In probabilistic logic, the Fréchet inequalities, also known as the Boole–Fréchet inequalities, are rules implicit in the work of George Boole and explicitly derived by Maurice Fréchet that govern the combination of probabilities about logical propositions or events logically linked together in conjunctions (AND operations) or disjunctions (OR operations) as in Boolean expressions or fault or event trees common in risk assessments, engineering design and artificial intelligence. These inequalities can be considered rules about how to bound calculations involving probabilities without assuming independence or, indeed, without making any dependence assumptions whatsoever. The Fréchet inequalities are closely related to the Boole–Bonferroni–Fréchet inequalities, and to Fréchet bounds.
- Probability of a logical conjunction (&)
- max(0, P(A1) + P(A2) + ... + P(An) − (n − 1)) ≤ P(A1 & A2 & ... & An) ≤ min(P(A1), P(A2), ..., P(An)),
- Probability of a logical disjunction (∨)
- max(P(A1), P(A2), ..., P(An)) ≤ P(A1 ∨ A2 ∨ ... ∨ An) ≤ min(1, P(A1) + P(A2) + ... + P(An)),
where P( ) denotes the probability of an event or proposition. In the case where there are only two events, say A and B, the inequalities reduce to
- Probability of a logical conjunction (&)
- max(0, P(A) + P(B) − 1) ≤ P(A & B) ≤ min(P(A), P(B)),
- Probability of a logical disjunction (∨)
- max(P(A), P(B)) ≤ P(A ∨ B) ≤ min(1, P(A) + P(B)).
The inequalities bound the probabilities of the two kinds of joint events given the probabilities of the individual events. For example, if A is "has lung cancer", and B is "has mesothelioma", then A & B is "has both lung cancer and mesothelioma", and A ∨ B is "has lung cancer or mesothelioma or both diseases", and the inequalities relate the risks of these events.
Note that logical conjunctions are denoted in various ways in different fields, including AND, &, ∧ and graphical AND-gates. Logical disjunctions are likewise denoted in various ways, including OR, |, ∨, and graphical OR-gates. If events are taken to be sets rather than logical propositions, the set-theoretic versions of the Fréchet inequalities are
- Probability of an intersection of events
- max(0,P(A) + P(B) − 1) ≤ P(A ∩ B) ≤ min(P(A), P(B)),
- Probability of a union of events
- max(P(A), P(B)) ≤ P(A ∪ B) ≤ min(1, P(A) + P(B)).
If the probability of an event A is P(A) = a = 0.7, and the probability of the event B is P(B) = b = 0.8, then the probability of the conjunction. i.e., the joint event A & B, is surely in the interval
- P(A & B) = [max(0, a + b − 1), min(a, b)]
- = [max(0, 0.7 + 0.8−1), min(0.7, 0.8)]
- = [0.5, 0.7].
Likewise, the probability of the disjunction A ∨ B is surely in the interval
- P(A ∨ B) = [max(a, b), min(1, a + b)]
- = [max(0.7, 0.8), min(1, 0.7 + 0.8)]
- = [0.8, 1].
These intervals are contrasted with the results obtained from the rules of probability assuming independence, where the probability of the conjunction is P(A & B) = a × b = 0.7 × 0.8 = 0.56, and the probability of the disjunction is P(A ∨ B) = a + b − a × b = 0.94.
When the marginal probabilities are very small (or large), the Fréchet intervals are strongly asymmetric about the analogous results under independence. For example, suppose P(A) = 0.000002 = 2×10−6 and P(B) = 0.000003 = 3×10−6. Then the Fréchet inequalities say P(A & B) is in the interval [0, 2×10−6], and P(A ∨ B) is in the interval [3×10−6, 5×10−6]. If A and B are independent, however, the probability of A & B is 6×10−12 which is, comparatively, very close to the lower limit (zero) of the Fréchet interval. Similarly, the probability of A ∨ B is 4.999994×10−6, which is very close to the upper limit of the Fréchet interval. This is what justifies the rare-event approximation often used in reliability theory.
The proofs are elementary. Recall that P(A ∨ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A & B), which implies P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∨ B) = P(A & B). Because all probabilities are no bigger than 1, we know P(A ∨ B) ≤ 1, which implies that P(A) + P(B) − 1 ≤ P(A & B). Because all probabilities are also positive we can similarly say 0 ≤ P(A & B), so max(0, P(A) + P(B) − 1) ≤ P(A & B). This gives the lower bound on the conjunction.
To get the upper bound, recall that P(A & B) = P(A|B) P(B) = P(B|A) P(A). Because P(A|B) ≤ 1 and P(B|A) ≤ 1, we know P(A & B) ≤ P(A) and P(A & B) ≤ P(B). Therefore, P(A & B) ≤ min(P(A), P(B)), which is the upper bound.
The best-possible nature of these bounds follows from observing that they are realized by some dependency between the events A and B. Comparable bounds on the disjunction are similarly derived.
When the input probabilities are themselves interval ranges, the Fréchet formulas still work as a probability bounds analysis. Hailperin considered the problem of evaluating probabilistic Boolean expressions involving many events in complex conjunctions and disjunctions. Some have suggested using the inequalities in various applications of artificial intelligence and have extended the rules to account for various assumptions about the dependence among the events. The inequalities can also be generalized to other logical operations, including even modus ponens. When the input probabilities are characterized by probability distributions, analogous operations that generalize logical and arithmetic convolutions without assumptions about the dependence between the inputs can be defined based on the related notion of Fréchet bounds.
Quantum Fréchet bounds
It is interesting that similar bounds hold also in Quantum Mechanics in the case of separable quantum systems and that entangled states violate these bounds . Let us consider a composite quantum system. In particular, we focus on a composite quantum system AB made by two finite subsystems denoted as A and B. Assume that we know the density matrix of the subsystem A, i.e., that is a trace-one positive definite matrix in (the space of Hermitian matrices of dimension ), and the density matrix of subsystem B denoted as . We can think of and as the marginals of the subsystems A and B. From the knowledge of these marginals, we want to infer something about the joint in . We restrict our attention to joint that are separable. A density matrix on a composite system is separable if there exist , and which are mixed states of the respective subsystems such that
Otherwise is called an entangled state.
For separable density matrices in the following Fréchet like bounds hold:
where the inequalities are matrix inequalities, denotes the tensor product and the identity matrix of dimension . It is evident that structurally the above inequalities are analogues of the classical Fréchet bounds for the logical conjunction. It is also worth to notice that when the matrices and are restricted to be diagonal, we obtain the classical Fréchet bounds.
The upper bound is know in Quantum Mechanics as reduction criterion for density matrices; it was first proven by  and independently formulated by . The lower bound has been obtained in :Theorem A.16 that provides a Bayesian interpretation of these bounds.
We have observed that when the matrices and are restricted to be diagonal, we obtain the classical Fréchet bounds. To show that, let us consider again the previous numerical example. Consider , and then we have that
which for instance means that , i.e., .
It is worth to point out that entangled states violate the above Fréchet bounds. Consider for instance the entangled density matrix (which is not separable):
which has marginal . Entangled states are not separable and it can easily be verified that
since the resulting matrices have one negative eigenvalue.
Another example of violation of probabilistic bounds is provided by the famous Bell's inequality: entangled states exhibit a form of ``stochastic dependence stronger than the strongest classical dependence: and in fact they violate Fréchet like bounds.
- Probabilistic logic
- Logical conjunction
- Logical disjunction
- Fréchet bounds
- Boole’s inequality
- Bonferroni inequalities
- Fréchet–Bell inequalities
- Bernstein–Fréchet inequalities
- Probability bounds analysis
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