Coherent risk measure
||It has been suggested that this section be merged with Coherent risk measure and Distortion function. (Discuss) Proposed since January 2014.|
||This article may be too technical for most readers to understand. (August 2013) (Learn how and when to remove this template message)|
In the fields of Actuarial Science and financial economics there are a number of ways that risk can be defined; to clarify the concept theoreticians have described a number of properties that a risk measure might or might not have. A coherent risk measure is a function that satisfies properties of monotonicity, sub-additivity, homogeneity, and translational invariance.
- 1 Properties
- 2 General framework of Wang transform
- 3 Examples of risk measure
- 4 Set-valued
- 5 Dual representation
- 6 See also
- 7 References
- 8 External links
Consider a random outcome viewed as an element of a linear space of measurable functions, defined on an appropriate probability space. A functional → is said to be coherent risk measure for if it satisfies the following properties:
That is, the risk of holding no assets is zero.
That is, if portfolio always has better values than portfolio under almost all scenarios then the risk of should be less than the risk of . E.g. If is an in the money call option (or otherwise) on a stock, and is also an in the money call option with a lower strike price. In financial risk management, monotonicity implies a portfolio with greater future returns has less risk.
Indeed, the risk of two portfolios together cannot get any worse than adding the two risks separately: this is the diversification principle. In financial risk management, sub-additivity implies diversification is beneficial.
- Positive homogeneity
Loosely speaking, if you double your portfolio then you double your risk. In financial risk management, positive homogeneity implies the risk of a position is proportional to its size.
- Translation invariance
If is a deterministic portfolio with guaranteed return and then
The portofolio is just adding cash to your portfolio . In particular, if then . In financial risk management, translation invariance implies that the addition of a sure amount of capital reduces the risk by the same amount.
Convex risk measures
General framework of Wang transform
- Wang transform of the decumulative distribution function
A Wang transform of the decumulative distribution function is an increasing function where and .  This function is called distortion function or Wang transform function.
The dual distortion function is . Given a probability space , then for any random variable and any distortion function we can define a new probability measure such that for any it follows that 
- Actuarial premium principle
For any increasing concave Wang transform function, we could define a corresponding premium principle :
- Coherent risk measure
A coherent risk measure could be defined by a Wang transform of the decumulative distribution function if and only if is concave.
Examples of risk measure
Value at risk
It is well known that value at risk is not, in general, a coherent risk measure as it does not respect the sub-additivity property. An immediate consequence is that value at risk might discourage diversification. Value at risk is, however, coherent, under the assumption of elliptically distributed losses (e.g. normally distributed) when the portfolio value is a linear function of the asset prices. However, in this case the value at risk becomes equivalent to a mean-variance approach where the risk of a portfolio is measured by the variance of the portfolio's return.
The Wang transform function (distortion function) for the Value at Risk is . The non-concavity of proves the non coherence of this risk measure.
As a simple example to demonstrate the non-coherence of value-at-risk consider looking at the VaR of a portfolio at 95% confidence over the next year of two default-able zero coupon bonds that mature in 1 years time denominated in our numeraire currency.
Assume the following:
- The current yield on the two bonds is 0%
- The two bonds are from different issuers
- Each bonds has a 4% probability of defaulting over the next year
- The event of default in either bond is independent of the other
- Upon default the bonds have a recovery rate of 30%
Under these conditions the 95% VaR for holding either of the bonds is 0 since the probability of default is less than 5%. However if we held a portfolio that consisted of 50% of each bond by value then the 95% VaR is 35% (= 0.5*0.7 + 0.5*0) since the probability of at least one of the bonds defaulting is 7.84% which exceeds 5%. This violates the sub-additivity property showing that VaR is not a coherent risk measure.
Average value at risk
The average value at risk (sometimes called expected shortfall or conditional value-at-risk) is a coherent risk measure, even though it is derived from Value at Risk which is not.
Entropic value at risk
Tail value at risk
The Wang transform function (distortion function) for the tail value at risk is . The concavity of proves the coherence of this risk measure in the case of continuous distribution.
Proportional Hazard (PH) risk measure
The PH risk measure (or Proportional Hazard Risk measure) transforms the hazard rates using a coefficient .
The Wang transform function (distortion function) for the PH risk measure is . The concavity of if proves the coherence of this risk measure.
g-Entropic risk measures
The Wang risk measure
The Wang risk measure is define by the following Wang transform function (distortion function) . The coherence of this risk measure is a consequence of the concavity of .
Entropic risk measure
The superhedging price is a coherent risk measure.
In a situation with -valued portfolios such that risk can be measured in of the assets, then a set of portfolios is the proper way to depict risk. Set-valued risk measures are useful for markets with transaction costs.
- Translative in M
Set-valued convex risk measure
If instead of the sublinear property,R is convex, then R is a set-valued convex risk measure.
A lower semi-continuous convex risk measure can be represented as
A lower semi-continuous risk measure is coherent if and only if it can be represented as
such that .
- Risk metric - the abstract concept that a risk measure quantifies
- RiskMetrics - a model for risk management
- Spectral risk measure - a subset of coherent risk measures
- Distortion risk measure
- Conditional value-at-risk
- Entropic value at risk
- Financial risk
- Artzner, P.; Delbaen, F.; Eber, J. M.; Heath, D. (1999). "Coherent Measures of Risk". Mathematical Finance. 9 (3): 203. doi:10.1111/1467-9965.00068.
- Wilmott, P. (2006). "Quantitative Finance". 1 (2 ed.). Wiley: 342.
- Föllmer, H.; Schied, A. (2002). "Convex measures of risk and trading constraints". Finance and Stochastics. 6 (4): 429–447. doi:10.1007/s007800200072.
- Wang, Shuan (1996). "Premium Calculation by Transforming the Layer Premium Density". ASTIN Bulletin. 26 (1): 71–92. doi:10.2143/ast.26.1.563234.
- Balbás, A.; Garrido, J.; Mayoral, S. (2008). "Properties of Distortion Risk Measures". Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 11 (3): 385. doi:10.1007/s11009-008-9089-z.
- Julia L. Wirch; Mary R. Hardy. "Distortion Risk Measures: Coherence and Stochastic Dominance" (pdf). Retrieved March 10, 2012.
- Ahmadi-Javid, Amir (2012). "Entropic value-at-risk: A new coherent risk measure". Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications. 155 (3): 1105–1123. doi:10.1007/s10957-011-9968-2.
- Jouini, Elyes; Meddeb, Moncef; Touzi, Nizar (2004). "Vector–valued coherent risk measures". Finance and Stochastics. 8 (4): 531–552. doi:10.1007/s00780-004-0127-6.
- Hamel, A. H.; Heyde, F. (2010). "Duality for Set-Valued Measures of Risk" (pdf). SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics. 1 (1): 66–95. doi:10.1137/080743494. Retrieved August 17, 2012.
- Föllmer, Hans; Schied, Alexander (2004). Stochastic finance: an introduction in discrete time (2 ed.). Walter de Gruyter. ISBN 978-3-11-018346-7.