Honduran general election, 2017

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Honduran general election, 2017

← 2013 November 26, 2017 Next →
Registered 6,046,873
Turnout 3,476,419 (57.49%)

  Juan Orlando Hernandez-Enrique Peña (cropped).jpg Salvador Nasralla in 2013 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Juan Orlando Hernández Salvador Nasralla Luis Orlando Zelaya
Party National Libre-PINU Liberal
Running mate Ricardo Álvarez Arias Xiomara Castro
Popular vote 1,410,888[1] 1,360,442[1] 484,187
Percentage 42.95%[1] 41.42%[1] 14.74%

President before election

Juan Orlando Hernández
National

Elected President

Juan Orlando Hernández
National

Coat of arms of Honduras.svg
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Honduras

General elections were held in Honduras on 26 November 2017. Voters went to the polls to elect the President of Honduras to serve a four-year term, as well as 128 members of the unicameral National Congress, 20 members for the Central American Parliament and mayors for the municipalities of Honduras.

The election was the first after the constitution of Honduras was amended to allow for a president to seek re-election,[2] a controversial development since the mere possibility of changing the constitution to allow for re-election was a primary justification for the 2009 Honduran coup d'état. The sitting president, Juan Orlando Hernández had been the favorite going into the election, but early results showed a significant advantage for his major challenger, Salvador Nasralla. As the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) slowly announced the vote totals, Hernández gained in the vote counts amid numerous irregularities, leading to cries of electoral fraud and protests across the country.[3] The protests escalated over the next several days as the country awaited final results, and on 1 December, Juan Orlando Hernández's government issued a ten-day curfew to try to control the protests.[4]

Following the election, both candidates claimed victory.[5] On 17 December, twenty-one days after the election, Hernández was declared the winner by the TSE, which is dominated by Hernández loyalists.[1][6] The Organization of American States (OAS), which conducted independent monitoring of the election, found widespread irregularities in the conduct of the voting and doubted the validity of the official results. The OAS called for a new election.[6]

Electoral system[edit]

The President of Honduras is elected by plurality, with the candidate receiving the most votes in a single round of voting declared the winner.[7] The 128 members of the National Congress are elected by open list proportional representation from 18 multi-member constituencies based on the departments ranging in size from one to 23 seats.[8] Seats are allocated using the Hare quota.[8]

Presidential candidates[edit]

Juan Orlando Hernández of the National Party, who has held office since winning the 2013 election, is the first president in Honduran history running for a second term[9] since the constitution established in 1982, despite the fact that, Article 374 of the constitution of Honduras prohibits both presidential reelection and the altering of the article prohibiting reelection.[10] Manuel Zelaya was ousted by a coup in 2009 for trying to alter this article.

The left-wing Libre and PINU parties formed the Opposition Alliance against Dictatorship for this election, nominating PAC founder Salvador Nasralla as its candidate.[11] Former Honduran president Manuel Zelaya, who was forced out of office in the coup in 2009, supported Nasralla and acted as a political strategist for the Opposition Alliance's campaign.[12]

The center-right Liberal Party nominated former president of the Central American Technological University Luis Orlando Zelaya as its candidate.[13]

Background[edit]

Hernández was seeking re-election, having won the 2013 contest against Xiomara Castro and Salvador Nasralla in a controversial election marred by accusations of vote buying, fraud, intimidation, and other irregularities.[14][15] This time around, Castro's Libre party united with the Innovation and Unity Party behind Nasralla in the Alliance against the Dictatorship, but concerns over the integrity over the process remained, especially when The Economist revealed a recording of what appeared to be a training session for poll workers from Hernández's National Party that included advocating for vote-rigging in five different ways as part of the party's strategy.[16]

Election administration[edit]

The President of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, David Matamoros Batson, stated that the election budget is 1.098 million Honduran lempiras.[17] Foreign officials from the United States Embassy, Organization of American States, and European Union conducted election monitoring.[18]

Results and aftermath[edit]

The polls closed at 16:00 local time (UTC-5) on election day, a change from years past when polls had closed at 17:00.[19] Supporters of the opposition saw this as an attempt by the TSE, which is effectively controlled by Hernández's National Party, to suppress the vote.[19] After voting, the TSE planned to begin releasing vote totals as they came out, but suspended the process for close to seven hours.[19] Before any official results had been announced, Hernández declared himself the victor, and Nasralla followed by also claiming victory.[19] The following day, the TSE released its first preliminary results: with 57% of the votes counted, Nasralla held a 5 point advantage over Hernández, with 45.17% to Hernández's 40.21%.[20]

The TSE then halted the count for 36 hours[21] and announced that final results may not become available until Thursday, 30 November.[19] Over the course of the week, the TSE released updated vote totals, which saw Nasralla's lead steadily erode and Hernández pull ahead in the vote count.[21] After the TSE again paused in its vote totals for several hours, claiming to have experienced a glitch in the computer system,[21] Nasralla denounced the TSE for fraud, declared he would not recognize the results, and urged his supporters to take to the streets, which they did across the country.[22] According to an analysis done by Georgetown University professor Irfan Nooruddin for the Organization of American States, there was a sudden swing in the vote totals after 68 percent of the votes were counted.[6] Nooruddin concluded that the "differences are too large to be generated by chance and are not easily explicable, raising doubts as to the veracity of the overall result."[23]

On 30 November, with approximately 94% of the votes counted, Hernández's lead had climbed to 42.92% compared to 41.42% for Nasralla.[22] On 1 December, the TSE announced that they would give no further results until the TSE had been able to review all of the 1,031 tally sheets which had not been properly filled out by the political parties.[22][24] The 1,031 tally sheets represent 5.69% of the total vote.[24] Later that same day, as the TSE was still trying to convoke 60 representatives and four supervisors for both Nasralla and Hernández for the final vote count,[25] Hernández's cabinet announced a ten-day curfew from 6pm to 6am to try to calm the violence associated with the protests.[4]

On 2 December, the Honduran National Roundtable for Human Rights issued a press release, in which it declared that the government actions were state terrorism against civilians, it warned that the declaration of a state of exception was in order to create repression to ensure electoral fraud labeling it as illegal after reading several articles of the Honduran constitution.[26]

As of 2 December, at least 7 people had died in the protests with more than 20 injured.[27] On the second night of the curfew, thousands of people participated in what is known as "cacerolazos", banging pots and pans in protest.[28][29]

As of 15 December, 2017, the court had finished a recount of ballot boxes that presented irregularities but had still not declared a winner, and protests continued throughout the country, with 16 deaths and 1,675 arrests, according to Honduras' National Human Rights' Commission.[30] The court has 30 days from the contest to do so.[30]

The TSE finally announced a winner on 17 December, giving Hernández the victory with 42.95% of the vote to Nasralla's 41.42%.[31] The announcement sparked a new wave of protests across the country, with Mel Zelaya announcing a national strike.[31] The country's two major cities - Tegucigalpa and San Pedro Sula - saw streets blockaded, their main exits blocked, and traffic between them severely reduced.[31][32]

Organization of American States (OAS) election monitors, in their final report, documented widespread and numerous irregularities in the conduct of the voting and ballot tabulation, and doubted the validity of the official results. OAS secretary general Luis Almagro issued a statement following the TSE's announcement saying: "Facing the impossibility of determining a winner, the only way possible so that the people of Honduras are the victors is a new call for general elections." Hernández rejected the OAS's position, and his top aide accused of OAS of seeking "to try and steal the election" for Nasralla.[6]

The Economist analyzed the vote tallies as reported by the TSE and compared that information with census data to analyze the validity of Hernández's explanation for the sudden swing in the vote tallies: that the later votes came from areas with more National Party support.[33] However, The Economist found that explanation implausible, noting that the swing happened in municipalities, which tend to be small and urban, across the country.[33] The only other explanation for the swing in the vote tally would be that paper ballots favored Hernández by 18 percentage points where electronic ballots favored Nasralla by 5 percentage points, but, as The Economist noted, the "odds are that that didn’t happen".[33]

President[edit]

Popular vote
National
42.95%
LIBRE
41.42%
Liberal
14.74%
Patriotic Alliance
0.20%
Anti-Corruption
0.18%
Christ. Democrat.
0.18%
Dem. Unification
0.14%
Broad Front
0.10%
Go-Solidarity
0.09%
Candidate Party Votes %
Juan Orlando Hernández National Party of Honduras 1,410,888 42.95
Salvador Nasralla Liberty and RefoundationPINU-SD 1,360,442 41.42
Luis Orlando Zelaya Liberal Party of Honduras 484,187 14.74
Romeo Vásquez Velásquez Honduran Patriotic Alliance 6,517 0.20
Marlene Elizabeth Alvarenga Anti-Corruption Party 5,983 0.18
Lucas Evangelisto Aguilera Christian Democratic Party 5,900 0.18
Alfonso Díaz Narváez Democratic Unification Party 4,633 0.14
Isaías Fonseca Aguilar Broad Front 3,151 0.10
Eliseo Vallecillo Reyes Go-Solidary Movement 3,003 0.09
Invalid/blank votes 191,715
Total 3,476,419 100
Registered voters/turnout 6,046,873 57.49
Source: TSE

National Congress[edit]

Party Votes % Seats +/–
National Party 61 +13
Liberty and Refoundation 30 –7
Liberal Party 26 –1
Innovation and Unity Party 4 +3
Honduran Patriotic Alliance 4 +4
Democratic Unification Party 1 0
Christian Democratic Party 1 0
Anti-Corruption Party 1 –12
Invalid/blank votes
Total 128 0
Registered voters/turnout
Source: TSE

Reactions[edit]

Countries[edit]

Despite concerns over election fraud, the United States recognized Hernández as the winner.[34] However, in a statement, the U.S. Department of State said that "The close election results, irregularities identified by the OAS and the EU election observation missions, and strong reactions from Hondurans across the political spectrum underscore the need for a robust national dialogue" and called for "much-needed electoral reforms should be undertaken."[35] Twenty-seven members of Congress sent a letter to President Trump urging him to "join the Organization of American States in calling for new elections, and to stand behind the right of the Honduran people to free and fair elections, in accordance with Honduran law" and expressed alarm at Honduran security forces's use of force against "civilians protesting electoral fraud." In a separate letter, 20 members of Congress wrote to Secretary of State Rex Tillerson expressing concern about the State Department's response to the elections, which the members called "inadequate."[36]

Canada and Mexico also recognized Hernández as the winner.[36] In a statement, the Mexican foreign ministry stated: "Mexico respectfully calls for the democratic institutions, the political forces and the people of Honduras, in a mark of respect and agreement, to definitively conclude this electoral process."[37]

The United Nations[edit]

On 12 March 2018, the UN Human Rights Office issued a statement about a UN report on Honduras presidential election saying that “members of the Honduran security forces, in particular the military police, used excessive – including lethal – force to control and disperse protests that erupted following November’s disputed presidential election”. The report “found that at least 22 civilians and one police officer were killed during the protests”. The report says, “These cases raise serious concerns and may amount to extra-judicial killings," [38]

Supranational bodies[edit]

  •  Organization of American States — The OAS said that the official results could not be accepted as valid, citing multiple irregularities. The leader of the OAS's election observation mission, former Bolivian President Jorge Quiroga, said: "The tight margin, along with the irregularities, errors and systematic problems that have surrounded this election, does not allow the mission to be certain about the results."[39] When the final results of the presidential election were announced three weeks after voting, the OAS immediately called for new elections.[40]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e "El TSE declara a Juan Orlando Hernández ganador de las elecciones 2017". Laprensa.hn. Retrieved 18 December 2017.
  2. ^ Bow, Juan Carlos (24 April 2015). "Honduras modifica su Constitución para permitir la reelección". Elpais.com. Retrieved 18 December 2017.
  3. ^ "Honduras election: Opposition candidate Nasralla rejects poll count". BBC. 30 November 2017. Retrieved 2017-11-30.
  4. ^ a b "Honduras: Toque de queda de 6:00 pm a 6.00 am por 10 días". La Prensa. 1 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-02.
  5. ^ Kate Linthicum, Protesters take to the streets amid calls for a new election in Honduras, Los Angeles Times (December 18, 2017).
  6. ^ a b c d Elisabeth Malkin, Honduran President Declared Winner, but O.A.S. Calls for New Election, New York Times (December 17, 2017).
  7. ^ Honduras: Election for President IFES
  8. ^ a b Honduras: Election for Congreso Nacional IFES
  9. ^ [1][dead link]
  10. ^ "Constitucion de la Republica Asamblea Nacional Constituyent Decreto Número 131" (PDF). Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  11. ^ "Salvador Nasralla irá a la cabeza de la Alianza". La Tribuna. Retrieved 23 May 2017.
  12. ^ Elisabeth Malkin, Political Unrest Grips Honduras After Disputed Election, New York Times (November 30, 2017).
  13. ^ Perfile: Luiz Zelaya, El Heraldo.
  14. ^ Miguel Salazar (6 December 2017). "The Honduran Government Is Trying to Steal an Election". The Nation. Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  15. ^ Mark Weisbrot (3 December 2013). "Why the world should care about Honduras' recent election". The Guardian. Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  16. ^ ""Plan B": Is Honduras's ruling party planning to rig an election?". The Economist. 25 November 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  17. ^ "Las elecciones generales costarán 1,098 millones de lempiras". El Heraldo (Tegucigalpa) (in Spanish). 12 September 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  18. ^ "Honduras Commissions Domestic, Foreign Officials to Observe General Election". Business Insider. 7 September 2017. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  19. ^ a b c d e Heather Gies (28 November 2017). "Hondurans anxiously await election results". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 2017-12-01.
  20. ^ "Nasralla arriba en primera proyección del TSE". La Prensa. 27 November 2017. Retrieved 27 November 2017.
  21. ^ a b c "Honduras election: Violent clashes ahead of final result". BBC. 1 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-01.
  22. ^ a b c "Elecciones en Honduras: la autoridad electoral postergó la declaración del ganador en la carrera presidencial". Infobae. 1 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-01.
  23. ^ Irfan Nooruddin (17 December 2017). "Analysis for the Organization of American States (OAS)" (PDF). Organization of American States. Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  24. ^ a b "Las 1.031 actas que decidirán al próximo presidente de Honduras en medio de protestas, violencia y denuncias de fraude" (in Spanish). BBC Mundo. 1 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-02.
  25. ^ "TSE pide a Nasralla y JOH nombrar representantes para escrutinio especial" (in Spanish). La Prensa. 1 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-02.
  26. ^ Camila Parodi, Nadia Fink, Julieta Lopresto, and Laura Salomé Canteros (2 December 2017). "Honduras: Mesa Nacional de Derechos Humanos denuncia asesinatos y detenciones tras protestas por fraude electoral" (in Spanish). El Ciudadano. Retrieved 2017-12-03.
  27. ^ "Honduras: posible fraude, muertos y mucha tensión" [Honduras: possible fraud, deaths and great tension] (in Spanish). Tegucigalpa: ABC Color. EFE. 2 December 2017. Retrieved 2 December 2017.
  28. ^ "Cacerolazos y manifestaciones en Honduras al cumplirse segundo día de toque de queda" (in Spanish). Venezolana de Television. 3 December 2017. Retrieved 3 December 2017.
  29. ^ "Seguidores de la Alianza de Oposición en Honduras hacen sonar cacerolas en protesta por toque de queda" (in Spanish). El Heraldo. 3 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-03.
  30. ^ a b Cuevas | AP, Freddy (2017-12-15). "Opposition blocks highways after Honduras presidential vote". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2017-12-16.
  31. ^ a b c Freddy Cuevas (18 December 2017). "Continúan las protestas en Honduras por resultado electoral" (in Spanish). El Nuevo Herald. Retrieved 2017-12-18.
  32. ^ Agence France Presse (19 December 2017). "Las protestas se intensifican en Honduras tras la reelección del presidente en un supuesto "fraude"" (in Spanish). El Mundo. Retrieved 2017-12-19.
  33. ^ a b c "Reasons to Disbelieve: What the data say about the integrity of Honduras's election". The Economist. 9 December 2017. Retrieved 2017-12-21.
  34. ^ Elisabeth Malkin, U.S. Backs Honduran President’s Victory in Disputed Election, New York Times (December 22, 2017).
  35. ^ Sarah Kinosian, US recognizes re-election of Honduras president despite fraud allegations, The Guardian (December 22, 2017).
  36. ^ a b Kaelyn Forde & Conor Finnegan, Democracy 'lost': Rights groups warn of more violence in Honduras as US recognizes president, ABC News (December 22, 2017).
  37. ^ Gabriel Stargardter, Mexico recognizes Honduran president as winner of disputed election, Reuters (December 19, 2017).
  38. ^ Honduras election protests met with excessive and lethal force – UN report
  39. ^ "Rebel Honduran police ignore curfew order, election protesters rejoice". Reuters. December 3, 2017.
  40. ^ Sarah Kinosian (18 December 2017). "Call for fresh Honduras election after president Juan Orlando Hernández wins". The Guardian. Retrieved 2017-12-18.

External links[edit]