian Schatz | Democratic | 2012 (appointed) 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Idaho | Mike Crapo | Republican | 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Illinois | Tammy Duckworth | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running | |
| Indiana | Todd Young | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
| Iowa | Chuck Grassley | Republican | 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Kansas | Jerry Moran | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Kentucky | Rand Paul | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Louisiana | John Kennedy | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
| Maryland | Chris Van Hollen | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
| Missouri | Roy Blunt | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[78] |
|
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez Masto | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
| New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
| New York | Chuck Schumer | Democratic | 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| North Carolina | Richard Burr | Republican | 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[96] |
|
| North Dakota | John Hoeven | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Ohio | Rob Portman | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[102] |
|
| Oklahoma | James Lankford | Republican | 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent running | |
| Oregon | Ron Wyden | Democratic | 1996 (special) 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Pennsylvania | Pat Toomey | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[113] |
|
| South Carolina | Tim Scott | Republican | 2013 (appointed) 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent running | Catherine Fleming Bruce (Democratic)[121] |
| South Dakota | John Thune | Republican | 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running | |
| Utah | Mike Lee | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Vermont | Patrick Leahy | Democratic | 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[7] |
|
| Washington | Patty Murray | Democratic | 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
| Wisconsin | Ron Johnson | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Alabama[edit]
Six-term Republican Richard Shelby was re-elected in 2016 with 64% of the vote. On February 8, 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term.[147]
Republican candidates to succeed Shelby include Katie Britt, his former Chief of Staff,[148] six-term representative Mo Brooks, businesswoman Karla DuPriest, former Army pilot and author Michael Durant, and author Jake Schafer.[149]
Democratic candidates in the race include pastor and perennial candidate Will Boyd,[150] former Brighton mayor Brandaun Dean,[151] as well as Lanny Jackson.[152][153]
Alaska[edit]
Three-term Republican Lisa Murkowski was re-elected in 2016 with 44.4% of the vote. Former governor and vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin is considering a primary challenge to Murkowski,[154] as are others. Alaska adopted a top-four jungle primary system in 2020, with the ultimate winner being decided via ranked-choice voting. Characterizations of the state as a "Safe" or "Solid" Republican stronghold may change if Murkowski decides to change her party affiliation to Independent as she suggested after the Capitol Attack. If she does so, she would most likely continue to caucus with Republicans in the Senate.[155] On March 30, former Alaska Department of Administration Commissioner Kelly Tshibaka announced that she was running against Murkowski following the state's GOP decision to censure her, with Tshibaka later receiving former President Donald Trump’s endorsement.[156] Orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, and 2020 senate nominee Al Gross has expressed interest in running.[157]
Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has announced that he will not run, opting to run for re-election.[158]
Arizona[edit]
Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly took office on December 2, 2020, after winning a special election with 51.2% of the vote.
Six-term senator and 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was re-elected to this seat in 2016. However, he died on August 25, 2018, and former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl was appointed to replace him. Kyl resigned at the end of 2018 and was succeeded by outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who lost the 2020 special election to complete the term.
Term-limited Republican governor Doug Ducey, has announced that he will not challenge Kelly in 2022.[159] Republicans Blake Masters, the chairman of the Thiel foundation, Jim Lamon, chair of the solar power company Depcom,[27] and Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich have announced their candidacies against Kelly.[160] Other potential Republican candidates include US Representative Andy Biggs[161] and Arizona State Republican Party Chairwoman Kelli Ward.[162]
Arkansas[edit]
Two-term Republican John Boozman was re-elected in 2016 with 59.8% of the vote. Boozman has announced that he is running for a third term.[163]
Former NFL player and U.S. Army veteran Jake Bequette, Jan Morgan, an Arkansas gun range owner and 2018 gubernatorial candidate, and Heath Loftis, a pastor from Stuttgart are all challenging Boozman in the Republican primary.[164][165][166]
A fourth challenger, corporate analyst Michael Deel has withdrawn from the race citing a lack of viability.[167]
Dan Whitfield, who attempted to run as an independent for Arkansas' other U.S. Senate seat in 2020 but failed to meet the ballot access requirements,[168] is running as a Democrat, along with Natalie James, a real estate broker from Little Rock.[169] Former Pine Bluff city alderman Jack Foster is also running for the Democratic nomination.[170]
California[edit]
Incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla took office on January 20, 2021. He was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom following the resignation of incumbent Democrat Kamala Harris on January 18, 2021 in advance of her swearing-in as Vice President of the United States.[171]
Due to a rule change, there will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to elect a Class 3 Senator to a full term beginning with the 118th United States Congress, sworn in on January 3, 2023, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 117th Congress. Padilla is running to fill the seat for the remainder of the current term, and for election to a full term.[1]
Colorado[edit]
Two-term Democrat Michael Bennet took office on January 21, 2009, after being appointed by then governor Bill Ritter to replace outgoing Democrat Ken Salazar, who was nominated by President Barack Obama to serve as United States Secretary of the Interior. He narrowly won an election to a full term in 2010, and to a second term in 2016, with 49.97% of the vote. Peter Yu, Republican nominee for CO-02 in 2018, has formed an exploratory committee.[172]
In August 2021, Eli Bremer, Olympic athlete, U.S. Air Force major, and former chair of the El Paso Republican Party, announced his candidacy.[37] He was endorsed by Republican former senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell.[173]
Connecticut[edit]
Two-term Democrat Richard Blumenthal was re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote. Former state House Minority Leader Themis Klarides is running.[174]
Florida[edit]
Two-term Republican Marco Rubio was re-elected in 2016 with 52% of the vote. He announced on November 9, 2020, via Facebook, that he is running for re-election.[175]
U.S. Representative Val Demings and former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson are running for the Democratic nomination.[49][53]
Other possible Democratic candidates include Representative Ted Deutch,[176] former Representatives Gwen Graham[177] and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell,[178] and State Senator Jason Pizzo.[179]
Former U.S. Representative David Jolly, who was previously a Republican but is now independent, is considering running.[180]
Ivanka Trump, daughter and former Senior Advisor to former President Donald Trump, was seen as a potential candidate to primary Rubio for the Republican nomination.[181] However, on February 18, 2021, it was confirmed that she would not seek the nomination.[182]
Georgia[edit]
Incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock won the 2020–2021 special election against incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the remainder of former Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. (Isakson had resigned at the end of 2019, and Loeffler was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp following Isakson's resignation.) No candidate in the open election on November 3 received the 50% required by Georgia law to avoid a run-off, a type of election colloquially known as a "jungle primary"[183]—Warnock received just 32.9% of the vote—and so, a run-off election between Warnock and Loeffler was held on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won with 51% of the vote.
Former Republican senator David Perdue, who narrowly lost his race to Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff in 2021,[184] and Former U.S. Representative Doug Collins[185] both considered challenging Warnock, but each eventually announced he is not running.[186] Loeffler is considering running, as is U.S. Representative Drew Ferguson.[187]
Republican challengers include banking executive Latham Saddler[188] and Former NFL player and Georgia native Herschel Walker,[189] who, although currently residing in Texas, has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump.[190]
Hawaii[edit]
One-term Democrat Brian Schatz was appointed to the Senate in 2012, following the death of incumbent Daniel Inouye. He won a special election to finish Inouye's term in 2014, and won his first full term in 2016 with 73.6% of the vote. Republican state representative Bob McDermott is challenging Schatz.[59]
Idaho[edit]
Four-term Republican Mike Crapo was re-elected in 2016 with 66.1% of the vote. Scott Trotter has declared his candidacy in the Republican Primary.
Illinois[edit]
One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016 with 54.9% of the vote. Former police officer, US Navy Veteran, and 2020 Senate candidate, Peggy Hubbard is running as a Republican.[191]
Indiana[edit]
One-term Republican Todd Young was elected in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote. He announced on March 2, 2021, that he is running for re-election.[192] Democratic Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr., has announced that he is running.[193]
Iowa[edit]
Seven-term Republican Chuck Grassley was re-elected in 2016 with 60.1% of the vote. He is seeking re-election to an eighth term.[194]
State Senator Jim Carlin has announced a primary challenge to Grassley.[195]
In July 2021, former U.S Representative Abby Finkenauer announced that she was running for the seat in 2022.[196] In her announcement, Finkenauer cited her working class and small-town roots, and criticized Grassley for not taking a strong stance against the 2021 United States Capitol attack, citing his vote against an independent commission investigating the attack. Potential Democratic candidates include retired Admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, Michael T. Franken, 2020 U.S. Senate nominee Theresa Greenfield, attorney and Broadlawns Polk County hospital board member Emily Webb, businessman and teacher Eddie Mauro, and veteran Cal Woods.[197]
Kansas[edit]
Two-term Republican Jerry Moran was re-elected in 2016 with 62.2% of the vote. He has announced that he will be seeking re-election.[71] Democratic United Methodist pastor and former Kansas City mayor Mark Holland is challenging Moran.[70]
Kentucky[edit]
Two-term Republican Rand Paul was re-elected in 2016 with 56.3% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a third term.[198]
Charles Booker, former Democratic State Representative for Kentucky's 43rd legislative district and runner-up in the Democratic Senate primary in 2020, has announced that he is running against Paul.[199]
Louisiana[edit]
One-term Republican John Kennedy was elected in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote and has announced his intention to run for a second term.[74] Civil rights activist Gary Chambers and U.S. Navy veteran Luke Mixon are running in the Democratic primary.[200][201]
Maryland[edit]
One-term Democrat Chris Van Hollen was elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, and is running for a second term.[202]
Despite previously indicating that he had no interest in pursuing the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate, incumbent Governor Larry Hogan, who is term-limited and will leave office in 2023, told conservative talk radio host Hugh Hewitt in October 2021 that he was considering challenging Van Hollen. Hogan ultimately decided not to challenge Van Hollen on February 8, 2022.[203][204][205]
Missouri[edit]
Two-term Republican Roy Blunt was re-elected in 2016 with 49.2% of the vote. He is not seeking re-election.[9]
Former Governor of Missouri Eric Greitens,[206] Attorney General Eric Schmitt, and US Representatives Vicky Hartzler[207] and Billy Long[208] are running for the Republican nomination to succeed Blunt.
Though subject to speculation, US Representative Ann Wagner will not be running for the open Senate seat, opting to run for re-election.[209]
Marine veteran Lucas Kunce,[210] tech executive and LGBT rights activist Tim Shepard,[211] and former state senator Scott Sifton[212] are running in the Democratic primary.
Nevada[edit]
One-term Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote. She is seeking re-election.[213]
Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt is running against Cortez Masto for the seat once held by his maternal grandfather Paul Laxalt.[214] Nevada State Senator Heidi Gansert is seen as a potential Republican candidate.[215]
New Hampshire[edit]
One-term Democrat Maggie Hassan was elected in 2016 with 48% of the vote. She is running for re-election.[88]
Republicans Don Bolduc,[216][217] Chuck Morse, Kevin Smith and Tejasinha Sivalingam[218][219][220] have declared their candidacies.
Governor Chris Sununu, who was re-elected in 2020 with 65.2% of the vote, will not be running.[221]
New York[edit]
Four-term Democrat and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was re-elected in 2016 with 70.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[94] Sam Seder, the host of The Majority Report with Sam Seder, has expressed interest in challenging Schumer for the Democratic nomination. Human rights activist Khaled Salem is challenging Schumer in the primary.[222]
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic Congresswoman for New York's 14th congressional district, who successfully defeated long-time incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley in an upset 2018 primary campaign, has been floated as a possible primary challenger to Schumer.[223]
North Carolina[edit]
Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016 with 51.0% of the vote. Burr has pledged to retire in 2022.[10]
Former North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory is running in the primary, as is U.S. Representative Ted Budd, who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump.[224][225][226]
Potential Republican candidates include former Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest[227] and former U.S. Representative George Holding.[228]
Though subject to speculation, Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump has decided not to run for the seat.[227][229][226]
North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson stated that he was seriously considering running, but on April 19, 2021, he announced that he would not run.[230]
Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[231] and Beaufort mayor Rett Newton[232] are running in the Democratic primary.[233] Potential Democratic candidates include North Carolina Supreme Court Associate Justice Anita Earls,[234] state representative Grier Martin,[235] U.S. Representative Deborah K. Ross,[235] and Attorney General Josh Stein.[235]
North Dakota[edit]
Two-term Republican John Hoeven was re-elected in 2016 with 78.5% of the vote. On February 4, 2021, Hoeven campaign spokesman Dan Larson has indicated Hoeven is running for re-election in 2022.[236][237] Businessman Michael Steele is challenging Hoeven as a Democrat.[238]
Ohio[edit]
Two-term Republican Rob Portman was re-elected in 2016 with 58% of the vote. On January 25, 2021, he announced that he would not be running for re-election.[102]
Candidates in the Republican primary include former Ohio State Treasurer and 2012 nominee Josh Mandel,[239] former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken,[240] and venture capitalist JD Vance.[241]
U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan is running for the Democratic nomination,[242] as is former Senior Advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and 2020 congressional candidate Morgan Harper.[243]
Oklahoma[edit]
There will be two elections in Oklahoma, due to the pending resignation of Jim Inhofe.
Oklahoma (regular)[edit]
One-term Republican James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of former senator Tom Coburn's term.[244] Lankford won election to his first full term in 2016 with 67.7% of the vote. He announced that he would be running for re-election on April 6, 2021.[245][246]
Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church and former Oklahoma State Coordinator for the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, announced he would challenge Lankford in the Republican primary.[247]
Oklahoma (special)[edit]
Five-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe had been re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2020, and was not scheduled to be up for election again until 2026. However, Inhofe announced his intention to resign at the end of the 117th Congress. A special election to fill his seat will take place in November 2022, concurrent with the other Senate elections.[14] Inhofe's chief of staff Luke Holland, U.S. Representative Markwayne Mullin, and former Oklahoma House Speaker T. W. Shannon are running for the Republican nomination, while U.S. Representative Kevin Hern has expressed interest in running but has not formally declared his candidacy. [17][18][248][249] Additionally perennial candidate Mike Workman is running for the Democratic nomination.[20]
Oregon[edit]
Four-term Democrat Ron Wyden was re-elected in 2016 with 56.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[112] Prineville Mayor Jason Beebe has declared his candidacy as a Republican.[112]
Pennsylvania[edit]
Two-term Republican Pat Toomey was re-elected in 2016 with 48.8% of the vote. On October 5, 2020, Toomey announced that he will retire at the end of his term.[13]
Declared candidates for the Democratic primary include incumbent Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman,[250] state Representative Malcolm Kenyatta, U.S. Representative Conor Lamb,[251] Montgomery County Commissioner Valerie Arkoosh,[252] and Dr. Kevin Baumlin.[253]
Declared Republican candidates include 2018 Senate candidate Jeff Bartos,[254] 2018 candidate for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district Sean Gale,[255] political commentator Kathy Barnette,[256] former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands,[257] and Mehmet Oz, host of The Dr. Oz Show and cardiothoracic surgeon.[258]
Given Toomey's retirement and Pennsylvania's designation as a swing state, several other Republicans and Democrats have been mentioned as potential candidates.[13]
South Carolina[edit]
One-term Republican Tim Scott was appointed in 2013 and won election to his first full term in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote. He said that while he is running for re-election in 2022, it would be his last time.[259] Catherine Fleming Bruce, author and activist, Democratic State Representative Krystle Matthews, and Angela Geter, chairwoman of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party, are challenging Scott.[260][261][262]
South Dakota[edit]
Three-term Republican and Senate Minority Whip John Thune was re-elected in 2016 with 71.8% of the vote and is running for reelection to a fourth term.[130] Thune has been subject to some backlash from former President Trump and his supporters in the state of South Dakota, leading to speculation of a potential primary challenge.[263] Bruce Whalen, an Oglala Sioux tribal administrator and former chair of the Oglala Lakota County Republican Party has announced a primary challenge to Thune.[264]
Utah[edit]
Two-term Republican Mike Lee was re-elected in 2016 with 68.2% of the vote. He faces challengers in the Primary from Ben Davis and a few other candidates. His campaign was launched prior to February 9, 2021.[265] Evan McMullin, political activist, former Republican, former CIA operations officer, and independent candidate in the 2016 United States presidential election has declared he will challenge Lee as an independent.[266]
Vermont[edit]
The most senior senator, eight-term Democrat and president pro tempore Patrick Leahy, was re-elected in 2016 with 61.3% of the vote. On November 15, 2021, Leahy announced that he is not seeking re-election to a ninth term.[7]
Vermont's at-large representative, Democrat Peter Welch, is running to succeed Leahy.[135]
Additionally, former United States Attorney for the District of Vermont Christina Nolan is running for the Republican nomination.[133]
Washington[edit]
Five-term Democrat Patty Murray was re-elected in 2016 with 58.8% of the vote. She is running for re-election to a sixth term.[136]
Republican nurse Tiffany Smiley is running.[137]
Wisconsin[edit]
Two-term Republican Ron Johnson was re-elected in 2016 with 50.2% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a third term.[143]
Kenosha County Sheriff David Beth has expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination if Johnson retires.[267] Former Governor Scott Walker has said that he will not run.[268]
Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson,[146] Senior Vice President of the Milwaukee Bucks Alex Lasry,[269] State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski,[270] and Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes[271] are running in the primary for the Democratic nomination.
Notes[edit]
- ^ a b The two independent senators, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate, thus increasing the size of the Democratic caucus in the 117th United States Congress to 50.
- ^ The Democrats lead the Senate, since Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to break ties.
- ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2016, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
- ^ Republican John McCain won with 53.7% of the vote in 2016 but died on August 25, 2018.
- ^ Democrat Kamala Harris won with 61.6% of the vote against another Democrat in 2016, but resigned on January 18, 2021, to become Vice President of the United States.
- ^ Republican Johnny Isakson won with 54.8% of the vote in 2016, but resigned on December 31, 2019.
- ^ Democratic total includes 2 Independents who caucus with the Democrats
- ^ Major candidates include those who have previously held office and/or those who are the subject of media attention.
- ^ Those who have filed paperwork but have not declared their candidacy are not listed here.
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