Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)
for the House of Commons
|Preserved county||South Glamorgan|
|Population||88,114 (2011 census)|
|Electorate||67,194 (December 2010)|
|Member of Parliament||Anna McMorrin (Labour)|
|Number of members||One|
|Created from||Cardiff Central|
|Senedd||Cardiff North, South Wales Central|
The seat has been relative to others a marginal seat since 2001 as well as a swing seat as its winner's majority has not exceeded 8% of the vote since the 14.3% majority won in that year. The seat has changed political allegiance twice since that year.
This seat is the residential quarter of Wales' capital, over half of northern Cardiff consists of owner-occupied housing, with a higher number of a middle class population than other sections. Historically it has mainly elected Conservative MPs, but with new housing development Welsh Labour has overturned the nominal majority more recently, turning the seat into a national target swing-constituency. By 2004, the Conservatives held a majority of councillors within the district (13, against five Liberal Democrats, three independents and no Labour), but in the following 2005 general election Welsh Labour's Julie Morgan retained the seat but with a reduced majority.
The Tories are hopeful of winning the seat, having topped the Euro poll not just here but in Wales as a whole. They have 13 councillors in this constituency as against Labour's none and the Lib Dems' five – even though in Cardiff as a whole, the Lib Dems control the city council. Labour hopes depend on stressing the independence and hard work of the local MP – Julie (wife of Rhodri) Morgan – and persuading those Lib Dems not to switch to the Tories.
In 2015, Labour attempted to take the seat back but new candidate, Craig Williams, took it with a majority of 2,137. Many had expected it to be very close run again. [Who?] Labour retook the seat in 2017 on a 6.1% swing, producing a majority of 4,174; this was the first time in the seat's history it had voted for a Labour candidate in an election they did not win and the first time it elected an MP who is not a member of the largest party in the House of Commons since October 1974.
1950–1974: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Gabalfa, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
1974–1983: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
2010–present: The Cardiff electoral divisions of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Pontprennau and Old St Mellons, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.
Cardiff city centre was in this constituency from its creation in 1950 until 1983, since when it has been in Cardiff Central.
Members of Parliament
Elections in the 1950s
|Liberal||Douglas Arthur Jones||6,017||11.8||N/A|
|Conservative win (new seat)|
|Labour Co-op||John Evans||22,600||43.4||+2.1|
|Labour||George S. Viner||18,054||36.3||―4.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Emrys Roberts||2,553||5.1||N/A|
|Independent||Stanley G. Worth||408||0.8||N/A|
Elections in the 1960s
|Labour||John A. Reynolds||18,215||37.2||+0.9|
|Liberal||Denis G. Rees||7,806||16.0||N/A|
|Plaid Cymru||Emrys Roberts||1,058||2.2||―2.9|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing|
Elections in the 1970s
|Liberal||Howard M. O'Brien||2,701||5.8||N/A|
|Plaid Cymru||Brian Morgan Edwards||1,927||4.1||N/A|
|Conservative gain from Labour||Swing|
|Liberal||T A D Thomas||7,139||20.9||+15.1|
|Plaid Cymru||P Richards||1,586||4.6||+0.5|
|Plaid Cymru||P. Richards||1,464||4.6||±0.0|
|Labour||M D Petrou||13,133||36.2||+0.5|
|Plaid Cymru||Owen John Thomas||1,081||3.0||―1.6|
Elections in the 1980s
|Plaid Cymru||Dafydd J. L. Huws||974||2.4||―0.6|
|Plaid Cymru||Eluned Bush||692||1.5||―0.9|
Elections in the 1990s
|Liberal Democrats||Eve Warlow||6,487||13.6||―12.9|
|Plaid Cymru||Eluned Bush||916||1.9||+0.4|
|Natural Law||David Palmer||86||0.2||N/A|
|Liberal Democrats||Robyn Rowland||5,294||10.9||―2.7|
|Plaid Cymru||Colin Palfrey||1,201||2.5||+0.6|
|Referendum||Edward J. Litchfield||1,199||2.5||N/A|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing||―11.5|
Elections in the 2000s
|Liberal Democrats||John Dixon||6,631||15.3||+4.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Sion Jobbins||2,471||5.7||+3.2|
|Liberal Democrats||John Dixon||8,483||18.7||+3.4|
|Plaid Cymru||John Rowlands||1,936||4.3||―1.4|
|Forward Wales||Alison Hobbs||138||0.3||N/A|
|Rainbow Dream Ticket||Catherine Taylor-Dawson||1||0.0||N/A|
Elections in the 2010s
|Liberal Democrats||John Dixon||8,724||18.3||―0.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Llywelyn Rhys||1,588||3.3||―0.9|
|Green||Christopher von Ruhland||362||0.8||N/A|
|Conservative gain from Labour||Swing||+1.5|
|UKIP||Ethan R Wilkinson||3,953||7.7||+5.3|
|Plaid Cymru||Elin Jones||2,301||4.5||+1.2|
|Liberal Democrats||Elizabeth Clark||1,953||3.8||―14.5|
|Alter Change||Shaun Jenkins||78||0.2||N/A|
Of the 80 rejected ballots:
- 64 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
- 14 voted for more than one candidate.
- 2 had writing or mark by which the voter could be identified.
|Plaid Cymru||Steffan Webb||1,738||3.3||―1.2|
|Liberal Democrats||Matt Hemsley||1,714||3.3||―0.5|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing||+6.1|
Of the 98 rejected ballots:
- 77 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
- 21 voted for more than one candidate.
|Liberal Democrats||Rhys Taylor||3,580||6.8||+3.5|
|Plaid Cymru||Steffan Webb||1,606||3.0||―0.3|
|Brexit Party||Chris Butler||1,311||2.5||N/A|
Of the 111 rejected ballots:
- 86 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
- 22 voted for more than one candidate.
- 3 had writing or mark by which the voter could be identified.
- Cardiff North (Senedd constituency)
- List of Parliamentary constituencies in South Glamorgan
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election in individual constituencies
- List of Parliamentary constituencies in Wales
- "Cardiff North: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 21 February 2015. Retrieved 20 February 2015.
- "Beyond 20/20 WDS – Table view". 2011 Electorate Figures. StatsWales. 1 December 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
- "BBC - Nick Robinson's Newslog: Taking The Pulse: Cardiff". www.bbc.co.uk.
- "Cardiff North 1950–". Hansard 1803–2005. UK Parliament. Retrieved 2 February 2015.
- Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)
- Craig, F. W. S. (1971). British parliamentary election results 1950-1970 (1 ed.). Chichester: Political Reference Publications. ISBN 9780900178023. Page 554
- The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
- The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1959.
- The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1964.
- The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1970.
- "Politics Resources". Election February 1974. Politics Resources. 28 February 1974. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
- "Politics Resources". Election October 1974. Politics Resources. 10 October 1974. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
- "Politics Resources". Election 1979. Politics Resources. 3 May 1979. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
- "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
- "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "BBC NEWS>VOTE 2001>Results and Constituencies>Cardiff North". Vote 2001. BBC News. 1 May 1997. Retrieved 12 January 2011.
- "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "BBC NEWS > Cardiff North". Vote 2001. BBC News. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 22 January 2011.
- "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Cardiff North parliamentary constituency - Election 2005" – via www.bbc.co.uk.
- "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- Cardiff North Archived 9 June 2011 at the Wayback Machine Cardiff County Council – candidates Cardiff North
- Cardiff North BBC Election – Cardiff North
- "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- "Cardiff North result". Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". Election 2015. BBC News. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
- "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". Election 2017 Results. BBC. Retrieved 8 June 2017.
- "Results". Cardiff Council. Cardiff Council. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
- "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. Retrieved 13 December 2019.
- "Election results for Cardiff North". Cardiff Council. Cardiff Council. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
- nomis Constituency Profile for Cardiff North – presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.
- Politics Resources (Election results from 1922 onwards)
- Electoral Calculus (Election results from 1955 onwards)
- 2017 Election House Of Commons Library 2017 Election report
- A Vision Of Britain Through Time (Constituency elector numbers)