Division of Forde
Australian House of Representatives Division
|MP||Bert van Manen|
|Area||418 km2 (161.4 sq mi)|
The division was created in 1984 and is named after Frank Forde, who was Prime Minister of Australia for seven days in 1945 following the death of John Curtin. When it was created it was a marginal seat in the southern suburbs of Brisbane, but it now has no territory in common with the original seat and is located in exurban and semi-rural areas south of the city, including Beenleigh and Loganlea.
It was a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party after the 2004 election. Kay Elson announced that she would not re-contest her seat in the 2007 election. Wendy Creighton, a Boonah resident and editor of the local newspaper, the Fassifern Guardian, contested Forde as the Liberal candidate instead. She was defeated at the Federal election by Brett Raguse, the opposing Labor Party candidate, making Forde the safest Liberal Party seat to be claimed by the Labor Party at the 2007 election. The seat returned to the LNP Coalition with Bert van Manen holding the seat throughout 2010, 2013, and 2016 elections.
Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed the seat in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Roy Morgan Research found the Division of Forde to be the least politically involved electorate in Australia, with only 7% of voters interested in political analysis as a type of media content.
|Liberal||1 December 1984 –
11 July 1987
|Lost seat. Later elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland seat of Moggill in 1989|
|Labor||11 July 1987 –
2 March 1996
|Liberal||2 March 1996 –
17 October 2007
|Labor||24 November 2007 –
21 August 2010
|Bert van Manen
|Liberal Nationals||21 August 2010 –
|Incumbent. Currently Chief Government Whip in the House under Morrison|
|Liberal National||Bert van Manen||39,819||43.50||+2.87|
|One Nation||Ian Bowron||10,807||11.81||+11.81|
|United Australia||Paul Creighton||3,696||4.04||+4.04|
|Conservative National||Les Innes||2,217||2.42||+2.42|
|Total formal votes||91,534||95.36||+0.43|
|Liberal National||Bert van Manen||53,635||58.60||+7.97|
|Liberal National hold||Swing||+7.97|
- The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
- "The 10 most (and least) politically engaged electorates". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 4 July 2017.
- Forde, QLD, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.