List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant fertility variant)

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This is a List of countries by future population using the constant fertility rate variant (CFR; in which it is assumed that current fertility rates stay the same each year), ranging from 2020 to 2100 in decades or ten-year periods, as estimated by the 2015 revision of the World Population Prospects database by the United Nations Population Division. All figures are rounded and given in thousands, but these projections are not expected to be accurate since for most countries the fertility rate has been gradually decaying over time.

Country / territory 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
World 7,765,038 8,674,538 9,672,743 10,852,058 12,327,600 14,280,013 16,957,252 20,696,012 28,957,807
 Afghanistan 37,488 50,582 67,777 90,759 122,534 165,823 225,154 307,392 420,950
 Albania 2,937 2,956 2,859 2,725 2,561 2,378 2,172 1,939 1,748
 Algeria 43,516 50,687 57,790 66,190 74,995 83,922 94,240 106,345 119,807
 American Samoa 56 59 63 66 71 76 84 93 104
 Andorra 70 72 72 71 67 62 57 53 50
 Angola 29,606 42,133 60,656 88,481 130,609 194,333 291,019 437,644 659,865
 Anguilla (UK) 15 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 13
 Antigua and Barbuda 97 106 114 120 124 128 132 136 139
 Argentina 45,647 50,124 54,584 59,037 63,425 67,634 71,796 76,133 80,719
 Armenia 3,040 2,987 2,877 2,701 2,484 2,249 1,987 1,750 1,549
 Aruba (Netherlands) 106 108 106 102 98 94 91 86 81
 Australia 25,645 28,680 31,475 34,267 36,945 39,425 41,737 43,845 45,786
 Austria 8,635 8,734 8,671 8,481 8,150 7,780 7,413 7,034 6,673
 Azerbaijan 10,280 10,889 11,319 11,631 11,778 11,959 12,163 12,497 12,897
 Bahamas 411 449 478 501 517 529 536 539 542
 Bahrain 1,493 1,672 1,828 1,942 2,016 2,058 2,081 2,098 2,119
 Bangladesh 171,530 192,435 210,798 226,581 239,538 250,140 259,574 268,720 278,316
 Barbados 287 290 286 279 271 264 258 251 244
 Belarus 9,324 8,819 8,279 7,709 7,124 6,590 6,100 5,688 5,310
 Belgium 11,626 11,979 12,242 12,400 12,447 12,482 12,528 12,557 12,558
 Belize 401 489 578 671 769 870 977 1,095 1,226
 Benin 12,506 16,599 21,924 28,961 38,413 51,091 68,250 91,603 123,410
 Bermuda (UK) 61 59 57 53 50 47 45 42 39
 Bhutan 823 915 992 1,055 1,102 1,130 1,148 1,165 1,185
 Bolivia 11,634 13,685 15,945 18,450 21,269 24,422 27,999 32,147 36,975
 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3,760 3,578 3,313 3,002 2,674 2,342 2,020 1,739 1,503
 Botswana 2,482 2,940 3,424 3,957 4,525 5,129 5,802 6,571 7,437
 Brazil 216,614 231,553 241,517 246,851 247,780 244,530 238,265 230,842 223,221
 British Virgin Islands (UK) 33 36 38 39 41 41 42 43 44
 Brunei 452 503 543 570 583 585 581 577 574
 Bulgaria 6,854 6,190 5,508 4,848 4,199 3,602 3,101 2,700 2,342
 Burkina Faso 21,106 29,077 40,351 56,286 79,039 111,514 157,933 224,320 319,330
 Burundi 13,238 18,339 25,560 36,165 51,229 72,858 104,159 149,049 213,583
 Cambodia 16,903 19,603 22,416 25,438 28,588 31,898 35,426 39,333 43,741
 Cameroon 26,686 35,239 46,850 62,696 84,303 113,591 153,358 207,531 281,253
 Canada 37,650 40,494 42,558 44,115 45,287 46,240 46,869 47,129 47,138
 Cape Verde 557 636 717 797 871 939 1,001 1,064 1,133
 Caribbean Netherlands (Netherlands) 27 28 30 31 31 32 33 34 34
 Cayman Islands (UK) 64 71 77 81 85 89 92 95 97
 Central African Republic 5,473 6,927 8,834 11,371 14,711 19,057 24,729 32,173 41,916
 Chad 16,681 23,798 34,036 49,233 72,068 106,535 159,094 239,458 362,255
 Chile 18,877 20,386 21,378 21,944 22,099 21,927 21,532 20,957 20,359
 China[1] 1,400,315 1,403,240 1,371,334 1,304,344 1,207,048 1,102,175 993,020 889,147 801,925
 Colombia 50,437 54,206 56,771 58,201 58,758 58,645 58,012 57,138 56,266
 Comoros 893 1,149 1,475 1,900 2,460 3,199 4,181 5,487 7,221
 Cook Islands (NZ) 22 23 25 26 28 29 30 31 33
 Costa Rica 5,061 5,489 5,793 5,980 6,052 6,028 5,925 5,776 5,632
 Croatia 4,165 3,977 3,760 3,518 3,263 3,005 2,756 2,528 2,317
 Cuba 11,381 11,277 10,949 10,362 9,556 8,713 7,994 7,315 6,699
 Curaçao (Netherlands) 164 176 185 194 203 212 221 229 237
 Cyprus 1,220 1,303 1,358 1,391 1,399 1,379 1,337 1,289 1,242
 Czech Republic 10,526 10,274 9,868 9,412 8,831 8,153 7,524 7,000 6,513
 Democratic Republic of the Congo 91,277 129,037 183,772 263,866 381,943 555,528 810,839 1,186,522 1,739,617
 Denmark 5,771 5,975 6,107 6,186 6,252 6,307 6,337 6,315 6,259
 Djibouti 958 1,113 1,270 1,437 1,630 1,846 2,100 2,412 2,786
 Dominica 74 77 77 76 74 71 67 63 59
 Dominican Republic 11,173 12,470 13,752 15,003 16,262 17,572 18,972 20,500 22,192
 Timor-Leste 1,336 1,723 2,279 3,115 4,326 6,082 8,639 12,324 17,619
 Ecuador 17,428 20,098 22,817 25,594 28,436 31,357 34,394 37,627 41,171
 Egypt 101,329 121,705 146,318 176,102 210,463 252,147 302,737 364,226 438,620
 El Salvador 6,257 6,543 6,760 6,860 6,863 6,764 6,567 6,303 6,053
 Equatorial Guinea 982 1,325 1,784 2,420 3,304 4,517 6,184 8,473 11,621
 Eritrea 5,963 7,801 10,214 13,308 17,280 22,436 29,148 37,916 49,369
 Estonia 1,291 1,225 1,154 1,080 998 916 838 772 713
 Ethiopia 114,262 153,082 202,898 267,755 353,777 465,724 611,848 804,479 1,058,786
 Falkland Islands (UK) 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
 Faroe Islands (Denmark) 49 51 53 55 57 60 64 67 71
 Federated States of Micronesia 109 124 139 155 176 198 223 256 296
 Fiji 920 964 1,003 1,036 1,072 1,118 1,175 1,248 1,335
 Finland 5,582 5,688 5,703 5,688 5,682 5,675 5,645 5,592 5,528
 France[2] 65,728 68,094 70,123 71,461 72,586 73,886 75,322 76,658 77,817
 French Guiana (France) 307 396 503 629 778 957 1,173 1,434 1,748
 French Polynesia (France) 297 317 335 348 358 364 368 372 377
 Gabon 1,942 2,471 3,140 3,988 5,055 6,393 8,083 10,226 12,947
 Georgia 3,971 3,834 3,663 3,439 3,171 2,908 2,655 2,439 2,262
 Germany 80,245 78,489 75,677 71,891 67,338 63,141 59,162 55,183 51,528
 Ghana 30,827 38,753 48,552 60,868 76,331 96,031 121,389 154,035 196,098
 Gibraltar (UK) 33 33 33 32 31 31 30 29 29
 Greece 10,828 10,465 10,045 9,505 8,789 8,016 7,312 6,699 6,116
 Greenland (Denmark) 57 57 56 55 54 53 52 52 51
 Grenada 110 115 118 119 119 117 115 113 112
 Guadeloupe (France) 478 496 511 517 515 516 521 527 532
 Guam (USA) 181 204 225 245 265 286 307 329 351
 Guatemala 18,200 22,530 27,525 33,355 40,175 48,080 57,359 68,356 81,468
 Guinea 14,546 19,596 26,615 36,474 50,310 69,625 96,566 134,253 186,915
 Guinea-Bissau 2,093 2,707 3,514 4,597 6,057 8,031 10,728 14,422 19,468
 Guyana 791 843 875 904 942 985 1,030 1,084 1,156
 Haiti 11,493 13,226 15,063 17,063 19,326 21,884 24,852 28,402 32,625
 Honduras 8,728 10,143 11,516 12,847 14,143 15,367 16,531 17,698 18,958
 Hong Kong 7,523 7,797 7,819 7,678 7,367 6,957 6,537 6,148 5,783
 Hungary 9,652 9,131 8,511 7,869 7,191 6,481 5,834 5,262 4,731
 Iceland 343 368 387 400 411 419 425 430 434
 India 1,395,565 1,566,312 1,725,680 1,879,559 2,031,004 2,178,189 2,330,529 2,492,736 2,668,911
 Indonesia 273,319 303,430 331,160 356,974 382,610 410,294 441,539 476,423 515,567
 Iran 83,776 90,311 94,508 96,657 95,430 91,449 86,771 82,966 79,351
 Iraq 42,277 56,350 74,927 99,451 131,787 174,767 232,199 308,881 411,233
 Ireland 4,880 5,223 5,550 5,843 6,028 6,164 6,323 6,495 6,623
 Isle of Man (UK) 91 96 101 104 107 110 112 115 116
 Israel 8,755 10,229 11,916 13,843 15,996 18,451 21,279 24,517 28,225
 Italy 59,604 58,499 56,810 54,352 51,094 47,712 44,900 42,452 39,957
 Ivory Coast 25,812 33,882 44,985 60,603 82,658 113,663 157,130 217,870 302,475
 Jamaica 2,850 2,915 2,916 2,887 2,820 2,723 2,607 2,489 2,400
 Japan 124,728 118,771 111,049 102,869 94,591 85,667 77,490 70,523 64,208
 Jordan 8,261 9,639 11,803 14,327 17,247 20,706 24,905 29,979 36,076
 Kazakhstan 18,687 20,426 22,383 24,588 26,800 29,391 32,386 35,722 39,380
 Kenya 52,744 69,178 90,679 118,934 156,012 204,620 268,745 353,332 464,808
 Kiribati 123 147 174 207 248 298 360 438 533
 Kuwait 4,333 5,068 5,673 6,223 6,654 6,976 7,286 7,615 7,929
 Kyrgyzstan 6,435 7,348 8,367 9,543 10,828 12,370 14,215 16,420 19,033
 Laos 7,481 8,991 10,650 12,556 14,708 17,113 19,863 23,072 26,862
 Latvia 1,912 1,776 1,641 1,508 1,375 1,250 1,134 1,035 944
 Lebanon 5,893 5,292 5,519 5,618 5,625 5,497 5,242 4,929 4,647
 Lesotho 2,277 2,604 3,024 3,582 4,254 5,032 5,959 7,077 8,416
 Liberia 5,146 6,802 9,019 11,988 16,007 21,446 28,816 38,811 52,377
 Liechtenstein 39 41 42 42 42 42 42 41 40
 Lithuania 2,789 2,618 2,440 2,269 2,106 1,956 1,817 1,687 1,569
 Luxembourg 604 672 729 780 819 851 875 892 901
 Libya 6,755 7,705 8,629 9,523 10,309 11,090 11,978 12,929 13,890
 Macau 630 699 742 769 779 772 751 725 702
 Macedonia 2,084 2,056 1,977 1,867 1,736 1,591 1,445 1,308 1,186
 Madagascar 28,059 37,790 50,572 67,672 90,590 121,193 162,194 217,232 291,154
 Malawi 20,259 28,290 39,538 55,331 77,310 107,747 150,086 209,260 292,065
 Malaysia 32,488 36,682 40,037 42,706 44,991 46,543 47,431 48,167 48,903
 Maldives 396 454 504 551 587 611 628 642 657
 Mali 20,710 29,383 42,567 62,433 92,388 137,511 205,381 307,402 460,827
 Malta 422 424 412 394 374 351 324 298 273
 Marshall Islands 54 60 74 88 108 137 174 220 280
 Martinique (France) 396 395 386 369 352 343 340 336 330
 Mauritania 4,615 5,953 7,656 9,837 12,678 16,403 21,295 27,745 36,271
 Mauritius 1,294 1,316 1,296 1,243 1,177 1,101 1,015 926 842
 Mayotte (France) 277 367 483 628 809 1,040 1,333 1,705 2,179
 Mexico 135,634 152,611 168,033 182,048 194,560 205,418 215,361 224,952 234,968
 Moldova[3] 4,023 3,822 3,510 3,141 2,735 2,304 1,904 1,585 1,321
 Monaco 39 40 42 44 47 50 54 57 61
 Mongolia 3,198 3,601 4,011 4,470 4,919 5,407 5,955 6,541 7,227
 Montenegro 627 622 606 581 554 525 494 465 437
 Montserrat (UK) 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
 Morocco 36,691 41,069 45,062 48,960 52,800 56,560 60,493 64,889 69,739
 Mozambique 32,393 44,232 61,329 85,934 121,095 170,749 240,919 340,341 481,350
 Myanmar 56,490 61,634 65,948 69,056 71,715 74,211 76,529 79,038 82,078
 Namibia 2,757 3,440 4,249 5,243 6,455 7,921 9,707 11,895 14,574
 Nauru 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
   Nepal 30,450 34,508 38,094 41,520 44,590 47,190 49,335 51,147 52,986
 Netherlands 17,176 17,555 17,625 17,404 17,116 16,902 16,718 16,460 16,152
 New Caledonia (France) 281 316 351 383 414 443 470 494 518
 New Zealand 4,740 5,155 5,509 5,809 6,080 6,357 6,637 6,885 7,107
 Nicaragua 6,460 7,259 8,049 8,776 9,426 9,982 10,449 10,885 11,350
 Niger 24,437 37,523 58,620 92,529 147,010 234,402 374,569 599,491 960,646
 Nigeria 208,924 277,735 374,028 509,315 701,191 975,116 1,367,297 1,928,988 2,733,011
 Niue (NZ) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
 North Korea 25,820 26,960 27,541 27,800 27,954 28,090 28,300 28,522 28,704
 Northern Mariana Islands (USA) 56 56 53 48 41 35 29 24 19
 Norway 5,492 5,931 6,291 6,606 6,876 7,098 7,291 7,440 7,554
 Oman 4,868 5,501 6,111 6,954 7,855 8,717 9,685 10,811 12,094
 Pakistan 210,630 258,638 313,836 380,590 460,089 556,040 675,087 822,988 1,006,666
 Palau 23 25 27 29 30 31 32 33 33
 Palestine[4] 5,399 7,190 9,413 12,285 15,993 20,739 26,894 34,908 45,320
 Panama 4,250 4,890 5,507 6,120 6,723 7,322 7,944 8,602 9,307
 Papua New Guinea 8,487 10,522 12,924 15,779 19,257 23,511 28,741 35,213 43,249
 Paraguay 7,107 8,076 9,014 9,948 10,906 11,862 12,841 13,922 15,161
 Peru 33,507 37,912 42,278 46,596 50,846 55,027 59,240 63,700 68,559
 Philippines 109,131 127,711 147,481 169,225 193,901 221,976 254,369 292,316 336,861
 Poland 38,418 37,117 35,027 32,491 29,667 26,527 23,300 20,534 18,212
 Portugal 10,166 9,841 9,497 9,016 8,408 7,756 7,154 6,618 6,073
 Puerto Rico (USA) 3,682 3,659 3,563 3,397 3,181 2,930 2,664 2,399 2,156
 Qatar 2,462 2,831 3,122 3,396 3,625 3,792 3,896 3,951 4,014
 Republic of the Congo 5,311 7,130 9,683 13,192 18,013 24,649 33,780 46,329 63,571
 Romania 18,795 17,456 16,069 14,535 12,953 11,473 10,222 9,128 8,089
 Russia 142,247 136,253 129,514 122,564 115,425 108,780 103,000 98,449 93,895
 Rwanda 13,178 16,971 21,742 27,608 34,912 43,994 55,291 69,523 87,475
 Réunion (France) 895 965 1,023 1,060 1,087 1,115 1,149 1,182 1,215
 Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK) 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3
 Saint Kitts and Nevis 59 64 69 72 75 77 79 81 83
 Saint Lucia 192 206 215 220 221 220 218 214 211
 Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France) 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9
 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 111 114 117 117 116 114 111 108 105
 Samoa 201 221 254 293 343 411 500 612 759
 San Marino 32 33 32 31 30 28 26 25 23
 São Tomé and Príncipe 214 272 349 449 579 753 985 1,295 1,709
 Saudi Arabia 34,666 40,812 47,123 53,441 59,849 66,769 74,593 83,420 93,261
 Senegal 17,705 24,267 33,360 45,996 63,404 87,455 120,801 166,974 230,774
 Serbia[5] 8,662 8,220 7,684 7,113 6,538 5,956 5,396 4,872 4,397
 Seychelles 99 103 106 108 110 112 115 120 125
 Sierra Leone 7,268 9,338 12,089 15,777 20,755 27,473 36,560 48,879 65,584
 Singapore 6,001 6,387 6,577 6,560 6,373 6,091 5,757 5,399 5,025
 Sint Maarten (Netherlands) 41 46 50 53 56 58 61 63 65
 Slovakia 5,413 5,256 4,968 4,617 4,212 3,764 3,339 2,980 2,664
 Slovenia 2,068 2,026 1,956 1,862 1,742 1,621 1,516 1,432 1,357
 Solomon Islands 647 801 994 1,229 1,525 1,903 2,382 2,990 3,765
 Somalia[6] 12,540 17,499 24,769 35,592 51,902 76,375 113,202 168,602 251,897
 South Africa 56,916 61,504 66,512 72,116 77,937 83,797 89,821 96,208 102,997
 South Korea 51,079 51,719 50,675 47,964 44,030 39,641 35,375 31,453 27,981
 South Sudan 14,287 18,986 25,193 33,656 45,289 61,139 82,873 112,802 153,963
 Spain 46,059 45,384 44,599 43,024 40,336 37,249 34,623 32,527 30,350
 Sri Lanka 21,224 21,896 22,206 22,090 21,737 21,330 20,910 20,516 20,152
 Sudan 45,813 59,762 77,515 100,382 130,447 169,835 221,739 290,552 381,641
 Suriname 568 614 653 687 719 753 790 831 877
 Swaziland 1,381 1,597 1,874 2,242 2,700 3,248 3,906 4,706 5,682
 Sweden 10,119 10,757 11,272 11,847 12,405 12,906 13,408 13,859 14,270
  Switzerland 8,636 9,127 9,460 9,682 9,768 9,767 9,731 9,647 9,524
 Syria 21,187 29,965 35,469 41,557 48,329 55,792 64,261 74,026 85,228
 Tajikistan 9,493 11,570 13,920 16,855 20,256 24,427 29,613 35,976 43,880
 Tanzania 62,824 87,271 121,887 170,576 238,916 334,741 469,165 657,846 922,882
 Thailand 68,751 68,839 66,908 63,129 58,207 53,064 48,176 43,638 39,432
 Gambia 2,347 3,277 4,597 6,466 9,128 12,924 18,351 26,123 37,267
 Togo 8,375 11,064 14,667 19,491 25,975 34,710 46,482 62,339 83,674
 Tokelau (NZ) 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4
 Tonga 112 125 144 163 188 221 261 311 374
 Trinidad and Tobago 1,380 1,385 1,364 1,322 1,265 1,202 1,146 1,098 1,054
 Tunisia 11,879 12,903 13,624 14,272 14,761 15,064 15,385 15,792 16,167
 Turkey 82,559 89,322 96,246 101,871 106,160 109,131 111,324 113,284 115,136
 Turkmenistan 5,717 6,315 6,796 7,217 7,556 7,852 8,168 8,530 8,945
 Turks and Caicos Islands (UK) 37 42 47 51 54 57 60 63 66
 Tuvalu 10 11 12 13 14 16 18 20 23
 Uganda 46,484 66,693 95,937 138,731 201,719 294,005 429,810 629,904 924,481
 Ukraine 43,476 40,101 36,613 33,020 29,415 26,064 23,209 20,893 18,771
 United Arab Emirates 9,852 11,137 12,311 13,301 14,009 14,487 14,698 14,711 14,740
 United Kingdom 66,694 70,129 72,968 75,547 77,553 79,265 80,912 82,293 83,498
 United States 333,432 354,931 372,149 386,218 399,233 411,866 422,333 430,252 436,618
 United States Virgin Islands 107 108 107 104 103 102 103 104 106
 Uruguay 3,502 3,632 3,732 3,805 3,855 3,880 3,887 3,886 3,887
 Uzbekistan 31,963 35,364 38,451 41,318 43,652 46,019 48,559 51,445 54,830
 Vanuatu 296 367 450 546 658 790 947 1,133 1,354
  Vatican City 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
 Venezuela 33,272 37,577 41,711 45,696 49,593 53,465 57,357 61,381 65,661
 Vietnam 98,191 105,367 110,408 113,353 113,753 112,527 110,201 107,538 105,281
 Wallis and Futuna (France) 13 14 14 14 15 16 16 17 18
 Western Sahara[7] 635 757 872 981 1,080 1,172 1,264 1,355 1,443
 Yemen 30,592 39,792 51,133 65,487 83,769 106,893 136,776 175,814 226,515
 Zambia 19,051 26,579 37,299 52,529 74,012 104,288 147,155 207,808 293,566
 Zimbabwe 17,701 22,802 29,440 37,977 48,660 62,125 79,341 101,442 129,786

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Census figure refers to mainland China, excluding its Special Administrative Regions (SARs) of Hong Kong and Macau, The first one returned to Chinese sovereignty in mid-1997 and the second one did so on December 20, 1999,
  2. ^ Estimate not only refers to metropolitan France, but also includes its separatedly listed overseas departments (Départements d'outre-mer, DOM) of French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mayotte (from March 31, 2011) and Réunion and its overseas collectivities (Collectivités d'outre-mer, COM) of French Polynesia, Saint Barthélemy, Saint Martin, Saint Pierre and Miquelon and Wallis and Futuna, The population of metropolitan France alone stood at 63,730,000 in November 2012, according to a monthly [www,insee,fr/fr/bases-de-donnees/bsweb/serie,asp?idbank=000436387 official estimate],
  3. ^ Excludes (statistica,md,2010,pdf) Transnistria (555,347, census 2005),
  4. ^ It comprises the Gaza Strip and the West Bank,
  5. ^ Excludes the Kosovo (1,733,872, 2011),
  6. ^ Includes Puntland (with a population of about 3,900,000 inhabitants) and Somaliland (some 3,500,000 inhabitants),
  7. ^ Administration is split between Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, both of which claim the entire territory,

Sources[edit]

See also[edit]