2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
(Redirected from 2024 US House of Representatives election in North Dakota)
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| Elections in North Dakota |
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota were held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of North Dakota from its at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 11, 2024.
Incumbent Republican representative Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022 against an independent candidate. He is not seeking re-election in 2024, instead choosing to run for governor.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Julie Fedorchak, member of the North Dakota Public Service Commission (2012–present)[1]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Alex Balazs, farmer and former U.S. State Department project manager[2]
- Rick Becker, former state representative from the 7th district (2012–2022), candidate for governor in 2016, and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[3]
- Sharlet Mohr, activist[4]
- Cara Mund, lawyer, Miss America 2018, and independent candidate for U.S. House in 2022[4]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Kelly Armstrong, incumbent U.S. representative (2019–present) (running for governor)[5][6]
- Tom Campbell, former state senator from the 19th district (2012–2018) and candidate for U.S. House in 2018 (previously ran for governor)[7]
Declined
[edit]- Kirsten Baesler, North Dakota Superintendent of Public Instruction (2013–present) (running for re-election)[8]
- Thomas Beadle, North Dakota State Treasurer (2021–present) (running for re-election)[8]
- Rick Berg, former U.S. representative (2011–2013), former chair of the North Dakota Republican Party (2018–2021), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[9]
- Kevin Black, member of the North Dakota State Board of Higher Education[9]
- Jonathan Casper, former state senator (2014–2018)[9]
- Scott Davis, former executive director of the North Dakota Indian Affairs Commission[9]
- Jon Godfread, North Dakota Insurance Commissioner (2016–present)[9]
- Michael Howe, North Dakota Secretary of State (2023–present)[8]
- Brian Kroshus, North Dakota State Tax Commissioner (2022–present)[10]
- Eric Murphy, state representative (2022–present)[9]
- Drew Wrigley, North Dakota Attorney General (2022–present)[11] (endorsed Fedorchak)[12]
- Wade Webb, Cass County District Court judge[13]
Endorsements
[edit]Alex Balazs
- Organizations
Rick Becker
- U.S. Senators
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011–present)[15]
- U.S. Representatives
- Lauren Boebert, U.S. representative from Colorado's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)[16]
- Josh Brecheen, U.S. representative from Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district (2023–present)[17]
- Andrew Clyde, U.S. representative from Georgia's 9th congressional district (2021–present)[18]
- Warren Davidson, U.S. representative from Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present)[16]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present)[19]
- Bob Good, U.S. representative from Virginia's 5th congressional district (2021–present)[16]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from Arizona's 9th congressional district (2011–present)[16]
- Andy Harris, U.S. representative from Maryland's 1st congressional district (2011–present)[17]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative from Kentucky's 4th congressional district (2012–present)[16]
- Ron Paul, former U.S. representative from Texas's 14th congressional district (1976–1977, 1979–1985, 1997–2013)[16]
- Scott Perry, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2013–present)[16]
- Chip Roy, U.S. representative from Texas's 21st congressional district (2019–present)[16]
- State legislators
- Keith Boehm, state senator from the 33rd district (2022–present)[20]
- David Clemens, state senator from the 16th district (2017–present)[20]
- Jordan Kannianen, state senator from the 4th district (2017–present)[20]
- Kent Weston, state senator from the 9th district (2022–present)[20]
- 21 state representatives[20]
- Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, entrepreneur and former 2024 presidential candidate[21]
- Organizations
Julie Fedorchak
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[24]
- Executive branch officials
- Ed Schafer, former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture (2008–2009) and former governor of North Dakota (1992–2000)[25]
- U.S. Senators
- John Hoeven, U.S. Senator for North Dakota (2011–present)[12]
- U.S. Representatives
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative for New York's 21st congressional district and chair of the House Republican Conference[26]
- Statewide officials
- Kirsten Baesler, North Dakota Superintendent of Public Instruction (2013–present)[27]
- Thomas Beadle, North Dakota State Treasurer (2021–present)[27]
- Doug Burgum, Governor of North Dakota (2016–present)[28]
- Randy Christmann, Public Service Commissioner (2012–present)[12]
- Josh Gallion, North Dakota State Auditor (2017–present)[27]
- Jon Godfread, North Dakota Insurance Commissioner (2016–present)[27]
- Doug Goehring, North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (2009–present)[27]
- Sheri Haugen-Hoffart, Public Service Commissioner (2022–present)[12]
- Drew Wrigley, North Dakota Attorney General (2022–present)[12]
- State legislators
- Organizations
Debates
[edit]WFZG news hosted a primary debate between Balazs, Becker, and Fedorchak on April 12, 2024.[30]
On May 11, BEK TV hosted a debate between all the candidates. However, Fedorchak and Mohr were unable to attend, leaving just Becker, Balazs, and Mund.[31]
On May 24, a third debate was hosted by KFGO news between all candidates except Mohr.[32] Again on June 6, a fourth debate was hosted by WDAY News between all candidates except Mohr.[33]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Alex Balazs | Rick Becker | Julie Fedorchak | Sharlet Mohr | Cara Mund | |||||
| 1 | April 12, 2024 | WFZG News | Scott Hennen & Steve Hallstrom | YouTube | P | P | P | N | N |
| 2 | May 11, 2024 | BEK TV | Dale Wetzel | BEK | P | P | A | A | P |
| 3 | May 24, 2024 | KFGO News | Paul Jurgens, Jim Shaw, & Amy Dalrymple |
Omny | P | P | P | A | P |
| 4 | June 6, 2024 | WDAY News | Steve Hallstrom, Scott Hennen | YouTube | P | P | P | A | P |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Alex Balazs |
Rick Becker |
Julie Fedorchak |
Cara Mund |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[A] | May 20–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 25% | 32% | 10% | 0%[b] | 28% |
| DFM Research (D)[B] | May 6–8, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 29% | 26% | 14% | 0%[b] | 26% |
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Alex Balazs (R) | $133,039 | $81,625 | $51,413 |
| Rick Becker (R) | $982,290 | $633,916 | $348,374 |
| Julie Fedorchak (R) | $1,388,553 | $1,124,137 | $264,415 |
| Cara Mund (R) | $18,933 | $4,085 | $30,386 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[34] | |||
Results
[edit]
Fedorchak
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Becker
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Balazs
- 30–40%
Tie
- 30-40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Julie Fedorchak | 43,424 | 45.9 | |
| Republican | Rick Becker | 27,965 | 29.6 | |
| Republican | Cara Mund | 18,460 | 19.5 | |
| Republican | Alex Balazs | 3,788 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Sharlet Mohr | 800 | 0.8 | |
| Write-in | 109 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 94,546 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic-NPL primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Trygve Hammer, teacher[36]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Roland Riemers, property manager, former member of the Libertarian National Committee, and perennial candidate[4]
Endorsements
[edit]Trygve Hammer
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Trygve Hammer |
Roland Riemers |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFM Research (D)[B] | May 6–8, 2024 | 104 (LV) | ± 9.6% | 54% | 4% | 42% |
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Trygve Hammer (D) | $560,154 | $397,248 | $162,905 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[34] | |||
Results
[edit]
Hammer
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Riemers
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Trygve Hammer | 14,088 | 73.4 | |
| Democratic–NPL | Roland Riemers | 5,042 | 26.3 | |
| Write-in | 75 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 19,205 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | December 12, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | December 15, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[42] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
| CNalysis[43] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ[44] | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]Julie Fedorchak (R)
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Julie Fedorchak (R) |
Trygve Hammer (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[C] | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[D] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 64% | 25% | 10% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Julie Fedorchak | 249,101 | 69.24% | +7.04% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Trygve Hammer | 109,231 | 30.36% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,455 | 0.40% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 359,787 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ Fulton, Jacob (February 15, 2024). "North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak to run for US House". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ Achterling, Michael (March 12, 2024). "Cando man enters as 4th GOP candidate for North Dakota House race". North Dakota Monitor. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ Jurgens, Paul (January 22, 2024). "Rick Becker announces run for US House of Representatives". KFGO. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ a b c Fulton, Jacob (April 8, 2024). "Cara Mund running for US House in Republican primary". Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
- ^ McFeely, Mike (December 5, 2023). "McFeely: As Armstrong seeks House again, a strong signal Burgum will run for third term as governor". The Dickinson Press. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
- ^ "Armstrong announces run for ND Governor". KFYR-TV. January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ Leier, Joe (March 26, 2024). "Campbell drops out of race for US House of Representatives". KFGO. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ a b c Port, Rob (January 22, 2024). "Which North Dakota Republicans are running for governor and U.S. House?". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f Port, Rob (January 28, 2024). "More names emerge for North Dakota's U.S. House race; status of governor's race unchanged". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Kroshus decides against U.S. House race". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ Springer, Patrick (January 22, 2024). "Doug Burgum will not seek 3rd term; Lt. Gov. Miller expresses interest as AG Wrigley declines". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.
- ^ a b c d e "Sen. John Hoeven endorses Julie Fedorchak for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". April 3, 2024.
- ^ Jurgens, Paul (March 4, 2024). "State district judge decides against US House run". KFGO. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "Alex Balazs awarded ND GOP endorsement for House after Fedorchak withdraws, following pair of failed votes". April 7, 2024.
- ^ "Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald. March 25, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Rod, Marc (May 27, 2024). "North Dakota primary pits a traditional Republican against a rival skeptical of foreign engagement". Jewish Insider. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Port, Rob (March 13, 2024). "House candidate Julie Fedorchak wins the battle of legislative endorsements". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.
- ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 26, 2024). "Battle for North Dakota's sole House seat gets personal with plastic surgeon's attack website". Washington Examiner. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
- ^ "Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's House seat". April 18, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Rick Becker's House campaign is connected to a spider web of political organizations". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
- ^ Elkind, Elizabeth (April 1, 2024). "Trump-aligned candidate for North Dakota's lone House seat gets boost from Vivek Ramaswamy". Fox News. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
- ^ "Big Win and Nine New Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
- ^ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Rick Becker for Congress". Republicans for National Renewal. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
- ^ Gick, Justin (May 30, 2024). "Trump endorses Fedorchak for U.S. House". KFYRTV. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
- ^ "Fedorchak Kicks-Off U.S. House Campaign During Bismarck Rally". KVRR. February 15, 2024. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ Port, Rob (May 14, 2024). "Julie Fedorchak endorsed by House Republican caucus leader Rep. Elise Stefanik". INFORUM.
- ^ a b c d e "10 North Dakota elected officials endorse Julie Fedorchak for U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald. March 28, 2024.
- ^ Johnson, Jim (March 22, 2024). "Burgum endorses Fedorchak for Congress". KNOX-FM. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "RJC Endorses Julie Fedorchak in North Dakota". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ "ND U.S. House Republican Primary Debate".
- ^ "Second NDGOP House candidate debate features more issues than attacks; Fedorchak absent".
- ^ "Full Congressional Republican Primary Debate - News & Views with Joel Heitkamp".
- ^ Downs, Michael (June 6, 2024). "North Dakota U.S. House Republican Primary Debate". WDAY News. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - ^ Hjelmstad, Gretchen (January 10, 2024). "Democrat Trygve Hammer announces run for North Dakota U.S. House seat". KVLY-TV. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Trygve Hammer gets U.S. House endorsement from Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
- ^ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
- ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 House Forecast". May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
- ^ "Julie Fedorchak Earns North Dakota Small Business Community Endorsement for Election to Congress". July 30, 2024.
- ^ "Julie Fedorchak".
- ^ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites