2024 Moldovan presidential election

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2024 Moldovan presidential election
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Incumbent President

Maia Sandu
PAS



Politics of Moldova

Government of Moldova

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Executive
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on 20 October 2024.[1][2]

In addition, a referendum on whether Moldova should join the EU is to be held on the same day as the presidential election.[3]

Electoral system[edit]

Eligibility requirements[edit]

The Constitution of Moldova (Article 78, Clause 2) defines four conditions that a presidential candidate must satisfy: Moldovan citizenship, at least 40 years of age, residence in Moldova for at least 10 years, and ability to speak the state language. Article 80 of the Constitution establishes a term limit: one individual cannot serve more than 2 terms in a row.[4]

Procedure[edit]

Candidates can be nominated by a political party, an electoral alliance, or run as independents. They have to collect at least 15,000 voter signatures in their support from at least half of Moldova's level 2 administrative territorial units with at least 600 signatures in each of them.[5] The election results can be considered valid only if the turnout is above or equal to 33%. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes is elected president. If no candidate receives a majority of the votes, a second round between the top 2 candidates is held two weeks after the first round. The candidate with the largest number of votes in the second round then becomes president.[6]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Name Born Experience Party Ref

Maia Sandu 		24 May 1972 (age 51)
Risipeni, Fălești District (Moldavian SSR) 		President of Moldova (2020–present)
Prime Minister of Moldova (2019)
Minister of Education (2012–2015) 		Independent
supported by PAS 		[7]

Renato Usatîi 		4 November 1978 (45)
Fălești, Fălești District (Moldavian SSR) 		Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021) Our Party [8]

Potential[edit]

As of March 2024, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months:

Declined[edit]

As of March 2022, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months, but they rejected and announced they won't candidate:

Opinion polls[edit]

Hypothetical candidates[edit]

Fieldwork
date 		Polling firm/
Commissioner 		Sample size Other None/
Undecided/
Abstention
Maia Sandu Igor Dodon Ion Ceban Ilan Shor Vladimir Voronin Ion Chicu Marina Tauber Renato Usatîi Irina Vlah
Independent PSRM MAN ȘOR PCRM PDCM ȘOR PN Independent
6–13 Apr 2024 CBS-AXA–WatchDog[14] 1,008 35.1% 15.8% 5.4% 1.7% 4.6% 5.6% – 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 18.0%
18–24 Mar 2024 iData[15] 1,131 27.9% 13.3% 4.4% – 2.6% 5.7% – 3.0% 4.3% 6.5% 32.3%
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024 IRI[16] 1,247 30% 24% 6% 4% – 5% – 4% 4% 1% 22%
7–12 Feb 2024 CBS Research[17] 1,104 29.8% 14.8% 4.5% 8.5% 1.6% 5.0% – 4.4% 4.8% 4.1% 22.4%
26–30 Jan 2024 iData[18] 1,011 24.1% 29.7% 46.2%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 IMAS[19] 954 30.1% 24.0% 8.1% – 2.7% 6.1% – 4.1% 5.6% 6.0% 13.3%
2–24 Sep 2023 IMAS[20] 822 27.8% 16.0% 6.0% – 4.3% 5.9% – 6.0% 4.9% 4.7% 24.4%
9–23 Aug 2023 CBS-AXA–IPP[21] 1,215 29.4% 18.1% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5% 4.1% – 5.1% – 3.0% 30.1%
13–28 Jun 2023 CBS-AXA–IPRE[22] 1,120 32.6% 17.8% 5.3% 3.3% 4.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% – 1.5% 24.0%
10–19 Jun 2023 CBS-AXA–WatchDog[23] 1,121 37.9% 14.2% 6.2% 2.5% 4.7% 5.0% 3.5% 4.7% – 3.0% 18.3%
2–19 May 2023 IMAS[24] 1,112 28.5% 23.9% 8.3% – 3.7% 7.2% 2.7% 3.8% – 4.1% 18.0%
27 Apr–8 May 2023 iData[25] 1,049 30.4% 18.3% 6.7% 12.2% – 5.9% – 4.5% 2.8% 1.5% 17.7%
4–13 Apr 2023 CBS-AXA–WatchDog[26] 1,015 38.3% 18.4% 6.2% 2.5% 3.2% 4.9% 2.2% 3.2% – 1.9% 19.2%
15–26 Mar 2023 iData[27] 1,065 29.4% 17.6% 7.2% 9.2% 0.9% 5.4% – 1.7% 3.1% 1.7% 23.9%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023 CBS-AXA–WatchDog[28] 1,000 31.8% 17.8% 4.7% 2.0% 3.5% 3.3% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 28.8%
6–23 Feb 2023 IMAS[29] 1,100 25.2% 20.4% 8.2% – 4.9% 5.4% 4.3% 3.4% – 3.8% 24.6%
17–26 Jan 2023 CBS-AXA–WatchDog[30] 1,001 28.2% 17.6% 8.5% 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 2.4% 3.5% 1.8% 4.0% 21.8%
15–26 Dec 2022 iData[31] 1,006 27.2% 24.1% 10.0% 13.4% 0.6% 5.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 3.0% 16.0%
10–29 Nov 2022 IMAS[32] 1,100 26.9% 19.6% 8.8% – 4.0% 7.1% 2.8% 2.2% – 7.3% 21.3%
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022 CBS Research/IPP[33] 1,134 27.3% 15.4% 7.1% 9.1% 4.3% – – 2.9% – 3.5% 30.5%
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022 IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI[34] 1,066 34.1% 19.1% 7.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.5% – 3.3% 1.2% 3.2% 18.1%
6–18 Jul 2022 IMAS[35] 1,007 24.4% 25.4% 9.2% – 7.1% 5.2% 3.6% 2.8% – c. 5.4% 16.0%

Second round[edit]

Sandu vs. Dodon
Fieldwork
date 		Polling firm/
Commissioner 		Sample size None/
Undecided/
Abstention
Maia Sandu Igor Dodon
Independent PSRM
6–13 Apr 2024 CBS-AXA–WatchDog 1,008 42.2% 34.9% 22.9%
7–12 Feb 2024 CBS Research[17] 1,104 40.2% 39.3% 20.4%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 IMAS[19] 954 35% 46% 19%
2–19 May 2023 IMAS[36] 1,112 38% 45% 17%
Sandu vs. Ceban
Fieldwork
date 		Polling firm/
Commissioner 		Sample size None/
Undecided/
Abstention
Maia Sandu Ion Ceban
Independent MAN
6–13 Apr 2024 CBS-AXA–WatchDog 1,008 40.2% 32.3% 27.4%
7–12 Feb 2024 CBS Research[17] 1,104 39.5% 35% 25.8%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 IMAS[19] 954 34% 42% 24%
Sandu vs. Usatîi
Fieldwork
date 		Polling firm/
Commissioner 		Sample size None/
Undecided/
Abstention
Maia Sandu Renato Usatîi
Independent PN
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 IMAS[19] 954 37% 30% 33%
Sandu vs. Vlah
Fieldwork
date 		Polling firm/
Commissioner 		Sample size None/
Undecided/
Abstention
Maia Sandu Irina Vlah
Independent Independent
6–13 Apr 2024 CBS-AXA–WatchDog 1,008 43.2% 28.3% 28.5%
7–12 Feb 2024 CBS Research[17] 1,104 42.2% 33% 24.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 IMAS[19] 954 38% 35% 27%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Moldova announces presidential elections, EU accession referendum for October". TVP World. Retrieved 2024-04-17.
  2. ^ "Moldova Sets Date for Crucial Presidential Election, EU Vote - BNN Bloomberg". BNN. 2024-04-16. Retrieved 2024-04-19.
  3. ^ "Referendum, în octombrie. Maia Sandu anunță site-ul și sloganul campaniei pentru aderarea la UE". moldova.europalibera.org. Retrieved 2024-03-30.
  4. ^ "Republic of Moldova Constitution of 1994 with Amendments through 2006" (PDF). constituteproject.org. 12 May 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-02-02.
  5. ^ "Regulations" (PDF). old.cec.md. 3 July 2018. Retrieved 2020-11-02.
  6. ^ "Statutul și atribuțiile președintelui Republicii Moldova". www.presedinte.md.
  7. ^ "Maia Sandu to run for another term as president of Moldova". Romania Insider. Retrieved 2023-05-31.
  8. ^ "Renato Usatîi va candida în persoană pentru alegerile prezidențiale de anul viitor". noi.md. Retrieved 2023-07-27.
  9. ^ condemd. "Igor Dodon pleacă din parlament pentru a lupta cu Maia Sandu la alegerile prezidențiale 2024, dacă va scăpa de dosarul Kuliok și Bahamas – CONDE.MD" (in Romanian). Archived from the original on 2022-02-21. Retrieved 2022-02-28.
  10. ^ "Irina Vlah despre intenția de a candida la prezidențiale: am acest drept". IPN (in Romanian). 2021-12-24. Retrieved 2022-03-18.
  11. ^ "Dezvăluiri în PREMIERĂ despre ambițiile POLITICE ale Nataliei Morari. Persoane APROPIATE mamei copilului lui Veaceslav Platon spun că fondatoarea Tv8 țintea funcția de PREȘEDINTE al R. Moldova și își dorea ca Dodon să o învingă pe Maia Sandu". www.ziarulnational.md. Retrieved 2022-03-18.
  12. ^ https://podul.md/articol/714/kremlinul-l-a-ales-pe-urmaul-lui-dodon-serghei-miin-eful-partiduleului-rusofil-zis-renaterea-concluziile-jurnalistului-i-politologului-vitalie-andrievschi-prbuirea-lui-dodon
  13. ^ "Ion Ceban spune că nu are ambiții prezidențiale și nu a decis încă dacă va candida sau nu la un nou mandat de primar al Chișinăului". Replica Media (in Romanian). Retrieved 2022-03-18.
  14. ^ "Studiu-sociologic-1_compressed.pdf" (in Romanian). Comunitatea Watchdog. Retrieved 2024-04-16.
  15. ^ "Maia Sandu și Igor Dodon ar ieși în turul doi la prezidențiale, Barometrul iData" (in Romanian). ipn.md. Retrieved 2024-03-30.
  16. ^ "National Survey of Moldova". International Republican Institute. Jan–Feb 2024. Retrieved 2024-03-30.
  17. ^ a b c d "Cine ar putea deveni viitorul președinte al Republicii Moldova - sondaj". noi.md (in Romanian). Retrieved 2024-03-07.
  18. ^ "Sondaj: Cîte de reale sînt șansele Maiei Sandu de a cîștiga un nou mandat prezidenția" (in Romanian). noi.md. Retrieved 2024-02-11.
  19. ^ a b c d e "barometrul socio-politic" (PDF) (in Romanian). Retrieved 2023-12-29.
  20. ^ "Sandu și Dodon, favoriți la prezidențiale: Printre preferințe apare Irina Vlah, iar 3 lideri de partide se înghesuie pe locul 3" (in Romanian). 2023-09-28. Retrieved 2023-10-06.
  21. ^ "Barometrul Opiniei Publice, septembrie 2023". ipp.md (in Romanian). Retrieved 2023-09-08.
  22. ^ "Sondaj IPRE: Sandu, urmată de Dodon și Ceban. Cum ar vota moldovenii, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri prezidențiale". UNIMEDIA (in Romanian). 2023-07-11. Retrieved 2023-07-11.
  23. ^ "/INFOGRAFIC/ Sondaj WatchDog: Trei partide ar ajunge în Legislativ în cazul unor alegeri parlamentare. Preferințele cetățenilor" (in Romanian). tv8.md. Retrieved 2023-06-27.
  24. ^ "Maia Sandu, umăr la umăr cu pro-rusul Igor Dodon, dacă duminică ar fi alegeri în Republica Moldova / Dodon ar câștiga turul II - sondaj IMAS" (in Romanian). 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-06-20.
  25. ^ Petru Beșleaga. "(sondaj) În cazul unor alegeri parlamentare în Moldova, trei formațiuni politice ar intra în Parlament" (in Romanian). diez.md. Retrieved 2023-04-16.
  26. ^ "SONDAJ. PAS ar avea cele mai multe mandate de deputat, iar Maia Sandu ar câștiga detașat primul tur, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri" (in Romanian). tvrmoldova.md. Retrieved 2023-04-20.
  27. ^ "PREZIDENȚIALE: MAIA SANDU AR OBȚINE 29.4% DIN VOTURILE CETĂȚENILOR, IGOR DODON CU 17.6%" (in Romanian). tribuna.md. Retrieved 2023-04-11.
  28. ^ "Sondaj WatchDog: Trei partide ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri" (in Romanian). tv8.md. Retrieved 2023-03-10.
  29. ^ "SONDAJ Dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri, în Parlamentul R. Moldova ar accede trei formațiuni" (in Romanian). 2023-02-23. Retrieved 2023-02-23.
  30. ^ "Sondaj Socio-Politic Republica Moldova Ianuarie 2023" (PDF) (in Romanian). watchdog.md. Retrieved 2023-02-09.
  31. ^ "SONDAJ: Maia Sandu ar acumula cele mai multe voturi, în cazul în care duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri prezidențiale" (in Romanian). vocebasarabiei.md. Retrieved 2023-01-01.
  32. ^ "Ar ramana Maia Sandu presidentele Republicii Moldova daca duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegerile prezidentiale. Ce arata datele unui sondaj - FOTO". www.protv.md (in Romanian). Retrieved 2023-01-01.
  33. ^ "BOP 2022: Sandu continuă să se bucure de încrederea moldovenilor, iar în Parlament ar accede trei partide" (in Romanian). Radio Europa Liberă Moldova. Retrieved 2023-01-01.
  34. ^ "Dodon, nicio șansă să ajungă din nou președintele R. Moldova: Primii TREI favoriți la șefia statului" (in Romanian). twnews.it. Retrieved 2022-10-29.
  35. ^ ȘTIRILE, PUBLIKA MD-AICI SUNT (2022-07-20). "GALERIE FOTO: Foto: publika.md - SONDAJ IMAS: Moldovenii vor alegeri parlamentare şi prezidenţiale anticipate. Pentru cine ar vota? | PUBLIKA .MD - AICI SUNT ȘTIRILE". www.publika.md (in Romanian). Retrieved 2022-07-20.
  36. ^ "Maia Sandu, umăr la umăr cu pro-rusul Igor Dodon, dacă duminică ar fi alegeri în Republica Moldova / Dodon ar câștiga turul II - sondaj IMAS" (in Romanian). 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-06-20.
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