List of countries by future population (United Nations, low fertility variant)

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This is a List of countries by future population using the low variant, ranging from 2020 to 2100 in decades or ten-year periods, as estimated by the 2015 revision of the World Population Prospects database by the United Nations Population Division. All figures are rounded and given in thousands.

Country / dependent territory 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
World 7,665,240 8,157,125 8,511,283 8,691,143 8,669,540 8,494,325 8,188,715 7,771,427 7,286,520
1  Afghanistan 36,146 42,165 46,947 49,828 50,512 49,162 45,876 41,128 35,834
2  Albania 2,907 2,834 2,652 2,410 2,135 1,841 1,520 1,182 894
3  Algeria 42,595 46,407 48,911 50,631 50,667 49,046 46,527 43,464 39,779
4  American Samoa (USA) 55 55 54 50 45 39 32 24 17
5  Andorra 69 69 69 66 61 54 49 45 41
6  Angola 29,016 38,047 48,502 59,462 70,229 80,190 88,529 94,650 98,248
7  Anguilla (UK) 15 15 15 13 12 11 9 8 6
8  Antigua and Barbuda 95 101 103 102 98 92 86 78 70
9  Argentina 45,109 47,438 48,926 49,441 48,784 47,007 44,344 41,025 37,291
10  Armenia 3,007 2,872 2,672 2,419 2,121 1,806 1,483 1,191 948
11  Aruba (Netherlands) 105 103 99 91 82 75 67 59 50
12  Australia 25,382 27,466 29,083 30,398 31,208 31,560 31,510 31,019 30,207
13  Austria 8,587 8,540 8,352 8,038 7,562 7,051 6,555 6,050 5,576
14  Azerbaijan 10,143 10,340 10,206 9,737 9,005 8,146 7,240 6,400 5,610
15  Bahamas 406 428 438 438 427 409 385 356 326
16  Bahrain 1,474 1,588 1,655 1,661 1,608 1,507 1,373 1,225 1,078
17  Bangladesh 168,659 178,010 181,021 177,042 166,841 151,951 133,880 114,380 95,304
18  Barbados 285 280 269 253 234 215 197 179 160
19  Belarus 9,282 8,650 7,940 7,238 6,504 5,793 5,163 4,624 4,127
20  Belgium 11,545 11,620 11,570 11,359 10,951 10,487 10,002 9,461 8,879
21  Belize 394 450 493 519 527 519 496 464 427
22  Benin 12,258 15,032 17,817 20,325 22,359 23,831 24,598 24,640 24,100
23  Bermuda (UK) 60 57 53 48 43 38 34 30 26
24  Bhutan 809 846 856 840 795 726 643 555 472
25  Bolivia 11,441 12,640 13,596 14,180 14,341 14,102 13,494 12,596 11,501
26  Bosnia and Herzegovina 3,726 3,454 3,123 2,758 2,372 1,992 1,635 1,327 1,077
27  Botswana 2,435 2,697 2,890 3,005 3,013 2,924 2,768 2,565 2,330
28  Brazil 213,914 219,251 218,562 211,728 199,125 182,042 161,893 140,608 119,936
29  British Virgin Islands (UK) 32 34 35 34 33 31 28 26 23
30  Brunei 446 476 491 490 469 434 393 349 307
31  Bulgaria 6,833 6,094 5,333 4,620 3,903 3,233 2,680 2,230 1,831
32  Burkina Faso 20,695 26,316 32,559 38,770 44,491 49,450 53,240 55,596 56,572
33  Burundi 13,023 16,803 21,237 26,190 30,970 35,599 39,738 42,967 45,193
34  Cambodia 16,580 18,074 19,138 19,677 19,542 18,854 17,629 16,040 14,275
35  Cameroon 26,109 31,744 37,753 43,598 48,729 52,893 55,732 57,062 56,928
36  Canada 37,291 38,968 39,840 40,072 39,663 38,974 37,947 36,507 34,858
37  Cape Verde 547 586 613 622 609 578 528 468 407
38  Caribbean Netherlands (Netherlands) 26 27 28 27 26 25 24 23 21
39  Cayman Islands (UK) 63 69 72 74 74 74 73 72 69
40  Central African Republic 5,362 6,246 7,102 7,868 8,447 8,787 8,869 8,715 8,356
41  Chad 16,304 21,217 26,561 31,900 36,901 41,329 44,814 47,187 48,501
42  Chile 18,675 19,490 19,735 19,452 18,626 17,438 16,009 14,372 12,738
43  China[1] 1,390,475 1,367,292 1,308,925 1,218,251 1,097,309 966,756 837,942 715,717 612,731
44  Colombia 49,740 50,950 50,600 48,687 45,422 41,290 36,543 31,498 26,619
45  Comoros 876 1,042 1,205 1,351 1,464 1,543 1,584 1,584 1,552
46  Cook Islands (NZ) 21 22 22 21 20 19 17 14 12
47  Costa Rica 4,995 5,195 5,246 5,145 4,888 4,521 4,069 3,566 3,080
48  Croatia 4,130 3,839 3,527 3,198 2,841 2,485 2,150 1,840 1,561
49  Cuba 11,279 10,864 10,240 9,342 8,199 7,035 6,014 5,049 4,186
50  Curaçao (Netherlands) 162 169 171 170 167 163 158 149 140
51  Cyprus 1,207 1,250 1,268 1,265 1,230 1,170 1,091 1,007 928
52  Czech Republic 10,487 10,112 9,577 9,029 8,342 7,542 6,821 6,219 5,654
53  Democratic Republic of the Congo 89,482 116,362 146,518 177,461 207,013 233,359 254,458 268,573 275,411
54  Denmark 5,732 5,792 5,775 5,693 5,546 5,375 5,176 4,905 4,599
55  Djibouti 938 1,012 1,052 1,059 1,028 964 880 789 696
56  Dominica 74 73 70 66 59 52 44 35 28
57  Dominican Republic 10,997 11,569 11,803 11,623 11,086 10,291 9,290 8,139 6,929
58  Timor-Leste 1,305 1,524 1,740 1,949 2,105 2,211 2,260 2,239 2,155
59  Ecuador 17,173 18,764 19,897 20,447 20,391 19,807 18,738 17,261 15,539
60  Egypt 99,581 112,588 124,875 134,498 139,936 141,965 140,733 136,717 129,908
61  El Salvador 6,162 6,101 5,919 5,558 5,046 4,419 3,690 2,900 2,158
62  Equatorial Guinea 963 1,195 1,423 1,638 1,824 1,970 2,061 2,093 2,069
63  Eritrea 5,839 7,031 8,257 9,336 10,130 10,653 10,872 10,786 10,442
64  Estonia 1,285 1,201 1,108 1,015 912 806 707 620 542
65  Ethiopia 111,006 132,904 152,670 168,555 179,023 183,477 181,454 173,390 161,037
66  Falkland Islands (UK) 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
67  Faroe Islands (Denmark) 48 49 49 47 45 43 41 38 34
68  Federated States of Micronesia 107 113 115 114 110 102 90 77 65
69  Fiji 907 902 869 808 727 635 538 440 345
70  Finland 5,543 5,517 5,390 5,212 5,004 4,782 4,526 4,234 3,928
71  France[2] 65,234 65,773 65,657 64,443 62,279 59,875 57,311 54,236 50,720
72  French Guiana (France) 302 367 434 495 546 587 619 636 638
73  French Polynesia (France) 293 300 302 295 281 261 237 210 184
74  Gabon 1,900 2,233 2,556 2,841 3,053 3,176 3,211 3,157 3,026
75  Georgia 3,942 3,729 3,441 3,118 2,735 2,337 1,963 1,629 1,337
76  Germany 79,786 76,639 72,628 67,689 61,811 56,346 51,242 46,201 41,613
77  Ghana 30,265 35,511 40,574 45,032 48,250 50,301 51,120 50,582 49,030
78  Gibraltar (UK) 32 32 31 29 27 25 22 20 18
79  Greece 10,742 10,133 9,502 8,796 7,896 6,944 6,101 5,372 4,689
80  Greenland (Denmark) 56 54 51 46 41 36 31 26 22
81  Grenada 108 107 103 97 86 74 60 46 34
82  Guadeloupe (France) 474 475 469 450 418 383 351 316 278
83  Guam (USA) 179 193 201 204 201 195 185 172 156
84  Guatemala 17,836 20,508 22,836 24,578 25,579 25,820 25,312 24,111 22,390
85  Guinea 14,238 17,631 21,236 24,792 28,010 30,696 32,640 33,750 34,025
86  Guinea-Bissau 2,051 2,451 2,851 3,217 3,505 3,708 3,814 3,814 3,723
87  Guyana 779 785 756 700 633 554 461 366 283
88  Haiti 11,269 12,048 12,491 12,521 12,110 11,346 10,322 9,158 7,975
89  Honduras 8,559 9,292 9,751 9,883 9,693 9,203 8,436 7,468 6,442
90  Hong Kong 7,487 7,667 7,628 7,440 7,090 6,652 6,222 5,840 5,496
91  Hungary 9,604 8,937 8,194 7,458 6,674 5,863 5,141 4,510 3,940
92  Iceland 339 351 355 351 339 323 303 279 254
93  India 1,375,627 1,464,395 1,511,966 1,509,385 1,462,788 1,381,585 1,271,240 1,143,845 1,010,896
94  Indonesia 269,317 283,537 289,127 285,079 272,479 254,835 234,028 210,639 187,208
95  Iran 82,441 84,711 84,411 81,903 75,500 66,236 56,521 47,858 39,952
96  Iraq 41,610 52,092 63,634 75,210 85,905 95,506 103,387 109,030 112,232
97  Ireland 4,834 5,032 5,181 5,249 5,161 4,988 4,799 4,594 4,328
98  Isle of Man (UK) 90 93 95 94 93 90 87 83 78
99  Israel 8,648 9,656 10,606 11,453 12,046 12,400 12,562 12,503 12,195
100  Italy 59,328 57,305 54,778 51,581 47,466 43,211 39,641 36,480 33,315
101  Ivory Coast 25,353 30,999 37,307 43,980 50,701 57,092 62,758 67,313 70,448
102  Jamaica 2,811 2,742 2,591 2,376 2,100 1,783 1,440 1,095 788
103  Japan 124,173 116,483 107,311 97,879 88,144 77,821 68,493 60,456 53,168
104  Jordan 8,091 8,744 9,749 10,478 10,784 10,784 10,536 10,025 9,291
105  Kazakhstan 18,440 19,303 19,770 19,993 19,686 18,972 18,114 17,071 15,739
106  Kenya 51,724 62,933 74,607 85,590 94,840 101,907 106,284 107,662 106,161
107  Kiribati 121 136 149 160 167 170 171 168 161
108  Kuwait 4,271 4,786 5,124 5,325 5,321 5,150 4,906 4,631 4,318
109  Kyrgyzstan 6,322 6,816 7,152 7,311 7,232 6,969 6,582 6,104 5,529
110  Laos 7,321 8,109 8,662 8,930 8,873 8,526 7,909 7,103 6,217
111  Latvia 1,903 1,742 1,581 1,426 1,269 1,119 983 866 761
112  Lebanon 5,826 5,021 5,071 4,964 4,723 4,357 3,863 3,303 2,796
113  Lesotho 2,234 2,371 2,493 2,594 2,630 2,584 2,472 2,312 2,118
114  Liberia 5,048 6,181 7,373 8,490 9,450 10,219 10,724 10,927 10,862
115  Liechtenstein 38 40 40 39 38 37 36 34 32
116  Lithuania 2,772 2,557 2,337 2,123 1,910 1,712 1,527 1,356 1,202
117  Luxembourg 600 653 695 729 748 757 759 751 736
118  Libya 6,636 7,123 7,406 7,473 7,236 6,823 6,351 5,795 5,157
119  Macau 627 691 735 762 774 773 759 742 729
120  Macedonia 2,070 1,999 1,882 1,733 1,559 1,373 1,189 1,018 867
121  Madagascar 27,549 34,575 42,075 49,527 56,454 62,509 67,237 70,362 71,867
122  Malawi 19,853 25,631 32,161 39,019 45,645 51,549 56,342 59,725 61,511
123  Malaysia 32,034 34,481 35,842 36,181 35,518 33,880 31,434 28,597 25,761
124  Maldives 389 417 433 438 424 395 355 308 264
125  Mali 20,304 26,490 33,735 41,281 48,523 55,070 60,448 64,205 66,210
126  Malta 420 413 396 372 344 314 282 250 222
127  Marshall Islands 53 54 58 60 58 58 57 53 47
128  Martinique (France) 392 378 355 322 286 255 231 204 175
129  Mauritania 4,537 5,470 6,416 7,287 8,015 8,582 8,947 9,079 9,012
130  Mauritius 1,279 1,256 1,199 1,109 1,002 890 772 654 547
131  Mayotte (France) 271 331 392 446 488 517 533 535 521
132  Mexico 133,510 141,865 145,756 145,024 139,708 130,586 118,541 104,375 89,505
133  Moldova[3] 3,980 3,680 3,292 2,862 2,399 1,922 1,494 1,162 907
134  Monaco 38 39 40 40 40 40 41 41 40
135  Mongolia 3,147 3,378 3,518 3,598 3,588 3,483 3,330 3,130 2,919
136  Montenegro 621 595 558 513 461 407 353 300 252
137  Montserrat (UK) 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3
138  Morocco 36,097 38,190 39,099 38,894 37,494 35,116 32,048 28,575 24,902
139  Mozambique 31,736 40,000 49,482 59,393 68,901 77,325 84,021 88,500 90,657
140  Myanmar 55,718 57,713 57,960 56,190 52,729 48,253 43,111 37,706 32,834
141  Namibia 2,704 3,135 3,518 3,827 4,025 4,105 4,065 3,916 3,681
142  Nauru 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 5
143    Nepal 29,846 31,492 32,013 31,478 29,964 27,524 24,201 20,269 16,261
144  Netherlands 17,059 17,016 16,645 15,943 15,037 14,169 13,325 12,359 11,337
145  New Caledonia (France) 277 299 316 327 331 328 319 305 286
146  New Zealand 4,692 4,924 5,049 5,067 4,980 4,849 4,681 4,439 4,138
147  Nicaragua 6,351 6,723 6,942 6,939 6,712 6,278 5,659 4,923 4,158
148  Niger 24,147 34,946 49,259 66,673 86,126 106,413 126,048 143,522 157,665
149  Nigeria 205,275 254,184 308,444 363,370 414,883 460,661 497,820 523,491 537,587
150  Niue (NZ) 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
151  North Korea 25,534 25,645 25,109 23,952 22,323 20,615 18,796 16,867 14,982
152  Northern Mariana Islands (USA) 55 54 51 46 38 31 26 21 16
153  Norway 5,450 5,736 5,926 6,036 6,045 5,980 5,864 5,676 5,441
154  Oman 4,776 5,059 5,171 5,297 5,278 5,050 4,702 4,296 3,857
155  Pakistan 206,547 235,470 259,511 276,349 282,571 280,032 269,637 253,010 232,679
156  Palau 22 24 25 25 25 24 23 21 19
157  Palestine[4] 5,285 6,502 7,693 8,785 9,675 10,322 10,686 10,761 10,567
158  Panama 4,192 4,591 4,862 4,989 4,965 4,816 4,564 4,230 3,840
159  Papua New Guinea 8,340 9,676 10,897 11,867 12,513 12,831 12,808 12,473 11,924
160  Paraguay 6,997 7,507 7,802 7,851 7,658 7,243 6,634 5,917 5,188
161  Peru 33,001 35,364 36,860 37,324 36,638 34,996 32,552 29,516 26,182
162  Philippines 107,424 118,554 126,789 131,357 132,003 129,099 123,079 114,706 105,081
163  Poland 38,064 35,847 32,975 29,764 26,230 22,434 18,691 15,498 12,863
164  Portugal 10,082 9,515 8,984 8,358 7,583 6,784 6,079 5,453 4,838
165  Puerto Rico (USA) 3,642 3,497 3,286 3,000 2,652 2,278 1,895 1,519 1,182
166  Qatar 2,435 2,699 2,855 2,953 2,968 2,895 2,734 2,502 2,267
167  Republic of the Congo 5,220 6,547 8,089 9,674 11,202 12,630 13,838 14,741 15,284
168  Romania 18,708 17,064 15,407 13,663 11,800 10,062 8,610 7,317 6,125
169  Russia 141,622 133,585 123,938 114,618 104,693 94,723 86,080 78,801 71,618
170  Rwanda 12,877 15,154 17,297 18,897 19,752 19,931 19,414 18,302 16,751
171  Réunion (France) 885 912 915 885 828 762 693 615 531
172  Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK) 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2
173  Saint Kitts and Nevis 58 61 61 60 57 53 48 43 38
174  Saint Lucia 190 194 191 184 171 155 137 117 99
175  Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France) 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
176  Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 110 107 103 96 86 75 63 51 40
177  Samoa 198 203 213 216 211 205 195 178 158
178  San Marino 32 32 31 30 28 26 24 22 20
179  São Tomé and Príncipe 209 247 285 318 344 362 372 372 364
180  Saudi Arabia 34,076 37,706 40,282 41,499 41,068 39,554 37,415 34,636 31,345
181  Senegal 17,342 22,004 27,283 32,870 38,239 43,271 47,766 51,360 53,815
182  Serbia[5] 8,604 7,979 7,280 6,546 5,777 5,013 4,287 3,603 2,996
183  Seychelles 98 97 94 88 80 70 62 53 45
184  Sierra Leone 7,099 8,268 9,325 10,144 10,637 10,784 10,562 10,014 9,260
185  Singapore 5,957 6,194 6,242 6,092 5,754 5,326 4,861 4,380 3,899
186  Sint Maarten (Netherlands) 41 44 46 47 47 46 45 44 42
187  Slovakia 5,386 5,156 4,799 4,394 3,932 3,429 2,961 2,569 2,228
188  Slovenia 2,059 1,990 1,889 1,767 1,615 1,458 1,319 1,203 1,096
189  Solomon Islands 635 728 818 890 936 962 963 938 894
190  Somalia[6] 12,330 15,963 20,155 24,622 29,101 33,309 36,907 39,620 41,326
191  South Africa 56,090 57,355 57,818 57,289 55,406 52,415 48,473 43,940 39,254
192  South Korea 50,820 50,634 49,124 46,023 41,591 36,822 32,315 28,170 24,537
193  South Sudan 14,009 17,183 20,372 23,364 25,876 27,763 28,833 29,050 28,525
194  Spain 45,835 44,466 43,003 40,868 37,608 33,914 30,773 28,257 25,704
195  Sri Lanka 20,966 20,688 19,866 18,465 16,528 14,411 12,241 10,016 7,844
196  Sudan 44,922 54,357 63,793 72,262 79,121 84,214 87,063 87,603 86,266
197  Suriname 560 575 573 552 517 473 424 371 318
198  Swaziland 1,352 1,437 1,507 1,557 1,569 1,542 1,472 1,371 1,252
199  Sweden 10,042 10,403 10,605 10,785 10,835 10,772 10,646 10,397 10,074
200   Switzerland 8,584 8,902 9,071 9,121 8,998 8,781 8,533 8,233 7,898
201  Syria 20,808 27,550 29,759 31,102 31,357 30,608 29,088 26,930 24,299
202  Tajikistan 9,326 10,661 11,783 12,705 13,153 13,269 13,066 12,550 11,827
203  Tanzania 61,737 79,942 101,196 123,682 145,930 167,046 185,396 199,707 209,188
204  Thailand 68,008 65,804 61,828 56,074 49,054 42,001 35,438 29,379 23,999
205  Gambia 2,307 3,002 3,771 4,533 5,208 5,754 6,133 6,312 6,296
206  Togo 8,222 10,101 12,119 14,073 15,802 17,244 18,279 18,820 18,873
207  Tokelau (NZ) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
208  Tonga 110 116 123 125 124 121 116 107 97
209  Trinidad and Tobago 1,365 1,320 1,244 1,145 1,021 890 767 656 556
210  Tunisia 11,719 12,179 12,244 12,040 11,479 10,643 9,701 8,738 7,739
211  Turkey 81,476 84,134 86,006 85,441 82,153 76,785 70,015 62,376 54,417
212  Turkmenistan 5,626 5,891 5,931 5,775 5,407 4,896 4,325 3,750 3,216
213  Turks and Caicos Islands (UK) 37 40 42 43 42 41 39 37 34
214  Tuvalu 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 6
215  Uganda 45,481 59,773 75,871 92,167 107,556 121,157 131,784 138,781 141,856
216  Ukraine 43,303 39,416 35,267 31,250 27,150 23,241 20,003 17,370 15,005
217  United Arab Emirates 9,754 10,664 11,371 11,778 11,816 11,587 11,077 10,341 9,630
218  United Kingdom 66,168 67,696 68,313 68,216 66,805 64,720 62,258 59,144 55,674
219  United States 330,846 343,062 349,655 351,010 347,739 342,324 333,326 319,939 304,233
220  United States Virgin Islands (USA) 106 103 96 86 76 66 57 48 38
221  Uruguay 3,465 3,458 3,394 3,265 3,073 2,833 2,557 2,258 1,959
222  Uzbekistan 31,437 32,958 33,414 32,713 30,689 27,899 24,708 21,397 18,248
223  Vanuatu 291 341 387 426 455 473 479 473 457
224   Vatican City 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
225  Venezuela 32,794 35,142 36,511 36,781 35,985 34,359 32,005 29,080 25,876
226  Vietnam 97,182 101,076 102,273 100,781 96,103 89,340 81,349 72,854 64,832
227  Wallis and Futuna (France) 13 13 12 12 11 10 10 8 7
228  Western Sahara[7] 625 709 770 810 823 814 794 761 718
229  Yemen 29,759 34,895 39,168 42,025 42,964 41,984 39,549 36,144 32,170
230  Zambia 18,726 24,428 31,328 38,993 46,974 55,017 62,640 69,431 75,047
231  Zimbabwe 17,296 20,461 23,578 26,235 27,956 28,713 28,599 27,681 26,067

References[edit]

  1. ^ Census figure refers to mainland China, excluding its Special Administrative Regions (SARs) of Hong Kong and Macau, The first one returned to Chinese sovereignty in mid-1997 and the second one did so on December 20, 1999,
  2. ^ Estimate not only refers to metropolitan France, but also includes its separatedly listed overseas departments (Départements d'outre-mer, DOM) of French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mayotte (from March 31, 2011) and Réunion and its overseas collectivities (Collectivités d'outre-mer, COM) of French Polynesia, Saint Barthélemy, Saint Martin, Saint Pierre and Miquelon and Wallis and Futuna, The population of metropolitan France alone stood at 63,730,000 in November 2012, according to a monthly [www,insee,fr/fr/bases-de-donnees/bsweb/serie,asp?idbank=000436387 official estimate],
  3. ^ Excludes (statistica,md,2010,pdf) Transnistria (555,347, census 2005),
  4. ^ It comprises the Gaza Strip and the West Bank,
  5. ^ Excludes the Kosovo (1,733,872, 2011),
  6. ^ Includes Puntland (with a population of about 3,900,000 inhabitants) and Somaliland (some 3,500,000 inhabitants),
  7. ^ Administration is split between Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, both of which claim the entire territory,

Sources[edit]

See also[edit]