Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018

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Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018

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  Bruce Rauner 2016 cropped (a).jpg J.B. Pritzker Chicago Hack Night 53 (cropped) (cropped).png
Nominee Bruce Rauner J. B. Pritzker
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Evelyn Sanguinetti Juliana Stratton

  Grayson "Kash" Jackson (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kash Jackson Sam McCann
Party Libertarian Conservative
Running mate Sanj Mohip Aaron Merreighn

Incumbent Governor

Bruce Rauner
Republican



The 2018 Illinois gubernatorial election takes place as part of the 2018 Illinois general election and elects the Governor of Illinois. The Democratic and Republican general primary elections took place on March 20, 2018, and the general election will take place on November 6, 2018.[1]

Incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner is running for re-election to a second term in office[2][3] against Democratic Party candidate J.B. Pritzker, Libertarian Party candidate Kash Jackson,[4] and Conservative Party candidate State Senator Sam McCann.[5]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jeanne Ives
Illinois legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Local Republican parties
  • Chicago Republican Party[23]
  • Fremont Township Republican Organization[24]
  • Lake County Republican Assembly[25]
  • Rock Island County Republican Party[26]
  • Wauconda Township Republican Club[25]
  • Wheatland Township Republican Organization[27]
  • Wheeling Township Republican Organization[28]
Organizations
Newspapers and magazines
Bruce Rauner
Governors
Illinois State Senators
Illinois State Representatives
County officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • Cook County Republican Party[38]
  • Evanston Township Republican Organization[39]
  • Palatine Township Republican Organization[40]
  • Winfield Township Republican Organization[41]
Newspapers
Declined to endorse in primary
Individuals

Debates[edit]

Rauner and Ives held their first and only scheduled forum on January 29. Rauner largely ignored his opponent and focused on attacking Speaker Mike Madigan, comparing him to his likely Democratic challenger, J.B. Pritzker. Ives, on the other hand, attacked Rauner for being an ineffective governor and alienating social conservatives.[46] Rauner and Ives were invited by the University of Springfield to debate a second time, although Rauner declined the invitation.[47]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bruce
Rauner
Jeanne
Ives
Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Ives) March 14, 2018 787 ± 3.5% 42% 35% 23%
Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 2018 259 ± 6.0% 51% 31% 18%
We Ask America January 14–16, 2018 1,026 ± 3.1% 65% 21% 15%
We Ask America October 25–29, 2017 1,064 ± 3.0% 64% 19% 16%
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC) October 12, 2017 495 ± 4.5% 59% 14% 28%

Results[edit]

Primary results by county:
  Rauner—60–70%
  Rauner—50–60%
  Tie
  Ives—50–60%
  Ives—60–70%
[48]
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent) 362,721 51.40
Republican Jeanne Ives 342,906 48.60
Total votes 705,627 100.00

In 2014, he only managed 30% in the downstate region, finishing 2nd to Kirk Dillard. In 2018, he carried the region with 52%.

Despite a 14% decrease in Republican Primary votes cast, Rauner increased his final result by 9%, in number of votes, from 2014. Rauner also only received 40.2% of the primary vote in 2014, in his narrow win. In 2018, he managed to capture a narrow majority of the votes, with 51.4%, in his victory over conservative Ives. It is worth noting that Rauner faced three other people in the primaries in 2014 and just one in this election.

Democratic primary[edit]

Democratic candidates listed on a blank ballot

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Running mate: Jonathan W. Todd, social worker[52]
  • Tio Hardiman, former director of CeaseFire and candidate for Governor in 2014[53]
  • Running mate: Ra Joy, nonprofit executive[57]
  • Running mate: Dennis Cole

Removed from ballot[edit]

  • Terry Getz, corrections officer (filed on November 29, 2017, but did so without a running mate or submitting any signatures)[61]

Withdrew[edit]

  • Running mate: Alex Hirsch, political operative
  • Running mate: Tyrone Coleman, Mayor of Cairo

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Daniel Biss
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officeholders
State Senators
State Representatives
Chicago Aldermen
Other local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers
Withdrawn endorsements
Chris Kennedy
U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officeholders
Invididuals
Organizations
  • Iroquois County Democratic Central Committee[171]
  • Southern Illinois Democratic County Chairmen's Association[172]
Newspapers
J. B. Pritzker
U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officeholders
State Senators
State Representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Paul "Snow" Herkert, Chair of the Calhoun County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Jimmy Naville, Chair of the Greene County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Dennis Fisher, Chair of the Shelby County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Brenda Britton, Chair of the Richland County Democratic Party[191][200]
  • John Penn, Chair of the McLean County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Shirley McCombs, Chair of the Menard County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Keith Niewohner, Chair of the Adams County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Phillip Matthews, Chair of the Alexander County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Dan Sidwell, Chair of the Bond County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Jack Mazzotti, Chair of the Christian County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Gary Johnson, Chair of the Jasper County Democratic Party[191][192]
  • Mike Barone, Chair of the Jackson County Democratic Party[191][192]
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse for the primary
U.S. Representatives
Orgainzations
  • Madison County Democratic Party[211]

Forums[edit]

The Illinois LGBTQ Forum: The Democratic Candidates for Governor[212] was held on December 6, 2017 and organized by Affinity Community Services, the Association of Latinos/as Motivating Action (ALMA), the Equality Illinois Institute, and Pride Action Tank. Candidates who attended included Daniel Biss, Tio Hardiman, Ameya Pawar, J. B. Pritzker, and Chris Kennedy.

Whitney Young High School hosted the first student-run gubernatorial debate in the United States on October 4, 2017. All 7 then current candidates attended, meaning Daniel Biss, Bob Daiber, Tio Hardiman, Chris Kennedy, Alex Paterakis, Ameya Pawar, and J. B. Pritzker.[213]

The Illinois chapter of progressive advocacy organization Our Revolution sponsored a forum at the Chicago Teacher's Union headquarters on October 8, 2017. Candidates voiced similar opinions on single-payer health care, gun control, and the minimum wage, but differed on a hypothetical state deal with Amazon and relationships with powerful Illinois Speaker Mike Madigan.[214]

The Democratic candidates held their first televised debate on January 23.[215] All six candidates met again a week later on January 30. The debate was not televised but was uploaded to WSIL-TV's YouTube channel.[216]

Another debate was held on February 21, which was hosted by the University of Springfield.[47] Chris Kennedy did not attend due to a back injury, although all five other candidates participated.[217] Another major debate took place on March 1. It involved issues such as gun control, Blagojevich's tapes, sexual harassment, and relatability.[218] Another debate took place the next day in Springfield. The topics involved Madigan, sexual harassment, among other issues. The spotlight remained on the top contenders: Chris Kennedy, J.B Pritzker, and Daniel Biss.[219]

Pritzker was criticized for refusing to commit to attend the only live-television debate planned outside the Chicago media market, prompting the debate's cancellation.[220] Biss and Kennedy gathered petition signatures to encourage the debate's continuation, and Biss commented that "JB is borrowing a page from the billionaire playbook, avoiding debates and shunning reporters who ask tough questions."[221] Another debate took place on March 14, revolving around topics including Pritzker's newly reported offshore holdings, Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan, and education. Kennedy and Biss both attacked Pritzker on the offshore businesses, Kennedy "saying it's like a job interview, and Pritzker lying to get the job", and Biss saying "Pritzker did that to avoid taxes".[222]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Daniel
Biss
Chris
Kennedy
J. B.
Pritzker
Other Undecided
Victory Research March 13–16, 2018 1,204 ± 2.8% 22% 26% 32% 16%
We Ask America March 7–9, 2018 1,029 ± 3.1% 15% 16% 35% 1%[223] 31%
Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 2018 472 ± 4.5% 21% 17% 31% 6%[224] 25%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker) February 9–13, 2018 802 ± 3.5% 21% 23% 37%
ALG Research (D-Biss) February 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 24% 24% 32% 4%[225] 16%
Victory Research February 6–7, 2018 1,209 ± 2.8% 24% 17% 27% 5%[226] 28%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker) February 1, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 22% 16% 41% 21%
32% 52% 16%
We Ask America January 29–30, 2018 811 ± 3.4% 17% 12% 30% 3%[227] 38%
We Ask America October 17–18, 2017 1,154 ± 3% 6% 15% 39% 2%[228] 36%
ALG Research (D-Biss) July 2017 5% 23% 30% 2%[229] 35%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Kennedy) June 26–29, 2017 602 ± 4% 44% 38% 18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-Summers) March 2–6, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 44% 11% 7%[230] 34%

Results[edit]

Primary results by county:
  Pritzker—70–80%
  Pritzker—60–70%
  Pritzker—50–60%
  Pritzker—40–50%
  Pritzker—<40%
  Biss—40–50%
  Kennedy—<40%
  Kennedy—40–50%
[48]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic J. B. Pritzker 573,679 45.2
Democratic Daniel Biss 337,342 26.6
Democratic Chris Kennedy 308,731 24.3
Democratic Tio Hardiman 20,479 1.6
Democratic Bob Daiber 14,814 1.2
Democratic Robert Marshall 14,193 1.1
Total votes 1,269,238 100.0

Pritzker won 98 of Illinois' counties. Kennedy won two, and Biss also won two.

Third parties and independents[edit]

In order to qualify as an established party in Illinois, a candidate for said party must earn at least 5% of the vote in a statewide election. This last occurred in 2006, when Rich Whitney won 10% of the vote, allowing the Illinois Green Party to achieve such status. Established party status comes with benefits. For example, candidates of an established party needs only 5,000 voter signatures on its petitions to gain ballot access. For non-established parties this number is approximately 25,000.[231][232]

For the 2018 election, non-established parties will not need to run a full slate in order to qualify for ballot access.[233]

Conservative[edit]

Sam McCann, a longtime intraparty opponent of Bruce Rauner, resigned from the Republican Caucus to run for Governor as a member of the newly created Conservative Party. His running mate is Aaron Merreighn, a constituent with whom he has worked on legislative issues relating to veterans.[234]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Constitution[edit]

Nominee[edit]

William J. Kelly was nominated for Governor and Chad Koppie, a member of the Kane County Regional Board of School Trustees, were chosen to run as the gubernatorial ticket of the Illinois Constitution Party. However, on June 5, 2018, Kelly dropped out and endorsed the third party campaign of Sam McCann.[235][236][237]

Withdrew[edit]

Green[edit]

The party ran a slate of statewide candidates in 2006 and 2010, but failed to be placed on the ballot in 2014.[239][240]

Libertarian[edit]

Kash Jackson is the Libertarian nominee for Illinois governor. 2018, Libertarian nominees for governor, other statewide offices, and the General Assembly were chosen by the Libertarian Party of Illinois at a state convention.[241] The convention for 2018 candidate selection was held on March 3, 2018 in Bloomington, Illinois.[242]

Candidates[edit]

  • Running mate: Sanj Mohip[4]

Endorsements[edit]

Kash Jackson
Notable Individuals

Unsuccessful[edit]

  • Matthew C. Scaro, entrepreneur and Libertarian activist[243]
  • Jon Stewart, retired professional wrestler, Republican candidate for the State House in 1998 and Republican candidate for IL-05 in 2009[243][249]

Independents[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Gregg Moore[250]
    • Magistrale Morgan
  • Dock Walls, perennial candidate[251]

Removed from ballot[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Notes[edit]

General election[edit]

Bruce Rauner has been rated as one of the, if not the most, vulnerable governors running for re-election in 2018 by Politico and the National Journal.[255][256]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[257] Tossup June 29, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[258] Lean D June 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[259] Likely D July 19, 2018
Real Clear Politics[260] Lean D July 9, 2018
Daily Kos Elections[261] Likely D July 19, 2018
Governing[262] Lean D July 16, 2018
Fox News[263] Lean D July 9, 2018

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bruce
Rauner (R)
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Kash
Jackson (L)
Sam
McCann (C)
Other Undecided
Victory Research June 26–28, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 30% 45% 2% 5% 18%
We Ask America June 9–11, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 27% 36% 26% 11%
Victory Research May 22–24, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 32% 47%
Victory Research April 18–21, 2018 1,208 ± 2.8% 31% 49% 19%
Ogden & Fry March 23, 2018 667 ± 3.9% 28% 46% 26%
Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 2018 1,001 ± 3.0% 35% 50% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Biss) February 5–6, 2018 600 ± 3.3% 35% 48% 17%
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC) October 2, 2017 517 ± 4.4% 30% 47% 23%

Results[edit]

Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic J. B. Pritzker
Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent)
Libertarian Kash Jackson
Conservative Sam McCann
Total votes

See also[edit]

References[edit]

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  139. ^ @SierraClubIL (February 20, 2018). "More than ever, we need bold leaders to stand strong for our environment & communities. We know @DanielBiss will put people over polluters, as he has the track record to prove it. Support our efforts to elect a green #ILGov" (Tweet). Retrieved February 20, 2018 – via Twitter. 
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External links[edit]

Official campaign websites