Division of Makin
Australian House of Representatives Division
|Area||130 km2 (50.2 sq mi)|
The Division of Makin is an electoral division for the Australian House of Representatives located in the northeastern suburbs of Adelaide. The 130 km² seat covers an area from Little Para River and Gould Creek in the north-east to Grand Junction Road in the south and Port Wakefield Road in the west, including the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Golden Grove, Greenwith, Gulfview Heights, Ingle Farm, Mawson Lakes, Modbury, Para Hills, Para Vista, Pooraka, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, Salisbury East, Salisbury Heights, St Agnes, Surrey Downs, Tea Tree Gully, Valley View, Vista, Walkley Heights, Wynn Vale, Yatala Vale, and parts of Gepps Cross and Hope Valley.
Established in the South Australian redistribution of 3 September 1984 and named after Norman Makin, a former MP and diplomat. It is known as a marginal mortgage belt seat, with a large proportion of the population in the area paying off home loans. In the 2006 census, over 42 percent of the seat's electors had a home mortgage; ranking it 19th highest in Australia's 150 seats.
Created ahead of the 1984 election as a notionally fairly safe Labor seat, Labor candidate Peter Duncan won it even while he suffered a four-percent two-party swing. For the next two decades, it was always a marginal seat held by the party of government, often typical of mortgage belt seats. However, Labor's Tony Zappia won the seat at the 2007 election with a fairly safe 57.7 percent two-party vote against Liberal candidate Bob Day from an 8.6 percent two-party swing as Labor won government, the largest two-party vote and swing of any party in Makin's history at the time. Zappia actually won enough votes to take the seat on the first count, the first time a candidate won a majority of the primary vote in Makin. At the 2010 election, Zappia technically made it a safe Labor seat with a 62.2 percent two-party vote, again the strongest result for any party in Makin's history. Even though Mawson Lakes was added to the seat, Zappia held the seat at the 2013 election with a reduced marginal 55.1 percent two-party vote even as Labor lost government, becoming the first opposition member in Makin's history. He consolidated his hold on the seat in 2016 with a 59.5 percent two-party vote.
Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Makin in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Makin is the only bellwether outside of New South Wales and Queensland.
|Family First||Paul Coombe||4,273||4.54||−1.87|
|Animal Justice||Zarina Greenberg||1,479||1.57||+1.57|
|Total formal votes||94,070||95.56||+0.44|
- Australian federal election, 2016
- Results of the Australian federal election, 2016 (South Australia)
- Megalogenis, George. "2006 census, customised tables commissioned by The Australian". The Australian. News Limited. Archived from the original on 18 November 2007. Retrieved 25 November 2007.
- The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
- Makin, SA, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.