42nd Ontario general election

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42nd Ontario general election
Ontario
← 2014 On or before June 7, 2018 (2018-06-07) 43rd →

124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
62 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Kathleen Wynne, MPP for Don Valley West and Premier of Ontario.jpg Patrick Brown 2.jpg Horwath infobox.PNG
Leader Kathleen Wynne Patrick Brown Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since January 26, 2013 May 9, 2015 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Don Valley West Simcoe North Hamilton Centre
Last election 58 seats, 38.65% 28 seats, 31.25% 21 seats, 23.75%
Current seats 57 29 20

Incumbent Premier

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal



The 42nd Ontario general election is scheduled to be held on or before June 7, 2018.[1] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Ontario in 2004, Ontario elections had previously been held on the first Thursday of October in the fourth calendar year unless the Assembly is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to a motion of no confidence or on the advice of the Premier of Ontario.[2] A motion of no confidence is unlikely as the current government has a majority, though Premier Kathleen Wynne stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in the spring of 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.[3] Attorney General of Ontario Yasir Naqvi introduced Bill 45, the Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016, to the Legislative Assembly in October 2016 to amend the previous fixed election date law, which included moving the election date to the first Thursday in June of the fourth calendar year.[1] The bill received royal assent on December 8, 2016.[4]

Ridings[edit]

On June 4, 2015, the government introduced Bill 115, Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015,[5] to the Legislature, and it received Royal Assent on December 3, 2015. Bill 115 increases the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following along the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution. Two new districts will be created in Ontario's Far North. A special electoral district commission has been set up to review the matter.[6]

Standings[edit]

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Party Party leader Seats
2014 Current
Liberal Kathleen Wynne 58 57
Progressive Conservative Patrick Brown 28 29
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 21 20
Trillium Party of Ontario Bob Yaciuk 0 1
  Vacant 0
Total 107 107

Timeline[edit]

2014[edit]

2015[edit]

2016[edit]

2017[edit]

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election[edit]

Progressive Conservative Party

Ontario Liberal Party

Candidates by region[edit]

† = Not seeking re-election
‡ = Running for re-election in different riding
Italicization indicates candidate for nomination or declared interest
Highlight indicates nomination meeting has been scheduled
Strikethrough indicates nomination candidate disqualified or withdrew

East[edit]

Ottawa[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Carleton Goldie Ghamari Jay Tysick[29] New District
Kanata—Carleton Merrilee Fullerton Andrew West[30] Jack MacLaren (T) Jack MacLaren
Carleton—Mississippi Mills
Nepean Sadaf Ebrahim[31][32]
Lovina Srivastava[33]
Jack Uppal[34]
Lisa MacLeod James O'Grady Lisa MacLeod
Nepean—Carleton
Orléans Cameron Montgomery Marie-France Lalonde
Ottawa—Orléans
Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi October 29, 2017
Shawn Barber[35]
Erica Braunovan[36]
Joel Harden[37]
Yasir Naqvi
Ottawa South Karin Howard Les Schram John Fraser
Ottawa—Vanier Nathalie Des Rosiers Rojen Rahmani[38] Nathalie Des Rosiers
Ottawa West—Nepean Karma MacGregor Bob Chiarelli

Eastern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Bay of Quinte Todd Smith Todd Smith
Prince Edward—Hastings
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Amanda Simard Grant Crack
Hastings—Lennox and Addington Daryl Kramp New District
Kingston and the Islands Gary H. Bennett Ian Arthur
Steve Ward[39]
Sophie Kiwala
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Randy Hillier Randy Hillier
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Steve Clark Steve Clark
Leeds—Grenville
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke John Yakabuski John Yakabuski
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Jim McDonell Jim McDonell

Central Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Barrie—Innisfil Shawn Bubel[40]
Devin Scully
Doug Shipley[41]
Lawrence Vindum[42]
Bonnie North Ann Hoggarth
Barrie
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Patrick Brown Keenan Aylwin New District
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Bill Walker Liz Marshall (T)[43] Bill Walker
Dufferin—Caledon Bob Gordanier Sylvia Jones Sylvia Jones
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Laurie Scott Laurie Scott
Northumberland—Peterborough South Lou Rinaldi September 23, 2017
David Piccini[44]
November 19, 2017[45]
Lou Rinaldi
Northumberland—Quinte West
Peterborough—Kawartha September 14, 2017
Derek Andreoli[46]
Ryan Moore[47]
David Smith[48]
Zach Hatton[49] Jeff Leal
Peterborough
Simcoe—Grey Jim Wilson Jim Wilson
Simcoe North Jill Dunlop Patrick Brown
York—Simcoe September 10, 2017
Caroline Mulroney[50]
Julia Munro †

905 Belt[edit]

Durham and York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Ajax Todd McCarthy Joe Dickson
Ajax—Pickering
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Jeff Mole Michael Parsa New District
Durham Lindsey Park Granville Anderson
King—Vaughan Marilyn Iafrate Stephen Lecce New District
Markham—Stouffville Paul Calandra Helena Jaczek
Oak Ridges—Markham
Markham—Thornhill Logan Kanapathi New District
Markham—Unionville August 27, 2017
Michael Chan[51]
Sophia Sun
Amanda Yeung
Andrew Keyes
Billy Pang[52]
Sushmita Sharma[53]
Sri Suppira[54]
Kai Tao
Charles Jiang[55]
Michael Chan
Newmarket—Aurora Chris Ballard Charity McGrath Chris Ballard
Oshawa Bob Chapman Jennifer French Jennifer French
Pickering—Uxbridge Peter Bethlenfalvy Tracy MacCharles
Pickering—Scarborough East
Richmond Hill Reza Moridi Daisy Wai Reza Moridi
Thornhill Gila Martow Gila Martow
Vaughan—Woodbridge Michael Tibollo Steven Del Duca
Vaughan
Whitby Lorne Coe Niki Lundquist Lorne Coe
Whitby—Oshawa

Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Brampton Centre Harjit Jaswal[56] Sara Singh[57] New District
Brampton East Gulab Singh[58]
Jarmanjit Singh[59]
Jagmeet Singh
Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton North Jass Johal Harinder Malhi
Brampton—Springdale
Brampton South Sukhwant Thethi Prabmeet Sarkaria New District
Brampton West Amarjot Singh Sandhu Vic Dhillon
Mississauga Centre Shafqat Ali[60][61]
Harinder Takhar[62]
Angely Pacis New District
Mississauga East—Cooksville Kaleed Rasheed Dipika Damerla
Mississauga—Erin Mills Khalid Bajwa[63]
Imran Mian[64]
Hifza Musa[65]
Aslam Rana[66]
Sheref Sabawy Harinder Takhar ‡
Mississauga—Erindale
Mississauga—Lakeshore Charles Sousa Rudy Cuzzetto Charles Sousa
Mississauga South
Mississauga—Malton Deepak Anand[67]
Rajinder Minhas-Bal[68]
Clyde Roach[69]
Amrit Mangat
Mississauga—Brampton South
Mississauga—Streetsville Bob Delaney[70] Nina Tangri Bob Delaney
Oakville Stephen Crawford Kevin Flynn
Oakville North—Burlington Ibrahim Daniyal[71]
Effie Triantafilopoulos[72] Indira Naidoo-Harris ‡
Halton

Toronto[edit]

Scarborough[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Scarborough—Agincourt Soo Wong Aris Babikian Soo Wong
Scarborough Centre Thenusha Parani Brad Duguid
Scarborough—Guildwood Mitzie Hunter DD Reddy Muttukuru[73]
Mukund Purohit[74]
Quintus Thuraisingham[75]
Mitzie Hunter
Scarborough North Raymond Cho Raymond Cho
Scarborough—Rouge River
Scarborough—Rouge Park Vijay Thanigasalam New District
Scarborough Southwest Lorenzo Berardinetti

North York and North Toronto[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Don Valley East Michael Coteau Angela Kennedy Michael Coteau
Don Valley North Shelley Carroll Vincent Ke New District
Don Valley West Kathleen Wynne[76] Jon Kieran Mickey McIntosh (N.Ont)[77] Kathleen Wynne
Eglinton—Lawrence Robin Martin Thomas Gallezot[78] Michael Colle
Willowdale Stan Cho David Zimmer
York Centre Roman Baber Monte Kwinter†

Toronto and East York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Beaches—East York June 29, 2017 Debra Scott Arthur Potts
Davenport Grace Paulino -The New People's Choice - Party of Ontario Cristina Martins
Spadina—Fort York Han Dong Sabrina Zuniga Han Dong
Trinity—Spadina
Toronto Centre Alexei Simakov Glen Murray[79]
Toronto—Danforth Paul Tolios[80]
Zia Chaudhary[81]
Peter Tabuns
Toronto—St. Paul's Eric Hoskins
St. Paul's
University—Rosedale Jo-Ann Davis[82]
Eric McGoey[83]
Alex Nyikos[84]
Gillian Smith Jessica Bell New District

Etobicoke and York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Etobicoke Centre Yvan Baker Kinga Surma Yvan Baker
Etobicoke North Sudeep Verma[85] August 28, 2017
Nikki Clarke[86]
Shafiq Qadri
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Christine Hogarth Peter Milczyn
Humber River—Black Creek Deanna Sgro Cyma Musarat Tom Rakocevic Mario Sergio†
York West
Parkdale—High Park Nadia Guerrera[87] Sarah Bokhari[88] Cheri DiNovo
York South—Weston Laura Albanese Faisal Hassan[89]
Yafet Tewelde[90]
Laura Albanese

Hamilton, Burlington and Niagara[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Burlington Eleanor McMahon Jane McKenna Eleanor McMahon
Flamborough—Glanbrook Judi Partridge Dan Sadler[91]
Nick Lauwers[92]
Albert Marshall[93]
New District
Hamilton Centre Andrea Horwath
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Paul Miller Paul Miller
Hamilton Mountain Allan Miles[94]
Esther Pauls[95]
Sarah Warry-Poljanski[96]
Monique Taylor Monique Taylor
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Ted McMeekin Ben Levitt Ted McMeekin
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale
Milton Indira Naidoo-Harris Parm Gill New District
Niagara Centre April Jeffs Cindy Forster[97] Steve Soos (T)[98] Cindy Forster
Welland
Niagara Falls Mike Strange[99] Wayne Gates Wayne Gates
Niagara West Sam Oosterhoff Sam Oosterhoff
Niagara West—Glanbrook
St. Catharines Jim Bradley[100] Jim Bradley

Midwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Brantford—Brant Ruby Toor Will Bouma Rob Ferguson (Ltn)[101]
Nicholas Archer (NOTA)[102]
Dave Levac †
Brant
Cambridge Kathryn McGarry Kathryn McGarry
Guelph Thomas Mooney[103]
Adrian Marcolini[104]
Mike Schreiner[105] Liz Sandals
Haldimand—Norfolk Toby Barrett Toby Barrett
Huron—Bruce Lisa Thompson Lisa Thompson
Kitchener Centre Daiene Vernile Steven Cage[106]
Mary Henein Thorn[107]
Mark Straub[108]
Laura Mae Lindo[109] Daiene Vernile
Kitchener—Conestoga Michael Harris Michael Harris
Kitchener South—Hespeler Amy Fee New District
Oxford Ernie Hardeman Ernie Hardeman
Perth—Wellington Randy Pettapiece Randy Pettapiece
Waterloo Catherine Fife
Kitchener—Waterloo
Wellington—Halton Hills Ted Arnott Ted Arnott

Southwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Rick Nicholls Rick Nicholls
Chatham-Kent—Essex
Elgin—Middlesex—London Jeff Yurek Jeff Yurek
Essex Taras Natyshak Taras Natyshak
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Monte McNaughton Monte McNaughton
London—Fanshawe Eric Weniger Teresa Armstrong Teresa Armstrong
London North Centre Deb Matthews[110] Susan Truppe Deb Matthews
London West Jake Skinner Peggy Sattler Peggy Sattler
Sarnia—Lambton Bob Bailey Bob Bailey
Windsor—Tecumseh August 26, 2017
Mohammad Latif[111]
Percy Hatfield Percy Hatfield
Windsor West Adam Ibrahim Lisa Gretzky Lisa Gretzky

Northern Ontario[edit]

A "Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission" has been established to consider adding two new districts in Ontario's far north.[112][113] If approved, new ridings would be carved out of Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay. Following the recommendations of the preliminary report, the proposed names for these ridings would be Kiiwetinong and Mushkegowuk respectively, while the remaining part of Timmins—James Bay would be renamed to just "Timmins", as it would consist exclusively of that city.

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Algoma—Manitoulin Michael Mantha Tommy Lee (N.Ont)[114] Michael Mantha
Kenora—Rainy River Douglas Judson[115] Sarah Campbell
Nickel Belt France Gélinas France Gélinas
Nipissing Vic Fedeli Vic Fedeli
Parry Sound—Muskoka Norm Miller Norm Miller
Sault Ste. Marie Ross Romano Ross Romano
Sudbury Glenn Thibeault[116] Troy Crowder Jamie West Glenn Thibeault
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Bill Mauro[117] John Rafferty[118] Bill Mauro
Thunder Bay—Superior North Michael Gravelle[119] Derek Parks[120] Alain Lauzon[121] Michael Gravelle
Timiskaming—Cochrane John Vanthof Shawn P. Poirier (N.Ont)[114] John Vanthof
Timmins—James Bay Gilles Bisson Gilles Bisson

Opinion polls[edit]

Five-day average of Ontario opinion polls from June 12, 2014, to the last possible date of the next election on June 6, 2018. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling firm Last date of polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other Type
of poll
Sample
size
Margin
of Error
Innovative Research July 19, 2017 HTML 36 40 17 6 1 Telephone 605 ±4%
Campaign Research July 10, 2017 HTML 31 38 23 6 1 Online 943 ±3%
Innovative Research June 27, 2017 HTML 35 39 20 5 1 Telephone 600 ±4%
Forum Research June 14, 2017 PDF 23 44 24 7 2 IVR 1,003 ±3%
Campaign Research June 12, 2017 HTML 30 38 24 7 1 Online 1,118 ±3%
Mainstreet Research May 25, 2017 HTML 29 43 24 5 - IVR 2,000 ±2.19%
Campaign Research May 13, 2017 HTML 37 34 22 6 1 Online 864 ±4%
Forum Research May 10, 2017 PDF 28 41 23 6 3 IVR 1,103 ±3%
Campaign Research April 11, 2017 HTML 31 36 25 Online 979 ±3%
Innovative Research April 5, 2017 PDF 29 40 23 6 2 Online 779
Forum Research March 30, 2017 PDF 19 43 28 8 2 IVR 884 ±3.3%
Mainstreet Research March 12, 2017 HTML 30 40 24 6 - IVR 2,531 ±1.95%
Forum Research February 16, 2017 PDF 24 44 25 6 2 IVR 1,120 ±3%
Mainstreet Research February 12, 2017 HTML 29 39 27 4 - IVR 2,524 ±1.95%
Campaign Research January 29, 2017 HTML 28 50 15 5 2 IVR 676 ±4%
Forum Research November 21, 2016 PDF 24 43 24 8 2 IVR 1,184 ±3%
Nanos Research November 19, 2016 PDF 31.9 39.9 22.2 5.2 0.8 Telephone 500 ±4.4%
Mainstreet Research November 2, 2016 HTML 25 43 27 6 - IVR 2,524 ±1.95%
Forum Research October 18, 2016 PDF 24 43 23 8 2 IVR 1,124 ±3%
Innovative Research September 24, 2016 PDF 33 38 20 8 - Telephone 600 ±4.0%
Ipsos Reid September 22, 2016 HTML 40 35 20 5 - Online 800 ±4%
Mainstreet Research September 18, 2016 HTML 28 43 23 6 - IVR 2,562 ±1.94%
Forum Research September 13, 2016 PDF 25 45 23 6 2 IVR 1,154 ±3%
Ipsos Reid September 9, 2016 HTML 35 37 23 5 - Online 800 ±4%
Forum Research August 15, 2016 PDF 28 41 23 6 2 IVR 1,097 ±3%
Forum Research July 12, 2016 PDF 35 42 17 5 2 IVR 1,183 ±3%
Forum Research June 21, 2016 PDF 30 40 21 8 2 IVR 1,173 ±3%
Forum Research May 31, 2016 PDF 30 40 21 7 2 IVR 1,172 ±3%
Mainstreet Research May 18, 2016 HTML 36 38 20 5 - IVR 2,537 ±1.95%
Forum Research April 25, 2016 PDF 34 39 21 5 2 IVR 1,157 ±3%
Forum Research March 23, 2016 PDF 30 40 24 5 2 IVR 1,225 ±3%
Forum Research February 29, 2016 PDF 27 44 22 6 2 IVR 1,148 ±3%
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2016 HTML 33 36 26 5 - IVR 2,623 ±1.91%
Forum Research December 20, 2015 PDF 31 34 26 7 2 IVR 1,003 ±3%
Ipsos Reid November 9, 2015 HTML 44 31 20 4 - Online 1,002 ±3.5%
Forum Research November 4, 2015 PDF 30 36 26 6 1 IVR 1,158 ±3%
Mainstreet Research November 1, 2015 HTML 28 40 25 7 - IVR 2,506 ±1.96%
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 30 40 24 7 - IVR 4,610 ±1.5%
Forum Research August 13, 2015 PDF 26 35 33 4 2 IVR 1,001 ±3%
Forum Research July 5, 2015 PDF 26 32 35 5 2 IVR 678 ±4%
Ipsos Reid May 20, 2015 HTML 34 32 25 8 - Online 1,002 ±3.5%
Innovative Research May 19, 2015 PDF 34 35 24 6 - Telephone 606 ±4.0%
Forum Research May 11, 2015 PDF 24 33 36 5 2 IVR 1,001 ±3%
Forum Research April 30, 2015 PDF 29 36 24 9 2 IVR 912 ±3%
Innovative Research April 26, 2015 PDF 40 33 18 8 1 Online 1,017
Forum Research March 26, 2015 PDF 29 34 27 8 2 IVR 881 ±3%
Environics March 25, 2015 HTML 32 33 27 7 - Telephone 989 ±3.1%
Forum Research February 27, 2015 PDF 32 39 21 6 2 IVR 996 ±3%
Forum Research January 30, 2015 PDF 37 36 19 6 2 IVR 1,028 ±3%
Forum Research December 20, 2014 PDF 35 36 20 7 2 IVR 1,058 ±3%
Forum Research November 29, 2014 PDF 37 37 17 7 2 IVR 1,054 ±3%
Forum Research November 1, 2014 PDF 40 35 19 4 2 IVR 1,104 ±3%
Forum Research October 1, 2014 PDF 36 34 23 6 1 IVR 1,079 ±3%
Forum Research August 21, 2014 PDF 39 32 19 8 2 IVR 1,229 ±3%
2014 election June 12, 2014 HTML 38.65 31.25 23.75 4.84 1.51

Regional Polling[edit]

Toronto[edit]

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other Type of Poll Sample Size Margin of Error
Mainstreet Research July 10, 2017 HTML 31 49 15 5 - IVR 2,000 ±2.19%
Forum Research June 22, 2017 PDF 32 38 21 6 3 IVR 1,040 ±3%
Mainstreet Research February 21, 2017 HTML 42 30 23 5 - IVR 2,103 ±2.14%

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External links[edit]