2015 Cantabrian regional election
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All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria 18 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 499,596 0.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 330,868 (66.2%) 1.2 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2015 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Electoral system
The number of seats in the Parliament of Cantabria is set to a fixed-number of 35. All Parliament members are elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Cantabria), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[1]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PP | PRC | PSOE | IU | UPyD | C's | P | Oth. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Regionalist Party of Cantabria/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| | ||||
24 May 2015 | Regional Election | 32.6 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 2.6 |
Exit polls | ||||||||||
17 May | NC-Report | 36.2 | 24.2 | 15.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 12.0 |
5–9 May | Ikerfel | 34.7 | 21.8 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 11.9 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 12.9 |
23 Mar–19 Apr | CIS | 33.2 | 22.4 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 10.3 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 10.8 |
17–26 Mar | NC-Report | 35.9 | 20.1 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 6.7 | 15.8 |
23 Feb–3 Mar | Ikerfel | 34.8 | 17.6 | 15.3 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 17.2 | |
2015 | ||||||||||
1–5 Nov | SyM | 36.8 | 12.6 | 21.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 13.4 | 3.5 | 15.0 | |
25 May 2014 | EP Election | 34.7 | — | 24.3 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 10.3 |
6–9 Feb | SyM | 36.9 | 27.7 | 16.8 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 9.2 | ||
2014 | ||||||||||
15 Oct–12 Nov | NC-Report | 39.6 | 31.0 | 16.9 | 12.5 | 8.6 | ||||
24–27 Sep | SyM | 36.7 | 24.3 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 12.4 | |||
15 Apr–10 May | NC-Report | 39.8 | 31.4 | 16.2 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 8.4 | |||
2013 | ||||||||||
2012 | ||||||||||
20 Nov 2011 | General Election | 52.2 | 12.5 | 25.2 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 27.0 | ||
22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 46.1 | 29.1 | 16.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 16.9 |
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 20 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PP | PRC | PSOE | IU | UPyD | C's | P | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Regionalist Party of Cantabria/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| | |||
24 May 2015 | Regional Election | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
24 May | GAD3 | 15−16 | 9−10 | 5−6 | 0 | 0 | 3−4 | 0−2 | 0 |
Exit polls | |||||||||
17 May | NC-Report | 13 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
17 May | GAD3 | 14−15 | 8−9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2−3 | 0 |
5–9 May | Ikerfel | 13−14 | 8−9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4−5 | 3 | 0 |
1 May | PP | 15−17 | 7−9 | 5−7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
23 Mar–19 Apr | CIS | 13−14 | 8−9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
17–26 Mar | NC-Report | 13−14 | 7−8 | 5−6 | 0 | 0 | 3−4 | 3−4 | 0 |
23 Feb–3 Mar | Ikerfel | 13−14 | 6−7 | 5−6 | 0 | 0 | 4−5 | 5 | 0 |
2 Feb | PP | 14−16 | 8−10 | 5−6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5−6 | 0 |
2015 | |||||||||
10 Nov | PP | 16 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
1–5 Nov | SyM | 14 | 4−5 | 8 | 2−3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
31 Oct | Llorente & Cuenca | 14−16 | 10−12 | 5 | 2 | 1−2 | 0 | 4−5 | 0 |
25 May 2014 | EP Election | (16) | — | (11) | (4) | (4) | (0) | (4) | (0) |
6–9 Feb | SyM | 14 | 10−11 | 6 | 2−3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2014 | |||||||||
15 Oct–12 Nov | NC-Report | 15−16 | 11−12 | 6−7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
24–27 Sep | SyM | 14−16 | 9−10 | 5−6 | 2−3 | 2−3 | 0 | 0 | |
15 Apr–10 May | NC-Report | 15−16 | 11−12 | 6−7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
2013 | |||||||||
2012 | |||||||||
20 Nov 2011 | General Election | (23) | (5) | (11) | (0) | (0) | (0) | ||
22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 20 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Results
Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||
width="1" bgcolor="Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color"| | People's Party (PP) | 105,944 | 32.58 | –13.51 | 13 | –7 |
bgcolor="Template:Regionalist Party of Cantabria/meta/color"| | Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) | 97,185 | 29.89 | +0.77 | 12 | ±0 |
bgcolor="Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color"| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 45,653 | 14.04 | –2.32 | 5 | –2 |
bgcolor="Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| | We Can (Podemos) | 28,895 | 8.89 | New | 3 | +3 |
bgcolor="Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 22,552 | 6.94 | New | 2 | +2 |
bgcolor="Template:United Left of Cantabria/meta/color"| | United Left (IU) | 8,246 | 2.54 | –0.78 | 0 | ±0 |
Blank ballots | 5,025 | 1.55 | –0.61 | |||
Total | 325,133 | 100.00 | 35 | –4 | ||
Valid votes | 325,133 | 98.27 | –0.03 | |||
Invalid votes | 5,735 | 1.73 | +0.03 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 330,868 | 66.23 | –3.56 | |||
Abstentions | 168,728 | 33.77 | +3.56 | |||
Registered voters | 499,596 | |||||
Source(s): Argos Information Portal, historiaelectoral.com |