Disintegration theorem

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In mathematics, the disintegration theorem is a result in measure theory and probability theory. It rigorously defines the idea of a non-trivial "restriction" of a measure to a measure zero subset of the measure space in question. It is related to the existence of conditional probability measures. In a sense, "disintegration" is the opposite process to the construction of a product measure.

Motivation[edit]

Consider the unit square in the Euclidean plane R2, S = [0, 1] × [0, 1]. Consider the probability measure μ defined on S by the restriction of two-dimensional Lebesgue measure λ2 to S. That is, the probability of an event ES is simply the area of E. We assume E is a measurable subset of S.

Consider a one-dimensional subset of S such as the line segment Lx = {x} × [0, 1]. Lx has μ-measure zero; every subset of Lx is a μ-null set; since the Lebesgue measure space is a complete measure space,

While true, this is somewhat unsatisfying. It would be nice to say that μ "restricted to" Lx is the one-dimensional Lebesgue measure λ1, rather than the zero measure. The probability of a "two-dimensional" event E could then be obtained as an integral of the one-dimensional probabilities of the vertical "slices" ELx: more formally, if μx denotes one-dimensional Lebesgue measure on Lx, then

for any "nice" ES. The disintegration theorem makes this argument rigorous in the context of measures on metric spaces.

Statement of the theorem[edit]

(Hereafter, P(X) will denote the collection of Borel probability measures on a metric space (X, d).)

Let Y and X be two Radon spaces (i.e. separable metric spaces on which every probability measure is a Radon measure). Let μ ∈ P(Y), let π : YX be a Borel-measurable function, and let P(X) be the pushforward measure  = π(μ) = μ ∘ π−1. Then there exists a -almost everywhere uniquely determined family of probability measures {μx}xXP(Y) such that

  • the function is Borel measurable, in the sense that is a Borel-measurable function for each Borel-measurable set BY;
  • μx "lives on" the fiber π−1(x): for -almost all xX,
and so μx(E) = μx(E ∩ π−1(x));
  • for every Borel-measurable function f : Y → [0, ∞],
In particular, for any event EY, taking f to be the indicator function of E,[1]

Applications[edit]

Product spaces[edit]

The original example was a special case of the problem of product spaces, to which the disintegration theorem applies.

When Y is written as a Cartesian product Y = X1 × X2 and πi : YXi is the natural projection, then each fibre π1−1(x1) can be canonically identified with X2 and there exists a Borel family of probability measures in P(X2) (which is (π1)(μ)-almost everywhere uniquely determined) such that

which is in particular

and

The relation to conditional expectation is given by the identities

Vector calculus[edit]

The disintegration theorem can also be seen as justifying the use of a "restricted" measure in vector calculus. For instance, in Stokes' theorem as applied to a vector field flowing through a compact surface Σ ⊂ R3, it is implicit that the "correct" measure on Σ is the disintegration of three-dimensional Lebesgue measure λ3 on Σ, and that the disintegration of this measure on ∂Σ is the same as the disintegration of λ3 on ∂Σ.[2]

Conditional distributions[edit]

The disintegration theorem can be applied to give a rigorous treatment of conditional probability distributions in statistics, while avoiding purely abstract formulations of conditional probability.[3]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Dellacherie, C.; Meyer, P.-A. (1978). Probabilities and potential. North-Holland Mathematics Studies, North-Holland Publishing Co., Amsterdam. 
  2. ^ Ambrosio, L., Gigli, N. & Savaré, G. (2005). Gradient Flows in Metric Spaces and in the Space of Probability Measures. ETH Zürich, Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel. ISBN 3-7643-2428-7. 
  3. ^ Chang, J.T.; Pollard, D. (1997). "Conditioning as disintegration" (PDF). Statistica Neerlandica. 51 (3): 287. doi:10.1111/1467-9574.00056.