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COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

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COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
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About this image
COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people by state, as of September 30
COVID-19 rolling 14day Prevalence in the United States by county.svg
Map of the outbreak in the United States by confirmed new infections per 100,000 people (14 days preceding September 26)
  500+ confirmed new cases
  200–500 confirmed new cases
  100–200 confirmed new cases
  50–100 confirmed new cases
  20–50 confirmed new cases
  10–20 confirmed new cases
  0–10 confirmed new cases
  No confirmed new cases or no data
DiseaseCOVID-19
Virus strainSARS-CoV-2
LocationUnited States
First outbreakWuhan, Hubei, China[1]
Index caseChicago, Illinois (earliest known arrival)[2]
Everett, Washington (first case report)[3]
Arrival dateJanuary 13, 2020[4]
(8 months, 2 weeks and 3 days ago)
Confirmed cases
Recovered2,794,608 (JHU)[6]
Deaths
Fatality rate
Government website
coronavirus.gov

The COVID-19 pandemic in the United States is part of the worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). As of September 2020, there were over 7,100,000 cases of COVID-19 and 205,000 COVID-19-related deaths in the U.S.[6]

On December 31, 2019, China announced the discovery of a cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan. The first American case was reported on January 20, and the U.S. outbreak was officially declared a public health emergency on January 31. Restrictions were placed on flights arriving from China,[8][9] but the initial U.S. response to the pandemic was otherwise slow, in terms of preparing the healthcare system, stopping other travel, and testing for the virus.[10][11][12][a] Meanwhile, President Donald Trump downplayed the threat posed by the virus and claimed the outbreak was under control.[14]

The first known American deaths were reported in February.[15] By the end of March, cases had been confirmed in all fifty U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and all inhabited U.S. territories except American Samoa.[16][17]

On March 13, President Trump declared a national emergency.[18] The Trump administration largely waited until mid-March to start purchasing large quantities of medical equipment.[19] In late March, the administration started to use the Defense Production Act to direct industries to produce medical equipment.[20] By April 17, the federal government approved disaster declarations for all states and territories. A second rise in infections began in June 2020, following relaxed restrictions in several states.[21]

State and local responses to the outbreak have included prohibitions and cancellation of large-scale gatherings (including festivals and sporting events), stay-at-home orders, and the closure of schools.[22] Disproportionate numbers of cases have been observed among Black and Latino populations,[23][24][25] and there were reported incidents of xenophobia and racism against Asian Americans.[26] Clusters of infections and deaths have occurred in many areas.[b]

As of September 29, the US death rate had reached 625 per million people, the eleventh-highest rate globally, and ninth-highest if European microstates are excluded.[29][30]

Timeline

COVID-19 cases in the United States  ()
     Deaths        Recoveries        Active cases

Jan Jan Feb Feb Mar Mar Apr Apr May May Jun Jun Jul Jul Aug Aug Sep Sep Last 15 days Last 15 days

Date
# of cases
# of deaths
2020-01-21 1(n.a.)
1(=)
2020-01-24 2(+100%)
2020-01-25 3(+50%)
2020-01-26 5(+67%)
5(=)
2020-01-30 6(+20%)
2020-01-31 7(+17%)
2020-02-01 8(+14%)
2020-02-02 11(+38%)
11(=)
2020-02-05 12(+9.1%)
12(=)
2020-02-17 12(=)
12(=)
2020-02-20 14(+17%)
14(=)
2020-02-26 15(+7.1%)
15(=)
2020-02-28 19(+27%)
2020-02-29 24(+26%) 1(n.a.)
2020-03-01 42(+75%) 2(+100%)
2020-03-02 57(+36%) 6(+200%)
2020-03-03 85(+49%) 9(+50%)
2020-03-04 111(+31%) 11(+22%)
2020-03-05
175(+58%) 11(=)
2020-03-06
252(+44%) 14(+27%)
2020-03-07
353(+40%) 19(+36%)
2020-03-08
497(+41%) 21(+11%)
2020-03-09
645(+30%) 26(+24%)
2020-03-10
936(+45%) 31(+19%)
2020-03-11
1,205(+29%) 37(+19%)
2020-03-12
1,598(+33%) 41(+11%)
2020-03-13
2,163(+35%) 49(+20%)
2020-03-14
2,825(+31%) 56(+14%)
2020-03-15
3,501(+24%) 62(+11%)
2020-03-16
4,373(+25%) 76(+23%)
2020-03-17
5,664(+30%) 97(+28%)
2020-03-18
8,074(+43%) 123(+27%)
2020-03-19
12,022(+49%) 175(+42%)
2020-03-20
17,439(+45%) 230(+31%)
2020-03-21
23,710(+36%) 298(+30%)
2020-03-22
32,341(+36%) 408(+37%)
2020-03-23
42,751(+32%) 519(+27%)
2020-03-24
52,690(+23%) 681(+31%)
2020-03-25
64,916(+23%) 906(+33%)
2020-03-26
81,966(+26%) 1,159(+28%)
2020-03-27
101,012(+23%) 1,592(+37%)
2020-03-28
121,105(+20%) 2,039(+28%)
2020-03-29
140,223(+16%) 2,431(+19%)
2020-03-30
160,686(+15%) 2,985(+23%)
2020-03-31
185,991(+16%) 3,806(+28%)
2020-04-01
212,747(+14%) 4,746(+25%)
2020-04-02
241,626(+14%) 5,821(+23%)
2020-04-03
274,151(+13%) 7,006(+20%)
2020-04-04
307,876(+12%) 8,359(+19%)
2020-04-05
333,593(+8.4%) 9,534(+14%)
2020-04-06
362,952(+8.8%) 10,746(+13%)
2020-04-07
393,464(+8.4%) 12,674(+18%)
2020-04-08
425,746(+8.2%) 14,610(+15%)
2020-04-09
459,989(+8%) 16,466(+13%)
2020-04-10
493,567(+7.3%) 18,544(+13%)
2020-04-11
525,436(+6.5%) 20,443(+10%)
2020-04-12
553,493(+5.3%) 21,936(+7.3%)
2020-04-13
578,178(+4.5%) 23,398(+6.7%)
2020-04-14
604,165(+4.5%) 25,776(+10%)
2020-04-15
633,630(+4.9%) 28,214(+9.5%)
2020-04-16
665,706(+5.1%) 30,355(+7.6%)
2020-04-17
696,621(+4.6%) 32,435(+6.9%)
2020-04-18
724,705(+4%) 34,178(+5.4%)
2020-04-19
750,718(+3.6%) 35,812(+4.8%)
2020-04-20
775,850(+3.3%) 37,455(+4.6%)
2020-04-21
801,028(+3.2%) 40,079(+7%)
2020-04-22
830,274(+3.7%) 42,198(+5.3%)
2020-04-23
861,551(+3.8%) 44,038(+4.4%)
2020-04-24
897,481(+4.2%) 46,091(+4.7%)
2020-04-25
932,263(+3.9%) 47,916(+4%)
2020-04-26
959,121(+2.9%) 49,077(+2.4%)
2020-04-27
981,163(+2.3%) 50,314(+2.5%)
2020-04-28
1,005,522(+2.5%) 52,518(+4.4%)
2020-04-29
1,031,391(+2.6%) 55,054(+4.8%)
2020-04-30
1,061,028(+2.9%) 57,137(+3.8%)
2020-05-01
1,093,992(+3.1%) 58,931(+3.1%)
2020-05-02
1,124,523(+2.8%) 60,599(+2.8%)
2020-05-03
1,149,905(+2.3%) 61,716(+1.8%)
2020-05-04
1,171,183(+1.9%) 62,593(+1.4%)
2020-05-05
1,193,409(+1.9%) 65,028(+3.9%)
2020-05-06
1,218,214(+2.1%) 67,729(+4.2%)
2020-05-07
1,245,728(+2.3%) 69,700(+2.9%)
2020-05-08
1,272,823(+2.2%) 71,395(+2.4%)
2020-05-09
1,300,244(+2.2%) 72,950(+2.2%)
2020-05-10
1,320,941(+1.6%) 73,895(+1.3%)
2020-05-11
1,338,720(+1.3%) 74,735(+1.1%)
2020-05-12
1,360,206(+1.6%) 76,326(+2.1%)
2020-05-13
1,380,755(+1.5%) 78,041(+2.2%)
2020-05-14
1,407,517(+1.9%) 79,899(+2.4%)
2020-05-15
1,432,899(+1.8%) 81,423(+1.9%)
2020-05-16
1,457,426(+1.7%) 82,654(+1.5%)
2020-05-17
1,477,157(+1.4%) 83,439(+0.95%)
2020-05-18
1,498,266(+1.4%) 84,231(+0.95%)
2020-05-19
1,517,928(+1.3%) 85,656(+1.7%)
2020-05-20
1,540,296(+1.5%) 87,184(+1.8%)
2020-05-21
1,565,324(+1.6%) 88,470(+1.5%)
2020-05-22
1,587,530(+1.4%) 89,732(+1.4%)
2020-05-23
1,610,247(+1.4%) 90,821(+1.2%)
2020-05-24
1,630,500(+1.3%) 91,467(+0.71%)
2020-05-25
1,649,054(+1.1%) 91,971(+0.55%)
2020-05-26
1,665,736(+1%) 92,605(+0.69%)
2020-05-27
1,684,372(+1.1%) 93,984(+1.5%)
2020-05-28
1,707,388(+1.4%) 95,200(+1.3%)
2020-05-29
1,730,963(+1.4%) 96,375(+1.2%)
2020-05-30
1,752,348(+1.2%) 97,354(+1%)
2020-05-31
1,774,034(+1.2%) 97,959(+0.62%)
2020-06-01
1,790,074(+0.9%) 98,437(+0.49%)
2020-06-02
1,810,113(+1.1%) 99,476(+1.1%)
2020-06-03
1,832,275(+1.2%) 100,480(+1%)
2020-06-04
1,853,279(+1.1%) 101,389(+0.9%)
2020-06-05
1,876,571(+1.3%) 102,238(+0.84%)
2020-06-06
1,897,436(+1.1%) 102,963(+0.71%)
2020-06-07
1,915,971(+0.98%) 103,411(+0.44%)
2020-06-08
1,932,272(+0.85%) 103,902(+0.47%)
2020-06-09
1,949,452(+0.89%) 104,828(+0.89%)
2020-06-10
1,969,696(+1%) 105,675(+0.81%)
2020-06-11
1,987,545(+0.91%) 106,501(+0.78%)
2020-06-12
2,011,966(+1.2%) 107,259(+0.71%)
2020-06-13
2,037,857(+1.3%) 107,913(+0.61%)
2020-06-14
2,059,048(+1%) 108,258(+0.32%)
2020-06-15
2,077,355(+0.89%) 108,642(+0.35%)
2020-06-16
2,100,402(+1.1%) 109,381(+0.68%)
2020-06-17
2,124,026(+1.1%) 110,123(+0.68%)
2020-06-18
2,151,108(+1.3%) 110,817(+0.63%)
2020-06-19
2,182,035(+1.4%) 111,499(+0.62%)
2020-06-20
2,213,998(+1.5%) 112,049(+0.49%)
2020-06-21
2,242,093(+1.3%) 112,332(+0.25%)
2020-06-22
2,268,651(+1.2%) 112,624(+0.26%)
2020-06-23
2,301,966(+1.5%) 113,390(+0.68%)
2020-06-24
2,339,911(+1.6%) 114,078(+0.61%)
2020-06-25
2,378,764(+1.7%) 114,722(+0.56%)
2020-06-26
2,423,490(+1.9%) 115,321(+0.52%)
2020-06-27
2,467,071(+1.8%) 115,827(+0.44%)
2020-06-28
2,507,762(+1.6%) 116,077(+0.22%)
2020-06-29
2,544,152(+1.5%) 116,415(+0.29%)
2020-06-30
2,588,017(+1.7%) 117,028(+0.53%)
2020-07-01
2,640,626(+2%) 117,698(+0.57%)
2020-07-02
2,695,495(+2.1%) 118,369(+0.57%)
2020-07-03
2,752,704(+2.1%) 118,979(+0.52%)
2020-07-04
2,803,149(+1.8%) 119,252(+0.23%)
2020-07-05
2,846,152(+1.5%) 119,464(+0.18%)
2020-07-06
2,892,883(+1.6%) 119,708(+0.2%)
2020-07-07
2,943,823(+1.8%) 120,610(+0.75%)
2020-07-08
3,006,248(+2.1%) 121,420(+0.67%)
2020-07-09
3,063,685(+1.9%) 122,294(+0.72%)
2020-07-10
3,130,471(+2.2%) 123,133(+0.69%)
2020-07-11
3,193,124(+2%) 123,862(+0.59%)
2020-07-12
3,254,162(+1.9%) 124,344(+0.39%)
2020-07-13
3,312,422(+1.8%) 124,626(+0.23%)
2020-07-14
3,374,256(+1.9%) 125,413(+0.63%)
2020-07-15
3,439,626(+1.9%) 126,286(+0.7%)
2020-07-16
3,509,880(+2%) 127,210(+0.73%)
2020-07-17
3,585,701(+2.2%) 128,146(+0.74%)
2020-07-18
3,651,090(+1.8%) 129,025(+0.69%)
2020-07-19
3,714,681(+1.7%) 129,537(+0.4%)
2020-07-20
3,770,577(+1.5%) 129,927(+0.3%)
2020-07-21
3,834,073(+1.7%) 130,966(+0.8%)
2020-07-22
3,902,450(+1.8%) 132,069(+0.84%)
2020-07-23
3,973,169(+1.8%) 133,151(+0.82%)
2020-07-24
4,047,529(+1.9%) 134,301(+0.86%)
2020-07-25
4,113,473(+1.6%) 135,286(+0.73%)
2020-07-26
4,172,104(+1.4%) 135,838(+0.41%)
2020-07-27
4,226,910(+1.3%) 136,917(+0.79%)
2020-07-28
4,285,450(+1.4%) 138,061(+0.84%)
2020-07-29
4,348,705(+1.5%) 139,510(+1%)
2020-07-30
4,417,248(+1.6%) 140,741(+0.88%)
2020-07-31
4,483,612(+1.5%) 142,064(+0.94%)
2020-08-01
4,544,429(+1.4%) 143,271(+0.85%)
2020-08-02
4,597,990(+1.2%) 143,733(+0.32%)
2020-08-03
4,639,953(+0.91%) 144,238(+0.35%)
2020-08-04
4,691,138(+1.1%) 145,503(+0.88%)
2020-08-05
4,743,022(+1.1%) 146,831(+0.91%)
2020-08-06
4,796,327(+1.1%) 148,079(+0.85%)
2020-08-07
4,856,511(+1.3%) 149,366(+0.87%)
2020-08-08
4,912,203(+1.1%) 150,475(+0.74%)
2020-08-09
4,960,972(+0.99%) 151,029(+0.37%)
2020-08-10
5,001,143(+0.81%) 151,461(+0.29%)
2020-08-11
5,055,586(+1.1%) 152,795(+0.88%)
2020-08-12
5,110,756(+1.1%) 154,281(+0.97%)
2020-08-13
5,162,091(+1%) 155,430(+0.74%)
2020-08-14
5,217,148(+1.1%) 156,664(+0.79%)
2020-08-15
5,272,496(+1.1%) 157,854(+0.76%)
2020-08-16
5,314,677(+0.8%) 158,470(+0.39%)
2020-08-17
5,351,917(+0.7%) 158,870(+0.25%)
2020-08-18
5,391,711(+0.74%) 160,075(+0.76%)
2020-08-19
5,435,509(+0.81%) 161,444(+0.86%)
2020-08-20
5,478,536(+0.79%) 162,566(+0.69%)
2020-08-21
5,528,279(+0.91%) 163,679(+0.68%)
2020-08-22
5,574,462(+0.84%) 164,692(+0.62%)
2020-08-23
5,610,884(+0.65%) 165,246(+0.34%)
2020-08-24
5,644,502(+0.6%) 165,594(+0.21%)
2020-08-25
5,680,549(+0.64%) 166,730(+0.69%)
2020-08-26
5,722,904(+0.75%) 167,990(+0.76%)
2020-08-27
5,766,718(+0.77%) 169,108(+0.67%)
2020-08-28
5,812,165(+0.79%) 170,117(+0.6%)
2020-08-29
5,856,434(+0.76%) 171,124(+0.59%)
2020-08-30
5,893,373(+0.63%) 171,588(+0.27%)
2020-08-31
5,925,031(+0.54%) 171,957(+0.22%)
2020-09-01
5,966,566(+0.7%) 172,978(+0.59%)
2020-09-02
6,004,196(+0.63%) 173,994(+0.59%)
2020-09-03
6,047,169(+0.72%) 175,060(+0.61%)
2020-09-04
6,097,352(+0.83%) 176,039(+0.56%)
2020-09-05
6,141,077(+0.72%) 176,942(+0.51%)
2020-09-06
6,174,251(+0.54%) 177,384(+0.25%)
2020-09-07
6,201,101(+0.43%) 177,608(+0.13%)
2020-09-08
6,223,393(+0.36%) 177,962(+0.2%)
2020-09-09
6,253,404(+0.48%) 179,006(+0.59%)
2020-09-10
6,289,484(+0.58%) 180,140(+0.63%)
2020-09-11
6,333,295(+0.7%) 181,144(+0.56%)
2020-09-12
6,374,829(+0.66%) 181,952(+0.45%)
2020-09-13
6,408,335(+0.53%) 182,335(+0.21%)
2020-09-14
6,441,587(+0.52%) 182,732(+0.22%)
2020-09-15
6,475,951(+0.53%) 183,759(+0.56%)
2020-09-16
6,515,046(+0.6%) 184,766(+0.55%)
2020-09-17
6,557,638(+0.65%) 185,618(+0.46%)
2020-09-18
6,604,774(+0.72%) 186,520(+0.49%)
2020-09-19
6,648,402(+0.66%) 187,236(+0.38%)
2020-09-20
6,682,988(+0.52%) 187,547(+0.17%)
2020-09-21
6,722,115(+0.59%) 187,856(+0.16%)
2020-09-22
6,770,321(+0.72%) 188,682(+0.44%)
2020-09-23
6,807,987(+0.56%) 189,822(+0.6%)
2020-09-24
6,850,904(+0.63%) 190,731(+0.48%)
2020-09-25
6,899,471(+0.71%) 191,614(+0.46%)
2020-09-26
6,945,223(+0.66%) 192,460(+0.44%)
2020-09-27
6,980,115(+0.5%) 192,761(+0.16%)
2020-09-28
7,013,825(+0.48%) 193,018(+0.13%)
2020-09-29
7,050,672(+0.53%) 193,763(+0.39%)
Cumulative totals reported to date,[c] excluding repatriated cases
Sources: Official reports from state health officials


December 2019 to January 2020

On December 31, 2019, China reported a cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan.[3] On January 6, Health and Human Services offered to send China a team of CDC health experts to help contain the outbreak, but they ignored the offer.[31] According to Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, the CDC was ready to send in a team of scientists within a week, but the Chinese government refused to let them in, which was a reason the U.S. got a later start in identifying the danger of virus outbreak there and taking early action.[32][33]

On January 7, 2020, the Chinese health authorities confirmed that this cluster was caused by a novel infectious coronavirus.[3] On January 8, the CDC issued an official health advisory via its Health Alert Network (HAN) and established an Incident Management Structure to coordinate domestic and international public health actions.[34] On January 10 and 11, the World Health Organization (WHO) issued technical briefings warning about a strong possibility of human-to-human transmission and urging precautions.[35] On January 14, the WHO said "preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission," although it recommended that countries still take precautions due to the human-to-human transmission during earlier SARS and MERS outbreaks.[35]

The CDC issued an update on January 17, noting that person-to-person spread was not confirmed, but was still a possibility.[36] On January 20, it activated its Emergency Operations Center (EOC) to further respond to the outbreak in China.[37] The same day, the WHO and China confirmed that human-to-human transmission had occurred.[38]

On January 20, the first report of a COVID-19 case in the U.S. came in a man who returned on January 15 from visiting family in Wuhan, China, to his home in Snohomish County, Washington. He sought medical attention on January 19.[3] The second report came on January 24, in a woman who returned to Chicago, Illinois, on January 13 from visiting Wuhan.[2][4] The woman passed the virus to her husband, and he was confirmed to have the virus on January 30; at the time it was the first reported case of local transmission in the United States.[39]

On January 30, the WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC)—its highest level of alarm[40]—warning that "all countries should be prepared for containment."[41][42][d] The same day, the CDC confirmed the first person-to-person case in America, and President Trump, during a speech about a trade agreement, said the virus outbreak in China was "under control and a very small problem in this country".[44]

The next day, January 31, the U.S. declared a public health emergency.[45] Although by that date there were only seven known cases in the U.S., the HHS and CDC reported that there was a likelihood of further cases appearing in the country.[45]

February 2020

On February 2, the U.S. enacted travel restrictions to and from China.[9] Additional travel restrictions were placed on foreign nationals who had traveled within the past 14 days in certain countries, with exceptions for families and residents. Americans returning from those regions underwent health screenings and a 14-day quarantine.[46][47]

On February 6, the earliest confirmed American death with COVID-19 occurred in Santa Clara County, California, of a 57-year-old woman.[15] It was later learned that nine deaths had occurred before February 6, as the virus had been circulating undetected in the U.S. before January, and possibly as early as November.[48]

On February 25, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) warned the American public for the first time to prepare for a local outbreak.[49] With no vaccine or treatment available, Americans were asked to prepare to take other precautions.[50] Meanwhile, large gatherings that occurred before widespread shutdowns and social distancing measures were put in place, including Mardi Gras in New Orleans on February 25, accelerated transmission.[51]

On February 28, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and the CDC wrote, in an editorial published in the New England Journal of Medicine that “...the overall clinical consequences of COVID–19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%).”[52]

March 2020

March 6: President Trump and Alex Azar at the signing of Coronavirus Preparedness and Response Supplemental Appropriations Act into law

On March 2, travel restrictions from Iran went into effect.[53] On March 7, the CDC warned that widespread disease transmission may force large numbers of people to seek healthcare, which could overload healthcare systems and lead to otherwise preventable deaths.[54] On March 11, the WHO declared the outbreak to be a pandemic.[22] By this time, the virus had spread to 110 countries and all continents except Antarctica.[55] The World Health Organization's definition of a pandemic "mixed severity and spread", reported Vox, and it held off calling the outbreak a pandemic because many countries at the time were reporting no spread or low spread.[56][57]

On March 11, in testimony to the US Congress House Oversight and Reform Committee, Dr. Anthony Fauci of the NIAID stated that that mortality from seasonal influenza is 0.1% and that coronavirus has a mortality of 10 times that.[58]

By March 12, diagnosed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. exceeded a thousand.[59] On March 13, travel restriction for the 26 European countries that comprise the Schengen Area went into effect; restrictions for the United Kingdom and Ireland went into effect on March 16.[60] Also on March 16, the White House advised against any gatherings of more than ten people.[61] Since March 19, 2020, the State Department has advised U.S. citizens to avoid all international travel.[62]

By the middle of March, all fifty states were able to perform tests with a doctor's approval, either from the CDC or from commercial labs. However, the number of available test kits remained limited, which meant the true number of people infected had to be estimated.[63] On March 19, administration officials warned that the number of cases would begin to rise sharply as the country's testing capacity substantially increased to 50,000-70,000 tests per day.[64][65]

As cases began spreading throughout the nation, federal and state agencies began taking urgent steps to prepare for a surge of hospital patients. Among the actions was establishing additional places for patients in case hospitals became overwhelmed. The Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, for instance, was postponed to October and the fairgrounds where it is normally held was turned into a medical center.[66] Manpower from the military and volunteer armies were called up to help construct the emergency facilities.[67][68]

Throughout March and early April, several state, city, and county governments imposed "stay at home" quarantines on their populations to stem the spread of the virus.[69] By March 27, the country had reported over 100,000 cases.[70]

April 2020

On April 2, at President Trump's direction, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and CDC ordered additional preventive guidelines to the long-term care facility industry. They included requiring temperature checks for anyone in a nursing home, symptom screenings, and requiring all nursing home personnel to wear face masks. Trump also said COVID patients should have their own buildings or units and dedicated staffing teams.[71] On April 11, the U.S. death toll became the highest in the world when the number of deaths reached 20,000, surpassing that of Italy.[72]

On April 19, the CMS added new regulations requiring nursing homes to inform residents, their families and representatives, of COVID-19 cases in their facilities.[73] On April 28, the total number of confirmed cases across the country surpassed one million.[74][75][76] On April 30, President Trump announced the administration was establishing a Coronavirus Commission for Safety and Quality in Nursing Homes.[77][78]

May to June 2020

The CDC prepared detailed guidelines for the reopening of businesses, public transit, restaurants, religious organizations, schools, and other public places. The Trump administration shelved the guidelines, but an unauthorized copy was published by the Associated Press on May 7.[79] Six flow charts were ultimately published on May 15,[80] and a sixty-page set of guidelines was released without comment on May 20, weeks after many states had already emerged from lockdowns.[81]

By May 27, less than four months after the pandemic reached the U.S., 100,000 Americans had died with COVID-19.[82] State economic reopenings and lack of widespread mask orders resulted in a sharp rise in cases across most of the continental U.S. outside of the Northeast. By June 11, the number of cases in the U.S. had passed two million.[83]

July to August 2020

By July 8, the number of cases had passed three million.[84] President Trump was first seen wearing a face mask in public on July 11, months after it had been recommended by public health experts.[85] On July 17, the U.S. recorded what was at the time the highest single-day rise in cases anywhere in the world, with 77,638 infections.[86] By July 23, the number of cases had passed four million.[87] On July 29, the U.S. passed 150,000 deaths.[88] The U.S. passed five million and six million COVID-19 cases by August 8 and August 31, respectively.[89][90]

On July 10, the CDC adopted the Infection Fatality Ratio (IFR), "the number of individuals who die of the disease among all infected individuals (symptomatic and asymptomatic)," as a new metric for d􏵖isease s􏱜everity, replacing the Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio and the Symptomatic Case Hospitalization Ratio. Per the CDC, as the IFR "takes into account both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases, [it] may therefore be a more directly measurable parameter for disease severity for COVID-19."[91]

In July, U.S. PIRG and 150 health professionals sent a letter asking the federal government to "shut it down now, and start over".[92] In July and early August, requests multiplied, with a number of experts asking for lockdowns of "six to eight weeks"[93] that they believed would restore the country by October 1, in time to reopen schools and have an in-person election.[94]

September 2020 to present

On September 22, the U.S. passed 200,000 deaths, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.[95] By September 25, the number of cases had passed seven million.[96]

Responses

Medical response

Initial response outside the US

On January 6, a week after the U.S. was informed about the outbreak in China, both the Health and Human Services department and the CDC offered to send a team of U.S. health experts to China.[31][97] According to CDC Director Robert Redfield, the Chinese government refused to let them in, which contributed to the U.S. getting a late start in identifying the danger of their outbreak and containing it before it reached other countries.[32] U.S. Health Secretary Alex Azar said China did notify the world much sooner than it had after their SARS outbreak in 2003, but it was unexplainably turning away CDC help for this new one.[98]

On January 28, the CDC updated its China travel recommendations to level 3, its highest alert.[31] Alex Azar submitted names of U.S. experts to the WHO and said the U.S. would provide $105 million in funding, adding that he had requested another $136 million from Congress.[99][98] On February 8, the WHO's director-general announced that a team of international experts had been assembled to travel to China and he hoped officials from the CDC would also be part of that mission.[100][98] The WHO team consisted of thirteen international researchers, including two Americans, and toured five cities in China with twelve local scientists to study the epidemic from February 16–23.[101] The final report was released on February 28.[102]

In late January, Boeing announced a donation of 250,000 medical masks to help address China's supply shortages.[103] On February 7, The State Department said it had facilitated the transportation of nearly eighteen tons of medical supplies to China, including masks, gowns, gauze, respirators, and other vital materials.[104] On the same day, U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo announced a $100 million pledge to China and other countries to assist with their fights against the virus.,[105] however on March 21, China said it had not received epidemic funding from the U.S. and said so again on April 3.[106]

On February 28, the State Department offered to help Iran fight its own outbreak, as Iran's cases and deaths were dramatically increasing.[107][108] Iran stated however that US sanctions were hampering its battle with the disease, which the US denied and said that Iran has mishandled the crisis.[109]

Testing

Testing for SARS-CoV-2 can allow healthcare workers to identify infected people. It is also an important component of tracking the pandemic. There are various types of tests currently on the market; some identify whether or not a patient is currently infected, while others give information about previous exposure to the virus.

Contact tracing

Contact tracing is a tool to control transmission rates during the reopening process. Some states like Texas and Arizona opted to proceed with reopening without adequate contact tracing programs in place. Health experts have expressed concerns about training and hiring enough personnel to reduce transmission. Privacy concerns have prevented measures such as those imposed in South Korea where authorities used cellphone tracking and credit card details to locate and test thousands of nightclub patrons when new cases began emerging.[110] Funding for contact tracing is thought to be insufficient, and even better-funded states have faced challenges getting in touch with contacts. Congress has allocated $631 million for state and local health surveillance programs, but the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security estimates that $3.6 billion will be needed. The cost rises with the number of infections, and contact tracing is easier to implement when the infection count is lower. Health officials are also worried that low-income communities will fall further behind in contact tracing efforts which "may also be hobbled by long-standing distrust among minorities of public health officials".[111]

As of July 1, only four states are using contact tracing apps as part of their state-level strategies to control transmission. The apps document digital encounters between smartphones, so the users will automatically be notified if someone they had contact with has tested positive. Public health officials in California claim that most of the functionality could be duplicated by using text, chat, email and phone communications.[112]

Drug therapy and vaccine development

March 3: President Donald Trump and Doctor Anthony Fauci visit the Vaccine Research Center and the Viral Pathogenesis Laboratory at the National Institutes of Health.

There is currently no drug therapy or vaccine approved for treating COVID-19, nor is there any clear evidence that COVID-19 infection leads to immunity (although experts assume it does for some period).[113] As of late March 2020, more than a hundred drugs were in testing.[114]

Hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine

In early March, President Trump directed the FDA to test certain medications to discover if they had the potential to treat COVID-19 patients.[115] Among those were chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, which have been successfully used to treat malaria for over fifty years. A small test in France by researcher Didier Raoult had given positive results, although the study was criticized for design flaws, small sample size, and the fact that it was published before peer review.[116] One of Didier's COVID-19 studies was later retracted by the International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents.[117]

On March 28, the FDA issued an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) which allowed certain hospitalized COVID-19 patients to be treated with hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine.[118][115][119][120] On June 15, the FDA revoked the EUA for hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine as potential treatments for COVID-19. The FDA said the available evidence showed "no benefit for decreasing the likelihood of death or speeding recovery". On July 1, the FDA published a review of safety issues associated with the drugs, including fatal cardiac arrhythmias among other side effects.[121]

In late July, President Trump continued to promote the use of hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19. This contrasted with the position of the NIH, which stated the drug was "very unlikely to be beneficial to hospitalized patients with COVID-19".[122]

Vaccine development

There is no vaccine for coronavirus as of July 2020, however, research is ongoing in a number of countries to create one.[123] More than 70 companies and research teams are working on a vaccine, with five or six operating primarily in the U.S.[124] Contributing funds to the research is Bill Gates, whose foundation is focusing entirely on the pandemic, and he anticipates a vaccine could be ready by April 2021.[125] In preparation for large-scale production, Congress set aside more than $3.5 billion for this purpose as part of the CARES Act.[126][124] Among the labs working on a vaccine is the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, which has previously studied other infectious diseases, such as HIV/AIDS, ebola, and MERS. By March 18, tests had begun with dozens of volunteers in Seattle, which was sponsored by the U.S. government. Similar safety trials of other coronavirus vaccines will begin soon in the U.S.[127] This search for a vaccine has taken on aspects of national security and global competition.[128]

On August 5, 2020, the United States agreed to pay Johnson and Johnson more than $1 billion to create 100 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine. The deal gave the US an option to order an additional 200 million doses. The doses were supposed to be provided for free to Americans if they are used in a COVID-19 vaccination campaign.[129]

Medical supply shortages

The first known case of COVID-19 in the U.S. was confirmed by the CDC on January 21, 2020.[130] The next day, the owner of the medical supply company Prestige Ameritech wrote to HHS officials to say he could produce millions of N95 masks per month, but the government was not interested. In a follow-up letter on January 23, the business owner informed the government that "We are the last major domestic mask company," without success.[131]

On February 5, Trump administration officials declined an offer for congressional coronavirus funding. Senator Chris Murphy recalled that the officials, including HHS Secretary Alex Azar, "didn't need emergency funding, that they would be able to handle it within existing appropriations."[132] On February 7 Mike Pompeo announced the administration donated more than 35,000 pounds of "masks, gowns, gauze, respirators, and other vital materials" to China the same day the WHO warned about "the limited stock of PPE (personal protective equipment)".[130]

In February, the Department of Commerce published guidance advising U.S. firms on compliance with Beijing's fast-track process for the sale of "critical medical products", which required the masks shipped overseas meet U.S. regulatory standards.[133][134] According to Chinese customs disclosures, more than 600 tons of face masks were shipped to China in February.[135]

In early March, the country had about twelve million N95 masks and thirty million surgical masks in the Strategic National Stockpile (SNS), but the DHS estimated the stockpile had only 1.2% of the roughly 3.5 billion masks that would be needed if COVID-19 were to become a "full-blown" pandemic.[136] A previous 2015 CDC study found that seven billion N95 respirators might be necessary to handle a "severe respiratory outbreak".[137]

As of March, the SNS had more than 19,000 ventilators (16,660 immediately available and 2,425 in maintenance), all of which dated from previous administrations.[138] Vessel manifests maintained by U.S. Customs and Border Protection showed a steady flow of the medical equipment needed to treat the coronavirus being shipped abroad as recently as March 17. Meanwhile FEMA said the agency "has not actively encouraged or discouraged U.S. companies from exporting overseas" and asked USAID to send back its reserves of protective gear for use in the U.S.[139][140] President Trump evoked the Defense Production Act to prohibit some medical exports.[141] Some analysts warned that export restrictions could cause retaliation from countries that have medical supplies the United States needs to import.[142]

May 21: President Trump traveled to the Ford Rawsonville Components Plant in Ypsilanti, Michigan to tour the factory where they have been producing ventilators.

By the end of March, states were in a bidding war against each other and the federal government for scarce medical supplies such as N95 masks, surgical masks, and ventilators.[143][144][19] Meanwhile, as states scrambled to purchase supplies at inflated prices from third party distributors (some of which later turned out to be defective), hundreds of tons of medical-grade face masks were shipped by air freight to foreign buyers in China and other countries.[135]

Medical organizations such as the American Medical Association and American Nurses Association implored Trump to obtain medical supplies, because they were "urgently needed".[145][146] That led President Trump to sign an order setting motion parts of the Defense Production Act, first used during the Korean War, to allow the federal government a wide range of powers, including telling industries on what to produce, allocating supplies, giving incentives to industries, and allowing companies to cooperate.[147][148] Trump then ordered auto manufacturer General Motors to make ventilators.[20]

During this period, hospitals in the U.S. and other countries were reporting shortages of test kits, test swabs, masks, gowns and gloves, referred to as PPE.[149][150][151] The Office of Inspector General, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services released a report regarding their March 23–27 survey of 323 hospitals. The hospitals reported "severe shortages of testing supplies", "frequently waiting 7 days or longer for test results", which extended the length of patient stays, and as a result, "strained bed availability, personal protective equipment (PPE) supplies, and staffing". The hospitals also reported, "widespread shortages of PPE" and "changing and sometimes inconsistent guidance from federal, state and local authorities".[152] At a press briefing following the release of the report President Trump called the report "wrong" and questioned the motives of the author. Later he called the report "another fake dossier".[153]

In early April, there was a widespread shortage of PPE, including masks, gloves, gowns, and sanitizing products.[154] The difficulties in acquiring PPE for local hospitals led to orders for gowns and other safety items being confiscated by FEMA and diverted to other locations, which meant that in some cases states had to compete for the same PPE.[155] The shortages led in one instance of a governor asking the New England Patriots of the NFL to use their private plane to fly approximately 1.2 million masks from China to Boston.[156] At that time, Veterans Affairs (VA) employees said nurses were having to use surgical masks and face shields instead of more protective N95 masks.[157] In May, Rick Bright, a federal immunologist and whistleblower, testified that the federal government had not taken proper action to acquire the needed supplies.[135]

An unexpectedly high percentage of COVID-19 patients in the ICU required dialysis as a result of kidney failure, about 20%.[158] In mid-April, employees at some hospitals in New York City reported not having enough dialysis machines, were running low on fluids to operate the machines, and reported a shortage of dialysis nurses as many were out sick with COVID-19 due to lack of sufficient PPE.[158][159][160]

On May 14, a Trump administration official told reporters "we do anticipate having 300 million” N95 masks by autumn; however, at the end of September, there were only 87.6 million N95 masks in the government stockpile.[161]

Supply problems persisted in August 2020, when a survey reported 42% of nurses were experiencing widespread or intermittent shortages of personal protective equipment, with 60% using single-use equipment for five or more days.[162] A September report by National Public Radio found some items were in short supply but others widely available, depending on the difficulty of manufacturing.[163] The DPA was effective in producing ventilators but less so in producing N95s. As of September, the DPA had stimulated N95 production mainly by existing major manufacturers and less so by smaller companies. Additionally, the DPA's provision that exempts manufacturers from antitrust laws had not yet been used to encourage collaboration in N95 production.[164]

In response to demand, a number of domestic businesses retooled and due to lack of federal coordination ended up producing a glut of hand sanitizer and face shields, some losing money due to the oversupply. The federal government used the Defense Production Act to get a small number of large manufacturers such as 3M and Honeywell to increase production of the more difficult to manufacture N95 masks, but supply was still falling hundreds of millions of units short of demand. NPR found the shortage could be resolved by providing government guarantees to small and medium-sized manufacturers so they could increase production of N95 masks without the risk of losing money or going out of business due to oversupply or drop in demand when the pandemic ends. Instead, President Trump has denied the PPE shortages exist, calling them "fake news" in April[165] and in September saying "we've opened up factories, we've had tremendous success with face masks and with shields".[163] Demand has also increased since the early weeks of the pandemic as various industries reopened, including medical and dental offices, construction, and trucking.[166] The 2020 California wildfires also increased demand for N95 masks for agricultural and other outdoor workers, due to state regulations requiring protection during poor air quality conditions.[167]

Exceeding hospital capacity

Uncontrolled community spread led some medical facilities to refuse new patients or start transferring patients out. In March and April, this happened in the Detroit, Michigan area[168] and New York City area;[169] Yakima, Washington in June;[170] and in July it happened in Houston,[171] the Boise, Idaho area,[172] Lake Charles and Lafayette, Louisiana,[173] and at dozens of hospitals across Florida.[174] By August, some hospitals in Mississippi were transferring patients out of state.[175]

Arizona declared crisis standards of care in July 2020, allowing hospitals to legally provide treatment normally considered substandard to some patients in order to save others.[176]

Federal, state, and local governments

The federal government of the United States responded to the pandemic with various declarations of emergency, which resulted in travel and entry restrictions. They also imposed guidelines and recommendations regarding the closure of schools and public meeting places, lockdowns, and other restrictions intended to slow the progression of the virus, which state, territorial, tribal, and local governments have followed.

Effective July 15, 2020, the default data centralization point for COVID-19 data in the U.S. is switching from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to Department of Health and Human Services.[177][178][179] However, "hospitals may be relieved from reporting directly to the Federal Government if they receive a written release from the State stating the State will collect the data from the hospitals and take over Federal reporting."[177]

Military

USNS Comfort, docked in Manhattan
The Georgia National Guard assisting the Atlanta Community Food Bank

On February 3, an unclassified Army briefing document on the coronavirus projected that in an unlikely "black swan" scenario, "between 80,000 and 150,000 could die." The theory correctly stated that asymptomatic people could "easily" transmit the virus, a belief that was presented as outside medical consensus at the time of the briefing. The briefing also stated that military forces could be tasked with providing logistics and medical support to civilians, including "provid[ing] PPE (N-95 Face Mask, Eye Protection, and Gloves) to evacuees, staff, and DoD personnel".[180][181]

In mid-March, the government began having the military add its health care capacity to impacted areas. The United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), under the authority of Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), leased private buildings nationwide. They included hotels, college dormitories, and larger open buildings, which were converted into temporary hospitals. The Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in New York City was quickly transformed into a 2,000-bed care facility on March 23, 2020.[182] The Army also set up field hospitals in various affected cities.[183]

Some of these facilities had ICUs for COVID-19 patients, while others served non-coronavirus patients to allow established hospitals to concentrate on the pandemic.[184][183] At the height of this effort, U.S. Northern Command had deployed nine thousand military medical personnel.[183]

On March 18, in addition to the many popup hospitals nationwide, the Navy deployed two hospital ships, USNS Mercy and USNS Comfort, which were planned to accept non-coronavirus patients transferred from land-based hospitals, so those hospitals could concentrate on virus cases.[185] On March 29, citing reduction in on-shore medical capabilities and the closure of facilities at the Port of Miami to new patients, the U.S. Coast Guard required ships carrying more than fifty people to prepare to care for sick people on board.[186][187]

On April 6, the Army announced that basic training would be postponed for new recruits. Recruits already in training would continue what the Army is calling "social-distanced-enabled training".[188] However, the military, in general, remained ready for any contingency in a COVID-19 environment. By April 9, nearly 2,000 service members had confirmed cases of COVID-19.[189]

In April, the Army made plans to resume collective training.[190] Social distancing of soldiers is in place during training, assemblies,[191] and transport between locations.[192] Temperatures of the soldiers are taken at identified intervals, and measures are taken to immediately remediate affected soldiers.[193][194][195][196]

On June 26, 2020, the VA reported 20,509 cases of COVID-19 and 1,573 deaths among patients (plus more than two thousand cases and 38 deaths among its own employees).[197] As of July 2020, additional Reserve personnel are on 'prepare-to-deploy orders' to Texas and California.[183]

Private sector

Many janitors and other cleaners throughout the United States have reported that they are afforded completely inadequate time and resources to clean and to disinfect for COVID-19. Many office cleaners reported that they are given insufficient time for cleaning and no training on how to disinfect COVID-19. Airlines often allot ten minutes to clean an entire airplane between arrival and departure, and cleaners are unable to disinfect even close to all the tray tables and bathrooms. Often, cleaners are not told where workers who test positive for COVID-19 are working; cleaning cloths and wipes are re-used, and disinfecting agents, such as bleach, are not provided. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA), the federal agency that regulates workplace safety and health, investigates but a small fraction of COVID-19 complaints. Mary Kay Henry, president of Service Employees International Union (a trade union which represents 375,000 American custodians), explained that "reopenings happened across the country without much thoughtfulness for cleaning standards." She urges better government standards and a certification system.[198]

Public response

Partisan divide

Polling showed a significant partisan divide regarding the outbreak.[199] In February, similar numbers of Democrats and Republicans believed COVID-19 was "a real threat": 70% and 72%, respectively. By mid-March, 76% of Democrats viewed COVID-19 as "a real threat", while only 40% of Republicans agreed.[200] In mid-March, various polls found Democrats were more likely than Republicans to believe "the worst was yet to come" (79% to 40%), to believe their lives would change in a major way due to the outbreak (56% to 26%),[201] and to take certain precautions against the virus (83% to 53%).[202] The CDC was the most trusted source of information about the outbreak (85%), followed by the WHO (77%), state and local government officials (70-71%), the news media (47%), and President Trump (46%).[202]

Political analysts anticipated that the pandemic may negatively affect Trump's chances of re-election.[203][204] In March 2020, when social distancing practices began, the governors of many states experienced sharp gains in approval ratings.[205] Trump's approval rating increased from 44% to 49% in Gallup polls,[206] but fell to 43% by mid-April. At that time, Pew Research polls indicated that 65% of Americans felt Trump was too slow in taking major steps to respond to the coronavirus outbreak.[207]

On April 16, Pew Research polls indicated that 32% of Americans worried state governments would take too long to re-allow public activities, while 66% feared the state restrictions would be lifted too quickly.[208] An April 21 poll found a 44% approval rate for the president's handling of the pandemic, compared to 72% approval for state governors.[209] A mid-April poll estimated that President Trump was a source of information on the pandemic for 28% of Americans, while state or local governments were a source for 50% of Americans. 60% of Americans felt Trump was not listening enough to health experts in dealing with the outbreak.[210][211]

A May 2020 poll concluded that 54% of people in the U.S. felt the federal government was doing a poor job in stopping the spread of COVID-19 in the country. 57% felt the federal government was not doing enough to address the limited availability of COVID-19 testing. 58% felt the federal government was not doing enough to prevent a second wave of COVID-19 cases later in 2020.[212] A poll conducted from May 20 and 21 found that 56% of the American public were "very" concerned about "false or misleading information being communicated about coronavirus", while 30% were "somewhat" concerned. 56% of Democrats said the top source of false or misleading information about the coronavirus was the Trump administration, while 54% of Republicans felt the media was the top source of false or misleading information. The same poll found that 44% of Republicans and 19% of Democrats believed a debunked conspiracy theory that Bill Gates was plotting to use a COVID-19 vaccine to inject microchips into the population.[213]

A July 2020 study using both GPS location data and surveys found that Republicans engaged in less social distancing than Democrats during the pandemic.[214] All else being equal, Republican governors were slower to implement social distance policies than Democratic governors.[215]

Protests

Beginning in mid-April 2020, there were protests in several U.S. states against government-imposed lockdowns in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.[216][217] The protests, mostly organized by conservative groups and individuals,[218][219] decried the economic and social impact of stay-at-home orders, business closures, and restricted personal movement and association, and demanded that their respective states be "re-opened" for normal business and personal activity.[220]

The protests made international news[221][222] and were widely condemned as unsafe and ill-advised.[223] They ranged in size from a few hundred people to several thousand, and spread on social media with encouragement from U.S. president Donald Trump.[224]

By May 1, there had been demonstrations in more than half of the states; many governors began to take steps to lift the restrictions as daily new infections began decreasing due to social distancing measures.[225]

Starting in late May, large-scale protests against police brutality in at least 200 U.S. cities in response to the killing of George Floyd raised concerns of a resurgence of the virus due to the close proximity of protesters.[226] Doctor Fauci said it could be a "perfect set-up for the spread of the virus".[227] Fauci also said, "Masks can help, but it's masks plus physical separation."[228]

International views of the United States

In September 2020, Pew Research Center found that the global image of the United States had suffered in many foreign nations. In some nations, the United States' favorability rating had reached a record low since Pew began collecting this data nearly 20 years ago. Across 13 different nations, a median of 15% of respondents rated the US response to the COVID-19 pandemic positively.[229]

Other

The outbreak prompted calls for the United States to adopt social policies common in other wealthy countries, including universal health care, universal child care, paid sick leave, and higher levels of funding for public health.[230][231][232]

An anti-lockdown protester wearing a face mask at the Ohio Statehouse in April 2020[233]

Impacts

Economic

The pandemic, along with the resultant stock market crash and other impacts, has led a recession in the United States following the economic cycle peak in February 2020.[234] The economy contracted 4.8 percent from January through March 2020,[235] and the unemployment rate rose to 14.7 percent in April.[236] The total healthcare costs of treating the epidemic could be anywhere from $34 billion to $251 billion according to analysis presented by The New York Times.[237] A study by economists Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson indicated that most economic impact due to consumer behavior changes was prior to mandated lockdowns.[238] During the second quarter of 2020, the U.S. economy suffered its largest drop on record, with GDP falling at an annualized rate of 32.9%. As of June 2020, the U.S. economy was over 10% smaller than it was in December 2019.[239]

The economic impact and mass unemployment caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has raised fears of a mass eviction crisis,[240][241][242] with an analysis by the Aspen Institute indicating 30–40 million are at risk for eviction by the end of 2020.[243][244] According to a report by the Yelp, about 60% of U.S. businesses that have closed since the start of the pandemic will stay shut permanently.[245]

Impact of the pandemic on various economic variables
Variable Feb Mar Apr May June July August
Jobs, level (000s)[246] 152,463 151,090 130,303 133,002 137,802 139,582 140,914
Jobs, monthly change (000s)[246] 251 -1,373 -20,787 2,699 4,800 1,780 1,371
Unemployment rate %[247] 3.5% 4.4% 14.7% 13.3% 11.1% 10.2% 8.4%
Number unemployed (millions)[248] 5.8 7.1 23.1 21.0 17.8 16.3 13.6
Employment to population ratio %, age 25-54[249] 80.5% 79.6% 69.7% 71.4% 73.5% 73.8% 75.3%
Inflation rate % (CPI-All)[250] 2.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% TBD
Stock market S&P 500 (avg. level)[251] 3,277 2,652 2,762 2,920 3,105 3,230 3,392
Debt held by public ($ trillion)[252] 17.4 17.7 19.1 19.9 20.5 20.6 20.8

Social

The pandemic has had far-reaching consequences beyond the disease itself and efforts to contain it, including political, cultural, and social implications.

Disproportionate numbers of cases have been observed among Black and Latino populations,[23][24][25] and there were reported incidents of xenophobia and racism against Asian Americans.[26] Of four studies published in September, three found clear disparities due to race and the fourth found slightly better survival rates for Hispanics and Blacks.[253] As of September 15, Blacks had COVID-19 mortality rates more than twice as high as the rate for Whites and Asians, who have the lowest rates.[254] CNN reported in May that the Navajo Nation had the highest rate of infection in the United States.[255]

In September, NPR reviewed its previously reported data from the COVID Tracking Project[256] finding again that COVID-19 infected and killed people of color at higher rates than Whites and more than their share of the population. Blacks died 1.5 times and in some states 2.5 times their share of the population. Hispanics and Latinos died more often in 19 states, and were infected more frequently in 45 states. Native American and Alaskan Native deaths and cases were disproportionally high in 21 states and 5 times more in some states, with insufficient data in some states. White non-Hispanics died at a lower rate than their share of the population in 36 states and D.C.[257]

By April, closed schools affected more than 55 million students.[258]

Elections

The pandemic prompted calls from voting rights groups and some Democratic Party leaders to expand mail-in voting. Republican leaders generally opposed the change, though Republican governors in Nebraska and New Hampshire adopted it. Some states were unable to agree on changes, and a lawsuit in Texas resulted in a ruling (which is under appeal) that would allow any voter to mail in a ballot.[259] Responding to Democratic proposals for nation-wide mail-in voting as part of a coronavirus relief law, President Trump said "you'd never have a Republican elected in this country again" despite evidence the change would not favor any particular group.[260] Trump called mail-in voting "corrupt" and said voters should be required to show up in person, even though, as reporters pointed out, he had himself voted by mail in the last Florida primary.[261] Though vote fraud is slightly higher than in-person voter fraud, both instances are rare, and mail-in voting can be made more secure by disallowing third parties to collect ballots and providing free drop-off locations or prepaid postage.[262] April 7 elections in Wisconsin were impacted by the pandemic. Many polling locations were consolidated, resulting in hours-long lines. County clerks were overwhelmed by a shift from 20 to 30% mail-in ballots to about 70%, and some voters had problems receiving and returning ballots in time. Despite the problems, turnout was 34%, comparable to similar previous primaries.[263]

Preparations made after previous outbreaks

The United States has been subjected to pandemics and epidemics throughout its history, including the 1918 Spanish flu, the 1957 Asian flu, and the 1968 Hong Kong flu pandemics.[264][265][266] In the most recent pandemic prior to COVID-19, the 2009 swine flu pandemic took the lives of more than 12,000 Americans and hospitalized another 270,000 over the course of approximately a year.[264]

According to the Global Health Security Index, an American-British assessment which ranks the health security capabilities in 195 countries, the U.S. in 2020 was the "most prepared" nation.[267][268]

Statistics

The CDC publishes official numbers, originally every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday and reporting several categories of cases: individual travelers, people who contracted the disease from other people within the U.S., and repatriated citizens who returned to the U.S. from crisis locations, such as Wuhan, where the disease originated, and the cruise ship Diamond Princess.[269]

However, multiple sources noted early in the pandemic that statistics on confirmed coronavirus cases were misleading, since the shortage of tests meant the actual number of cases was much higher than the number of cases confirmed.[270][271] The number of deaths confirmed to be due to coronavirus was likely to be an undercount for the same reason.[272][273][274][275] Conversely, deaths of people who had underlying conditions may lead to overcounting.[276]

Excess mortality from March 1 to April 4 was higher than the number of confirmed deaths.

Excess mortality[277] comparing deaths for all causes versus the seasonal average is more reliable.[278] It counts additional deaths which are not explained by official reported coronavirus mortality statistics.[279] The CDC says it will issue an official estimate of coronavirus deaths in 2021—current estimates may not be reliable.[272]

The following numbers are based on CDC data, which is incomplete. In most U.S. locations, testing for some time was performed only on symptomatic people with a history of travel to Wuhan or with close contact to such people.[280][281][282] CDC testing protocols did not include non-travelling patients with no known contact with China until February 28.[283]

Measuring case and mortality rates

Deceased in a 53-foot "mobile morgue" outside a hospital in Hackensack, New Jersey on April 27, 2020

By March 26, the United States, with the world's third-largest population, surpassed China and Italy as the country with the highest number of confirmed cases in the world.[284] By April 25, the U.S. had more than 905,000 confirmed coronavirus cases and nearly 52,000 deaths, giving it a mortality rate around 5.7 percent. (In comparison, Spain's mortality rate was 10.2 percent and Italy's was 13.5 percent.)[285][29]

In April, more than 10,000 American deaths had occurred in nursing homes. Most nursing homes did not have easy access to testing, making the actual number unknown.[286] Subsequently, a number of states including Maryland[287] and New Jersey[288] reported their own estimates of deaths at nursing homes, ranging from twenty to fifty percent of the states' total deaths. A PNAS report in September confirmed that the virus is much more dangerous for the elderly than the young, noting that about 70% of all U.S. COVID-19 deaths had occurred to those over the age of 70.[289] In April, President Trump had established a Coronavirus Commission for Safety and Quality in Nursing Homes.[77][78]

As of early August 2020, among the 45 countries that had over 50,000 cases, the U.S. had the eighth highest number of deaths per-capita. Its case fatality ratio, however, was significantly better where it ranked 24th in the world, with 3.3% of its cases resulting in death.[290] Several studies suggest both that the number of infections is far higher than officially reported, and thus that the infection fatality rate is far lower than the case fatality rate.[291][292]

The CDC estimates that 40 percent of people infected will never show symptoms (asymptomatic),[293] although there is a 75% chance they can still spread the disease. And while children have a lower risk of becoming ill or dying, the CDC warns that they can still function as asymptomatic carriers and transmit the virus to adults.[293] The American Academy of Pediatrics's weekly report[294] from when states started reporting to September 17 tracked 587,948 child COVID-19 cases, 5,016 child hospitalizations, and 109 child deaths.[295]

In counting actual confirmed cases, some have questioned the reliability of totals reported by different countries. Measuring rates reported by countries such as China or Iran have been questioned as potentially inaccurate.[296] In mid-April 2020, China revised its case totals much higher and its death toll up by 50% for Wuhan, partly as a result of a number of countries having questioned China's official numbers.[297] Iran's rates have also been disputed, as when the WHO's reports about their case counts were contradicted by top Iranian health officials.[298] Within the U.S., there are also discrepancies in rates between different states. After a group of epidemiologists requested revisions in how the CDC counts cases and deaths, the CDC in mid-April updated its guidance for counting COVID-19 cases and deaths to include both confirmed and probable ones, although each state can still determine what to report.[299] Without accurate reporting of cases and deaths, however, epidemiologists have difficulty in guiding government response.[300]

State-by-state

COVID-19 pandemic in the United States by state and territory
U.S. state or territory[i] Cases[ii] Deaths Recov.[iii] Hosp.[iv] Ref.
55 / 56 6,712,062[v] 190,457[v]
Alabama 152,983 2,501 64,583 17,091 [301]
Alaska 8,202 52 3,042 283 [302]
American Samoa 0 0
Arizona 217,510 5,623 22,019 [303]
Arkansas 65,727 908 58,757 4,486 [304]
California 802,308 15,587 [305]
Colorado 69,490 2,044[vi] 7,530 [306]
Connecticut 56,587 4,501 11,560 [307][308]
Delaware 20,389 634 10,577 [309]
District of Columbia 15,264 624 12,053 [310]
Florida 692,962 14,037 43,606 [311]
Georgia 306,155 6,602 25,538 [312]
Guam 1,713 19 [313]
Hawaii 11,891 127 5,397 787 [314]
Idaho 40,923 460 21,796 1,832 [315][316]
Illinois 292,128 8,858 [317]
Indiana 118,322 3,591 92,874 12,654 [318][319]
Iowa 87,257 1,324 67,344 [320]
Kansas 58,629 637 2,852 [321]
Kentucky 66,939 1,162 11,787 5,208 [322][323]
Louisiana 166,333 5,480 149,640 [324]
Maine 5,300 140 4,599 446 [325]
Maryland 123,880 3,938
15,428 [326]
Massachusetts 123,720 9,245 109,397 12,478 [327][328]
Michigan 135,702 7,051 95,051 [329]
Minnesota 97,638 2,067 87,330 7,546 [330]
Mississippi 97,049 2,921 89,737 5,844 [331]
Missouri 123,276 2,074 [332]
Montana 12,413 174 8,839 698 [333]
Nebraska 35,886 404 27,710 2,068 [334]
Nevada 79,595 1,593 [335]
New Hampshire 8,208 439 7,430 737 [336]
New Jersey 204,563 16,117 23,338 [337]
New Mexico 28,985 873 16,422 3,463 [338]
New York 456,460 25,468[vii] 76,649 89,995 [339]
North Carolina 209,137 3,494 184,422 [340][341]
North Dakota 21,846 246 17,938 859 [342]
Northern Mariana Islands 61 2 29 4 [343]
Ohio 148,894 4,734 129,498 15,127 [344]
Oklahoma 83,510 1,004 69,754 6,252 [345]
Oregon 32,314 542 2,496 [346]
Pennsylvania 156,150 8,106 127,290 [347]
Puerto Rico 32,492 464 [348]
Rhode Island 23,620 1,088 2,675 [349]
South Carolina 138,124 3,212
[350]
South Dakota 15,834 177 13,201 1,120 [351]
Tennessee 185,148 2,261 163,181
[352]
Texas 733,438 15,485 649,580[viii] [353]
US Virgin Islands 1,144 15 1,010 [354]
Utah 69,547 448 53,806 3,702 [355]
Vermont 1,696 58 1,509 [356]
Virginia 142,590 3,089 17,656 [357][358]
Washington 85,830 2,100 7,431 [359]
West Virginia 14,384 317 10,524 [360]
Wisconsin 110,828 1,274 92,366 6,962 [361]
Wyoming 5,633 50 4,519 263 [362]
Most recent edit: 20:26, Wednesday, September 30, 2020 (UTC) · History of cases: United States
  1. ^ Nationality and location of original infection may vary.
  2. ^ Reported confirmed and probable cases. Actual case numbers are probably higher.
  3. ^ "–" denotes that no data or only partial data currently available for that state, not that the value is zero.
  4. ^ Cumulative hospitalizations from positive cases reported from the state or the primary source. If a state only reports total cases from suspect COVID-19 cases, then cumulative hospitalizations from suspect cases are used. Data may be partial.
  5. ^ a b Sum of official state counts below. Not automatically updated.
  6. ^ This figure, for Colorado, is for total deaths among confirmed cases, regardless of the attributed cause.
  7. ^ As of June 1, 2020, 5,740 deaths reported by the City of New York were not included in the count by the state, as the State of New York does not include probable COVID-19 deaths in its total.
  8. ^ This figure is an estimate from the Texas Department of State Health Services.

Maps

Number of U.S. cases by date

> 200,000 cases:[363]

100,000–200,000 cases:[363]

50,000–100,000 cases:[363]

Progression charts

Number of new daily cases, with a seven-day moving average:[363]

Number of new daily deaths, with a seven-day moving average:[363]

Daily new tests, smoothed via seven-day moving average:[363]

Daily new tests per 1000 people smoothed by seven-day moving average,[364][365] for the U.S. and top three countries by latest test rate:

Test positivity rate for the U.S.[364] (chart), smoothed via seven-day moving average:

Test positivity rate is the ratio of positive tests to all tests made on the day.

Current COVID-19-related hospitalizations[363] (chart):

A map in which progression charts for current hospitalizations per state are available on mouseover is available in Currently Hospitalized by State, covidtracking.com. Charts for current hospitalizations for Northeast, Midwest, South and West are available in Regional Current Hospitalizations, covidtracking.com.

Weekly all-cause deaths in the U.S. based on CDC data.[366] (This data is projected deaths, rather than tabulated, and commonly takes three to eight weeks to reach a near-steady estimate):

Weekly all-cause deaths in the U.S. for 0-14 year olds, based on mortality.org data, stmf.csv [1]:

mortality.org indicates the data for 2020 to be preliminary; above, the last two weeks available from mortality.org were excluded to prevent the worst effect of registration delay.

All-cause deaths in the U.S. in weeks 1-32, year by year, based on mortality.org data, stmf.csv [2]:

mortality.org indicates the data for 2020 to be preliminary; above, the last two weeks available from mortality.org were excluded to prevent the worst effect of registration delay. The above is not adjusted by population size.

Demographics

Number of COVID-19 deaths by age as of September 4, 2020:[367]

Current provisional COVID-19 deaths in the United States by age
Age group Death count Death percent (%)
All ages 170,562 100%
Under 1y 18 0.011%
1-4y 14 0.008%
5-14y 28 0.016%
15-24y 300 0.18%
25-34y 1,318 0.77%
35-44y 3,450 2.02%
45-54y 9,046 5.30%
55-64y 21,552 12.64%
65-74y 36,433 21.36%
75-84y 45,021 26.40%
85y and over 53,382 31.30%

Mortality rates

COVID-19 deaths per million of the populations of each state, along with the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the nation as a whole,[368] August 27, 2020:

Death projections

On March 31, 2020, the CDC projected that, even under the best case scenario, eventually at least 100,000 Americans would die of coronavirus.[369] This death toll was reached within two months after the CDC made its projection.[370] Then, at the end of May, the CDC correctly projected the death toll would surpass 115,000 by June 20.[371][372] The CDC ensemble forecast on July 31 also correctly predicted at least 168,000 total deaths by August 22.[373]

For comparison, the CDC estimated deaths in the U.S. from the 1918 Spanish Flu, the 1957–1958 influenza pandemic, and the 1968 Hong Kong flu were 675,000; 116,000; and 100,000 respectively.[374] Adjusted for growth in population, these would be equivalents of 2,147,000; 218,000; and 164,000 respectively in 2020.[citation needed]

Impact of face coverings

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) predicted that universal wearing of face masks could prevent 17,000–28,000 deaths between June 26 and October 1, 2020.[375] An IHME model in late August 2020 projected that nationwide deaths would exceed 317,000 by December 1 if people did not wear masks, but 67,000 lives could be saved if at least 95% of people wear masks in public.[376]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ A lack of mass testing obscured the extent of the outbreak.[13]
  2. ^ Examples of areas in which clusters have occurred include urban areas, nursing homes, long-term care facilities, group homes for the intellectually disabled,[27] detention centers (including prisons), meatpacking plants, churches, and navy ships.[28]
  3. ^ This chart only includes lab-confirmed cases and deaths. Not all states report recoveries. Data for the current day may be incomplete.
  4. ^ The editorial board for The Wall Street Journal suggested the world may have been "better prepared" had the PHEIC been declared a week sooner, when the virus had spread to other countries.[43]

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