2019 European Parliament election in Ireland

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2019 European Parliament election in Ireland

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All 13 Irish seats to the European Parliament
Opinion polls
  First party Second party Third party
  Leo Varadkar 2016.jpg Mary Lou McDonald (official portrait) (cropped).jpg Micheál Martin 2015 (cropped).jpg
Leader Leo Varadkar Mary Lou McDonald Micheál Martin
Party Fine Gael Sinn Féin Fianna Fáil
Alliance EPP GUE/NGL ALDE
Leader since 2 June 2017 10 February 2018 26 January 2011
Last election 22.3%, 4 seats 19.5%, 3 seats 22.3%, 1 seat

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Brendan Howlin Aviva (cropped).jpg Eamon Ryan Green Party.jpg
Leader Brendan Howlin Eamon Ryan
Party Labour Party Green Party Solidarity–PBP
Alliance S&D Greens/EFA GUE/NGL
Leader since 20 May 2016 27 May 2011
Last election 5.3%, 0 seats 4.9%, 0 seats 1.8%, 0 seats

  Seventh party
  Róisín Shortall TD and Catherine Murphy TD cropped.jpg
Leader Róisín Shortall & Catherine Murphy
Party Social Democrats
Alliance TBA
Leader since 15 July 2015
Last election N/A

Map of the European Parliament election (2019) (Ireland).svg
Members of the
European Parliament

for Ireland
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3rd delegation (1977–79)
1st term (1979)
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4th term (1994)
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6th term (2004)
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List of women MEPs
2019 European Parliament Ireland constituencies

The 2019 European Parliament election in Ireland is the Irish component of the 2019 European Parliament election and will be held on Friday, 24 May 2019, on the same day as the 2019 local elections and a referendum easing restrictions on divorce.[1] The election will be conducted in three constituencies under the single transferable vote (STV). Thirteen MEPs will be elected, although two will be designated as not to take their seats until Brexit has taken legal effect.

Constituency changes[edit]

The United Kingdom invoked Article 50 to withdraw from the European Union on 29 March 2017 following the 2016 referendum to leave the European Union. As Article 50 has a two-year period for withdrawal, the United Kingdom would not be part of the 2019 European Parliament election scheduled for May 2019. In July 2018, the European Council made a decision to redistribute a number of the seats from the United Kingdom to other member states. The allocation of MEPs from Ireland increased from 11 to 13; however, this change would not take effect until the United Kingdom has left the EU, which is currently scheduled take place on 31 October 2019. In the event that the United Kingdom is still a member of the EU at the beginning of the 2019–2024 parliamentary term, the allocation of seats will remain as it was in the previous parliament, until its withdrawal becomes legally effective.[2][3][4]

A Constituency Commission chaired by High Court judge Robert Haughton was established by the Minister for Housing, Planning and Local Government in July 2018 to redraw constituencies in line with the change in seats.[5][6] The Commission's report was published on 24 September 2018 and proposed the following changes:[7][8]

  • Dublin gains an extra seat from 3 to 4; with no boundary changes.
  • South gains an extra seat from 4 to 5, and gains counties Laois and Offaly from Midlands–North-West.
  • Midlands–North-West loses Laois and Offaly to South, but remains a 4 seater.

The European Parliament Elections (Amendment) Act 2019 enacted the changes recommended by the Constituency Commission.[9]

It also provided for the situation that Ireland's representation remained at 11 with an amendment to the rules, "For the purpose of the European elections held in the year 2019, the return made by the chief returning officer […] shall declare that the last candidate deemed to be elected […] in each of the constituencies of Dublin and South as specified in the Third Schedule, shall not take up their seats in the European Parliament until such time as a date has been specified by the Parliament for the taking up of such seats".[10]

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar had incorrectly suggested that the votes would be counted twice in the constituencies which had an increased number of seats, to account for either contingency. However, Minister for Housing, Planning and Local Government Eoghan Murphy later clarified that there would be only one count for each constituency, and that the final candidate to be deemed elected in Dublin and South would not take their seats until the withdrawal of the United Kingdom.[11]

Retiring incumbents[edit]

The following MEPs have announced that they will not be seeking re-election:

Constituency Departing MEP Party EP Group First elected Date announced
Dublin Nessa Childers Independent S&D 2009 18 July 2017[12]
South Brian Crowley Independent ECR 1994 17 January 2019[13]
Dublin Brian Hayes Fine Gael EPP 2014 6 November 2018[14]
Midlands–North-West Marian Harkin Independent ALDE 2004 1 April 2019[15]

Candidates[edit]

Nominations closed at midday on 15 April 2019, with 59 candidates in total: 19 in Dublin (4 seats), 17 in Midlands–North-West (4 seats) and 23 in South (5 seats).[16]

European alliances[edit]

Party/Independent candidate Euro party EP group[17]
Fine Gael EPP EPP
Fianna Fáil ALDE ALDE
Sinn Féin GUE/NGL
Labour Party PES S&D
Green Party Green Greens/EFA
Solidarity–PBP EACL
Luke 'Ming' Flanagan GUE/NGL

Opinion polls[edit]

Party Opinion Polling[edit]

Nationwide[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Constituency Sample
size
FG FF SF Lab GP S–PBP SD RI IA O/I[nb 1]
17 April 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[18] Dublin, Midlands-North-West, South 1,000 33 21 16 4 4 0 1 0 2 21[nb 2]

Dublin[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
FG FF SF I4C GP Lab S–PBP SD O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[19] 553 25 12 13 9 11 5 7 4 15[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[20] 500 29 18 13 10 9 8 6 1 6[nb 2]

Midlands-North-West[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
FG SF FF Lab GP O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[21] 646 37 14 15 3 4 27[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[22] 500 37 14 13 2 3 31[nb 2]

South[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
FG FF SF I4C Lab GP S-PBP O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[23] 825 30 23 15 8 3 8 3 10[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[24] 500 37 23 14 8 5 5 1 6[nb 2]

Candidate Polling[edit]

Dublin[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
Fitzgerald (FG) Andrews (FF) Boylan (SF) Daly (I4C) Cuffe (GP) White (Lab) Durkan (FG) Harrold (S–PBP) Brien (S–PBP) Higgins (Ind) Gannon (SD) O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[19] 553 17 12 13 9 11 5 8 4 3 2 4 13[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[25] 500 22 18 13 10 9 8 7 3 3 2 1 4[nb 2]

Midlands-North-West[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
McGuinness (FG) Flanagan (Ind) Carthy (SF) Walsh (FG) Casey (Ind) Smith (FF) Rabbitte (FF) McHugh (GP) Hannigan (Lab) O'Dowd (RI) O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[21] 646 27 12 14 10 10 9 6 4 3 2 3[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[26] 500 26 16 14 11 9 8 5 3 2 1 4[nb 2]

South[edit]

Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
Kelly (FG) Ní Riada (SF) Kelleher (FF) Clune (FG) Byrne (FF) Doyle (FG) Wallace (I4C) Nunan (Lab) O'Sullivan (GP) Wallace (S-PBP) O/I
16 May 2019 Red C/The Sunday Business Post[23] 825 17 15 13 7 10 6 8 3 8 3 10[nb 2]
10 May 2019 Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times[27] 500 18 14 13 10 10 9 8 5 5 1 7[nb 2]

See also[edit]

Footnotes[edit]

  1. ^ This column includes figures for Independents 4 Change and Aontú when available.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m A figure for 'Others/Independents' is not mentioned in the cited source, but has been calculated by subtracting the other parties from 100%, so the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Polling Day Orders made for European and local elections". Department of Housing, Planning and Local Government. 25 March 2019. Retrieved 27 March 2019.
  2. ^ European Council Decision (EU) 2018/937 of 28 June 2018 establishing the composition of the European Parliament
  3. ^ "Number of Irish MEPs set to increase post-Brexit". RTÉ News. 7 February 2018.
  4. ^ "Ireland set to gain two extra EU parliament seats after Brexit". RTÉ News. 12 June 2018.
  5. ^ "S.I. No. 279/2018 - European Parliament Constituency Committee (Establishment) Order 2018". Irish Statute Book. 24 July 2018. Retrieved 23 March 2019.
  6. ^ Therese, Molloy Marie. "Minister Murphy establishes Constituency Committee to review European Parliament constituencies". merrionstreet.ie. Retrieved 28 July 2018.
  7. ^ "Report on European Parliament Constituencies 2018" (PDF). Constituency Commission. 24 September 2018. Retrieved 23 March 2019.
  8. ^ "Dublin and Ireland South to gain extra European Parliament seats". RTÉ News. 24 September 2018. Retrieved 25 September 2018.
  9. ^ "European Parliament Elections (Amendment) Act 2019, Substitution of Third Schedule to Principal Act". Irish Statute Book. 12 March 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  10. ^ "European Parliament Elections (Amendment) Act 2019, Section 6". Irish Statute Book. 12 March 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  11. ^ McMorrow, Conor (18 April 2019). "No 'double counts' after European elections - Murphy". RTÉ. Retrieved 19 April 2019.; "Questions on Promised Legislation". Dáil Éireann (32nd Dáil) debates. Oireachtas. 18 April 2019. Retrieved 19 April 2019.
  12. ^ "Childers will not seek re-election as MEP in 2019". RTÉ News. 18 July 2017. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  13. ^ "Veteran MEP Brian Crowley confirms he won't be contesting European Election". TheJournal.ie. 17 January 2019. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  14. ^ "Brian Hayes to leave politics to take up banking industry role". The Irish Times. 6 November 2018. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  15. ^ "Marian Harkin not to contest European Parliament elections". The Irish Times. 1 April 2019. Retrieved 1 April 2019.
  16. ^ Brynmor Pattison (15 April 2019). "European Parliament elections 2019: Full list of Ireland candidates as 59 declare battle for 13 seats in three constituencies". Irish Mirror. Retrieved 28 April 2019. Here are the choices for your Irish MEPs in the EU
  17. ^ "Publications". Houses of the Oireachtas. Retrieved 6 May 2018.
  18. ^ "RED C European Election Poll" (PDF). RED C Research. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  19. ^ a b O'Connell, Hugh (2019-05-19). "RedC/SBP #EP2019 Dublin Poll". @oconnellhugh. Retrieved 2019-05-20.
  20. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  21. ^ a b O'Connell, Hugh (2019-05-19). "RedC/SBP #EP2019 MNW Poll". @oconnellhugh. Retrieved 2019-05-19.
  22. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  23. ^ a b O'Connell, Hugh (2019-05-19). "RedC/SBP". @oconnellhugh. Retrieved 2019-05-20.
  24. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  25. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  26. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  27. ^ "Ipsos MRBI/The Irish Times European Election Poll". Ipsos MRBI. 17 April 2019. Retrieved 17 April 2019.