List of countries by rate of natural increase
This article contains a list of countries by rate of natural increase.
Methodology
The rate of natural increase is defined as the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate. It is expressed as a rate per 1,000 population.
Countries / Regions
The birth rates[1] and death rates[2] in columns one and two are the CIA World Factbook estimates for the year 2017 unless otherwise noted, rounded to the nearest tenth (except for Mayotte with 2010 estimates). The natural increase rate in column three is calculated from the rounded values of columns one and two. Rates are the average annual number of births or deaths during a year per 1,000 persons; these are also known as crude birth or death rates.
Column four is from the UN Population Division and shows a projection for the average natural increase rate for the time period shown using the medium fertility variant. Blank cells in column four indicate lack of data.
Country or region | Crude birth rate |
Crude death rate |
Natural increase rate |
Natural increase rate (2015–20)[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|
Angola | 44.3 | 9.2 | 35.0 | +32.7 |
Mali | 43.9 | 9.8 | 34.1 | +32.0 |
Malawi | 41.0 | 7.9 | 33.1 | +29.3 |
Uganda | 42.9 | 10.2 | 32.7 | +32.9 |
Burundi | 41.3 | 8.8 | 32.5 | +31.1 |
Niger | 44.2 | 11.8 | 32.4 | |
Mayotte (France) | 38.76[n 1] | 7.05 | 31.71 | +25.8 |
Liberia | 38.4 | 7.6 | 30.7 | +26.2 |
Burkina Faso | 41.2 | 11.2 | 30.0 | +29.9 |
Zambia | 41.5 | 12.2 | 29.3 | +30.1 |
Ethiopia | 36.5 | 7.7 | 28.8 | +24.4 |
Gaza Strip | 31.4 | 3.1 | 28.3 | |
Tanzania | 35.6 | 7.6 | 28.0 | +31.2 |
South Sudan | 35.5 | 7.7 | 27.8 | |
East Timor | 33.4 | 5.9 | 27.5 | +29.0 |
Benin | 35.0 | 7.9 | 27.1 | +27.4 |
Iraq | 30.4 | 3.8 | 26.6 | +27.6 |
Mozambique | 38.1 | 11.6 | 26.5 | +28.7 |
Somalia | 39.6 | 13.1 | 26.5 | +31.9 |
Togo | 33.3 | 6.9 | 26.4 | +24.7 |
Guinea | 35.1 | 9.0 | 26.1 | +26.0 |
Sierra Leone | 36.3 | 10.4 | 25.9 | +21.7 |
Cameroon | 35.4 | 9.6 | 25.8 | +25.8 |
São Tomé and Príncipe | 32.4 | 6.8 | 25.6 | +26.6 |
Senegal | 33.4 | 8.1 | 25.3 | +28.9 |
Madagascar | 31.6 | 6.5 | 25.1 | +26.7 |
Egypt | 29.6 | 4.6 | 25.0 | +19.2 |
Republic of the Congo | 34.4 | 9.5 | 24.9 | +26.6 |
Afghanistan | 37.9 | 13.4 | 24.5 | +25.7 |
Nigeria | 36.9 | 12.4 | 24.5 | +26.1 |
Equatorial Guinea | 32.2 | 7.8 | 24.4 | +23.4 |
Rwanda | 30.7 | 6.4 | 24.3 | +24.3 |
Zimbabwe | 34.2 | 10.2 | 24.0 | +23.9 |
Democratic Republic of the Congo | 33.5 | 9.6 | 23.9 | +26.6 |
Ghana | 30.5 | 7.0 | 23.5 | +22.3 |
West Bank | 26.3 | 3.5 | 22.8 | |
Mauritania | 30.4 | 7.9 | 22.5 | +25.7 |
Eritrea | 29.6 | 7.2 | 22.4 | +24.7 |
Gambia | 29.4 | 7.0 | 22.4 | +30.8 |
Yemen | 28.4 | 6.0 | 22.4 | +24.3 |
Chad | 35.6 | 13.8 | 21.8 | +29.9 |
Gabon | 34.2 | 13.0 | 21.2 | +21.2 |
Western Sahara | 29.3 | 8.1 | 21.2 | |
Central African Republic | 34.3 | 13.2 | 21.1 | +22.2 |
Solomon Islands | 24.9 | 3.8 | 21.1 | +23.3 |
Oman | 24.0 | 3.3 | 20.7 | +14.8 |
Sudan | 27.9 | 7.3 | 20.6 | |
Jordan | 23.9 | 3.4 | 20.5 | +21.7 |
Marshall Islands | 24.4 | 4.2 | 20.2 | |
Vanuatu | 24.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | +20.6 |
Guatemala | 24.1 | 4.7 | 19.4 | +20.0 |
Namibia | 27.3 | 7.9 | 19.4 | +21.3 |
Comoros | 26.1 | 7.2 | 18.9 | |
Guinea-Bissau | 32.5 | 13.9 | 18.6 | +25.5 |
Côte d'Ivoire | 27.7 | 9.4 | 18.4 | +24.6 |
Nauru | 24.0 | 5.9 | 18.1 | |
Belize | 24.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | +16.8 |
Algeria | 22.2 | 4.3 | 17.9 | +16.9 |
Philippines | 23.7 | 6.1 | 17.6 | +16.3 |
Tajikistan | 23.3 | 6.0 | 17.3 | +22.8 |
Tonga | 22.2 | 4.9 | 17.3 | +17.5 |
Kenya | 23.9 | 6.7 | 17.2 | +25.0 |
Syria | 21.2 | 4.0 | 17.2 | +15.2 |
Honduras | 22.4 | 5.3 | 17.1 | +16.5 |
Papua New Guinea | 23.7 | 6.6 | 17.1 | +20.1 |
Kuwait | 19.2 | 2.2 | 17.0 | +13.0 |
Laos | 23.6 | 7.4 | 16.2 | +16.6 |
Djibouti | 23.4 | 7.5 | 15.9 | +14.1 |
Micronesia | 20.0 | 4.2 | 15.8 | |
Bolivia | 22.0 | 6.4 | 15.6 | +15.6 |
Kyrgyzstan | 22.1 | 6.5 | 15.6 | +17.6 |
Pakistan | 21.9 | 6.3 | 15.6 | +20.2 |
Cambodia | 23.0 | 7.5 | 15.5 | +16.7 |
Haiti | 23.0 | 7.6 | 15.4 | -15.1 |
Tuvalu | 23.7 | 8.5 | 15.2 | |
Samoa | 20.4 | 5.3 | 15.1 | -19.2 |
Saudi Arabia | 18.3 | 3.4 | 14.9 | +15.5 |
Kiribati | 21.2 | 7.0 | 14.2 | +20.7 |
Cape Verde | -20.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | |
Malaysia | 19.1 | -5.1 | 14.0 | +11.9 |
Libya | 17.5 | 3.6 | 13.9 | +13.6 |
Nepal | -19.5 | 5.6 | 13.9 | +13.3 |
American Samoa | 19.6 | 5.9 | 13.7 | |
Dominican Republic | 18.4 | -4.7 | 13.7 | +13.5 |
Guam (US) | 19.7 | 6.0 | 13.7 | |
Venezuela | 18.8 | 5.3 | 13.5 | -12.9 |
Bangladesh | -18.8 | 5.4 | 13.4 | +13.2 |
Brunei | 17.0 | 3.6 | 13.4 | +11.7 |
United Arab Emirates | 15.1 | 1.9 | 13.2 | +7.5 |
Mexico | 18.3 | 5.3 | 13.0 | +12.7 |
Panama | 17.9 | -4.9 | 13.0 | +14.0 |
Turkmenistan | -19.1 | 6.1 | 13.0 | +16.9 |
Israel | 18.1 | 5.2 | 12.9 | +14.3 |
Ecuador | 17.9 | 5.1 | 12.8 | +14.6 |
Morocco | 17.7 | 4.9 | 12.8 | +14.1 |
Iran | 17.9 | 5.3 | 12.6 | +11.1 |
Mongolia | 18.9 | 6.3 | 12.6 | +16.0 |
Nicaragua | 17.7 | 5.1 | 12.6 | +14.1 |
Botswana | 22.1 | 9.6 | 12.5 | +16.6 |
Fiji | 18.6 | 6.1 | 12.5 | +11.6 |
Maldives | 16.1 | 4.0 | 12.1 | +14.0 |
Turks and Caicos Islands (UK) | 15.3 | 3.2 | 12.1 | |
Tunisia | 18.2 | 6.3 | 11.9 | +11.2 |
Paraguay | 16.6 | 4.8 | 11.8 | +14.9 |
India | 19.0 | 7.3 | 11.7 | +11.4 |
Peru | 17.8 | 6.1 | 11.7 | +13.1 |
Jamaica | 17.9 | 6.8 | 11.1 | +9.3 |
Bhutan | 17.3 | 6.5 | 10.8 | +11.8 |
Costa Rica | 15.5 | 4.7 | 10.8 | +8.9 |
South Africa | 20.2 | 9.4 | 10.8 | +11.0 |
Eswatini (Swaziland) | 24.0 | 13.2 | 10.8 | +18.9 |
Burma | 18.1 | 7.4 | 10.7 | +9.3 |
Colombia | 16.1 | 5.5 | 10.6 | +8.7 |
Bahrain | 13.3 | 2.8 | 10.5 | +11.8 |
El Salvador | 16.2 | 5.8 | 10.4 | +11.5 |
Northern Mariana Islands (US) | 15.0 | 4.8 | 10.2 | |
Antigua and Barbuda | 15.7 | 5.7 | 10.0 | |
Kazakhstan | 18.1 | 8.1 | 10.0 | +11.3 |
Indonesia | 16.2 | 6.5 | 9.7 | +11.2 |
Suriname | 15.8 | 6.1 | 9.7 | +10.4 |
Turkey | 15.7 | 6.0 | 9.7 | +10.0 |
French Polynesia | 14.8 | 5.2 | 9.6 | |
Lesotho | 24.6 | 15.0 | 9.6 | +14.9 |
Vietnam | 15.5 | 5.9 | 9.6 | +10.4 |
Uzbekistan | 16.8 | 5.3 | 9.5 | +14.4 |
Lebanon | 14.3 | 5.0 | 9.3 | +10.7 |
New Caledonia (France) | 15.0 | 5.7 | 9.3 | |
Argentina | 16.7 | 7.5 | 9.2 | +9.3 |
Sri Lanka | 15.2 | 6.2 | 9.0 | +7.8 |
Azerbaijan | 15.8 | 7.1 | 8.7 | +9.8 |
Bahamas | 15.3 | 7.2 | 8.1 | |
Qatar | 9.6 | 1.5 | 8.1 | +8.4 |
Guyana | 15.4 | 7.4 | 8.0 | +12.0 |
Anguilla (UK) | 12.5 | 4.6 | 7.9 | |
Sint Maarten (Netherlands) | 13.1 | 5.2 | 7.9 | |
Wallis and Futuna (France) | 13.2 | 5.4 | 7.8 | |
Ireland | 14.1 | 6.6 | 7.5 | +6.9 |
Brazil | 14.1 | 6.7 | 7.4 | +7.5 |
Chile | 13.6 | 6.2 | 7.4 | +6.9 |
Grenada | 15.5 | 8.2 | 7.3 | +11.1 |
Iceland | 13.7 | 6.4 | 7.3 | +6.6 |
Dominica | 15.1 | 7.9 | 7.2 | |
Seychelles | 13.7 | 7.0 | 6.7 | +7.1 |
Albania | 13.2 | 6.8 | 6.4 | +4.0 |
Cayman Islands (UK) | 12.0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | |
Saint Kitts and Nevis | 13.2 | 7.1 | 6.1 | |
British Virgin Islands | 11.1 | 5.1 | 6.0 | |
Falkland Islands (UK) | 10.9[n 2] | 4.9 | 6.0 | |
Mauritius | 13.0 | 7.1 | 5.9 | +2.3 |
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 13.2 | 7.3 | 5.9 | |
Greenland (Denmark) | 14.4 | 8.7 | 5.7 | |
New Zealand | 13.2 | 7.5 | 5.7 | +6.2 |
Cook Islands (New Zealand) | 14.0 | 8.4 | 5.6 | |
Saint Lucia | 13.3 | 7.7 | 5.6 | +4.4 |
Faroe Islands (Denmark) | 14.3 | 8.8 | 5.5 | |
Gibraltar (UK) | 14.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | |
Curaçao (Netherlands) | 13.7 | 8.4 | 5.3 | |
North Korea | 14.6 | 9.3 | 5.3 | |
North Macedonia | 11.4 | 9.2 | 5.2 | +1.3 |
Singapore | 8.6 | 3.5 | 5.1 | |
U.S. Virgin Islands | 12.8 | 7.8 | 5.0 | |
Australia | 12.1 | 7.3 | 4.8 | +6.1 |
Jersey (UK) | 12.4 | 7.8 | 4.6 | |
Montserrat (UK) | 10.8 | 6.2 | 4.6 | |
China | 12.3 | 7.8 | 4.5 | +4.1 |
Cyprus | 11.3 | 6.8 | 4.5 | +3.6 |
United States | 12.5 | 8.2 | 4.3 | +4.3 |
Luxembourg | 11.5 | 7.3 | 4.2 | +4.2 |
Macau (China) | 8.6 | 4.5 | 4.1 | |
Norway | 12.2 | 8.1 | 4.1 | +4.1 |
Aruba (Netherlands) | 12.4 | 8.4 | 4.0 | +2.1 |
Trinidad and Tobago | 12.7 | 8.8 | 3.9 | +3.2 |
Uruguay | 13.0 | 9.4 | 3.6 | +4.5 |
Armenia | 12.9 | 9.4 | 3.5 | +3.2 |
Palau | 11.3 | 8.1 | 3.2 | |
Barbados | 11.7 | 8.6 | 3.1 | +0.9 |
Liechtenstein | 10.4 | 7.4 | 3.0 | |
Thailand | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | +1.9 |
France | 12.2 | 9.3 | 2.9 | +2.6 |
Bermuda (UK) | 11.3 | 8.6 | 2.7 | |
Sweden | 12.1 | 9.4 | 2.7 | +3.2 |
United Kingdom | 12.1 | 9.4 | 2.7 | +3.1 |
South Korea | 8.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | +2.8 |
Switzerland | 10.5 | 8.3 | 2.2 | +2.4 |
Cuba | 10.7 | 8.7 | 2.0 | +2.5 |
Netherlands | 10.9 | 8.9 | 2.0 | +1.9 |
Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK) | 9.6 | 7.8 | 1.8 | |
Belgium | 11.3 | 9.7 | 1.6 | +1.6 |
Canada | 10.3 | 8.7 | 1.6 | +3.0 |
Hong Kong (China) | 8.9 | 7.4 | 1.5 | +4.2 |
Georgia | 12.3 | 10.9 | 1.4 | −0.2 |
Taiwan | 8.3 | 7.4 | 0.9 | +1.5 |
Guernsey (UK) | 9.8 | 9.0 | 0.8 | |
Isle of Man (UK) | 11.0 | 10.2 | 0.8 | |
Finland | 10.7 | 10 | 0.7 | +1.0 |
Montenegro | 10.0 | 9.7 | 0.3 | +1.2 |
Andorra | 7.5 | 7.3 | 0.2 | |
Denmark | 10.5 | 10.3 | 0.2 | +1.1 |
Spain | 9.2 | 9.1 | 0.1 | −0.6 |
Austria | 9.5 | 9.6 | −0.1 | +0.1 |
San Marino | 8.6 | 8.7 | −0.1 | |
Slovakia | 9.7 | 9.9 | −0.2 | +0.3 |
Puerto Rico (US) | 8.1 | 8.6 | −0.5 | +2.6 |
Poland | 9.5 | 10.4 | −0.9 | −1.4 |
Moldova | 11.5 | 12.6 | −1.1 | −1.7 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8.8 | 10.0 | −1.2 | −2.0 |
Czech Republic | 9.3 | 10.5 | −1.2 | −0.6 |
Italy | 8.6 | 10.4 | −1.8 | −2.4 |
Japan | 7.7 | 9.8 | −2.1 | −2.7 |
Portugal | 9.0 | 11.1 | −2.1 | −3.3 |
Estonia | 10.1 | 12.6 | −2.5 | −1.5 |
Russia | 11.0 | 13.5 | −2.5 | −1.3 |
Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France) | 7.1 | 9.9 | −2.8 | |
Belarus | 10.3 | 13.2 | −2.9 | −1.7 |
Greece | 8.4 | 11.3 | −2.9 | −3.0 |
Germany | 8.6 | 11.7 | −3.1 | −2.5 |
Romania | 8.9 | 12.0 | −3.1 | −3.4 |
Monaco | 6.6 | 9.8 | −3.2 | |
Croatia | 8.9 | 12.2 | −3.3 | |
Slovenia | 8.2 | 11.6 | −3.4 | +0.1 |
Hungary | 9.0 | 12.8 | −3.8 | −4.0 |
Ukraine | 10.3 | 14.4 | −4.1 | −4.4 |
Serbia | 9.0 | 13.6 | −4.6 | −2.2 |
Lithuania | 9.9 | 14.6 | −4.7 | −3.8 |
Latvia | 9.7 | 14.5 | −4.8 | −5.1 |
Bulgaria | 8.7 | 14.5 | −5.8 | −6.0 |
Summary by region
The table below assembles history and projections for the major regions shown. The numbers show total births minus total deaths per 1,000 population for the region for each time period. The first four columns show actual rate of natural increase. The remaining columns show projections using the medium fertility variant. All numbers are from the UN Population Division.[3]
Region | 1950–55 | 1970–75 | 1990–95 | 2010–15 | 2015–20 | 2025–30 | 2035–40 | 2045–50 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
World | +17.8 | +19.5 | +15.2 | +11.9 | +10.9 | +8.7 | +7.0 | +5.6 |
Africa | +21.5 | +27.4 | +26.1 | +26.4 | +25.3 | +22.8 | +20.6 | +18.1 |
Asia | +19.3 | +22.8 | +16.4 | +10.7 | +9.3 | +6.3 | +3.8 | +1.8 |
Europe | +10.3 | +5.5 | +0.3 | −0.1 | −0.7 | −2.1 | −2.8 | −3.2 |
Latin America & The Caribbean | +27.1 | +25.8 | +19.0 | +11.9 | +10.4 | +7.5 | +4.9 | +2.8 |
Northern America | +14.9 | +6.4 | +6.6 | +4.2 | +4.2 | +3.5 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
Oceania | +15.7 | +14.5 | +12.2 | +10.5 | +9.7 | +8.0 | +6.4 | +5.3 |
See also
Notes
References
- ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov.
- ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov.
- ^ a b ""United Nations Population Div, World Population Prospects 2017, File: Rate of Natural Population Growth Rate". Archived from the original on 27 September 2016. Retrieved 23 June 2018.