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2026 California gubernatorial election

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2026 California gubernatorial election
← 2022
November 3, 2026 (2026-11-03)
2030 →
 
Candidate Xavier Becerra Steve Hilton
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic


An election will be held in the U.S. state of California on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of California. The statewide top-two primary election was held on June 2, 2026, with Democrat Xavier Becerra advancing to the general election alongside Republican Steve Hilton. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is ineligible to seek re-election to a third term.

There were 61 candidates on the primary ballot.[1] Republicans have not won a statewide race in California since 2006.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Brandon Jones, marketing agency founder[50][1]
  • Jimmy Parker, former judge[51][1]
  • Ebony Taylor, business owner[52][1]

Withdrawn

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

Libertarian Party

Withdrawn

  • Tom Woodard, retired CEO[52][63] (endorsed Hilton, remained on ballot)[64]

Not on primary ballot

  • Nicholas Thompson, college student[31][1]

Declined

Peace and Freedom Party

Eliminated in primary

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

  • Naomi Bar-Lev, musician and writer[1]
  • Joseph Cabrera, administrator[1]
  • Elaine Culotti, entrepreneur[67]
  • Michael J. Dilger (write-in)[7]
  • LivingForGod AndCountry DeMott, chaplain[8]
  • Serge Fiankan, real estate broker[1]
  • Lukasz Adam Filinski[1]
  • Max Fomin, business owner[1]
  • Sean Forbes (write-in)[7]
  • Don Grundmann, chiropractor[1]
  • Jon Henderson, business owner[1]
  • Lewis Herms[1][68]
  • Dawit Kellel[1]
  • Anne Komarovsk, communications executive[1]
  • Dirk Langer (write-in)[7]
  • Duane Terrence Loynes Jr., nominee of the American Solidarity Party[1][69]
  • Amanda Martin, entrepreneur[1]
  • Brent Maupin, civil engineer[1]
  • Daniel Mercuri, author, Republican candidate for governor in 2021 and 2022, and candidate for California's 25th congressional district in 2020[70]
  • Mauro Alberto Orozco, business owner[1]
  • Reza Safarnejad, business owner[1]
  • Sam Sandak, filmmaker[1]
  • Christine Sarmiento, public health nurse[1]
  • Frederic Schultz, human rights attorney[1]
  • Margaret Trowe, hospitality worker[1]
  • Nancy Young, businesswoman[1]

Not on primary ballot

  • Leonard Jackson, shipping company CEO[71][1]
  • Ryan Tillman, police officer[72][1]
  • David Thelen, blogger[72][1]

Declined

Primary election

Campaign

Sixty-one candidates qualified for the primary ballot. California uses a top-two primary system in which all candidates, regardless of party, appear on the same ballot, with the top two advancing to the general election.[74]

Among Republicans, Riverside County sheriff Chad Bianco and political commentator Steve Hilton emerged as the leading candidates, while the Democratic field remained fragmented. This raised concerns that two Republicans could advance to the general election.[75][76] Those concerns eased after President Donald Trump endorsed Hilton, increasing the chance of a Democrat making it into the runoff because some Bianco supporters would likely shift their support to Hilton due to Trump's endorsement.[77]

Before Swalwell's exit from the race, polls showed that the three Democrats with the greatest amount of public support were representative Eric Swalwell, hedge fund manager and 2020 presidential candidate Tom Steyer, and former representative Katie Porter.[76] Other notable Democrats running included former mayor of Los Angeles Antonio Villaraigosa, former HHS Secretary and state attorney general Xavier Becerra, mayor of San Jose Matt Mahan, and superintendent of public instruction Tony Thurmond.[74] Former Vice President Kamala Harris and U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla opted against running for governor, despite speculation by the media to the contrary.[76]

Eric Swalwell sexual assault allegations

On April 10, 2026, the San Francisco Chronicle reported allegations from a former staffer who provided credible claims that Swalwell had sexually assaulted her on two occasions.[78] That same day, CNN published additional claims from four women, including one allegation of rape and others describing inappropriate conduct and unsolicited nude photos. CNN reported that it had corroborated the accounts. Swalwell denied all of the allegations and sent cease-and-desist letters to two of the women threatening legal action.[79]

Following the allegations, several staff members resigned from Eric Swalwell's campaign, including co-chairs Jimmy Gomez and Adam Gray.[80][81] The California Teachers Association revoked its endorsement,[80] while U.S. Senators Adam Schiff and Ruben Gallego also withdrew their support.[81] House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi called on Swalwell to end his campaign.[82] By April 11, all of Swalwell's 21 fellow members of Congress previously endorsing him had withdrawn their support.[83] The following day, he announced that he was suspending his campaign for governor.[84] On April 13, Swalwell announced he had plans to resign from Congress,[85] and formally left on April 14.[86]

Endorsements

Xavier Becerra (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers
Chad Bianco (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Political parties

Steve Hilton (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Alicia Olivia Lapp (R)

Organizations

Matt Mahan (D)

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

County officials

Individuals

Organizations

Ramsey Robinson (PFP)

Political parties

Tom Steyer (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Tony Thurmond (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Antonio Villaraigosa (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Newspapers

Butch Ware (G) (write-in candidate)

State legislators

Individuals

Political parties

Newspapers

Ché Ahn (R) (write-in candidate)

Individuals

Organizations

Toni Atkins (D) (withdrawn)

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Eleni Kounalakis (D) (withdrawn)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Zoltan Istvan (D) (withdrawn)

Political parties

Eric Swalwell (D) (withdrawn, appeared on the ballot)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Betty Yee (D) (withdrawn, appeared on the ballot)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Executive branch officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 31, 2026[309]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Xavier Becerra (D) $6,051,826 $9,290,232 $793,630
Chad Bianco (R) $2,295,579 $3,328,860 $952,192
Steve Hilton (R) $7,332,985 $8,483,462 $1,724,547
Matt Mahan (D) $15,007,412 $10,367,538 $5,021,023
Katie Porter (D) $4,206,459 $6,959,945 $764,830
Tom Steyer (D) $164,592,445 $166,766,233 $1,286,407

Debates

2026 California gubernatorial primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Republican Republican
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
 A  Absent   N  Not invited 
Becerra Mahan Steyer Thurmond Villaraigosa Yee Swalwell Porter Atkins Kounalakis Hilton Bianco
1 Sep. 29,
2024		 NUHW
Los Angeles Times
AP, Politico		 Laurel Rosenhall
Lisa Matthews
Melanie Mason		 YouTube A A A P A P A A P P A A
2 Feb. 3,
2026		 Black Action Alliance
KTVU
KTTV		 Greg Lee
Andre Senior
Marla Tellez		 YouTube P P P P P P A[h] A W W P A
3 Feb. 26,
2026[310]		 Jewish California Alex Cohen YouTube A P P N P N P A W W P A
4 Apr. 22,
2026[311]		 Nexstar Media Group
NewsNation
The Hill		 Nikki Laurenzo
Frank Buckley		 YouTube P P P N N W W P W W P P
5 Apr. 28,
2026[312]		 Asian Pacific American Public Affairs
CBS California
Pomona College		 Pat Harvey
Ryan Yamamoto
Tony Lopez
Julie Watts
Sara Sadhwani		 YouTube P[313] P[313] P[313] P[313] P[313] W W P[313] W W P[313] P[313]
6 May 5,
2026[314]		 CNN Elex Michaelson
Kaitlan Collins		 – P P P N[315] P W W P W W P P
7 May 6,
2026[316]		 KNBC
KVEA		 Colleen Williams
Conan Nolan
Enrique Chiabra		 YouTube P P P N P W W P W W P P
8 May 14,
2026[317]		 CBS News
San Francisco Examiner		 Schuyler Hudak Prionas
Tom Wait
Ryan Yamamoto		 YouTube P P P N P W W P W W P P

Canceled debate

A debate scheduled for March 24, 2026, hosted by the USC Center for the Political Future, KABC-TV, and KMEX-DT,[318] was ultimately canceled hours before it was set to begin.[319] Using a formula developed by USC political science professor Christian R. Grose that combined fundraising and polling data, only six candidates were invited: Republicans Bianco and Hilton, and Democrats Mahan, Porter, Steyer, and Swalwell.[320] The selection drew criticism from chairs of the black and Latino caucuses, particularly because no nonwhite candidates qualified and because Mahan's strong fundraising offset weaker polling. USC and over 50 scholars defended the formula, but the debate was canceled after organizers could not agree to expand the field.[319]

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Chad
Bianco (R)		 Steve
Hilton (R)		 Matt
Mahan (D)		 Katie
Porter (D)		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		 Other/
Undecided[i]		 Margin
270toWin[321] May 14–31, 2026 June 2, 2026 24.0% 11.0% 22.3% 5.1% 7.3% 19.9% 2.7% 7.7%[j] Becerra +1.7%
Decision Desk HQ[322] through May 28, 2026 June 1, 2026 24.4% 10.8% 23.4% 5.6% 7.1% 18.4% 2.0% 8.3% Becerra +1.0%
Race to the WH[323] through May 31, 2026 June 2, 2026 22.8% 10.9% 22.3% 5.2% 6.9% 20.2% 2.8% 8.9%[k] Becerra +0.5%
RealClearPolitics[324] May 19–31, 2026 June 1, 2026 23.6% 10.9% 22.9% 5.0% 6.8% 20.9% 2.2% 7.7% Becerra +0.7%
FiftyPlusOne[325] through May 28, 2026 June 1, 2026 21.6% 11.6% 22.2% 6.1% 8.1% 19.4% — 11.0%[l] Hilton +0.6%
Average 23.3% 11.0% 22.6% 5.4% 7.2% 19.8% 2.4% 8.3% Becerra +0.7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra
(D)		 Chad
Bianco
(R)		 Steve
Hilton
(R)		 Matt
Mahan
(D)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Tom
Steyer
(D)		 Eric
Swalwell
(D)		 Tony
Thurmond
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Betty
Yee
(D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[326][A] May 28–31, 2026 1,124 (LV) ± 3.8% 17% 11% 20% 6% 7% 20% — 2% 4% — 1% 12%
Emerson College[327][B] May 27–28, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 28%[n] 12% 23% 5% 5% 23% — 1% 3% — 1%[o] —
28% 12% 21% 5% 5% 22% — 1% 2% — 1%[o] 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[328][C] May 27–28, 2026 686 (LV) ± 3.7% 18% 14% 20% 7% 7% 21% — — 2% — 1%[o] 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[329][D] May 26–28, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 19% 10% 25% 6% 7% 25% — — — — —
David Binder Research (D)[330][E] May 26–27, 2026 — ± 4.1% 26% 9% 27% 4% 8% 22% — — — — — —
Kreate Strategies[331] May 23–27, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 27% 9% 26% 4% 5% 20% — — — 1% 2%[p] 7%
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 29% 11% 23% 4% 8% 18% — — 3% — 3% 1%
Berkeley IGS[333][G] May 19–24, 2026 5,472 (LV) ± 2.0% 25% 11% 21% 4% 7% 19% — 1% 1% — 4% 7%
Global Strategy Group (D)[334][C] May 18–21, 2026 800 (LV) — 19% 12% 22% 8% 8% 19% — 1% 2% — — 7%
Echelon Insights (R)[325][335][H] May 18–21, 2026 800 (LV) — 15% 12% 25% 7% 7% 18% — — 1% — —
PPIC[336] May 14–18, 2026 986 (LV) ± 4.1% 23% 13% 20% 7% 12% 15% — 1% 5% — 1%[o] 2%
Evitarus (D)[337][I] May 14–16, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 21% 10% 22% 4% 7% 15% <1% 1% 1% <1% 4%[q] 13%
David Binder Research (D)[338][E] May 5–11, 2026 — ± 3.5% 22% 13% 23% 7% 12% 15% — <1% 2% — — 6%
Emerson College[339][B] May 9–10, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 20%[n] 12% 18% 9% 13% 19% — 1% 5% — 2%[p] —
19% 11% 17% 8% 10% 17% — 1% 4% — 1%[o] 12%
Kreate Strategies[340] May 5–9, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 20% 13% 22% 9% 9% 14% — — 1% — 2% 10%
Mellman Group (D)[341][J] May 3–6, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 20% 14% 20% 10% <10%[r] 12% — <10%[r] <10%[r] — — 8%
Impact Research (D)[342][K] April 28 – May 3, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 23% 11% 23% 10% 9% 14% — 1% 1% — 2% 6%
Evitarus (D)[343][I] April 30 – May 2, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 18% 14% 18% 7% 8% 12% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%[s] 14%
SurveyUSA[344][A] April 28 – May 1, 2026 991 (LV) ± 4.2% 10% 12% 20% 7% 8% 18% — 2% 5% — 0% 17%
Gudelunas Strategies[345][L] April 23–27, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 24% 13% 23% 6% 10% 15% <1% 1% 2% <1% 1%[o] 5%
CBS News/YouGov[346] April 23–27, 2026 1,479 (LV) ± 4.1% 13% 10% 16% 4% 9% 15% — 1% 4% — 2%[p] 26%
EMC Research (D)[347][M] April 21–26, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 21% 14% 20% 8% 8% 17% — 2% 3% — 5%[t] 1%
April 20, 2026 Yee withdraws from the race, endorses Steyer
Independent Voter Project[348] April 14–20, 2026 3,404 (LV) ± 2.2% 23% 17% 20% 4% 11% 14% — 1% 1% 1% 8%
Gudelunas Strategies[349][L] April 14–18, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 15% 14% 20% 6% 13% 15% <1% 2% 3% 2% 1%[o] 10%
Kreate Strategies[350] April 12–18, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 10% 14% 18% 4% 10% 16% — — 1% 2% — 23%
Evitarus (D)[351][I] April 15–17, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 13% 14% 16% 5% 10% 13% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4%[u] 20%
Emerson College[352][B] April 14–15, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 10% 14% 17% 5% 10% 14% — 1% 3% 1% 1%[o] 23%
April 12, 2026 Swalwell withdraws from the race
Impact Research (D)[353][K] April 8–12, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 7% 10% 25% 8% 14% 16% — — — — 5% 9%
SurveyUSA[354] April 8–10, 2026 788 (LV) ± 5.2% 4% 8% 18% 4% 8% 21% 9% 1% 5% 4% 0% 18%
David Binder Research (D)[355][E] April 1–6, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 4% 13% 22% 5% 11% 12% 18% 2% 2% 2% — 10%
Evitarus (D)[356][I] March 31 – April 5, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 4% 14% 14% 4% 7% 11% 12% <1% 4% 1% 4%[u] 24%
PPIC[357] March 26 – April 3, 2026 1,008 (LV) ± 3.9% 5% 14% 17% 5% 10% 14% 18% 2% 5% 3% 1%[o] 5%
Kreate Strategies[358] March 23–29, 2026 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 2% 10% 19% 4% 8% 13% 13% — 2% 3% 6%[v] 20%
Echelon Insights (R)[359][H] March 12–17, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 3% 14% 20% 4% 10% 13% 15% 1% 3% 2% 16%
Evitarus (D)[360][I] March 12–17, 2026 2,000 (LV) ± 2.2% 3% 14% 16% 3% 10% 10% 10% 1% 3% 2% 5%[w] 24%
Berkeley IGS[361][G] March 9–14, 2026 3,889 (LV) ± 2.5% 5% 16% 17% 4% 13% 10% 13% 1% 4% 1% 16%
Emerson College[362] March 7–9, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 3% 11% 13% 3% 8% 11% 17% 1% 3% 2% 1%[o] 25%
Politico/UC Berkeley/
TrueDot[363]		 February 25 – March 3, 2026 1,004 (LV) ± 3.3% 5% 11% 19% 3% 11% 13% 11% 1% 4% 2% 3%[x] 17%
Global Strategy Group (D)[364][C] February 27 – March 2, 2026 1,340 (LV) ± 3.5% 5% 15% 20% 3% 13% 16% 11% — 2% — — 15%
Independent Voter Project[365] February 13–20, 2026 868 (LV) ± 3.6% 3% 23% 15% 2% 12% 8% 18% 1% 3% 2% 0%[y] 13%
Emerson College[366] February 13–14, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 14% 17% 3% 10% 9% 14% 2% 3% 2% 2%[z] 21%
PPIC[367] February 3–11, 2026 1,049 (LV) ± 3.9% 5% 12% 14% 3% 13% 10% 11% 2% 5% 5% 11%[aa] 10%
Tavern Research (D)[368][M] February 2–5, 2026 1,097 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 20% 12% 2% 9% 9% 10% —[ab] 3% —[ab] 4%[ab] 25%
EMC Research (D)[369][N] January 29 – February 4, 2026 1,400 (V) — 6% 21% 17% 5% 12% 9% 18% 1% 3% 2% 2%[ac] 4%
Global Strategy Group (D)[364][C] January 29 – February 3, 2026 — (LV) — 4% 18% 18% 3% 12% 10% 11% — 3% — — 21%
J Wallin Opinion Research[370][371][O] January 29 – February 1, 2026 1,000 (RV) — 6% 11% 14% 4% 8% 12% 9% 3% 7% 4% 7%[ad] 15%
RBI Strategies & Research (D)[372][P] January 25–29, 2026 — (LV) — 4% 15% 16% 3% 13% 8% 14% 2% 3% — — 23%
Tulchin Research (D)[373][Q] January 22–28, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 5% 15% 15% — 13% 10% 14% 1% 7% 2% 2%[ae] 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[374][R] January 20–21, 2026 1,001 (V) — 6% 18% 17% 5% 14% 8% 12% 1% 2% — — 17%
David Binder Research (D)[375][S] January 17–20, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 5% 17% 14% — 11% 8% 11% 2% 3% 1% 3%[af] 25%
CivicLens Research[376] December 14–16, 2025 400 (LV) ± 4.5% 1% 14% 18% — 9% 7% 12% 3% 2% 2% 3%[ag] 31%
FM3 Research (D)[377][378] November 30 – December 7, 2025 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 3% 17% 18% — 13% 6% 17% 1% 3% 1% — 20%
Emerson College[379] December 1–2, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 13% 12% — 11% 4% 12% 2% 5% 2% 5%[ah] 31%
Lake Research Partners (D)[380][T] November 17–20, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 10% 17% — 15% 4% 10% 3% 7% 3% 1%[ai] 22%
PPIC[381] November 13–19, 2025 1,086 (LV) ± 3.9% 14% 10% 14% — 21% — — 2% 8% 7% 19%[aj] 5%
Tavern Research (D)[382][M] October 27–30, 2025 1,001 (LV) ± 4.0% 9% 16% 12% — 15% — — 2% 5% 3% 9%[ak] 29%
EMC Research (D)[383][U] October 22–26, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 9% 14% 20% — 16% 3% 11% 3% 5% 3% 16%[al]
Emerson College[384] October 20–21, 2025 900 (LV) ± 3.19% 5% 11% 16% — 15% — — 3% 5% 2% 4%[am] 39%
Bold Decision[385] October 16–21, 2025 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 8% 14% 13% — 12% 7% — 1% 7% 4% 4%[an] 29%
Emerson College[386] April 12–14, 2025 899 (LV) ± 3.2% 3% 4% — — 12% — — 2% 5% 3% 17%[ao] 54%
Hypothetical polling

with Rick Caruso

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra
(D)		 Chad
Bianco
(R)		 Rick
Caruso
(D)		 Steve
Hilton
(R)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Betty
Yee
(D)		 Other Undecided
Berkeley IGS[387][G] October 20–27, 2025 8,141 (RV) ± 2.0% 8% 13% 3% 8% 11% 5% 3% 5% 44%
Emerson College[388] September 15–16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 5% 8% 4% 10% 16% 4% 3% 10%[ap] 38%
Berkeley IGS[389][G] August 11–17, 2025 4,950 (RV) ± 1.5% 9% 10% 4% 6% 17% 4% 2% 9%[aq] 38%
True Dot/
Politico[390]		 July 28–August 12, 2025 875 (RV) ± 2.6% 9% 15% 6% 10% 21% 9% 6% 15%[ar] 9%
Emerson College[391] August 4–5, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 3% 7% 4% 12% 18% 5% 2% 13%[as] 38%

with Alex Padilla

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra
(D)		 Chad
Bianco
(R)		 Rick
Caruso
(D)		 Steve
Hilton
(R)		 Alex
Padilla
(D)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Betty
Yee
(D)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[388] September 15–16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 3% 8% 4% 10% 7% 16% 4% 2% 9%[at] 36%

with Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra
(D)		 Chad
Bianco
(R)		 Kamala
Harris
(D)		 Eleni
Kounalakis
(D)		 Kyle
Langford
(R)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[386] April 12–14, 2025 911 (LV) ± 3.2% 2% 4% 31% 2% 2% 8% 2% 10%[au] 39%

with John Cox, Lanhee Chen and Rob Bonta

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Toni
Atkins
(D)		 Xavier
Becerra
(D)		 Rob
Bonta
(D)		 Lanhee
Chen
(R)		 John
Cox
(R)		 Kamala
Harris
(D)		 Eleni
Kounalakis
(D)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Tony
Thurmond
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Betty
Yee
(D)		 Other
Capitol Weekly[392] February 3–7, 2025 692 (RV) data-sort-value="" style="vertical-align:middle; text-align:center" class="table-na" | — 2% 4% 7% 10% 21% 23% 2% 16% 1% 2% 2% 10%[av]
1073[aw] 3% 5% 9% 9% 21% — 5% 26% 2% 3% 3% 12%[ax]

with Brian Dahle

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Toni
Atkins (D)		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Chad
Bianco (R)		 Brian
Dahle (R)		 Steve
Hilton (R)		 Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		 Katie
Porter (D)		 Tony
Thurmond (D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		 Betty
Yee (D)		 Other Undecided
USC/CSU Long Beach/
Cal Poly Pomona[393]		 September 12–25, 2024 1,685 (LV) ± 2.4% 1% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 14% 1% 3% 3% 9%[ay] 50%
Tulchin Research (D)[394][Q] August 8–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% — — — 13% 10% 10% 4% 4% 13% 7% — 39%

with Steve Garvey

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Toni
Atkins (D)		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Chad
Bianco (R)		 Steve
Garvey (R)		 Eleni
Kounalakis (D)		 Katie
Porter (D)		 Tony
Thurmond (D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		 Betty
Yee (D)		 Other Undecided
Breakthrough Campaigns[395][V] November 22–26, 2024 1,228 (LV) ± 2.8% 1% 2% 6% 18% 8% 21% 3% 3% 3% 23%[az] 12%
3% 6% 14% 21% 9% 24% 2% 3% 6% 1%[ba] 11%

"Democratic Primary Poll"[bb]

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Toni
Atkins
(D)		 Stephen
Cloobeck
(D)		 Kamala
Harris
(D)		 Eleni
Kounalakis
(D)		 Katie
Porter
(D)		 Tony
Thurmond
(D)		 Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		 Betty
Yee
(D)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[396][W] February 10–11, 2025 469 (RV) ± 4.5% 3% 1% 57% 4% 9% 1% 4% 2% 3%[bc] 17%
3% 3% — 5% 21% 3% 9% 3% 9%[bd] 45%

Results

Results by county
  Becerra
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Hilton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Steyer
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Bianco
  •   40–50%
Primary election results[397][398]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Xavier Becerra 2,591,857 27.98
Republican Steve Hilton 2,277,318 24.59
Democratic Tom Steyer 2,110,707 22.79
Republican Chad Bianco 941,708 10.17
Democratic Katie Porter 403,908 4.36
Democratic Matt Mahan 327,537 3.54
Democratic Antonio Villaraigosa 104,107 1.12
Democratic Tony Thurmond 63,762 0.69
Peace and Freedom Ramsey Robinson 51,803 0.56
Democratic Betty Yee (withdrawn) 40,873 0.44
Democratic Eric Swalwell (withdrawn) 28,164 0.30
Republican Tim Nelson 23,712 0.26
Green Butch Ware (write-in) 22,493 0.24
Republican Randeep S. Dhillon 21,937 0.24
Democratic Barack D. Obama Shaw 16,716 0.18
Democratic Carolina Buhler 15,013 0.16
Republican Leo Samuel Zacky 14,708 0.16
Republican Gretha Solórzano 12,563 0.14
Democratic Matthew Chase Levy 11,059 0.12
Libertarian Tom Woodard (withdrawn) 9,328 0.10
Democratic Erin "Zez" Zezulak 9,251 0.10
Democratic Louis A. De Barraicua 8,851 0.10
Democratic Mohammad Arif 8,458 0.09
Republican Leo Naranjo IV 8,099 0.09
No party preference Nancy D. Young 7,012 0.08
Republican James Athans Jr. 6,633 0.07
No party preference Joseph Cabrera 6,196 0.07
Republican David Zickefoose 5,882 0.06
Democratic Satish Rao 5,668 0.06
No party preference Christine R. Sarmiento 5,643 0.06
No party preference Jon Henderson 5,589 0.06
Republican Alicia Olivia Lapp 5,370 0.06
No party preference Amanda Martin 5,234 0.06
No party preference Frederic C. Schultz 5,230 0.06
Republican Rafael M. Hernandez 5,223 0.06
Democratic Scott P. Shields 5,043 0.05
Democratic Derek Grasty 4,994 0.05
Democratic Larry Azevedo 4,675 0.05
No party preference Elaine Culotti 4,483 0.05
Republican Patricia De Luca Basualdo 4,064 0.04
No party preference Mauro Alberto Orozco 4,052 0.04
Democratic Raji Rab 3,606 0.04
Democratic Sophia Edum-a-Sam 3,550 0.04
No party preference Brent Maupin 3,132 0.03
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 3,037 0.03
No party preference Lewis Herms 2,995 0.03
No party preference Naomi Bar-Lev 2,744 0.03
No party preference Daniel Mercuri 2,667 0.03
Republican Ché Ahn (write-in) 2,419 0.03
Democratic Gary Howard Kidgell 2,415 0.03
Democratic Joel E. Jacob 2,350 0.03
Democratic Thunder Parley 2,320 0.03
No party preference Margaret Trowe 2,286 0.02
No party preference LivingForGod AndCountry DeMott 2,206 0.02
No party preference Reza Safarnejad 1,990 0.02
No party preference Duane Terrence Loynes Jr. 1,905 0.02
No party preference Don J. Grundmann 1,903 0.02
No party preference Anne Komarovsk 1,535 0.02
No party preference Dawit Kellel 1,360 0.01
No party preference Sam Sandak 1,222 0.01
No party preference Max Fomin 842 0.01
No party preference Lukasz Adam Filinski 527 0.01
No party preference Serge Fiankan 488 0.01
No party preference Sean Forbes (write-in) 22 0.00
Democratic Jibri J. Peavy (write-in) 10 0.00
No party preference Dirk Langer (write-in) 8 0.00
Democratic Kalid Meky (write-in) 5 0.00
No party preference Michael J. Dilger (write-in) 1 0.00
Total votes 9,262,468 100.00
Turnout 9,446,461 40.80
Registered electors 23,155,447

By county

County Xavier Becerra
Democratic		 Steve Hilton
Republican		 Tom Steyer
Democratic		 Chad Bianco
Republican		 Various candidates
Various parties		 Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Alameda 114,210 32.10% 35,420 9.95% 120,890 33.98% 10,230 2.88% 75,050 21.09% 6,680 1.88% 355,800
Alpine 145 29.53% 130 26.48% 110 22.40% 35 7.13% 71 14.46% 15 3.05% 491
Amador 3,120 18.21% 7,210 42.09% 2,450 14.30% 2,110 12.32% 2,240 13.08% 4,090 23.88% 17,130
Butte 15,200 21.32% 24,110 33.82% 13,420 18.82% 8,450 11.85% 10,110 14.19% 8,910 12.50% 71,290
Calaveras 3,410 16.79% 8,920 43.92% 2,540 12.51% 2,810 13.84% 2,630 12.94% 5,510 27.13% 20,310
Colusa 980 19.14% 2,150 41.99% 620 12.11% 740 14.45% 630 12.31% 1,170 22.85% 5,120
Contra Costa 94,110 31.23% 61,420 20.38% 82,350 27.33% 18,220 6.05% 45,210 15.01% 11,760 3.90% 301,310
Del Norte 1,420 20.11% 2,890 40.93% 1,110 15.72% 840 11.90% 800 11.34% 1,470 20.82% 7,060
El Dorado 15,420 19.80% 31,450 40.38% 12,110 15.55% 9,820 12.61% 9,080 11.66% 16,030 20.58% 77,880
Fresno 10,132 16.51% 19,149 31.20% 11,748 19.14% 11,574 18.86% 8,774 14.29% 7,401 12.06% 61,377
Glenn 1,110 15.59% 3,210 45.08% 740 10.39% 1,220 17.13% 840 11.81% 1,990 27.95% 7,120
Humboldt 14,210 29.11% 10,230 20.96% 15,310 31.37% 2,410 4.94% 6,650 13.62% 1,100 2.25% 48,810
Imperial 11,200 41.19% 5,420 19.93% 4,110 15.12% 2,890 10.63% 3,570 13.13% 5,780 21.26% 27,190
Inyo 1,210 21.08% 2,150 37.46% 940 16.38% 710 12.37% 730 12.71% 940 16.38% 5,740
Kern 32,450 22.42% 51,220 35.39% 18,910 13.07% 26,450 18.28% 15,690 10.84% 24,770 17.12% 144,720
Kings 4,810 22.10% 8,420 38.69% 2,610 11.99% 3,920 18.01% 2,000 9.21% 4,500 20.68% 21,760
Lake 5,120 27.22% 6,110 32.48% 4,210 22.38% 1,320 7.02% 2,050 10.90% 990 5.26% 18,810
Lassen 840 11.32% 3,890 52.43% 620 8.36% 1,210 16.31% 860 11.58% 2,680 36.12% 7,420
Los Angeles 685,420 31.19% 452,110 20.57% 504,890 22.98% 164,800 7.50% 390,200 17.76% 180,530 8.22% 2,197,420
Madera 7,210 21.63% 12,450 37.34% 4,210 12.63% 5,890 17.67% 3,580 10.73% 6,560 19.68% 33,340
Marin 28,420 31.15% 11,210 12.29% 41,250 45.21% 2,110 2.31% 8,250 9.04% 12,830 14.06% 91,240
Mariposa 1,410 19.29% 3,110 42.54% 1,120 15.32% 1,020 13.95% 650 8.90% 1,700 23.26% 7,310
Mendocino 8,420 29.52% 6,120 21.46% 9,890 34.68% 1,120 3.93% 2,970 10.41% 1,470 5.15% 28,520
Merced 15,210 31.39% 14,220 29.34% 7,210 14.88% 6,420 13.25% 5,400 11.14% 990 2.04% 48,460
Modoc 240 9.80% 1,320 53.88% 185 7.55% 410 16.73% 295 12.04% 910 37.14% 2,450
Mono 940 26.48% 1,120 31.55% 840 23.66% 250 7.04% 400 11.27% 180 5.07% 3,550
Monterey 31,450 35.53% 18,210 20.57% 22,410 25.32% 5,420 6.12% 11,030 12.46% 9,040 10.21% 88,520
Napa 12,410 29.31% 10,230 24.16% 13,110 30.96% 2,150 5.08% 4,440 10.49% 700 1.65% 42,340
Nevada 11,200 24.70% 15,210 33.55% 12,420 27.39% 2,890 6.37% 6,620 14.60% 2,790 6.15% 45,340
Orange 145,340 21.51% 216,220 31.99% 121,680 18.00% 86,500 12.80% 106,090 15.70% 70,880 10.49% 675,830
Placer 31,420 20.20% 64,210 41.28% 26,110 16.79% 18,230 11.72% 15,570 10.01% 32,790 21.08% 155,540
Plumas 1,620 18.49% 3,820 43.61% 1,310 14.95% 1,110 12.67% 910 10.39% 2,200 25.11% 8,760
Riverside 109,487 26.13% 86,354 20.61% 68,266 16.29% 112,400 26.83% 42,503 10.14% 2,913 0.70% 419,010
Sacramento 112,450 33.10% 85,340 25.12% 71,420 21.02% 31,260 9.20% 39,310 11.57% 27,110 7.98% 339,780
San Benito 4,890 32.80% 3,820 25.62% 3,210 21.53% 1,420 9.52% 1,570 10.53% 1,070 7.18% 14,910
San Bernardino 84,210 24.46% 108,420 31.50% 52,110 15.14% 63,420 18.42% 36,050 10.47% 45,000 13.07% 344,210
San Diego 185,210 24.12% 210,430 27.41% 162,100 21.11% 68,320 8.90% 141,680 18.45% 25,220 3.29% 767,740
San Francisco 68,110 29.51% 14,310 6.20% 105,220 45.58% 4,286 1.86% 38,904 16.85% 37,110 16.08% 230,830
San Joaquin 45,210 30.12% 43,890 29.24% 24,110 16.06% 19,230 12.81% 17,680 11.78% 1,320 0.88% 150,120
San Luis Obispo 24,120 26.29% 28,450 31.02% 22,110 24.10% 7,230 7.88% 9,820 10.71% 4,330 4.73% 91,730
San Mateo 68,420 33.09% 31,450 15.21% 78,920 38.17% 6,210 3.00% 21,750 10.52% 10,500 5.08% 206,750
Santa Barbara 34,210 30.25% 31,210 27.59% 28,420 25.13% 8,420 7.44% 10,850 9.59% 3,000 2.66% 113,110
Santa Clara 142,110 32.82% 68,420 15.80% 158,210 36.54% 15,340 3.54% 48,940 11.30% 16,100 3.72% 433,020
Santa Cruz 24,210 31.22% 9,110 11.75% 34,120 44.00% 1,840 2.37% 8,260 10.65% 9,910 12.78% 77,540
Shasta 9,210 14.78% 28,450 45.66% 6,110 9.81% 11,230 18.02% 7,310 11.73% 17,220 27.64% 62,310
Sierra 210 15.56% 620 45.93% 195 14.44% 180 13.33% 145 10.74% 410 30.37% 1,350
Siskiyou 3,110 19.32% 6,940 43.11% 2,150 13.35% 2,420 15.03% 1,480 9.19% 4,520 28.08% 16,100
Solano 32,410 32.50% 24,150 24.22% 23,120 23.18% 8,420 8.44% 11,630 11.66% 8,260 8.28% 99,730
Sonoma 48,210 30.09% 28,410 17.73% 62,110 38.76% 6,120 3.82% 15,380 9.60% 13,900 8.67% 160,230
Stanislaus 31,450 28.48% 36,420 32.99% 17,210 15.59% 14,350 13.00% 10,980 9.94% 4,970 4.51% 110,410
Sutter 5,120 19.23% 11,210 42.11% 3,110 11.68% 4,210 15.82% 2,970 11.16% 7,000 26.29% 26,620
Tehama 3,120 15.41% 9,210 45.48% 2,110 10.42% 3,640 17.98% 2,170 10.72% 5,570 27.50% 20,250
Trinity 910 21.02% 1,740 40.18% 740 17.09% 510 11.78% 430 9.93% 830 19.16% 4,330
Tulare 18,210 22.10% 27,450 33.31% 10,210 12.49% 19,230 23.33% 7,310 8.87% 8,220 10.02% 82,410
Tuolumne 3,920 19.32% 8,910 43.91% 2,890 14.24% 2,610 12.86% 1,960 9.66% 6,020 29.67% 20,290
Ventura 62,450 28.47% 61,210 27.91% 48,230 21.99% 24,110 10.99% 23,320 10.63% 1,240 0.56% 219,320
Yolo 18,210 33.10% 10,240 18.61% 19,450 35.36% 2,150 3.91% 4,960 9.02% 1,240 2.26% 55,010
Yuba 3,110 18.07% 7,422 43.13% 2,110 12.26% 2,740 15.92% 1,828 10.62% 4,312 25.06% 17,210
Totals 2,591,857 27.97% 2,277,318 24.59% 2,110,707 22.79% 941,708 10.17% 1,340,878 14.48% 314,539 3.38% 9,262,468

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[399] Solid D August 28, 2025
Race to the WH[400] Safe D June 19, 2026
Fox News[401] Solid D July 23, 2026
RealClearPolitics[402] Solid D June 5, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[403] Safe D September 4, 2025
The Cook Political Report[404] Solid D September 11, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

Xavier Becerra (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Local officials
Individuals
  • Tom Steyer, businessman, environmental activist, and former gubernatorial candidate[409]
Organizations
Political parties
Steve Hilton (R)
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Steve
Hilton (R)		 Other Undecided
PPIC[417] June 29 – July 6, 2026 1,003 (LV) ± 3.8% 61% 36% – 2%
Kreate Strategies[418] June 13–17, 2026 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 58% 33% – 8%
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 58% 35% 2%[be] 5%
Berkeley IGS[419][G] May 19–24, 2026 8,578 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 31% – 17%
Hypothetical polling

Xavier Becerra vs. Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Other Undecided
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 37% 26% 19%[bf] 18%

Tom Steyer vs. Steve Hilton

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Steve
Hilton (R)		 Other Undecided
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 55% 34% 4%[bg] 7%

Xavier Becerra vs. Katie Porter

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Xavier
Becerra (D)		 Katie
Porter (D)		 Other Undecided
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 22% 20%[bh] 16%

Steve Hilton vs. Chad Bianco

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Hilton (R)		 Chad
Bianco (R)		 Other Undecided
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 34% 15% 25%[bi] 26%

Tom Steyer vs. Katie Porter

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[m]		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Katie
Porter (D)		 Other Undecided
CEPP[332][F] May 23–26, 2026 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 31% 30% 19%[bf] 20%


See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Endorsement rescinded following allegations of sexual assault levied against Swalwell by multiple women.[20][21]
  2. ↑ Robinson is a member of both the Peace and Freedom Party and the Party for Socialism and Liberation.
  3. ↑ Reregistered in 2026 as an independent after having been a Republican throughout his political career. In spite of the switch, he remained a member of the House Republican Conference.[131]
  4. ↑ California holds separate elections for governor and lieutenant governor, but Romero and Hilton have declared that they are running on a "joint ticket".[134]
  5. ↑ McClatchy Media owns The Sacramento Bee, The Modesto Bee, The Fresno Bee, Merced Sun-Star, and The Tribune
  6. ↑ Calderon endorsed Swalwell after dropping out of the race, but rescinded his endorsement in April 2026 in light of sexual assault allegations from a former staffer.
  7. ↑ When the article was published, San Diego had 8 city councilors, all 8 of whom endorsed Atkins. A ninth councilor was sworn in after the 2024 election.
  8. ↑ Did not attend due to the January–February 2026 United States federal government shutdown
  9. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. ↑ Tony Thurmond (D) at 1.3%
  11. ↑ Butch Ware (G) with 2.0%; Tony Thurmond (D) with 1.1%; Bette Yee (D) with 1.0%; Leo Zacky (R) with 0.7%; Daniel Mercuri (R) with 0%
  12. ↑ Eric Swalwell (D) with 1.9%
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  14. 1 2 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Someone else" with 1%
  16. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 2%
  17. ↑ "Prefer not to answer" with 3%; "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Will skip that office on the ballot" with <1%
  18. 1 2 3 "Katie Porter, Antonio Villaraigosa, and Tony Thurmond round out the field in single digits."
  19. ↑ "Prefer not to answer" with 2%; "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Will skip that office on the ballot" with <1%
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  21. 1 2 "Prefer not to answer" and "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Will skip that office on the ballot" with <1%
  22. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
  23. ↑ "Prefer not to answer" with 3%; "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Will skip that office on the ballot" with <1%
  24. ↑ Ian Calderon (D) with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  25. ↑ Ian Calderon (D) with 0%
  26. ↑ Ian Calderon (D) and "Someone else" with 1%; John Slavett (R) with 0%
  27. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Butch Ware (G) with 2%; Ian Calderon (D), Brandon Jones (R), Jimmy Parker (R), Jon Slavet (R), Leo Zacky (R), and "No One" with 1%; Sharifah Hardie (R), Kyle Langford (R), and Daniel Mercuri (R) with 0%
  28. 1 2 3 "All other candidates (Yee, Calderon, Thurmond)" and "Other" with 2%
  29. ↑ Butch Ware (G) with 2%; Ian Calderon (D) with 0%
  30. ↑ John Slavet (R) with 5%; Ian Calderon (D) with 2%
  31. ↑ Ché Ahn (R) and Jon Slavet (R) with 1%
  32. ↑ Leo Zacky (R) and "Someone else" with 1%; Ian Calderon (D) and Jon Slavet (R) with <1%
  33. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" and "Not planning to vote" with 2%; Ian Calderon (D) with 1%
  35. ↑ Ian Calderon (D) with 1%
  36. ↑ "Someone else" with 12%; Ian Calderon (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), Kyle Langford (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Jimmy Parker (R), and Butch Ware (G) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Leo Zacky (R) with <1%
  37. ↑ Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Ian Calderon (D) with 1%, "Other" with 7%
  38. ↑ Butch Ware (G) at 2%; Ian Calderon (D) at 1%; "Someone else" with 13%
  39. ↑ Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Ian Calderon (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  40. ↑ Ian Calderon (D) and Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 2%
  41. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Brandon Jones (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Sharifah Hardie (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with <1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  42. ↑ Toni Atkins (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), Kyle Langford (R), Jimmy Parker (R), Tony Thurmond (D) and Butch Ware (G) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Daniel Mercuri (R) and Leo Zacky (R) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
  43. ↑ Brian Dahle (R) and Richard Grenell (R) with 2%; Toni Atkins (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  44. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 7%; Toni Atkins (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 2%
  45. ↑ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 2%; Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  46. ↑ Tony Thurmond (D), Toni Atkins (D), Stephen Cloobeck (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Kyle Langford (R) and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Brandon Jones (R), Leo Zacky (R) and Butch Ware (G) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
  47. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Betty Yee (D), Stephen Cloobeck (D), Toni Atkins (D), Tony Thurmond (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Daniel Mercuri (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with <.5%
  48. ↑ Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  49. ↑ Total says 1073, but numbers add up to 1071
  50. ↑ Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  51. ↑ Rob Bonta (D) with 4%; Rick Caruso (D) with 3%; Lanhee Chen (R) with 2%
  52. ↑ Brian Dahle (R) with 9%; Rob Bonta (D) with 6%; Rick Caruso with 5%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  53. ↑ Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 1%
  54. ↑ Survey asked only Democratic voters. In California, all candidates run on the same ballot in a "blanket primary."
  55. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Younger (D) with 1%
  56. ↑ "Someone else" with 8%; Michael Younger (D) with 1%
  57. ↑ "I will not vote in this election for Governor" with 2%
  58. 1 2 "I will not vote in this election for Governor" with 19%
  59. ↑ "I will not vote in this election for Governor" with 4%
  60. ↑ "I will not vote in this election for Governor" with 20%
  61. ↑ "I will not vote in this election for Governor" with 25%

Partisan and media clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by KGTV and the San Diego Union Tribune
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Inside California Politics
  3. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Steyer's campaign
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by the California Post
  5. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Californians for a Fighter PAC
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Poll sponsored by CSU Long Beach-USC-Cal Poly Pomona California Elections and Policy
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by the Los Angeles Times
  8. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Hilton's campaign
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by the California Democratic Party
  10. ↑ Poll conducted for California Back to Basics PAC, which supports Mahan
  11. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Mahan's campaign
  12. 1 2 Poll commissioned by the committee "California is Not For Sale", which opposes Steyer
  13. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Becerra's campaign
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by Swalwell's campaign
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Slavet's campaign
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 101, which opposes Mahan
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Villaraigosa's campaign
  18. ↑ Poll sponsored by Porter's campaign
  19. ↑ Poll sponsored by California Environmental Voters, who co-endorsed Porter and Steyer.[17]
  20. ↑ Poll sponsored by Thurmond's campaign
  21. ↑ Poll sponsored by an unnamed group supporting Swalwell's campaign
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by Woman Up
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by Inside California Politics and The Hill

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 "Certified List of Candidates for June 2, 2026, Primary Election" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. March 26, 2026.
  2. ↑ Mason, Melanie (April 2, 2025). "Xavier Becerra announces bid for California governor". Politico. Retrieved April 2, 2025.
  3. ↑ Nwafor (February 27, 2026). "Nigerian-American academic joins 2026 California governor's race". Vanguard. Lagos, Nigeria. Retrieved March 21, 2026.
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  350. ↑ "Kreate Strategies Poll: California Voters Stay Focused on Affordability as Governor's Race Remains Open; Government Corruption Gains Ground After Candidate Exit". Kreate Strategies. April 19, 2026. Retrieved April 20, 2026.
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  352. ↑ "California 2026 Poll: Swalwell Exit from Governor Race Opens Lane for Democrat Xavier Becerra". Emerson College Polling. April 16, 2026. Retrieved April 16, 2026.
  353. ↑ "Polling Shows Matt Mahan Growing With Clear Path to Runoff" (PDF). Mahan for California. April 14, 2026. Retrieved April 19, 2026.
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  358. ↑ "Kreate Strategies Poll: California Voters Focused on Affordability as Governor's Race Remains Open; Attorney General Contest Shows Early Advantage for Bonta". Kreate Strategies. April 2026. Retrieved April 8, 2026.
  359. ↑ Ruffini, Patrick (March 20, 2026). "Hilton Leads the CA Gubernatorial Field Overall; Dominates the GOP Primary". Echelon Insights. Retrieved March 25, 2026 – via Decision Desk HQ.
  360. ↑ "CA Voter Index Baseline Survey" (PDF). California Democratic Party. March 24, 2026. Retrieved March 24, 2026.
  361. ↑ DiCamillo, Mark (March 18, 2026). "Voters disengaged and largely unenthusiastic about California's upcoming gubernatorial primary election". Institute of Governmental Studies. Retrieved March 18, 2026 – via eScholarship.
  362. ↑ "California 2026 Poll: Swalwell Takes Lead in Governor Primary, 25% undecided; Election for LA Mayor Wide Open". Emerson College Polling. March 11, 2026. Retrieved March 11, 2026.
  363. ↑ Mason, Melanie (March 11, 2026). "Poll: Hilton's rise could spare Dems from disaster in California gov's race". Politico. Retrieved March 12, 2026.
  364. 1 2 Mitchell, Paul [@paulmitche11] (March 6, 2026). "🚨New #CAGov poll from @GSG commissioned by @TomSteyer shows him gaining momentum at the expense of other Dem candidates. This poll has already been put into the https://TopTwoCA.com program and shows a roughly 25-28% chance of Dem lockout" (Tweet). Retrieved March 9, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  365. ↑ Handelman, Ethan (February 23, 2026). "New IVP 2026 California Governor Poll: What the Toplines Don't Tell You". Independent Voter Project Polling. Retrieved February 24, 2026.
  366. ↑ "California 2026 Poll: Hilton, Swalwell, Bianco Lead Nonpartisan Primary for Governor". Emerson College Polling. February 18, 2026. Retrieved February 18, 2026.
  367. ↑ Baldassare, Mark; Bonner, Dean; Mora, Lauren; Thomas, Deja (February 26, 2026). "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government". Public Policy Institute of California. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
  368. ↑ Harris, Emma (February 17, 2026). "New Polling Reveals Becerra's Strategic Position in Governor's Race". Becerra for Governor. Retrieved February 17, 2026 – via Mailchimp.
  369. ↑ Jones, Blake; Gardiner, Dustin; Mason, Melanie (February 10, 2026). "LA gets its own Zohran — kinda". Politico. Retrieved February 10, 2026.
  370. ↑ "New Poll Shows Newcomer Jon Slavet a Solid Contender in Race for California Governor". Weekly Voice. February 4, 2026. Retrieved March 26, 2026.
  371. ↑ @PollTracker2024 (March 26, 2026). "J. Wallin Opinion Research poll — 1/29-2/1 RV (found 3/26)" (Tweet). Retrieved March 26, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  372. ↑ White, Jeremy B.; Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (February 13, 2026). "Newsom's mission in Munich". Politico. Retrieved February 14, 2026.
  373. ↑ "Antonio Villaraigosa Has a Clear Path to the Top Two in 2026 Governor's Race". Tulchin Research. March 3, 2026. Retrieved March 4, 2026.
  374. ↑ Jones, Blake; Gardiner, Dustin (January 23, 2026). "Ambition overload and 'musical chairs'". Politico. Retrieved January 24, 2026.
  375. ↑ "California Voter Survey" (PDF). David Binder Research. January 28, 2026. Retrieved January 28, 2026.
  376. ↑ Nixon, Nicole (December 19, 2025). "Another poll shows two Republicans leading governor's race. Should CA Dems fret?". The Sacramento Bee. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  377. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin; Jones, Blake (December 17, 2025). "Meet the crypto billionaire hedging his bets for governor". Politico. Retrieved December 17, 2025.
  378. ↑ Tapio, Chris [@ctapio] (December 17, 2025). "A client of mine commissioned a statewide poll on the 2026 CA Governor's race" (Tweet). Retrieved December 17, 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  379. ↑ "California 2026 Poll: Swalwell Shakes Up Election for Governor". Emerson College Polling. December 4, 2025. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
  380. ↑ Mermin, David; Garner, Emily; Olio, Connor (November 24, 2025). "New Polling Shows Tony Thurmond a Strong Contender in California Governor's Race" (PDF). Thurmond for Governor. Retrieved December 8, 2025.
  381. ↑ Baldassare, Mark; Bonner, Dean; Mora, Lauren; Thomas, Deja (December 2025). "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government". Public Policy Institute of California. Retrieved December 10, 2025.
  382. ↑ Harris, Emma (November 6, 2025). "Recent Polling Shows Continued Momentum for Xavier Becerra". Becerra for Governor. Retrieved November 9, 2025.
  383. ↑ Sherman, Jake; Mutnick, Ally (November 14, 2025). "Swalwell mulls bid for governor". Punchbowl News. Retrieved February 14, 2026.
  384. ↑ "California 2025 Poll: Voters Poised to Approve Proposition 50 with 57% Support". Emerson College Polling. October 24, 2025. Retrieved October 24, 2025.
  385. ↑ Rosenblatt, Adam (October 29, 2025). "11th Annual CalChamber Survey Explores CA Voter Attitudes". Bold Decision. Retrieved December 10, 2025.
  386. 1 2 Mumford, Camille (April 17, 2025). "April 2025 California Poll: Harris Leads Hypothetical Gubernatorial Primary, 50% of Voters Think She Should Not Run". Emerson College Polling.
  387. ↑ Willon, Phil; Mehta, Seema (November 7, 2025). "After outburst, Katie Porter's support in the California governor's race slips, new poll shows". The Los Angeles Times.
  388. 1 2 "Governor Race 2026: Porter Maintains Support while Padilla May Struggle to Gain Traction". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2025. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  389. ↑ Mehta, Seema (August 26, 2025). "California voters undecided in 2026 governor's race, but prefer Newsom over Harris for president in 2028". Los Angeles Times.
  390. ↑ "2026 Gubernatorial Election Questions". Politico. August 21, 2025.
  391. ↑ "California 2026 Poll: Porter, Hilton Lead in Race for Governor; Plurality Undecided". Emerson College Polling. August 8, 2025.
  392. ↑ Paul, Mitchell (February 12, 2025). "CA 120: Dems in a funk, but Harris and Newsom could still shine". Capitol Weekly.
  393. ↑ "The California Elections and Policy Poll (CEPP): Statewide Poll of the California Electorate, poll conducted September 12–25, 2024" (PDF). University of Southern California. September 30, 2024.
  394. ↑ Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin (August 29, 2024). "Assembly pushes back on Newsom". Politico.
  395. ↑ Vermeyen, Lindsay (December 9, 2024). "State of the California Governor Race". Politico.
  396. ↑ "February 2025 California Poll: Kamala Harris Emerges as Democratic Frontrunner for Governor". Emerson College Polling. February 13, 2025.
  397. ↑ "Primary Election * June 2, 2026 - STATEMENT OF VOTE" (PDF). California Secretary of State. July 10, 2026. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 11, 2026. Retrieved July 11, 2026.
  398. ↑ "California Governor Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved June 6, 2026.
  399. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  400. ↑ "Governor Forecast – 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  401. ↑ "Fox News Power Rankings: The top races to watch as 36 states choose their next governor". Fox News. Rémy Numa. Retrieved July 24, 2026.
  402. ↑ "2026 Governor Races | RealClearPolitics". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved June 5, 2026.
  403. ↑ "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  404. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  405. ↑ Vaziri, Aidin. "Katie Porter endorses former rival Xavier Becerra for California governor". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved June 10, 2026.
  406. ↑ Vaziri, Aidin. "Katie Porter endorses former rival Xavier Becerra for California governor". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved June 10, 2026.
  407. ↑ Russell, Lia. "Gavin Newsom endorses Xavier Becerra for California governor". The Sacramento Bee. Retrieved June 9, 2026.
  408. ↑ Villaraigosa, Antonio. "Congratulations to Secretary @XavierBecerra He ran a hard-fought campaign and persevered. I wholeheartedly endorse him, and I look forward to supporting his candidacy for governor. The challenges facing our state are real, but so is the promise of California and the extraordinary people who call it home. If we come together around common purpose and a renewed sense of optimism, I am confident that California's future will be brighter than ever". Retrieved June 9, 2026.
  409. ↑ Davis, Sarah (June 9, 2026). "Steyer endorses Becerra after losing California gubernatorial primary". The Hill. Retrieved June 9, 2026.
  410. ↑ Dillard, Gabriel (June 11, 2026). "CalChamber endorses Becerra for governor; Business Journal poll shows support for Hilton". The Business Journal. Retrieved June 12, 2026.
  411. ↑ Hanlon, Brian (June 10, 2026). "California YIMBY Endorses Xavier Becerra for Governor". California YIMBY. Retrieved June 11, 2026.
  412. ↑ "California Democratic Party Announces Endorsements for Statewide, Congressional and State Legislature Candidates". cadems.org. July 14, 2026. Retrieved July 14, 2026.
  413. ↑ Ganezer, David (March 26, 2026). "Steve Hilton's "Make California Golden Again" Campaign Ignites Excitement Across the Golden State". Santa Monica Observer.
  414. ↑ Finch, Ruth (June 4, 2026). "PHOTOS: Inside Steve Hilton's visit to Sacramento after election night". CapRadio.
  415. ↑ Wilber, Madison (May 31, 2026). "Republican Steve Hilton rallies Fresno crowd in final push before California GOP primary". KMPH-TV.
  416. ↑ Szabo, Matt (April 22, 2025). "Steve Hilton launches California governor bid in Huntington Beach". Daily Pilot.
  417. ↑ Baldassare, Mark; Bonner, Dean; Mora, Lauren; Thomas, Deja (July 16, 2026). "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment". Public Policy Institute of California. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  418. ↑ "KStrat Poll: Becerra Leads Hilton 58% to 33% in Early California Governor General Election Survey". Kreate Strategies. June 17, 2026. Retrieved June 18, 2026.
  419. ↑ DiCamillo, Mark (June 11, 2026). "Becerra begins general election campaign for governor with a big lead over Hilton among the overall California electorate". Institute of Governmental Studies. Retrieved June 26, 2026 – via eScholarship.

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