42nd Ontario general election

42nd Ontario general election

On or before October 4, 2018 (2018-10-04)

All seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario Opinion polls   Leader Kathleen Wynne Patrick Brown Andrea Horwath Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since January 26, 2013 May 9, 2015 March 7, 2009 Leader's seat Don Valley West Simcoe North Hamilton Centre Last election 58 seats, 38.65% 28 seats, 31.25% 21 seats, 23.75% Current seats 59 27 20

Incumbent Premier Kathleen Wynne Liberal

The 42nd Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on October 4, 2018. Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Ontario in 2004, Ontario elections are now held on the first Thursday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless the Assembly is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to a motion of no confidence. Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Ridings

On June 4, 2015 the Attorney General of Ontario Hon. Madeleine Meilleur moved the first reading of Bill 115, also referred to as Representation Act, 2015.

Like the previous Representation Act tabled in 2005, 11 ridings have been preserved for Northern Ontario, while the rest of the province will be divided into 111 electoral districts which follow the 2013 Representation Order. Upon the bill receiving Royal Assent, the Assembly's seat count will from 107 to 122. The changes would take place provided the current Assembly does not dissolve before November 30, 2016.

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario

Party		Party leader	Seats
			2014	Current
	Liberal	Kathleen Wynne	58	59
	Progressive Conservative	Patrick Brown	28	27
	New Democratic	Andrea Horwath	21	20
	Vacant			1
Total			107	107

Timeline

2014

• June 12: The Liberal Party under Kathleen Wynne wins a majority government in the 41st Ontario general election. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to step down following the selection of his successor.
• July 2: Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives. Simcoe—Grey MPP Jim Wilson is named interim leader.
• July 24: The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading.
• November 20: Joe Cimino, the New Democratic Party MPP for Sudbury, resigns his seat, citing family reasons.

2015

• February 5: Liberal candidate Glenn Thibeault is elected in a Sudbury by-election, gaining a seat that had been held by the NDP.
• May 9: Patrick Brown, the Conservative federal MP for Barrie, is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
• August 1: PC Simcoe North MPP Garfield Dunlop, resigns his seat to allow PC leader Patrick Brown to have a chance to run for a seat. Premier Kathleen Wynne orders a by-election for September 3, 2015.
• August 28: PC Whitby—Oshawa MPP Christine Elliott resigns her seat.
• September 3: PC Leader Patrick Brown is elected in the Simcoe North by-election.
• September 24: OPP lay charges in relation to the Sudbury byelection scandal.

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election

Liberals

• Glen Murray, Toronto Centre

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Other	Type of poll	Sample size	Margin of Error
Mainstreet Research	000000002015-09-21-0000September 21, 2015	HTML	30	40	24	7	-	IVR	4,610	±1.5%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-08-13-0000August 13, 2015	PDF	26	35	33	4	2	IVR	1,001	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-07-05-0000July 5, 2015	PDF	26	32	35	5	2	IVR	678	±4%	19  20
Ipsos Reid	000000002015-05-20-0000May 20, 2015	HTML	34	32	25	8	-	Online	1,002	±3.5%	19  20
Innovative Research	000000002015-05-19-0000May 19, 2015	PDF	34	35	24	6	-	Telephone	606	±4.0%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-05-11-0000May 11, 2015	PDF	24	33	36	5	2	IVR	1,001	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-04-30-0000April 30, 2015	PDF	29	36	24	9	2	IVR	912	±3%	19  20
Innovative Research	000000002015-04-26-0000April 26, 2015	PDF	40	33	18	8	1	Online	1,017
Forum Research	000000002015-03-26-0000March 26, 2015	PDF	29	34	27	8	2	IVR	881	±3%	19  20
Environics	000000002015-03-25-0000March 25, 2015	HTML	32	33	27	7	-	Telephone	989	±3.1%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-02-27-0000February 27, 2015	PDF	32	39	21	6	2	IVR	996	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002015-01-30-0000January 30, 2015	PDF	37	36	19	6	2	IVR	1,028	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002014-12-20-0000December 20, 2014	PDF	35	36	20	7	2	IVR	1,058	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002014-11-29-0000November 29, 2014	PDF	37	37	17	7	2	IVR	1,054	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002014-11-01-0000November 1, 2014	PDF	40	35	19	4	2	IVR	1,104	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002014-10-01-0000October 1, 2014	PDF	36	34	23	6	1	IVR	1,079	±3%	19  20
Forum Research	000000002014-08-21-0000August 21, 2014	PDF	39	32	19	8	2	IVR	1,229	±3%	19  20
2014 election	000000002014-06-12-0000June 12, 2014	HTML	38.65	31.25	23.75	4.84	1.51

External links

• Elections Ontario