Groundwater-related subsidence is the subsidence (or the sinking) of land resulting from groundwater extraction. It is a growing problem in the developing world as cities increase in population and water use, without adequate pumping regulation and enforcement. One estimate has 80% of serious U.S. land subsidence problems associated with the excessive extraction of groundwater, making it a growing problem throughout the world.
Groundwater can be considered one of the last free resources, as anyone who can afford to drill can usually draw up merely according to their ability to pump (depending on local regulations). However, as seen in the figure, pumping induced draw down causes a depression of the groundwater surface around the production well. This can ultimately affect a large region by making it more difficult and expensive to pump the deeper water. Thus, the extraction of groundwater becomes a tragedy of the commons, with resulting economic externalities.
The arid areas of the world are requiring more and more water for growing populations and agriculture. In the San Joaquin Valley of the United States, groundwater pumping for crops has gone on for generations. This has resulted in the entire valley sinking an extraordinary amount, as shown in the figure. This has not come without consequences. Any large-scale change of topography, no matter how slight it may seem, has the potential to drastically change the surface-water hydrology. This has happened in the Joaquin Valley and other regions of the world, such as New Orleans and Bangkok. These areas are now subject to severe flooding due to subsidence associated with groundwater removal. Total subsidence can usually be determined by ground-surface elevation surveys and GPS measurements. Potential impact on the aquifers and other resulting geohazards such as fissures can be assessed through long-term hydrologic studies and models.
Groundwater-related subsidence often results in major damage to urban areas. In Mexico City, the buildings interact with the settlement, and cause cracking, tilting, and other major damage. In many places, large sinkholes open up, as well as surface cavities. Damage from Hurricane Katrina was exacerbated due to coastal sinking, associated with groundwater withdrawal.
The cause of the long-term surface changes associated with this phenomenon are fairly well known. As shown in the USGS figure, aquifers are frequently associated with compressible layers of silt or clay.
As the groundwater is pumped out, the effective stress changes, precipitating consolidation, which is often non-reversible. Thus, the total volume of the silts and clays is reduced, resulting in the lowering of the surface. The damage at the surface is much greater if there is differential settlement, or large-scale features, such as sinkholes and fissures.
Aquifer compaction is a significant concern along with pumping-induced land subsidence. A large portion of the groundwater storage potential of many aquifers can be significantly reduced when longterm groundwater extraction, and the resulting groundwater level decline, causes permanent compaction of fine sediment layers (silts and clays). A study in an arid agricultural region of Arizona  showed that, even with a water level recovery of 100ft after groundwater pumping was stopped, the land surface continued to subside for decades. This is a result of the continued dewatering of aquitards (fine-grain layers that slow the movement of groundwater) from stresses mentioned in the previous paragraph.
The only known method to prevent this condition is by pumping less groundwater, which is extremely difficult to enforce when many people own water wells. Attempts are being made to directly recharge aquifers but this is still a preliminary effort.
Major area affected
- USGS Fact Sheet-165-00 December 2000
- Lin II, Rong-Gong (May 14, 2014) "Depletion of Central Valley's groundwater may be causing earthquakes" Los Angeles Times
- Timothy H. Dixon(2006) Space geodesy: Subsidence and flooding in New Orleans. Nature 441, 587-588 (1 June 2006)
- Dhira Phantumvanit (1989) Coming to terms with Bangkok's environmental problems. Environment and Urbanization April 1989 vol. 1 no. 1 31–39
- Sinking of a titanic city, Geotimes.org, July 2001
- USGS: Land Subsidence From Ground-Water Pumping, S. A. Leake, Aug. 2013
- Evans and Pool (1999). "Aquifer Compaction and Ground-Water Levels in South-Central Arizona". USGS WRIR (99–4249): 1.
- Serna, Joseph (February 9, 2017). "San Joaquin Valley continues to sink because of groundwater pumping, NASA says". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 8 February 2018.
- Leake 2013.
- Katherine Kornei (December 20, 2017). "Sinking of Mexico City linked to metro accident, with more to come". Science. Retrieved December 22, 2017.
sinking by up to 30 centimeters per year, as groundwater is extracted
- Michael Kimmelman (December 21, 2017). "Jakarta Is Sinking So Fast, It Could End Up Underwater". New York Times. Retrieved December 22, 2017.