Climate change in Eswatini

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Eswatini landscape

Eswatini also known as Swaziland, a landlocked nation located in Southern Africa, is characterized by a subtropical climate that features wet and hot summers as well as cold and dry winters.[1] The country has expressed concern regarding the impact of climate change on its existing social challenges, which include but are not limited to issues such as poverty, a high prevalence of HIV, and food insecurity. Furthermore, it is anticipated that climate change will significantly impede the country's development progress, by Vision 2022.[1]

Greenhouse gas emissions[edit]

The GHG mitigation assessment indicates that Eswatini emitted 4.5 million tonnes of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (equivalent to CO2) in the year 2017. The primary contributors to these emissions were the energy sector, as well as agriculture, forestry, and land use, accounting for 39% and 56% of the total emissions, respectively. Industrial processes and waste were also significant contributors.[2]

Fossil Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions of Eswatini[3]
Year Fossil CO2

Emissions ( tons )

CO2 emisions

change

CO2 emissions

per capita

Population Pop .

change

Share of World's

CO2 emissions

2016 657,572 2.61% 0.58 1,142,524 0.76% 0.00%
2015 640,832 0.82% 0.57 1,133,936 0.72% 0.00%
2014 635,623 3.98% 0.56 1,125,865 0.67% 0.00%
2013 611,291 0.19% 0.55 1,118,319 0.62% 0.00%
2012 610,106 0.59% 0.55 1,111,444 0.55% 0.00%
2011 606,518 4.59% 0.55 1,105,371 0.50% 0.00%
2010 579,907 6.57% 0.53 1,099,920 0.46% 0.00%
2009 544,172 1.08% 0.5 1,094,886 0.46% 0.00%
2008 538,345 3.46% 0.49 1,089,870 0.54% 0.00%
2007 520,331 5.05% 0.48 1,084,008 0.58% 0.00%
2006 495,335 7.54% 0.46 1,077,735 0.55% 0.00%
2005 460,612 4.71% 0.43 1,071,886 0.57% 0.00%
2004 439,907 1.83% 0.41 1,065,764 0.66% 0.00%
2003 431,987 3.10% 0.41 1,058,797 0.76% 0.00%
2002 418,997 0.84% 0.4 1,050,809 0.90% 0.00%
2001 415,511 11.85% 0.4 1,041,396 1.06% 0.00%
2000 371,474 55.86% 0.36 1,030,496 1.19% 0.00%
1999 238,336 27.56% 0.23 1,018,370 1.31% 0.00%
1998 186,841 0.69% 0.19 1,005,158 1.46% 0.00%
1997 185,556 13.03% 0.19 990,734 1.76% 0.00%
1996 164,161 -3.18% 0.17 973,587 2.10% 0.00%
1995 169,559 8.43% 0.18 953,573 -0.02% 0.00%
1994 156,370 -15.36% 0.16 953,737 0.03% 0.00%
1993 184,738 -5.71% 0.19 953,451 3.06% 0.00%
1992 195,934 -20.53% 0.21 925,165 3.98% 0.00%
1991 246,535 -0.70% 0.28 889,712 4.18% 0.00%
1990 248,264 -11.05% 0.29 854,011 3.40% 0.00%
1989 279,096 -13.93% 0.34 825,952 3.97% 0.00%
1988 324,267 -31.62% 0.41 794,434 4.71% 0.00%
1987 474,182 48.83% 0.63 758,669 3.91% 0.00%
1986 318,604 -3.36% 0.44 730,150 3.95% 0.00%
1985 329,670 38.99% 0.47 702,400 3.71% 0.00%
1984 237,182 -3.55% 0.35 677,303 3.33% 0.00%
1983 245,900 -35.26% 0.38 655,505 3.32% 0.00%
1982 379,828 -25.89% 0.6 634,439 2.96% 0.00%
1981 512,539 -3.37% 0.83 616,210 2.95% 0.00%
1980 530,394 -21.85% 0.89 598,564 3.36% 0.00%
1979 678,731 13.96% 1.17 579,091 3.37% 0.00%
1978 595,578 39.48% 1.06 560,236 3.30% 0.00%
1979 678,731 13.96% 1.17 579,091 3.37 % 0.00%
1980 530,394 -21.85% 0.89 598,564 3.36% 0.00%
1979 678,731 13.96% 1.17 579,091 3.37% 0.00%
1978 595,578 39.48% 1.06 560,236 3.30% 0.00%
1977 426,992 8.09% 0.79 542,328 3.21% 0.00%
1976 395,028 -19.82% 0.75 525,457 3.12% 0.00%
1975 492,688 -7.55% 0.97 509,535 3.01% 0.00%
1974 532,912 8.70% 1.08 494,624 2.90% 0.00%
1973 490,278 26.00% 1.02 480,668 2.81% 0.00%
1972 389,114 -13.54% 0.83 467,512 2.77% 0.00%
1971 450,072 0.04% 0.99 454,913 2.72% 0.00%
Köppen–Geiger present climate classification map for Eswatini
Köppen–Geiger future climate classification map for Eswatini

Climatology[edit]

The mean annual rainfall in South Africa varies from approximately 1,500 mm in the northern Highveld to 500 mm in the southern lowland. The rainiest periods occur from November to February, coinciding with the typically hottest time of the year. The mean monthly temperature ranges from 15 °C to 23.4 °C. During this period, the mean monthly precipitation ranges from 11.9 mm in June to 143.3 mm in January. As a result, the country experiences an average annual rainfall of over 800 mm, based on the latest climatology from 1991-2020.[1]

Climate change impacts[edit]

Swaziland is situated in the summer rainfall region of the subcontinent, where approximately 80% of the precipitation occurs during the summer months, specifically from October to March. The climate also experiences significant temperature and precipitation variations from west to east due to an altitude decrease of around 4,000 feet over a distance of about 80 kilometers.[4]

Health sector[edit]

Climate change is expected to adversely affect Swaziland's health sector. Increased temperatures may lead to a rise in vector-borne diseases, posing a significant threat.[5][6][7]

Food and water insecurity[edit]

Agricultural terraces near Mbabane (Eswatini)

Severe droughts have rendered 25% of the population in Swaziland vulnerable, facing challenges of food and water insecurity. These consequences are linked to climate change impacts.[1]

Water resource management[edit]

Climate change is anticipated to cause overall warming and drying in Swaziland, leading to more frequent and intense droughts and floods. Adaptation initiatives focus on managing water resources in response to these changes.[8]

Food production[edit]

Swaziland Fruits

Climate change has been attributed to the decline in food production in Eswatini. Visible effects underscore the reality and urgency of addressing climate change impacts.[4]

Mitigation and adaptation strategies[edit]

The government of Eswatini has taken several steps to mitigate and adapt to climate change. These include the development of a National Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan, which outlines the country's vision and objectives for climate change adaptation and mitigation. The country has also implemented a number of projects aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting renewable energy, including the installation of solar panels on public buildings and the promotion of energy-efficient lighting.[9]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d "World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal". climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  2. ^ Gcina, Mavimbela; Nosiphiwo, Zwane; Mduduzi, Mathunjwa; Thembinkosi, Ndzimandze; Gugu, Vilakati (June 2021). "Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Assessment to Inform the update of Eswatini's Nationally Determined Contribution" (PDF). UN.
  3. ^ "Switzerland: carbon dioxide emissions 1970-2022". Statista. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  4. ^ a b "Swaziland: Facing climate change - Eswatini | ReliefWeb". reliefweb.int. 2007-07-20. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  5. ^ "Swaziland | UNDP Climate Change Adaptation". www.adaptation-undp.org. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  6. ^ "Environmental burden of disease: Swaziland". www.who.int. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  7. ^ Shongwe, Samuel S (2015). "National Report on Climate Change" (PDF). Swaziland's First National Communication to the UNFCCC.
  8. ^ "Adapting Water Resource Management In Swaziland To Manage Expected Climate Change | UNDP Climate Change Adaptation". www.adaptation-undp.org. Retrieved 2023-12-21.
  9. ^ "Swaziland- Second National Communication | UNDP Climate Change Adaptation". www.adaptation-undp.org. Retrieved 2023-12-21.