2016 Indiana Democratic primary

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Indiana Democratic primary, 2016

← 2008 May 3, 2016 (2016-05-03) 2020 →
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 44 39
Popular vote 335,074[1] 303,705
Percentage 52.46% 47.54%

2016IndianaDemocraticPresidentialPrimary.jpg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The 2016 Indiana Democratic primary took place on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Republican Party held their own Indiana primary on the same day. Other primaries were not held that day.

Opinion polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 335,074 52.46% 44 0 44
Hillary Clinton 303,705 47.54% 39 7 46
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 638,779 100% 83 9 92
Source: The Green Papers - Official Primary Results

Analysis[edit]

Sanders managed a five-percentage point upset win in Indiana, despite not leading in a single poll ahead of the primary. He won men 57-43, tied women with Clinton 50-50, beat Clinton 68-32 among voters under the age of 45, and won a resounding 59-41 victory with white voters, who made up 71% of the Democratic electorate in Indiana. He also won self-identified Independents 72-28 and won across all income levels. Clinton performed best with African Americans who she won 74-26, and older voters who she won 60-40.

Sanders performed well statewide in Indiana, winning most of the rural counties. He performed well in Marion County, winning 51-49 according to exit polls. Marion contains the state capital and largest city of Indianapolis, and the Indianapolis Suburbs which he won 56-44. Sanders won Northeast Indiana, which is anchored in Allen County by Fort Wayne. Sanders carried East Central Indiana and Northern Indiana. He carried St. Joseph County which contains South Bend and University of Notre Dame by a wide margin, likely thanks to his support from younger voters. He also won Monroe County which contains the city of Bloomington which is home to Indiana University. Sanders also won Vanderburgh County which contains Evansville as well as Vigo County which contains Terre Haute.

Clinton won Lake County in Northwest Indiana (a region she won by a narrow 51-49) which contains the heavily African American city of Gary and is a part of the Chicago Metropolitan Area, and performed well in Southern Indiana along the Ohio River with neighboring Kentucky.

References[edit]

  1. ^ The Green Papers - Official Primary Results
  2. ^ "American Research Group, Inc". Retrieved 2016-04-29.
  3. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll May 2016 Indiana Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-05-02.
  4. ^ "1) Cruz Ahead in Indiana 2) Clinton Leads 3) Young Edging Stutzman but Many Yet to Decide" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-30.
  5. ^ "IPFW poll: Hoosiers like Clinton". Retrieved 2016-04-29.
  6. ^ "Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana". Retrieved 2016-04-24.
  7. ^ "Fox News Poll: Indiana Presidential Primaries". Fox News. April 22, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.
  8. ^ "Exclusive WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton have small leads in Indiana, overall tight race". WTHR News. April 22, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.