2026 United States elections
| ← 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 → Midterm elections | |
| Election day | November 3 |
|---|---|
| Incumbent president | Donald Trump (Republican) |
| Next Congress | 120th |
| Senate elections | |
| Seats contested | 35 of 100 seats (33 seats of Class 2 + 2 special elections) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring No election | |
| House elections | |
| Seats contested | All 435 voting members 5 of 6 non-voting delegates |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring Democratic and Republican incumbent[a] Vacant or no incumbent[b] | |
| Gubernatorial elections | |
| Seats contested | 39 (36 states, 3 territories) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican Independent incumbent No election | |
Elections are scheduled to be held in the United States, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In this U.S. midterm election, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's non-consecutive second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. Thirty-nine state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, as well as numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.
Federal elections
[edit]Senate elections
[edit]35 seats in the United States Senate will be up for election, including 33 Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats, Georgia and Michigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in the previous presidential election, while Maine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won by Kamala Harris.
Special elections
[edit]Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 119th Congress:
- Florida Class 3: Republican Marco Rubio resigned his seat on January 20, 2025, to become U.S. secretary of state under the second Trump administration. Ashley Moody was appointed by Florida governor Ron DeSantis to fill the seat until the special election, which will take place concurrently with the regularly scheduled 2026 elections.[1]
- Ohio Class 3: Republican JD Vance resigned his seat on January 10, 2025, following his election as vice president of the United States. Jon Husted was appointed by Ohio governor Mike DeWine to fill the seat until the special election, which will take place concurrently with the regularly scheduled 2026 elections.[2]
House of Representatives elections
[edit]All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election; additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting delegate for the District of Columbia as well as the non-voting delegates from 4 of the 5 U.S. territories, excluding Puerto Rico. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.[3] The House map features a number of new congressional maps: Ohio and Utah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage of Prop 50.[4][5][6][7][8]
Special elections
[edit]At least three special elections to the House of Representatives will be held in 2026.
- Texas's 18th congressional district: Democrat Sylvester Turner died on March 5, 2025.[9] The district has a partisan index of D+21.[10]
- New Jersey's 11th congressional district: Democrat Mikie Sherrill resigned on November 20, 2025, to take office as governor of New Jersey.[11] The district has a partisan index of D+5.[10]
- Georgia's 14th congressional district: Republican Marjorie Taylor Greene will resign on January 5, 2026.[12] The district has a partisan index of R+19.[10]
Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Republicans | Democrats | Other/ Undecided[c] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[13] | January 9 – December 5, 2025 | December 7, 2025 | 40.6% | 43.6% | 15.8% | Democrats +3.0% |
| FiftyPlusOne[14] | January 9 – December 5, 2025 | December 7, 2025 | 40.7% | 45.1% | 14.2% | Democrats +4.4% |
| RealClearPolitics[15] | November 3 – December 5, 2025 | December 7, 2025 | 41.3% | 46.2% | 12.5% | Democrats +4.9% |
| VoteHub[16] | January 9 – December 5, 2025 | December 7, 2025 | 42.4% | 47.1% | 10.5% | Democrats +4.7% |
| Race To The WH[17] | January 9 – December 5, 2025 | December 7, 2025 | 40.7% | 45.8% | 13.5% | Democrats +5.1% |
| Average | December 7, 2025 | 41.1% | 45.6% | 13.4% | Democrats +4.5% | |
State elections
[edit]
Term-limited Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited or retiring Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited or retiring Democrat Term-limited Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Retiring Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election
Gubernatorial elections
[edit]36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories will be term-limited.
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
[edit]Ten states will be holding regularly scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections.
Attorney general elections
[edit]30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.
Secretary of state elections
[edit]26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.
Treasurer elections
[edit]27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.
Auditor elections
[edit]23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.
Legislative elections
[edit]88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections.
State judicial elections
[edit]Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, for both supreme courts and appellate courts.
Local elections
[edit]Mayoral elections
[edit]A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.
Eligible incumbents
[edit]- Anaheim, California: One-term incumbent Ashleigh Aitken is eligible for re-election.
- Auburn, Alabama: Two-term incumbent Ron Anders Jr. is eligible for re-election.
- Bismarck, North Dakota: One-term incumbent Mike Schmitz is eligible for re-election.
- Charleston, West Virginia: Two-term incumbent Amy Shuler Goodwin is eligible for re-election.
- Clarksville, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Joe Pitts is eligible for re-election.
- Danville, Illinois: Two-term incumbent Rickey Williams Jr. is eligible for re-election.
- Flint, Michigan: Two-term incumbent Sheldon Neeley is eligible for re-election.[18]
- Henderson, Nevada: One-term incumbent Michelle Romero is running for re-election.
- Independence, Missouri: One-term incumbent Rory Rowland is eligible for re-election.
- Lexington, Kentucky: Three-term incumbent Linda Gorton is running for re-election.[19]
- Long Beach, California: One-term incumbent Rex Richardson is eligible for re-election.
- Los Angeles, California: One-term incumbent Karen Bass is running for re-election.[20]
- Louisville, Kentucky: One-term incumbent Craig Greenberg is running for re-election.[21]
- Maui County, Hawaii: One-term incumbent Richard Bissen is eligible for re-election.
- Murfreesboro, Tennessee: Three-term incumbent Shane McFarland is eligible for re-election.
- North Las Vegas, Nevada: One-term incumbent Pamela Goynes-Brown is eligible for re-election.
- Oakland, California: Incumbent Barbara Lee is eligible for election to a full term.
- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma: Two-term incumbent David Holt is eligible for re-election.
- Paterson, New Jersey: Two-term incumbent Andre Sayegh is eligible for re-election.
- Providence, Rhode Island: One-term incumbent Brett Smiley is eligible for re-election
- St. Petersburg, Florida: One-term incumbent Ken Welch is running for re-election.[22]
- Shreveport, Louisiana: One-term incumbent Tom Arceneaux is running for re-election.
- Tallahassee, Florida: Two-term incumbent John E. Dailey is eligible for re-election.
- Trenton, New Jersey: Two-term incumbent Reed Gusciora is eligible for re-election.
Ineligible or retiring incumbents
[edit]- Kauai, Hawaii: Two-term incumbent Derek Kawakami is term-limited and ineligible to run.[23]
- Reno, Nevada: Three-term incumbent Hillary Schieve is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Sioux Falls, South Dakota: Two-term incumbent Paul TenHaken is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Washington, D.C.: Three-term incumbent Muriel Bowser is retiring.[24]
County elections
[edit]Eligible incumbents
[edit]- Dallas County, Texas: Four-term incumbent Clay Jenkins is running for re-election.[25]
- Fort Bend County, Texas: Two-term incumbent KP George is eligible for re-election.
- Frederick County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Jessica Fitzwater is eligible for re-election.
- Hamilton County, Tennessee: One-term incumbent Weston Wamp is eligible for re-election.
- Harford County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Bob Cassilly is eligible for re-election.
- Macomb County, Michigan: Four-term incumbent Mark Hackel is eligible for re-election.
- Montgomery County, Texas: Two-term incumbent Mark Keough is eligible for re-election.
- Prince George's County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Aisha Braveboy is eligible for re-election.
- Tarrant County, Texas: One-term incumbent Tim O'Hare is eligible for re-election.
- Wayne County, Michigan: Three-term incumbent Warren Evans is eligible for re-election.
- Wicomico County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Julie Giordano is eligible for re-election.
Ineligible or retiring incumbents
[edit]- Anne Arundel County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Steuart Pittman is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Baltimore County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Kathy Klausmeier is retiring.[26]
- Harris County, Texas: Two-term incumbent Lina Hidalgo is retiring.[27]
- Hennepin County, Minnesota: One-term incumbent Mary Moriarty is retiring.[28]
- Howard County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Calvin Ball III is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Knox County, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Glenn Jacobs is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Montgomery County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Marc Elrich is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Orange County, Florida: Two-term incumbent Jerry Demings is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Shelby County, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Lee Harris is term-limited and ineligible to run.
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Democratic |
Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist/YouGov[29] | November 28 – December 1, 2025 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 39% | 16%[e] | 6% |
| 1,623 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[f] | 6% | |||
| Morning Consult[30] | November 26–30, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group[31] | November 21–25, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 35% | 24%[g] | 6% |
| 1,200 (A) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 32% | 31%[h] | 5% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[32] | November 21–24, 2025 | 1,511 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 32% | 29%[i] | 7% |
| 1,674 (A) | 44% | 39% | 17%[j] | 5% | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[33] | November 17–24, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[30] | November 21–23, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 13% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[34] | November 18-23, 2025 | 2,410 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[k] | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[35] | November 15–17, 2025 | 1,380 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[l] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[36] | November 13–17, 2025 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| The Argument/Verasight[37] | November 10–17, 2025 | – (LV) | – | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| 1,508 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 53% | 47% | – | 6% | ||
| 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | ||||
| Morning Consult[30] | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| High Point University[38] | November 10–14, 2025 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 36% | 13%[m] | 10% |
| Marist University[39][A] | November 10–13, 2025 | 1,291 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 41% | 4%[n] | 14% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[40] | November 11–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 39% | 17% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[41] | November 7–12, 2025 | 938 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 40% | 19% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School[42] | November 5–12, 2025 | 903 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 7%[o] | 5% |
| 1,052 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 13%[p] | 5% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[43] | November 7–10, 2025 | 1,499 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[q] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[44] | November 7–9, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[45] | November 5–6, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| Emerson College[46] | November 3–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[47] | October 31 – November 3, 2025 | 1,470 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[r] | 3% |
| RMG Research[48][B] | October 27–30, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 42% | 43% | 15%[s] | 1% |
| 44%[t] | 46% | 10%[s] | 2% | ||||
| CNN/SSRS[49] | October 27–30, 2025 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 11%[u] | 5% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[50] | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,159 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 7%[v] | Tie |
| 1,609 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 44% | 11%[w] | 1% | ||
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[51] | October 24–29, 2025 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| 1,567 (A) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Big Data Poll (R)[52] | October 26–28, 2025 | 2,984 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 41% | 16%[x] | 2% |
| Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[53] | October 24–28, 2025 | 2,203 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 44% | 10%[y] | 2% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[54][C] |
October 24–28, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| The Economist/YouGov[55] | October 24–27, 2025 | 1,472 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17%[q] | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[56] | October 23–27, 2025 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 40% | 15%[z] | 5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | October 21–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[58] | October 16–23, 2025 | 1,047 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[59] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,447 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 40% | 15%[e] | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University[60] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,327 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | 9% | 9% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov[61] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 35% | 27%[aa] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[62] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[63] | October 17–19, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Emerson College[64] | October 13–14, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[65] | October 10–16, 2025 | 1,530 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[66] | October 10–13, 2025 | 1,466 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[q] | 3% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[67][D] |
October 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| YouGov Blue (D)[68] | October 7–10, 2025 | 517 (RV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[69] | October 7–8, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[70] | October 6–8, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 43% | 15% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[71] | October 4–6, 2025 | 1,486 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 39% | 17%[ab] | 5% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[72] |
October 2–6, 2025 | 2,565 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[73] | October 3–5, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[74] | September 26–29, 2025 | 1,517 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[q] | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[75] | September 25–29, 2025 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 40% | 16%[z] | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[76] | September 22–27, 2025 | 1,313 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | 8% | 2% |
| RMG Research[77][B] | September 22–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 43% | 16%[ac] | 2% |
| 45%[t] | 46% | 9%[ac] | 1% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[78] | September 19–22, 2025 | 1,392 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[i] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[79] | September 18–22, 2025 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[80] | September 17–22, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[81] | September 15–19, 2025 | 1,268 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 42% | 11% | 5% | ||
| AtlasIntel[82] | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4%[ad] | 8% |
| Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)[83] | September 11–16, 2025 | 800 (V) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[84] | September 12–15, 2025 | 1,418 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | 16%[z] | 2% |
| National Association of Independent Pollsters[ae][85] | September 6–13, 2025 | 2,071 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| i360[86][E] | September 10–12, 2025 | 577 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 32% | 33%[af] | 5% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[87] | September 4–11, 2025 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[88] | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,482 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 4%[q] | 2% |
| Public Religion Research Institute[89] | August 15 – September 8, 2025 | 5,543 (A) | ± 1.8% | 33% | 30% | 36%[ag] | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[90] | September 2–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[91] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,136 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16%[z] | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[92] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,548 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 39% | 18%[ab] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[93] | August 29–31, 2025 | 2,202 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| Emerson College[94] | August 25–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[95] | August 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[96] | August 22–25, 2025 | 1,374 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | 16%[i] | 2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[97] | August 22–24, 2025 | 1,022 (A) | ± 3.2% | 38% | 34% | 28%[ah] | 2% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[98][F] | August 19, 2025 | 700 (A) | – | 42% | 37% | 21% | 5% |
| RMG Research[99][B] | August 18–21, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 44% | 12%[ac] | Tie |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[100] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[101] | August 14–18, 2025 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[102] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,562 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| 51%[t] | 49% | – | 2% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[103] | August 15–18, 2025 | 1,404 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 39% | 17%[i] | 5% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[104] | August 11–13, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[105] | August 9–11, 2025 | 1,473 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 40% | 18%[q] | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[106] | August 1–4, 2025 | 1,528 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 38% | 18%[i] | 6% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[107][D] |
July 29 – August 3, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[108] | July 24–28, 2025 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[ai] | 7% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[109][G] | July 21–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| 1,633 (LV) | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% | |||
| Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)[110][111][H] | July 16–20, 2025 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 43% | 10%[aj] | 3% |
| Emerson College[112] | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[113] | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 43% | 6%[ak] | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[114] | July 13–17, 2025 | 2,288 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% |
| RMG Research[115][B] | July 14–16, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 49% | 6%[ac] | 4% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[116][117] | July 12–14, 2025 | 3,022 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 42% | 41% | 17%[al] | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[118] | July 10–14, 2025 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| 45% | 41% | 14%[am] | 4% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119] | July 9–14, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| A2 Insights[120] | July 7–10, 2025 | 862 (RV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[121] | July 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[122] | July 1–2, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[123] | June 24–25, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% | 3% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[124] | June 23–25, 2025 | 633 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11%[an] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[125] | June 19–21, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| RMG Research[126][B] | June 18–19, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 4%[ac] | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[127] | June 12–16, 2025 | 982 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[128] | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 8%[ao] | Tie |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[129] | June 5–14, 2025 | 1,000 (V) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[130] | June 6–12, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[131][I] | June 9–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| Quantus Insights (R)[132][I] | June 1–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel[133] | May 21–27, 2025 | 3,469 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[134] | May 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4% |
| RMG Research[135][B] | May 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 4%[ac] | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[136][J] | May 15–19, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 42% | 16% | Tie |
| Echelon Insights[137] | May 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[138] | May 7–9, 2025 | 1,462 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 42% | 10%[n] | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[139][I] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | Tie |
| Big Data Poll (R)[140][141] | May 3–5, 2025 | 3,128 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% | 42% | 18%[al] | 2% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[142] | May 1–6, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 6% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[143] | April 23–27, 2025 | 1,448 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 40% | 15%[ap] | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[144] | April 21–24, 2025 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% | 3% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Company Research (R)[145][K] |
April 18–21, 2025 | 1,104 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[146] |
April 15–18, 2025 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RMG Research[147][B] | April 16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5%[ac] | 5% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[148][D] |
April 9–13, 2025 | – (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RealClear Opinion Research[149][150] | April 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[151] | April 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| Yale Youth Poll[152] | April 1–3, 2025 | 4,100 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% | 1% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[153][I] | March 25–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 9% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[154] | March 10–13, 2025 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[155][C] |
March 7–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[156] | March 3–9, 2025 | 1,036 (V) | ± 1.7% | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R)[157] | March 3–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[158] | March 2–3, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[159][L] | February 25 – March 2, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| RMG Research[160][B] | February 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 48% | 6%[ac] | 2% |
| co/efficient (R)[161] | February 15–17, 2025 | 2,063 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Echelon Insights[162] | February 10–13, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[163][I] | February 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[164] | February 4–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[165] | January 31 – February 6, 2025 | 1,102 (V) | ± 1.5% | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[166][M] |
January 27 – February 1, 2025 | 3,000 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| RMG Research[167][B] | January 15–16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 51% | 5%[ac] | 7% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[168][I] | February 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[30] | February 3–9, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[30] | January 27 – February 2, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[30] | January 20–26, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[169] | January 9–12, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[170] | December 11–16, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[171] | December 9–11, 2024 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
Elections by state
[edit]- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Illinois
- Iowa
- Kentucky
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- New York
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Rhode Island
- Tennessee
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming
Elections by territory
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ As a result of redistricting.
- ^ As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion (resulting in a vacancy), or redistricting (resulting in a district with no incumbent).
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
- ^ a b c d e "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
- ^ "Another Party" with 7%
- ^ a b "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b c d e f "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
- ^ a b "Would not vote" with 3%
- ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
- ^ "Third-party candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 10%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 9%
- ^ a b c d "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 1%
- ^ The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
- ^ "Other candidate" with 10%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ a b "Someone else / third party" with 6%
- ^ America Party candidate with 5%
- ^ "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
- ^ a b Poll conducted for NBC News
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for CNBC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
- ^ Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
- ^ Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Trending Politics, a conservative news website
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ Poll conducted for Fox News
- ^ Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
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