Jump to content


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Futarchy is a form of government proposed by economist Robin Hanson, in which elected officials define measures of national wellbeing, and prediction markets are used to determine which policies will have the most positive effect.[1]

It was named by The New York Times as a buzzword of 2008.[2] The idea of futarchy was later introduced in the context of blockchains and the DAO bringing it closer to an actual implementation.[3]


Economist Tyler Cowen said

I would bet against the future of futarchy, or its likelihood of succeeding were it in place. Robin says "vote on values, bet on beliefs", but I don't think values and beliefs can be so easily separated.[4]


  1. ^ Hanson, Robin (2007). Shall we vote on values, but bet on beliefs?. CiteSeerX
  2. ^ Leibovich, Mark; Barrett, Grant (2008-12-21). "The Buzzwords of 2008". Week in Review. The New York Times. Retrieved 2010-07-23.
  3. ^ Rennie, Ellie; Potts, Jason. "The DAO: a radical experiment that could be the future of decentralised governance". The Conversation. Retrieved 26 December 2020.
  4. ^ Cowen, Tyler (2007-08-04). "Where do I disagree with Robin Hanson?". Marginal Revolution. Retrieved 2010-07-23.

External links[edit]