Prince Edward Island general election, 2015

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Prince Edward Island general election, 2015
Prince Edward Island
2011 ←
May 4, 2015 (2015-05-04) → 66th

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
 
LIB
PC
Leader Wade MacLauchlan Rob Lantz
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since February 21, 2015 February 28, 2015
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Ran in Charlottetown-Brighton (lost)
Last election 22 seats, 51.39% 5 seats, 40.18%
Seats before 20 3
Seats won 18 8
Seat change Decrease2 Increase5
Percentage 40.83% 37.39%
Swing Decrease10.56pp Decrease2.79pp

  Third party Fourth party
  Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
NDP
Leader Peter Bevan-Baker Michael Redmond
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since November 3, 2012 October 13, 2012
Leader's seat Kellys Cross-Cumberland Ran in Montague-Kilmuir (lost)
Last election 0 seats, 4.36% 0 seats, 3.16%
Seats before 0 0
Seats won 1 0
Seat change Increase1 ±0
Percentage 10.81% 10.97%
Swing Increase6.45pp Increase7.81pp

Prince Edward Island Election Map 2015.svg

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.

Premier before election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

Premier-designate

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

The 65th Prince Edward Island general election was held May 4, 2015.[1] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.

The governing Liberals were elected to a third consecutive majority government under new leader Wade MacLauchlan, while the Progressive Conservatives made slight gains despite party leader Rob Lantz failing to win election in Charlottetown-Brighton. The Green Party, meanwhile, won its first seat in the legislature, with leader Peter Bevan-Baker elected in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[2] The New Democratic Party was shut out.

Standings[edit]

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2011 Dissol. 2015 Change # % Change
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 27 22 20 18 -4 33,481 40.83% -10.55%
Progressive Conservative Rob Lantz 27 5 3 8 +3 30,663 37.39% -2.77%
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 24 0 0 1 +1 8,857 10.81% +6.45%
New Democratic Michael Redmond 27 0 0 0 8,997 10.97% +7.81%
  Independent 0 1 0
  Vacant 3 - -
Total 105 27 27 27 81,998

Results by region[edit]

Party Name Cardigan Malpeque Charlottetown Egmont Total
  Liberal Seats: 2 2 7 7 18
  Popular Vote: 38.16% 36.33% 40.69% 49.00% 40.83%
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 5 3 0 0 8
  Popular Vote: 44.95% 38.21% 31.08% 34.97% 37.39%
  Green Seats: 0 1 0 0 1
  Popular Vote: 5.45% 18.76% 12.41% 6.01% 10.81%
Total seats: 7 6 7 7 27
Parties that won no seats:
  NDP Vote: 2,404 1,430 3,261 1,902 8,997
  Popular Vote: 11.44% 6.69% 15.82% 10.01% 10.98%

Timeline[edit]

2011[edit]

2012[edit]

2013[edit]

2014[edit]

2015[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Voting intentions since the 2011 election.
Polling Firm Last date of polling Link Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Corporate Research Associates April 23, 2015 HTML 44 35 6 15
Abingdon Research April 20, 2015 PDF 43 27 12 18
Corporate Research Associates February 28, 2015 PDF 58 26 4 12 0
Corporate Research Associates November 25, 2014 PDF 50 23 11 15 0 0
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2014 PDF 48 28 7 16 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 22, 2014 PDF 53 23 3 21 0 0
Corporate Research Associates February 27, 2014 PDF 53 17 7 22 0 1
Corporate Research Associates November 27, 2013 PDF 49 17 7 26 0 1
Corporate Research Associates August 28, 2013 PDF 42 23 3 32 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 28, 2013 PDF 52 22 5 21 0 1
Corporate Research Associates March 2, 2013 PDF 51 16 7 26 0 0
Corporate Research Associates December 1, 2012 PDF 45 28 5 22 0 0
Corporate Research Associates August 31, 2012 PDF 42 32 8 18 0 0
Corporate Research Associates June 4, 2012 PDF 47 26 8 18 1 1
Corporate Research Associates February 26, 2012 PDF 50 33 5 11 0 0
Corporate Research Associates November 29, 2011 PDF 53 34 4 9 0 0
2011 election October 3, 2011 51.38 40.16 4.36 3.16 0.91 0.02

Candidates[edit]

  • Bold designates member of cabinet or Leader of the Party
  • Italics in the Candidate section designates a person seeking the party nomination

Cardigan[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   Green   NDP   Other
4. Belfast-Murray River Charlie McGeoghegan
1,095
Darlene Compton
1,203
Jordan MacPhee
152
Alan Hicken
216
    Charlie McGeoghegan
2. Georgetown-St. Peters Russell Stewart
1,170
Steven Myers
1,448
Heather Gallant
145
Nathan Bushey
256
    Steven Myers
3. Montague-Kilmuir Allen Roach
1,060
Andy Daggett
785
Jason Furness
106
Michael Redmond
585
    Allen Roach
7. Morell-Mermaid Dan MacDonald
1,114
Sidney MacEwen
1,501
Meaghan Lister
177
Edith Perry
211
    Olive Crane
1. Souris-Elmira Tommy Kickham
951
Colin LaVie
1,179
  Susan Birt
528
  Colin LaVie
6. Stratford-Kinlock David Dunphy
1,453
James Aylward
2,155
Sam Saunders
330
Chris van Ouwerkerk
350
  James Aylward
5. Vernon River-Stratford* Alan McIsaac*
1,173
Mary Ellen McInnis*
1,173
Nick Graveline
234
Kathleen Romans
258
Alan McIsaac
  • This riding vote count resulted in a tie between McIsaac and McInnis. As a result, a coin toss was held, which determined McIsaac, the Liberal candidate, as the winner.[20]

Malpeque[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   Green   NDP   Other
19. Borden-Kinkora Ramona Roberts
1,154
Jamie Fox
1,597
Ranald MacFarlane
511
Aleida Tweten
129
George Webster
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank Heath MacDonald
1,444
Michael Drake
1,056
Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott
377
Jennifer Coughlin
243
Ron MacKinley
17. Kellys Cross-Cumberland Valerie Docherty
1,046
Randy Robar
609
Peter Bevan-Baker
2,077
Jesse Cousins
58
Valerie Docherty
20. Kensington-Malpeque Paul Montgomery
1,033
Matthew MacKay
1,984
Lynne Lund
374
Joseph Larkin
264
  Vacant
18. Rustico-Emerald Bertha Campbell
1,152
Brad Trivers
1,585
Marianne Janowicz
325
Leah Jane Hayward
294
  Carolyn Bertram
9. York-Oyster Bed Wade MacLauchlan
1,938
Jim Carragher
1,338
Thane Bernard
347
Gordon Gay
442
  Vacant

Charlottetown[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   Green   NDP   Other
13. Charlottetown-Brighton Jordan Brown
1,054
Rob Lantz
1,032
Derrick Biso
352
Bob MacLean
265
  Vacant
14. Charlottetown-Lewis Point Kathleen Casey
1,040
Dianne Young
821
Doug Millington
244
Gord McNeilly
931
    Kathleen Casey
11. Charlottetown-Parkdale Doug Currie
1,166
Lynn MacLaren
699
Becka Viau
511
Andrew Watts
292
    Doug Currie
10. Charlottetown-Sherwood Robert Mitchell
1,425
Mike Gillis
1,031
Mitchell Gallant
295
Karalee McAskill
360
    Robert Mitchell
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Richard Brown
955
Joey Kitson
666
Darcie Lanthier
456
Chris Clay
348
    Richard Brown
8. Tracadie-Hillsborough Park Buck Watts
1,354
Darren Creamer
826
Isaac Williams
237
Jason Murray
549
  Buck Watts
15. West Royalty-Springvale Bush Dumville
1,389
Linda Clements
1,330
Charles Sanderson
462
Peter Meggs
516
  Bush Dumville

Egmont[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   Green   NDP   Other
26. Alberton-Roseville Pat Murphy
1,569
John Griffin
1,166
  Orville Lewis
188
    Pat Murphy
24. Evangeline-Miscouche Sonny Gallant
1,419
Debbie Montgomery
586
Jordan Cameron
125
Grant Gallant
138
    Sonny Gallant
25. O'Leary-Inverness Robert Henderson
1,310
Daniel MacDonald
1,063
  Billy Mackendrick
311
    Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-St. Eleanors Tina Mundy
1,246
Major Stewart
1,098
Caleb Adams
321
Olivia Wood
358
    Gerard Greenan
21. Summerside-Wilmot Janice Sherry
1,135
Brian Ramsay
1,105
Donald MacFadzen-Reid
285
Scott Gaudet
353
    Janice Sherry
27. Tignish-Palmer Road Hal Perry
1,486
Joseph Profit
818
Malcolm Pitre
167
John A'Hearn
81
    Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Linkletter Paula Biggar
1,147
Ryan Williams
810
Shelagh Young
240
Jacqueline Tuplin
473
    Paula Biggar

References[edit]

  1. ^ PEI election called for May 4, 2015
  2. ^ "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 4, 2015. 
  3. ^ "P.E.I. NDP elect Mike Redmond as party leader". CBC News, October 13, 2012.
  4. ^ "Bevan-Baker acclaimed as P.E.I. Green Party leader". Charlottetown: The Guardian. November 3, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  5. ^ "P.E.I. PC Leader Olive Crane resigns". CBC News. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  6. ^ "Olive Crane resigns as P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  7. ^ "Tories name new P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  8. ^ "MLA Steven Myers named interim PC leader". CBC News. January 31, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  9. ^ "Perry to step down as Opposition leader". CBC News. February 11, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  10. ^ Wright, Teresa (October 3, 2013). "Hal Perry crossing floor to join Liberals". The Guardian. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  11. ^ "Olive Crane kicked out of PC caucus". The Journal Pioneer. October 4, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  12. ^ "P.E.I.-Liberals-and-PCs-both-looking-for-leaders". 
  13. ^ Wade MacLauchlan confirmed as P.E.I. Liberal leader
  14. ^ "Experienced faces make up Wade MacLauchlan cabinet". CBC News. February 23, 2015. Retrieved February 25, 2015. 
  15. ^ Legislative Assembly of PEI: Members
  16. ^ Rob Lantz celebrates Progressive Conservative leadership victory
  17. ^ Island Party sitting out election
  18. ^ PEI Votes 2015: Leaders' Debate
  19. ^ Leaders met in 2nd TV debate
  20. ^ Liberal Alan McIsaac wins seat in coin toss after recount tie. CBC News, May 19, 2015.

External links[edit]