Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election

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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.[1]

Polling aggregation[edit]

Two-way[edit]

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.

Polling aggregates
Active candidates
  Joe Biden (Democratic)
  Donald Trump (Republican)
  Others/Undecided
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[a] Margin
270 to Win Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2020 Nov 2, 2020 51.1% 43.1% 5.8% Biden +8.0
RealClear Politics Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2020 Nov 2, 2020 51.2% 44.0% 4.8% Biden +7.2
FiveThirtyEight until Nov 2, 2020 Nov 2, 2020 51.8% 43.4% 4.8% Biden +8.4
Average 51.4% 43.5% 5.1% Biden +7.9

Four-way[edit]

Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jo Jorgensen vs. Howie Hawkins
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Jo
Jorgensen
Howie
Hawkins
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
270 to Win Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 Nov 2, 2020 50.6% 43.2% 1.2% 1.0% 4.0% Biden +7.4
RealClear Politics Oct 15 – Nov 2, 2020 Nov 2, 2020 50.6% 43.2% 1.8% 0.8% 3.6% Biden +7.4

National poll results[edit]

October 1 – November 3, 2020[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Abstention Undecided Lead
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 31 – Nov 2 914 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 52% 3%[c] 7%
YouGov/Economist Oct 31 – Nov 2 1,363 (LV) 43% 53% 2% 0% 2% 10%
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 2 1,025 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 50% 1% 1% 1% 5% 8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 29 – Nov 2 1,212 (LV) ± 3.2% 46%[d][e] 50% 2% 1% 1% 4%
46%[f] 51% 5%
USC Dornsife Oct 20 – Nov 2 5,423 (LV) 42%[d] 54% [g] [g] [g] [g] 12%
43%[h] 54% [g] 11%
Swayable Nov 1 5,174 (LV) ± 1.7% 46% 52% 2% 0% 6%
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Nov 1 1,008 (LV) ± 3.2% 43%[d] 48% 4% 2% 2% 2% 5%
45%[f] 52% 3% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 30 – Nov 1 8,765 (LV) 41% 53% 1% 1% 12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 30 – Nov 1 24,930 (LV) ± 1% 47%[i] 52% 5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 30 – Nov 1 1,360 (LV) 43% 53% 2% 0% 2% 10%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1 1,880 (LV) ± 2.26% 42% 52% 2% 1% 2%[j] 1% 10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 29 – Nov 1 3,505 (LV) 41% 52% 2% 1% 11%
Léger Oct 29 – Nov 1 827 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 50% 2% 1% 1%[k] 0% 4% 8%
Quinnipiac University Oct 28 – Nov 1 1,516 (LV) ± 2.5% 39% 50% 2%[l] 9% 11%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 – Nov 1 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47%[m] 48% 3%[c] 2% 1%
AYTM/Aspiration Oct 30–31 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 39% 48% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 29–31 34,255 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
Morning Consult Oct 29–31 14,663 (LV) ± 1% 44%[n] 52% 2%[l] 3% 8%
Swayable Oct 29–31 3,115 (LV) ± 2.4% 46% 52% 2% 0% 6%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 29–31 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 44%[d] 51% 1% 1% 2%[o] 1% 7%
42%[p] 53% 1% 1% 2%[o] 1% 11%
45%[q] 50% 1% 1% 2%[o] 1% 5%
SurveyUSA/Cheddar Oct 29–31 1,265 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 52% 3%[c] 2% 8%
NBC/WSJ Oct 29–31 833 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 52% - - 3%[r] 3% 10%
IBD/TIPP Oct 27–31 1,072 (LV) ± 3.2% 45%[d] 49% 3% 1% 0% 0% 4%
45%[f] 50% 5%
Data for Progress Oct 28–29 1,403 (LV) ± 2.6% 44% 54% 1% 1% 10%
Gravis Marketing Oct 27–29 1,281 (LV) ± 2.7% 44% 50% 6% 6%
Morning Consult Oct 27–29 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 3% 9%
Fox News Oct 27–29 1,246 (LV) ± 2.5% 44% 52% 2% 0%[s] 2% 8%
Opinium/The Guardian Oct 26–29 1,451 (LV) 41% 55% 2% 2% 14%
Swayable Oct 27–28 2,386 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 53% 1% 1% 7%
Harvard-Harris Oct 27–28 2,093 (RV) 46% 54% 8%
AtlasIntel Oct 26–28 1,726 (LV) ± 2% 46% 51% 1% 1% 1% 5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 26–28 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 48% 3%[c] 2% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 26–28 15,688 (LV) 47% 51% 4%
JL Partners/The Independent Oct 26–28 844 (LV) 41% 55% 14%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 25–28 2,359 (LV) ± 2% 45%[d] 49% 3% 3% 3% 4%
47%[f] 53% 6%
Angus Reid Global Oct 23–28 2,231 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 53% 2%[t] 8%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Oct 26–27 1,573 (A) ± 3.5% 36% 47% 5% 9% 11%
YouGov/Economist Oct 25–27 1,365 (LV) 43% 54% 2% 0% 2% 11%
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald[1] Oct 23–27 1,006 (LV) ± 3% 39% 53% 6%[u] 4% 14%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 23–27 825 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 52% 5%[v] 0% 2% 10%
Suffolk University/USA Today[2] Oct 23–27 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43%[d] 50% 1% 1% 2%[w] 0%[x] 4% 7%
44%[f] 52% 2%[j] 2% 8%
YouGov/University of Massachusetts Amherst[permanent dead link] Oct 20–27 1,500 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 53% 3% 0%[y] 1% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 25–26 4,790 (LV) 41% 51% 1% 1% 1%[z] 5% 10%
Emerson College Oct 25–26 1,121 (LV) ± 2.8% 47%[aa] 51% 2%[l] 4%
Morning Consult Oct 24–26 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 3% 9%
Swayable Oct 23–26 11,714 (RV) ± 1.2% 46% 51% 2% 1% 5%
Winston Group (R) Archived 2020-12-23 at the Wayback Machine Oct 23–26 1,000 (RV) 43% 48% 9% 5%
CNN/SSRS Oct 23–26 886 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 54% 1% 1% 2% 12%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 22–26 2,234 (LV) ± 2.8% 39%[aa] 49% 3% 1% 4% 4% 10%
IBD/TIPP Oct 22–26 970 (LV) ± 3.2% 46%[d] 51% 1% 1% 0% 0% 5%
46%[f] 50% 4%
YouGov/Hofstra University Oct 19–26 2,000 (LV) ± 2% 43% 54% 4%[ab] 11%
YouGov/GW Politics Oct 16–26 2,500 (LV) ± 2% 41% 52% 2%[t] 1%[ac] 4% 11%
Cometrends/University of Dallas Oct 13–26 2,500 (A) ± 2% 44% 56% 12%
Lucid/Tufts University Oct 25 837 (LV) 45% 52% 7%
Léger Oct 23–25 834 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 49% 4% 1% 1%[k] 5% 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 23–25 19,543 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 23–25 1,350 (LV) 42% 54% 2% 0% 2% 12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 21–22,
Oct 25
1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 47% 3%[c] 2% 1%
Change Research/Crooked Media Oct 23–24 1,125 (LV) ± 3% 43% 51% 1% 1% 1%[ad] 0%[ae] 2% 9%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 23–24 1,842 (LV) ± 2.8% 44%[d] 51% 1% 0% 1% 2% 7%
43%[p] 53% 1% 0% 1% 2% 10%
46%[q] 50% 1% 0% 1% 2% 4%
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies Oct 21–24 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 51% 11%
Morning Consult Oct 21–23 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 3% 9%
Spry Strategies Oct 20–23 3,500 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 2% 4% 2%
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Oct 20–23 3,500 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 48% 2% 4% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20–22 34,788 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 20–22 935 (LV) 43% 51% 4% 2% 8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 17–21 965 (LV) ± 3.2% 45%[d] 50% 3% 1% 0% 1% 5%
46%[f] 50% 4%
Rethink Priorities Oct 20 4,933 (LV) ± 2% 42% 51% 4%[af] 4% 9%
Data for Progress Oct 20 811 (LV) 44% 54% 2%[ag] 10%
YouGov/Economist Oct 18–20 1,344 (LV) 43% 52% 2% 0% 4% 9%
Morning Consult Oct 18–20 15,821 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 3% 9%
Echelon Insights Oct 16–20 1,006 (LV) 44%[d] 50% 1% 1% 0%[ah] 3% 6%
44%[f] 51% 5% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 16–20 949 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 51% 4%[ai] 3% 9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 14–15,
Oct 18–20
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 46% 49% 2%[o] 2% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 17–19 18,255 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
SurveyUSA/Cheddar Oct 16–19 1,136 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 53% 2%[o] 3% 10%
Quinnipiac University Oct 16–19 1,426 (LV) ± 2.6% 41% 51% 2%[l] 4% 10%
GSG/GBAO Oct 15–19 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 53% 1% 3% 10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 15–19 2,731 (LV) ± 2.6% 40%[aa] 51% 1% 0% 3% 5% 11%
GBAO/Omidyar Network Oct 15–19 1,150 (RV) 40% 53% 3%[aj] 1% 4% 13%
USC Dornsife Oct 6–19 5,488 (LV) 41%[d] 54% [g] [g] [g] [g] 13%
42%[h] 54% [g] 12%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 17–18 2,711 (LV) ± 1.9% 42% 52% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 17–18 2,915 (LV) 40% 51% 1% 1% 1%[z] 6% 11%
Research Co. Oct 16–18 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 50% 1% 1% 7%[ak] 8%
Léger Oct 16–18 821 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 50% 2% 2% 1%[k] 0% 5% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 16–18 1,583 (LV) ± 4% 40% 51% 3% 0% 5% 11%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 15–18 987 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 50% 2% 0% 1% 0% 6%[al] 9%
Morning Consult Oct 15–17 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 3% 9%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 15–17 1,265 (LV) ± 2.8% 43% 51% 2% 1% 1%[am] 2% 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 14–16 38,710 (LV) 45% 53% 8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 12–16 1,009 (LV) ± 3.2% 43%[d] 50% 2% 1% 1% 1% 7%
43%[f] 50% 7%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 13–15 1,897 (RV) ± 2.25% 42% 46% 3% 3% 6% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 13–15 920 (LV) 41% 51% 4% 0% 4% 10%
Morning Consult Oct 12–14 15,499 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 4% 9%
JL Partners/The Independent Oct 13 844 (LV) 42% 52% 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 11–13 10,395 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
YouGov/Economist Oct 11–13 1,333 (LV) 42% 52% 1% 0% 4% 10%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 10–13 2,855 (RV) ± 1.83% 40% 47% 3% 3% 7% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2021-01-24 at the Wayback Machine Oct 9–13 882 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 51% 4% 4% 10%
Marist College/NPR/PBS Oct 8–13 896 (LV) ± 3.8% 43% 54% 1% 2% 11%
Whitman Insight Strategies Archived 2020-10-22 at the Wayback Machine Oct 8–13 1,103 (LV) ± 2.9% 42% 54% 1%[an] 3% 12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 7–8,
Oct 11–13
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 45% 50% 2%[o] 3% 5%
Public Religion Research Institute Oct 9–12 752 (LV)[ao] 38% 56% 18%
591 (LV)[ap] 40% 54% 14%
NBC/WSJ Oct 9–12 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 53% 3%[r] 2% 11%
AP-NORC Oct 8–12 1,121 (A) ± 4% 36% 51% 7%[aq] 6% 0% 15%
GSG/GBAO Oct 8–12 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 53% 1% 3% 10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 8–12 2,053 (LV) ± 2.8% 38%[aa] 52% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14%
Opinium/The Guardian Oct 8–12 1,398 (LV) 40% 57% 1% 2% 17%
Kaiser Family Foundation Oct 7–12 1,015 (LV) ± 3% 38% 49% 5%[ar] 8% 11%
Public First Oct 6–12 2,004 (A) 34% 47% 3%[as] 8% 8% 13%
YouGov/UMass Lowell Oct 5–12 819 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 53% 1% 1% 0%[at] 3% 10%
Morning Consult Oct 9–11 16,056 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 9–11 1,366 (LV)[g] 43% 51% 2% 0% 4% 8%
Léger Oct 9–11 841 (LV) ± 3.1% 39% 50% 3% 1% 1%[k] 1% 6% 11%
IBD/TIPP Oct 7–11 851 (LV) ± 3.5% 43%[d] 52% 2% 1% 0% 0% 9%
42%[f] 53% 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 10 1,679 (LV) 41% 49% 1% 1% 1%[z] 7% 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 8–10 25,748 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 8–10 1,240 (LV) ± 2.8% 43%[d] 51% 2% 1% 0% 2% 8%
41%[p] 53% 2% 1% 0% 2% 12%
45%[q] 50% 2% 1% 0% 2% 5%
Morning Consult Oct 7–9 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
YouGov/CCES Sep 29 – Oct 7 50,908 (LV) 43% 51% 8%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 6–9 752 (LV) ± 4% 42%[d] 54% 2% 1% 0%[au] 0%[s] 2% 12%
43%[f] 55% 0%[av] 1% 1% 12%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 6–8 882 (LV) 41% 53% 2%[o] 0% 3% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies/Conservative Energy Network[A] Oct 5–8 1,000 (LV) 41% 55% 4% 14%
Edison Research Sep 25 – Oct 8 1,378 (RV)[aw] 35% 48% 13%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 22 – Oct 8 2,004 (A) ± 3.5% 39% 46% 5%[v] 5% 5% 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 5–7 30,687 (LV) 45% 53% 8%
Data For Progress Oct 6 863 (LV) 41% 56% 3%[ax] 15%
Morning Consult Oct 4–6 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
YouGov/Economist Oct 4–6 1,364 (LV) 42% 51% 2% 0% 5% 9%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 3–6 2,841 (RV) ± 1.84% 40% 45% 3% 4% 7% 5%
Fox News Oct 3–6 1,012 (LV) ± 3% 43% 53% 1% 3% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 2–6 882 (LV) ± 3.8% 40%[d] 52% 1% 1% 3%[ay] 3% 12%
40%[az] 52% 4%[ai] 4% 12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 30 – Oct 1,
Oct 4–6
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 40% 52% 4%[ai] 4% 12%
Innovative Research Group Sep 29 – Oct 6 2,435 (RV) 42% 47% 1% 2% 9% 5%
GSG/GBAO Oct 2–5 1,011 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 52% 1% 4% 8%
Pew Research Sep 30 – Oct 5 11,929 (RV) ± 1.5% 42% 52% 4% 1% 1%[ba] 0% 10%
USC Dornsife Sep 22 – Oct 5 4,914 (LV) 42%[d] 54% [g] [g] [g] [g] 12%
42%[h] 53% [g] 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 3–4 2,127 (LV) 42% 50% 1% 1% 1%[z] 6% 8%
Léger Oct 2–4 843 (LV) ± 3.1% 40% 49% 2% 1% 1%[k] 1% 6% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 2–4 12,510 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4 2,167 (LV) ± 2.11% 42% 52% 3% 1% 1% 2% 10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 1–4 2,048 (LV) ± 2.7% 38%[aa] 51% 1% 0% 3% 6% 13%
SurveyUSA Oct 1–4 1,114 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 53% 2%[o] 3% 10%
CNN/SSRS Oct 1–4 1,001 (LV) ± 3.6% 41% 57% 1% 0% 1% 16%
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald Sep 30 – Oct 4 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% 37% 51% 3%[bb] 8% 14%
NBC/WSJ Oct 2–3 800 (RV) ± 3.46% 39% 53% 2%[bc] 6% 14%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 2–3 596 (LV) ± 5% 41% 51% 4%[bd] 4% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 2–3 1,088 (LV) 43% 51% 2% 0% 5% 8%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 1–3 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 43%[d] 51% 1% 1% 1% 3% 8%
41%[p] 53% 1% 1% 1% 3% 12%
45%[q] 49% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4%
Morning Consult Oct 1–3 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 4% 9%
Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Oct 2 1,002 (LV) ± 3.2% 45%[d] 47% 2% 2% 4% 2%
47%[f] 49% 4% 2%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 1–2 1,345 (LV) 40% 48% 3% 0% 8% 8%
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2 947 (LV) ± 3% 38% 52% 6% 14%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 30 – Oct 1 928 (RV) ± 3.2% 40% 47% 3% 3% 7% 7%
Data for Progress Sep 30 – Oct 1 1,146 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 51% 8% 10%
IBD/TIPP Sep 30 – Oct 1 1,021 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 49% 1.5%[be] 4% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Sep 30 – Oct 1 1,502 (A) ± 3.5% 31% 48% 7%[bf] 5% 9% 17%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 29 – Oct 1 24,022 (LV) 46% 52% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 1 882 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 50% 4%[ab] 5% 9%

September 1 – September 30, 2020[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Abstention Undecided Lead
Change Research/CNBC Sep 29–30[aw] 925 (LV) ± 3.22% 41% 54% 13%
YouGov/Economist Sep 27–30 1,350 (LV) 42% 50% 2% 0% 6% 8%
Morning Consult Sep 27–30 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
Winston Group (R) Sep 26–30 1,000 (RV) 43% 47% 10% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30 152,640 (LV) 46% 52% 2% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 25–29 864 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 51% 3%[c] 4% 9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 23–29 3,000 (LV) ± 2% 43% 51% 3%[c] 3% 8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 26–28 1,002 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 53% 1% 4% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 26–27 2,445 (LV) 40% 50% 2% 1% 1%[z] No voters 7% 10%
Zogby Analytics Sep 25–27 833 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 46% 5% 2% 5% 3%
Léger Sep 25–27 854 (LV) ± 3.1% 40% 47% 2% 2% 1%[k] 1% 8% 7%
Morning Consult Sep 25–27 12,965 (LV) ± 1% 44% 51% 2%[l] 4% 7%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 24–27 2,273 (LV) ± 2.6% 40%[aa] 50% 1% 1% 2% 6% 10%
Monmouth University Sep 24–27 809 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 50% 1% 1% 5%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Aug 7 – Sep 27 26,838 (LV) 40% 50% 10%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 24–26 752 (LV) ± 3.6% 45%[d] 51% 0% 1% 0% 3% 6%
44%[p] 52% 0% 1% 0% 3% 8%
47%[q] 49% 0% 1% 0% 3% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Sep 24–26 1,508 (A) ± 3.5% 30% 48% 5%[bg] 6% 10% 18%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 22–25 2,768 (RV) ± 1.86% 40% 45% 4% 4% 7% 5%
Echelon Insights Sep 19–25 1,018 (LV) 41%[d] 50% 2% 1% 1%[k] 6% 9%
43%[f] 51% 6% 8%
Harvard-Harris Sep 22–24 – (LV)[g] 45% 47% 2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 22–24 950 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 49% 2% 1% 0%[bh] 0% 7%[al] 8%
Morning Consult Sep 22–24 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 51% 2%[l] 4% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 22–24 934 (LV) 41% 50% 4% 4% 9%
ABC News/Washington Post Sep 21–24 739 (LV) ± 4% 43%[d] 49% 4% 3% 0%[bi] 1% 1% 6%
44%[f] 54% 0%[bi] 0% 1% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 22–23 2,500 (LV) ± 2.19% 41% 50% 2% 1% 1%[z] 7% 9%
Emerson College Sep 22–23 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 47%[aa] 50% 4%[ab] 3%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 21–23 1,125 (LV) 44% 49% 1% 0% 6% 5%
JL Partners Sep 14–23 4,053 (LV) 41% 51% 2%[t] 6% 10%
Data For Progress Sep 22 740 (RV) 42% 55% 3%[ax] 13%
YouGov/Economist Sep 20–22 1,124 (LV) 42% 49% 2% 0% 6% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 18–22 889 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 50% 4%[ai] 5% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 16–17,
Sep 20–22
3,000 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 48% 3%[c] 2% 1%
YouGov/Hofstra University Sep 14–22 2,000 (LV) ± 2.92% 42% 53% 5%[ar] 11%
Public Religion Research Institute Sep 9–22 1,736 (LV)[bj] ± 3.2% 42%[aw] 57% 15%
1,387 (LV)[ap] ± 3.6% 44% 55% 0%[bk] 0% 11%
HarrisX/TheHill Sep 19–21 2,803 (RV) ± 1.9% 40% 45% 4% 4% 7% 5%
Morning Consult Sep 19–21 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 17–21 1,230 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 53% 2% 3% 11%
Quinnipiac University Sep 17–21 1,302 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% 52% 1%[an] 4% 10%
Ipsos/Survey Center on American Life Sep 11–21 2,006 (A) ± 2.4% 37% 47% 6%[bl] 11% 10%
USC Dornsife Sep 8–21 5,482 (LV) 42%[d] 52% [g] [g] [g] [g] 10%
42%[h] 51% [g] 9%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 1,430 (LV) ± 2.59% 42% 51% 4% 1% 0% 3% 9%
Léger Sep 18–20 830 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 48% 5% 1% 5% 7%
Morning Consult Sep 18–20 1,988 (RV) ± 2% 41% 48% 3%[bm] 7% 7%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 17–20 2,134 (LV) ± 3% 39% 46% 2% 0% 2% 12% 7%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 17–19 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 44%[d] 50% 2% 1% 1%[am] 3% 6%
42%[p] 52% 2% 1% 1%[am] 3% 10%
46%[q] 49% 2% 1% 1%[am] 3% 3%
IBD/TIPP Sep 16–19 962 (LV) 44% 50% 2%[t] 5% 6%
Morning Consult Sep 16–18 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 51% 2%[l] 4% 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 15–17 1,223 (RV) 41% 47% 2% 1% 9% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 15–17 834 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 51% 3%[c] 4% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 15–16 1,070 (LV) ± 1.97% 41% 49% 2% 1% 1%[z] 7% 8%
NBC/WSJ Sep 13–16 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 51% 3%[r] 3% 8%
GBAO/Omidyar Network Sep 12–16 1,150 (RV) 39% 51% 3%[bm] 1% 6% 12%
Marist/NPR/PBS Newshour Sep 11–16 723 (LV) 42%[d] 49% 5% 2% 0% 2% 7%
43%[f] 52% 3% 2% 9%
Data for Progress Sep 15 809 (RV) 42% 53% 5%[bn] 11%
YouGov/Economist Sep 13–15 1,061 (LV) 42% 51% 1% 0% 5% 9%
Morning Consult Sep 13–15 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–15 859 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 50% 3%[c] 6% 9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 9–10,
Sep 13–15
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 46% 47% 3%[c] 4% 1%
Marquette Law School Sep 8–15 1,357 (LV) 40% 50% 3% 2% 3%[bo] 2% 10%
AP-NORC Sep 11–14 1,108 (A) ± 4% 40% 44% 7%[bp] 7% 0% 4%
Morning Consult Sep 10–14 1,144 (LV) 44% 56% 12%
Morning Consult Sep 10–14 1,277 (LV) 45% 55% 10%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 10–14 1,007 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 53% 1% 4% 11%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 10–14 3,758 (RV) ± 1.6% 39% 45% 4% 4% 8% 6%
Léger Sep 11–13 833 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 47% 2% 0% 1%[k] 1% 7% 6%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 10–13 2,065 (LV) ± 2.5% 42% 46% 1% 0% 1% 9% 4%
Morning Consult Sep 10–12 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 10–12 941 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 48% 2% 1% 1%[am] 6% 5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 9–11 1,216 (RV) 39% 49% 1% 2% 9% 10%
Pollfish/Socioanalítica Research Sep 8–10 – (RV)[bq] 45% 53% - - 8%
Fox News Sep 7–10 1,191 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 51% 1% 2% 5%
Opinium Sep 4–10 1,234 (LV) 42% 51% 2%[o] 5% 9%
Climate Nexus Sep 8–9 1,244 (LV) 41% 52% 3%[br] 4% 11%
Morning Consult Sep 7–9 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 51% 2%[l] 4% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 7–8 1,852 (LV) ± 2.19% 40% 49% 1% 1% 1%[z] 7% 9%
YouGov/Economist Sep 6–8 1,057 (LV) 43% 52% 2% 0% 3% 9%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 5–8 2,831 (RV) ± 1.84% 39% 47% 5% 4% 7% 8%
Monmouth University Sep 3–8 758 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 51% 1% 1% 2% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 3–8 823 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% 52% 3%[as] 5% 12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 2–3,
Sep 6–8
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 46% 48% 4%[ai] 3% 2%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care[B] Sep 3–7 1,202 (LV) 43% 51% 6%[bs] 8%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 3–7 2,013 (LV) ± 2.8% 41% 47% 1% 0% 1% 9% 6%
USC Dornsife Aug 25 – Sep 7 5,144 (LV) 42%[d] 51% [g] [g] [g] [g] 9%
42%[h] 52% [g] 10%
Research Co. Sep 4–6 1,114 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 49% 1% 1% 1%[am] 7% 8%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Sep 4–6 861 (LV) ± 3.19% 41% 47% 2% 1% 1%[k] 0% 7% 6%
Morning Consult Sep 4–6 12,965 (LV) ± 1% 43% 50% 2%[l] 4% 7%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6 1,902 (LV) ± 2.25% 43% 49% 3% 2% 1% 2% 6%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research Sep 2–6 1,039 (LV) ± 2.98% 46% 48% 6% 2%
Politico/Harvard/SSRS Aug 25 – Sep 6 1,459 (LV) ± 3% 42% 52% 1% 2% 3%[al] 10%
YouGov/CBS Sep 2–4 2,433 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% 52% 3%[bt] 3% 10%
Morning Consult Sep 1–3 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
Kaiser Family Foundation Aug 28 – Sep 3 989 (RV) ± 4% 43% 48% 6% 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 1–2 1,113 (A) ± 3.3% 38%[d] 42% 7%[bu] 6% 7% 4%
45%[bv] 51% 6%
Harvard-Harris[3] Aug 31 – Sep 2 1,493 (LV)[bw] 47%[aa] 53% 6%
Data for Progress Sep 1 695 (RV) 43% 53% 4%[bx] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 31 – Sep 1 1,089 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 47% 5%[v] 2% 5% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 31 – Sep 1 1,835 (LV) 41% 49% 2% 1% 1%[z] 7% 8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 30 – Sep 1 1,207 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 51% 2% 2% 4% 11%
IBD/TIPP Aug 29 – Sep 1 1,033 (RV) 41% 49% 8%
CNN/SSRS Aug 28 – Sep 1 997 (RV) ± 4% 43% 51% 1% 2% 3% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 26–27,
Aug 30 – Sep 1
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 45% 49% 3%[c] 3% 4%

July 1 – August 31, 2020[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Abstention Undecided Lead
Emerson College Aug 30–31 1,567 (LV) ± 2.4% 49%[aa] 51% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 29–31 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 29–31 2,834 (RV) ± 1.84% 40% 46% 4% 4% 7% 6%
Quinnipiac University Aug 28–31 1,081 (LV) ± 3% 42% 52% 2%[l] 3% 10%
Suffolk University/USA Today Aug 28–31 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 42%[d] 47% 1% 0% 3%[by] 7% 1% 5%
43%[f] 50% 3%[bz] 4% 7%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 27–31 1,309 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 52% 1% 4% 9%
Qriously/Brandwatch Aug 27–31 1,998 (LV) ± 2.7% 41% 46% 2% 1% 1% 10% 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31 131,263 (LV) 46% 52% 2% 6%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Aug 28–30 861 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 49% 1% 0% 1%[k] 1% 6% 7%
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College Aug 26–30 827 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 49% 3%[bm] 1% 5% 8%
Atlas Intel Aug 24–30 4,210 (LV) ± 2% 46% 49% 2% 1% 1% 3%
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Aug 29 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 42%[d] 45% 3% 2% 3%
42%[f] 48% 10% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 29 4,035 (LV) ± 2% 44% 50% 7%[ca] 6%
RMG Research/Just the News Aug 27–29 915 (LV)[cb] ± 3.2% 44% 48% 2% 1% 1% 4% 4%
[cc] 42% 50% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 27–28 807 (RV) 41% 47% 3% 1% 8% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 26–28 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 50% 2%[l] 4% 7%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 25–28 2,862 (RV) ± 1.83% 38% 47% 4% 4% 8% 9%
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland Aug 24–28 1,724 (A) ± 2.36% 37% 50% - - 5%[cd] 3% 7% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 25–26 1,834 (LV) 39% 49% 2% 1% 1%[z] 9% 10%
Opinium/The Guardian[4] Aug 21–26 1,257 (LV) 39% 54% 2% 5% 15%
YouGov/Economist Aug 23–25 1,254 (RV) 41% 50% 1% 3% 4% 9%
Morning Consult Aug 23–25 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 22–25 2,861(RV) ± 1.84% 38% 47% 4% 3% 8% 9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 19–20,
Aug 23–25
2,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 46% 6%[ce] 4% 1%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 19–25 3,829 (RV) ± 1.8% 40% 47% 5%[v] 2% 6% 7%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 21–24 1,319 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 54% 1% 5% 13%
USC Dornsife Aug 11–24 4,317 (LV) 39%[d] 54% [g] [g] [g] [g] 15%
4,325 (LV) 40%[h] 53% [g] 13%
Morning Consult Aug 23 4,810 (LV) ± 1% 42% 52% 6%[cf] 10%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 2,362 (LV) ± 2.02% 43% 51% 2% 2% 0% 2% 8%
Léger Aug 21–23 894 (LV) ± 3.1% 40% 49% 2% 1% 1%[k] 1% 6% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 20–23 906 (RV) 39% 50% 3% 2% 7% 11%
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland Aug 18–23 2,208 (A) ± 2.09% 39% 48% - - 5%[cd] 3% 6% 9%
Morning Consult Aug 20–22 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 2%[l] 4% 9%
YouGov/CBS Aug 20–22 934 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 52% 4%[cg] 3% 10%
Morning Consult Aug 21 4,377 (LV) ± 1% 43% 52% 6%[cf] 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 19–20 1,860 (LV) 39% 49% 1% 1% 1%[z] 9% 10%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–19 901 (LV) 43% 46% 5% 2% 5% 3%
Morning Consult Aug 17–19 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 16–18 1,246 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 50% 4% 1% 4% 10%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 15–18 2,840 (RV) ± 1.84% 38% 46% 4% 3% 8% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 14–18 1,179 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 48% 5%[v] 1% 5% 8%
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18 1,004 (LV) ± 3.3% 38%[d] 51% 2% 1% 1%[ch] 8% 13%
39%[f] 53% 8% 14%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 12–18 2,500 (LV) ± 2% 44% 48% 4%[ai] 4% 4%
Morning Consult Aug 17 4,141 (LV) ± 2% 43% 51% 7%[ca] 8%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Aug 14–16 1,001 (A) ± 3.1% 35% 51% 3%[ci] 10% 16%
Morning Consult Aug 14–16 11,809 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
EKOS Research Associates[dead link] Aug 7–16 710 (A) ± 3.7% 42% 43% 12%[cj] 1%[ck] 3% 1%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 14–15 1,027 (LV) 41% 50% 9%
ABC News/Washington Post Aug 12–15 707 (LV) 44% 54% 10%
CNN/SSRS Aug 12–15 987 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 50% 1%[cl] 2%[cm] 2% 4%
Data For Progress Aug 13–14 1,143 (LV) ± 2.7% 41% 50% 9% 9%
YouGov/CBS Aug 12–14 2,152 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% 52% 4%[cg] 2% 10%
Harris X/The Hill Aug 11–14 2,823 (RV) ± 1.84% 39% 45% 4% 4% 7% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 11–13 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 2%[l] 5% 9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 12 1,867 (LV) 41% 48% 2% 1% 1%[z] 7% 7%
NBC/Wall Street Journal Aug 9–12 900 (RV) ± 3.27% 41% 50% 5%[cn] 4% 9%
Fox News Aug 9–12 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 42% 49% 3% 1% 5% 7%
Data for Progress Aug 11 782 (RV) 40% 53% 8%[co] 13%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 10–11 1,034 (RV) ± 3.5% 42%[cp] 58% 16%
38%[d] 49% 2% 1% 5%[cq] 2% 6% 11%
YouGov/Economist Aug 9–11 1,201 (RV) ± 3.6% 39% 49% 5% 1% 5% 10%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 8–11 2,828 (RV) ± 1.84% 40% 44% 4%[ab] 4% 9% 4%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 5–11 2,500 (LV) ± 2% 43% 49% 4%[ai] 4% 6%
Marist/NPR/PBS News Hours Aug 3–11 1,120 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 53% 2% 4% 11%
NORC/AEI Jul 31 – Aug 11, 2020 4,067 (A) ± 2% 37% 48% 6%[cr] 10% 11%
Morning Consult/Politico Aug 9–10 1,983 (RV) ± 2% 40% 49% 2%[cs] 9% 9%
Morning Consult Aug 8–10 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 4% 8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 6–10 1,419 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 52% 1% 5% 9%
Monmouth Aug 6–10 785 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 51% 2% 1% 1%[ct] 1% 4% 10%
Morning Consult/Murmuration Aug 4–10 2,200 (A)[aw] ± 2% 41%[aa] 54% 5%[ar] 13%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9 2,143 (LV) ± 2.12% 44% 50% 3% 1% 0% 2% 6%
RMG Research Aug 6–8 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 45% 1% 1% 3%[c] 14% 8%
Morning Consult Aug 5–7 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 2%[l] 5% 9%
Léger Aug 4–7 1,007 (LV) 39% 47% 3% 1% 3%[cu] 2% 6% 8%
Georgetown University/Battleground Aug 1–6 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 40% 53% 7% 13%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 2–5 2,850 (RV) ± 1.84% 40% 43% 5% 3% 9% 3%
Research Co. Aug 3–4 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 38% 48% 2% 1% 1%[ct] 7% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 3–4 964 (RV) ± 3.6% 38% 48% 6%[ce] 2% 6% 10%
YouGov/Economist Aug 2–4 1,225 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 49% 3% 2% 6% 9%
Morning Consult Aug 2–4 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 3%[bm] 5% 9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 29–30,
Aug 2–4
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 45% 48% 3%[c] 3% 3%
Pew Research Jul 27 – Aug 2 9,114 (RV) ± 1.5% 45% 53% 2%[bc] 0% 8%
Morning Consult Jul 30 – Aug 1 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 50% 2%[l] 4% 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31 145,585 (LV) 47% 51% 2% 4%
Emerson College Jul 29–30 964 (LV) ± 3.1% 47%[aa] 53% 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jul 28–30 1,088 (RV) 40% 49% 2% 1% 8% 9%
Morning Consult Jul 27–29 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 50% 3%[bm] 4% 7%
Data For Progress Jul 28 794 (RV) 42%[aw] 52% 8%[co] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 27–28 947 (RV) ± 3.6% 38% 47% 7%[bu] 2% 6% 9%
YouGov/Economist Jul 26–28 1,260 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 49% 4% 1% 6% 9%
IBD/TIPP Jul 25–28 1,160 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 48% 7%
Optimus Jul 24–28 914 (LV) 40% 48% 3%[cv] 1% 8% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 22–23,
Jul 26–28
2,500 (LV) ± 2% 42% 48% 5%[v] 4% 6%
NORC/HKS Carr Center Jul 6–28 1,863 (RV) 34% 48% 0%[cw] 18% 14%
Beacon Research/The Dream Corps Jul 23–27 1,504 (RV) 41% 48% 4% 2% 5%[al] 7%
YouGov Blue/Data For Progress Jul 21–27 1,059 (LV) 45% 51% 6%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26 1,039 (LV) ± 3.04% 42% 51% 2% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Morning Consult[5] Jul 24–26 12,235 (LV) ± 1% 43% 51% 2%[l] 5% 8%
RMG Research Jul 23–25 1,200 (RV) 37% 45% 2% 1% 3% 12% 8%
YouGov/CBS News Jul 21–24 1,401 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 51% 4% 4% 10%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–23 1,516 (LV) ± 2.5% 40% 44% 5% 2% 9% 4%
Harvard-Harris Jul 21–23 1,786 (LV) 45% 55% 10%
Morning Consult Jul 21–23 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 3%[bm] 5% 9%
Echelon Insights Jul 17–22 1,000 (LV) 37%[d] 50% 3% 1% 9% 13%
38%[f] 53% 9% 15%
Data for Progress Jul 21 652 (RV) 44% 50% 6% 6%
YouGov/Economist Jul 19–21 1,222 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 48% 5% 2% 4% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 15–21 3,744 (RV) ± 1.8% 38% 46% 8% 2% 6% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 15–21 2,500 (LV) ± 2% 45% 47% 5% 4% 2%
Morning Consult Jul 18–20 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% 3%[bm] 5% 8%
HarrisX/The Hill Jul 17–20 2,829 (RV) ± 1.84% 38% 45% 5% 4% 9% 7%
AP-NORC Jul 16–20 1,057 (A) ± 4.3% 34% 46% 11%[cx] 8% 0% 12%
Morning Consult/Politico Jul 17–19 1,991 (RV) ± 2% 40% 47% 7%
GQR Research Jul 15–19 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 55% 1% 0% 11%
Kaiser Family Foundation Jul 14–19 1,117 (RV) ± 4% 38% 47% 3%[by] 2% 10% 9%
Morning Consult Jul 13–19 31,310 (RV) ± 1% 40% 47% 7%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group Jul 15–18 1,301 (LV) 39% 50% 4%[ab] 1% 7% 11%
Morning Consult Jul 15–17 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% 3%[bm] 5% 8%
ABC News/Washington Post Jul 12–15 673 (LV) 44% 54% 10%
Fox News Jul 12–15 1,104 (RV) ± 3% 41% 49% 4% 1% 5% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 13–14 961 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 47% 7% 2% 7% 10%
YouGov/Economist Jul 12–14 1,252 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 49% 4% 2% 4% 9%
Morning Consult Jul 12–14 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% 3%[bm] 5% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jul 11–14 1,081 (RV) ± 3.6% 39% 47% 3% 1% 10% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 8–14 1,500 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 47% 5% 4% 3%
Quinnipiac University Jul 9–13 1,273 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 52% 3% 2% 6% 15%
Morning Consult Jul 6–13 32,514 (RV) ±2.0% 39% 47% 8%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12 1,258 (LV) ± 2.76% 41% 51% 3% 2% 0% 2% 2% 10%
NBC/WSJ Jul 9–12 900 (RV) ± 3.27% 40% 51% 7% 2% 11%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News Jul 9–11 1,200 (RV) ±5.0% 39% 46% 6% 8% 7%
Morning Consult Jul 9–11 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% 3%[bm] 5% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 9 1,853 (LV) 2.5% 40%[d] 48% 1% 1% 1% 9% 8%
39%[cy] 48% 2% 1% 2%[cz] 8% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Study Finds Released Jul 8 469 (A) 9.5% 37%[cy] 55% 8%[cz] 18%
39%[da] 61% 21%
Zogby Analytics/EMI Research Jul 8 1,000 (LV) 5.6% 42% 49% 9% 7%
Morning Consult Jul 6–8 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 3%[bm] 4% 9%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape Jul 2–8 4,983 (RV)[aw] 1.5% 41% 49% 8%
Data for Progress Jul 7 673 (RV) 5.8 42% 52% 6% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 6–7 952 (RV) ± 3.6% 37%[aw] 43% 10% 3% 7% 6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 5–7 1,500 (LV) ± 5.0% 40% 50% 6% 10%
YouGov/Economist Jul 5–7 1,165 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 49% 4% 2% 4% 9%
Morning Consult Jul 3–5 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% 3%[bm] 5% 8%
Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 5 33,549 (RV) ± 2% 39% 48% 9%
HarrisX/The Hill Jul 3–4 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 39% 43% 5% 5% 8% 4%
Research Co.[6] Jul 1–2[aw] 1,049 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 1% 2% 4% 4% 9%
Morning Consult Jun 30 – Jul 2 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% 3%[bm] 4% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 29 – Jul 1 1,187 (RV) 4.4% 40% 45% 4% 3% 9% 5%
Global Strategy Group/Data For Progress Jun 23 – Jul 1 3,249 (RV) 39% 50% 2% 2%[db] 4% 11%

May 3 – June 30, 2020[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided Lead
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 29–30 943 (RV) ± 3.6% 38% 46% - - 10%[dc] 6% 8%
YouGov/Economist Jun 28–30 1,198 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 49% - - 6%[dd] 4% 9%
IBD/TIPP Jun 27–30 1,005 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 48% - - 8%
Monmouth Jun 26–30 359 (RV) 39% 52% 4%[de] <1%[df] ~2-3%[dg] 3% 13%
733 (RV) ± 3.6% 41%[dh] 53% - - 4%[di] 2% 12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30 65,085 (LV) 46% 51% - - 2% 5%
Morning Consult Jun 27–29 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 50% - - 3%[bm] 4% 7%
Suffolk University/USA Today Jun 25–29 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41%[f] 53% - - 12%
37%[dj] 46% - - 11%[dk] 6% 9%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28 1,663 (LV) ± 2.4% 41% 49% 5% 2% 1%[dl] 3% 8%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care[C] Jun 22–28 1,000 (LV) 41% 55% - - 1%[dm] 3% 14%
Morning Consult Jun 22–28 28,722 (RV) ± 1% 40% 47% - - 7%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Jun 12–28 22,501 (LV) 39% 47% - - 8%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen Jun 25–27 1,200 (RV) 39% 47% - - 6%[ce] 7% 8%
Optimus/Firehouse Jun 23–27 903 (LV) 40.6% 44.8% - - 6.1%[dn] 8.5% 4.2%
PPP/Giffords[D] Jun 25–26 996 (RV) 42% 53% - - 5% 11%
Morning Consult Jun 24–26 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% - - 2%[l] 5% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 24–25 1,244 (RV) 39% 47% - - 5%[do] 9% 8%
Marist College Jun 22–24 1,515 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% - - 3% 2% 8%
Opinium/The Guardian Jun 19–24 1,215 (LV) 40% 52% - - 3%[c] 4% 12%
Data for Progress Jun 23 721 (RV) 44% 50% - - 5%[bn] 6%
HarrisX/The Hill Jun 22–23 951 (RV) ± 3.18% 39% 43% - - 9%[dp] 9% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 22–23 934 (RV) ± 3.7% 37% 47% - - 10%[dc] 6% 10%
Morning Consult Jun 21–23 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% - - 3%[bm] 5% 8%
YouGov/Economist Jun 21–23 1,230 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 49% - - 6%[dd] 5% 8%
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies Jun 19–22 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 47% - - 9%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 17–22 1,337 (RV) ± 3% 36% 50% - - 5%[dq] 9% 14%
Pew Research Center Jun 16–22 3,577 (RV) ± 2% 44% 54% - - 2%[dr] 10%
Morning Consult Jun 15–21 30,942 (RV) ± 1% 39% 47% - - 8%
Morning Consult Jun 18–20 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% - - 3%[bm] 5% 8%
PPP/Protect Our Care[C] Jun 19–20 1,013 (V) ± 3.1% 43% 52% - - 6% 9%
Harvard-Harris Jun 17–18 ~ 1,735 (LV)[ds] 44% 56% - - 12%
Morning Consult Jun 15–17 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% - - 3%[bm] 4% 9%
YouGov/Economist Jun 14–16 1,160 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 50% - - 5%[dt] 4% 9%
Fox News Jun 13–16 1,343 (RV) ± 2.5% 38% 50% - - 7%[du] 5% 12%
Axios/SurveyMonkey Jun 12–16 5,666 (A) 42% 53% - - 4%[dv] 11%
Echelon Insights Jun 12–16 1,000 (LV) 42% 50% - - 8% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 10–16 3,768 (RV)[aw] ± 1.8% 35% 48% - - 10%[dc] 7% 13%
Optimus/Firehouse Jun 9–16 686 (LV) 43.9% 50% - - 6.1%[dw] 6%
Quinnipiac Jun 11–15 1,332 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% 49% - - 4%[dx] 5% 8%
Morning Consult Jun 12–14 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% - - 3%[bm] 5% 8%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14 1,250 (LV) ± 2.77% 41% 51% 3% 2% 0%[dy] 3% 10%
Kaiser Family Foundation Jun 8–14 1,094 (RV) ± 4% 38% 51% - - 5%[dz] 7% 13%
Morning Consult Jun 8–14 32,138 (RV) ± 1% 39% 48% - - 9%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News Jun 11–13 1,200 (RV) 36% 48% - - 6% 9% 12%
Abacus Data Jun 11–13 1,004 (LV)[aw] 41% 51% - - 10%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 6–13 742 (LV) 42.9% 51.6% - - 5.5%[ea] 8.7%
Morning Consult Jun 9–11 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 50% - - 3%[bm] 5% 8%
Climate Nexus Jun 6–11 9,087 (RV) ± 1% 41% 48% - - 11% 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 9–10 1,288 (RV) 40% 49% - - 5%[eb] 6% 9%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape/SurveyUSA May 28 – Jun 10 10,601 (RV) ± 1.5% 39% 50% - - 11%
YouGov/Econnomist Jun 7–9 1,241 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 49% - - 5%[dt] 5% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 8–9 931 (RV) 38% 46% - - 7% 9%[ec] 8%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 2–9 762 (LV) 42.2% 53% - - 4.8%[ed] 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 2–9 1,500 (LV) 37% 50% 1% 0% 1%[z] 10% 13%
Morning Consult Jun 6–8 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 42% 51% - - 3%[bm] 4% 9%
MSR Group Jun 7 855 (RV) ± 3.1% 38.9% 46.3% - - 7.3%[ee] 7.5% 7.3%
Morning Consult Jun 1–7 32,380 (RV) ± 1% 39% 47% - - 8%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 4–6 787 (LV) 41.9% 53.1% - - 5%[ef] 11.2%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Jun 4–6 1,200 (RV) 37% 47% - - 9%[eg] 7% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Senate Majority PAC/Priorities USA[E] Jun 3–6 1,223 (LV) 41% 53% - - 12%
Morning Consult Jun 3–5 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 6%
CNN/SSRS Jun 2–5 1,125 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 55% - - 3%[eh] 2% 14%
NORC/AEI May 21 – Jun 5 3,504 (A) ± 2.3% 32% 40% - - 19%[ei] 9% 8%
Whitman Insight Strategies Jun 2–4 500 (RV) 43% 53% - - 1% 2% 10%
HarrisX/The Hill Jun 1–4 2,827 (RV) ± 1.8% 37% 47% - - 8%[ej] 8% 10%
Marist College Jun 2–3 958 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 50% - - 2% 5% 7%
Emerson College Jun 2–3 1,431 (RV) ± 2.5% 47%[aa] 53% - - 6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Jun 1–3 1,327 (A) ± 2.8% 44% 47% - - 7%[ek] 3% 3%
IBD/TIPP May 31 – Jun 3 964 (RV) 42% 45% - - 13%
Data for Progress Jun 2[aw] 688 (RV) 40.2% 53.58% - - 6.22%[el] 13.4%
Zogby Analytics Jun 1–2 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 46% - - 8% Tie
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 1–2 964 (RV) 37% 47% - - 10%
Research Co.[7] Jun 1–2 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 41% 46% 2% 1% 10%[ec] 5%
YouGov/Economist May 31 – Jun 2 1,244 (RV) ± 3.2% 40% 47% - - 8%[em] 5% 7%
Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 2 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 6%
NBC/WSJ May 28 – Jun 2 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 49% - - 5%[cn] 4% 7%
Firehouse/Optimus May 26 – Jun 2 795 (LV) 44.4% 50.9% - - 4.7%[en] 6.5%
Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 1 1,624 (RV) ± 2% 39% 51% - - 10% 12%
YouGov/CBS News May 29 – Jun 1 1,486 (LV) 43% 47% - - 4%[eo] 5% 4%
Monmouth May 28 – Jun 1 742 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 52% - - 6%[ep] 1% 11%
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31 1,457 (LV) ± 2.567% 41% 48% 3% 3% 1%[dy] 4% 7%
Morning Consult May 25–31 31,983 (RV)[aw] ± 1% 41% 46% - - 5%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium May 16–31 18,132 (LV) 37% 46% - - 9%
Morning Consult May 28–30 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 5%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 29–30 861 (RV) 40% 48% - - 6%[eq] 5% 8%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News May 28–30 1,200 (RV) 39% 46% - - 7%[bu] 8% 7%
Firehouse/Optimus May 21–30 789 (LV) 45.4% 49.7% - - 4.9%[er] 4.3%
ABC News/Washington Post May 25–28 835 (RV) ± 4% 43% 53% - - 2%[es] 1% 10%
Morning Consult May 25–27 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 48% - - 3%[bm] 5% 4%
TargetSmart May 21–27 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 43% - - 9%[et] 8% 3%
Ipsos/Reuters May 20–27 3,732 (RV) ± 1.8% 39% 45% - - 8%[eu] 7% 6%
Data for Progress May 26[aw] 686 (RV) 49.81% - - 4.52%[ev] 3.14%
Zogby/EMI/Washington Examiner May 26[aw] 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 53% - - 13%
YouGov/Economist May 23–26 1,153 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 45% - - 8%[em] 6% 3%
Firehouse/Optimus May 19–26 793 (LV) 44.1% 51.8% - - 4.1%[ew] 7.7%
Morning Consult May 22–24 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 48% - - 3%[bm] 5% 4%
Morning Consult May 18–24 30,317 (RV) ± 1% 41% 46% - - 5%
Firehouse/Optimus May 16–23 766 (LV) 42.7% 53.9% - - 3.4%[ex] 11.2%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 20–21 1,218 (RV) 42% 46% - - 6%[ey] 6% 4%
Morning Consult May 19–21 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 5%
Echelon Insights May 18–20 1,000 (LV) 42% 51% - - 7% 9%
Fox News May 17–20 1,207 (RV) ± 2.5% 40% 48% - - 6%[dd] 5% 8%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 19 810 (RV) 42% 51% - - 9%
Ipsos/Reuters May 18–19 957 (RV) ± 3.6% 38% 47% - - 7%[ez] 7% 9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 18–19 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 43% 48% - - 8% 5%
YouGov/Economist May 17–19 1,235 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 47% - - 6%[dd] 5% 5%
Firehouse/Optimus May 12–19 774 (LV) 41.5% 51.5% - - 7%[fa] 10.0%
Morning Consult May 16–18 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 5%
Quinnipiac May 14–18 1,323 (RV) ± 2.7% 39% 50% - - 4%[fb] 7% 11%
Kaiser Family Foundation May 13–18 970 (RV) ± 4% 41% 43% - - 5%[fc] 12% 2%
Change Research/CNBC May 15–17 1,424 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 48% 3% 3% 0%[dy] 2% 3%
Morning Consult May 11–17 28,159 (RV) ± 1% 41% 46% - - 5%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News May 14–16 1,200 (RV) 39% 43% - - 8%[fd] 9% 4%
Firehouse/Optimus May 9–16 780 (LV) 41.4% 51.6% - - 7%[fa] 10.2%
Morning Consult May 13–15 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 43% 49% - - 3%[bm] 5% 6%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium May 2–15 20,333 (LV) 39% 43% - - 4%
HarrisX/The Hill[8] May 13–14 950 (RV) ± 3.18% 41% 42% - - 9%[dp] 9% 1%
Harvard-Harris May 13–14 1,708 (LV) 47% 53% - - 6%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 12 684 (RV) 41% 48% - - 7%
Ipsos/Reuters May 11–12 973 (RV) 38% 46% - - 8%
YouGov/Economist May 10–12 1,175 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 47% - - 6%[dd] 5% 4%
Morning Consult May 10–12 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 45% 48% - - 3%[bm] 5% 3%
Firehouse/Optimus May 5–12 728 (LV) 43.3% 52% - - 4.7%[en] 9%
CNN/SSRS May 7–10 1,001 (RV) ± 4% 46% 51% - - 2%[fe] 1%[al] 5%
Morning Consult May 4–10 27,754 (RV) ± 1% 42% 45% - - 13% 3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 8–9 1,384 (LV) 40%[d] 47% - - 4%[ff] 9% 7%
1,408 (LV) 39%[fg] 48% - - 4%[ff] 9% 9%
Morning Consult May 7–9 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 48% - - 3%[bm] 4% 4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research May 7–9 1,200 (RV) 38% 44% - - 7%[bu] 10% 6%
Firehouse/Optimus May 2–9 726 (LV) 44.5% 50% - - 5.5%[ea] 5%
HarrisX/The Hill May 6 957 (RV) ± 3.17% 41% 41% - - 9%[dp] 9% Tie
Morning Consult May 4–6 12,000 (LV) ± 1% 44% 49% - - 3%[bm] 4% 5%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 5 795 (RV) 44% 50% - - 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 4–5 1,224 (RV) 42% 45% - - 7%[fh] 6% 3%
Ipsos/Reuters May 4–5 1,015 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 43% - - 9%[fi] 6% 2%
YouGov/Economist May 3–5 1,206 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 46% - - 7%[fj] 5% 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–5 1,546 (A) ± 2.5% 44% 47% - - 7%[ek] 2% 3%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 28 – May 5 758 (LV) 45% 51% - - 4%[fk] 6%
Monmouth University Apr 30 – May 4 739 (RV) ± 3.6% 41%[d] 50% - - 4%[fl] 5% 9%
40%[fm] 47% - - 7%[fn] 6% 7%
Morning Consult May 2–3 1,991 (RV) ± 2% 41% 45% - - 3%[fo] 11% 4%
Change Research/CNBC May 1–3 1,489 (LV) ± 2.54% 44% 47% - - 7%[fp] 2% 3%
Morning Consult Apr 27 – May 3 31,117 (RV)[aw] 42% 46% - - 4%

Jan 1 – May 2, 2020[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Other Undecided Lead
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Apr 30 – May 2, 2020 1,200 (RV) 39% 46% 7%[bu] 8% 7%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 25 – May 2, 2020 765 (LV) 45.3% 49.5% 5.2%[fq] 4.2%
YouGov/CBS News Apr 28 – May 1, 2020 1,671 (LV) 43% 49% 4%[eo] 4% 6%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Apr 16–30, 2020 19,505 (LV) 40% 44% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 27–29, 2020 1,876 (RV) ± 2.6% 39% 45% 9%[fr] 7% 6%
IBD/TIPP Apr 26–29, 2020 948 (RV) 43% 43% Tie
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 28, 2020 895 (RV) 43% 52% 9%
YouGov/Economist Apr 26–28, 2020 1,222 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 47% 6%[dd] 6% 6%
Emerson College Apr 26–28, 2020 1,200 (RV) 46%[aa] 54% 7.4%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 21–28, 2020 766 (LV) 45.3% 49.2% 5.5%[ea] 3.9%
Morning Consult Apr 20–26, 2020 30,560 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Apr 23–25, 2020 1,200 (RV) 38% 46% 6%[ce] 9% 6%
Suffolk University/USA Today Apr 21–25, 2020 1,000 (RV) 38% 44% 10%[fs] 9% 6%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 18–25, 2020 784 (LV) 44% 52% 4%[fk] 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Apr 23, 2020 1,362 (LV) 40% 49% 2%[ft] 9% 9%
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 21, 2020 860 (RV) 44% 49% 5%
YouGov/Economist Apr 19–21, 2020 1,142 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 48% 5%[dt] 5% 6%
Echelon Insights Apr 18–21, 2020 1,000 (LV) 43% 52% 5% 9%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 15–21, 2020 3,806 (RV) ± 1.8% 39% 47% 8%[eu] 7% 8%
Firehouse/Optimus[9] Apr 14–21, 2020 829 (LV) 44.3% 52.7% 3% 8.4%
HarrisX/The Hill Apr 19–20, 2020 958 (RV) ± 3.17% 40% 42% 9%[dp] 9% 2%
Fordham University Apr 16–20, 2020 862 (RV) ± 4.33% 42% 56% 3% 14%
Climate Nexus April 19, 2020 1,917 (RV) ± 2.3% 40% 49% 10% 9%
Morning Consult Apr 13–19, 2020 31,482 (RV) [aw] ± 1% 42% 47% 5%
Change Research/CNBC Apr 17–18, 2020 1,178 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 48% 6%[fu] 1% 4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News Daily Poll Apr 16–18, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 49% 5%[v] 6% 9%
Firehouse/Optimus[10] Apr 11–18, 2020 745 (LV) 44.3% 52.2% 3.5%[fv] 7.9%
Harvard-Harris Apr 14–16, 2020 2,190 (LV) 47% 53% 6%
Morning Consult Apr 14–16, 2020 1,992 (RV) ± 2.0% 42% 46% 12%[fw] 4%
43% 47% 10%[fx] - 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Apr 13–15, 2020 900 (RV) ± 3.27% 42% 49% 5% 4% 7%
Change Research Apr 13–15, 2020 1,349 (LV) ± 3.4% 40%[fy] 51% 7%[fp] 2% 11%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape Apr 9–15, 2020 5,036 (RV)[aw] 43% 48% 5%
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 14, 2020 802 (RV) 45% 49% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 13–14, 2020 937 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 45% 5%
YouGov/Economist Apr 12–14, 2020 1,160 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 48% 5%[dt] 4% 5%
Civiqs Apr 11–14, 2020 1,600 (A) ± 2.6% 44% 48% 6% 2% 4%
Firehouse/Optimus[11] Apr 7–14, 2020 732 (LV) 42.1% 53.9% 4%[fk] 11.8%
Pew Research Center Apr 8–12, 2020 4,208 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 47% 8% 2%
Morning Consult Apr 6–12, 2020 25,372 (RV) [aw] ± 1% 42% 45% 3%
Global Strategy Group/314 Action Fund[F] Apr 6-10, 2020 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 49% 6% 4%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 4–10, 2020 814 (LV)[aw] 43.3% 52.8% 4%[fk] 9.5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Apr 6–7, 2020 1,139 (RV) 40% 49% 6%[ey] 5% 9%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 6–7, 2020 959 (RV) 37% 43% 6%
YouGov/Economist Apr 5–7, 2020 1,144 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 48% 6%[dd] 4% 6%
Fox News Apr 4–7, 2020 1,107 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 42% 7% 6% Tie
Climate Nexus Apr 3–7, 2020 3,168 (RV) 41% 47% 6%
Monmouth University Apr 3–7, 2020 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 48% 6%[fz] 3% 4%
CNN/SSRS Apr 3–6, 2020 875 (RV) ± 3.9% 42% 53% 2%[ga] 3% 11%
Hart Research/Public
Opinion Strategies/CNBC
[12]
Apr 3–6, 2020 604 (RV) 39% 44% 4%[gb] 13%[gc] 5%
Quinnipiac University Apr 2–6, 2020 2,077 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 49% 5%[gd] 5% 8%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care[G] Apr 3–5, 2020 1,015 (RV) 43% 51% 2%[ge] 4% 8%
Morning Consult Mar 30 – Apr 5, 2020 30,985 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
Firehouse/Optimus Mar 28 – Apr 4, 2020 937 (LV)[aw] 43.8% 50.2% 6%[gf] 6.4%
Research Co. Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 44% 50% 6% 6%
Change Research Apr 2–3, 2020 1,200 (LV) 45% 43% 9%[gg] 2% 2%
IBD/TIPP Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2020 980 (RV) 41% 47% 6%[gh] 7% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 30–31, 2020 930 (RV) 40% 46% 6%
YouGov/Economist Mar 29–31, 2020 1,194 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 46% 7%[fj] 6% 4%
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College Mar 27–30, 2020 777 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% 8% 1% 4%
Morning Consult Mar 23–29, 2020 34,645 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
YouGov Mar 26–28, 2020 1,193 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 46% 4% 6% 4%
Change Research Mar 26–28, 2020 1,845 (LV) ± 3.3% 42% 47% 11% 5%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Mar 26–28, 2020 1,000 (RV) 40% 45% 5%
Firehouse/Optimus Mar 21–28, 2020 1,032 (LV)[aw] 42.8% 51.1% 6.1%[dw] 8.3%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 25–26, 2020 1,579 (A) ± 3.1% 40% 46% 5%[gi] 8% 6%
Zogby Analytics Mar 24–26, 2020 889 (LV)[aw] 45% 46% 9% 1%
Harvard-Harris Mar 24–26, 2020 2,410 (RV) 45% 55% 10%
ABC News/Washington Post Mar 22–25, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/Economist Mar 22–24, 2020 1,167 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 46% 6%[dd] 6% 4%
Fox News Mar 21–24, 2020 1,011 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 5% 4% 9%
Echelon Insights Mar 20–24, 2020 1,000 (LV) 41% 51% 8% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 18–24, 2020 3,763 (RV) 39% 46% 7%
Lord Ashcroft Polls Mar 10–24, 2020 10,357 (A) 36% 48% 9%[gj] 7% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Mar 23, 2020 1,500 (LV) ± 2.57% 40%[gk] 48% 4%[gl] 8% 8%
Monmouth University Mar 18–22, 2020 754 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 48% 3% 4% 3%
Morning Consult Mar 16–22, 2020 36,272 (RV) ± 1% 42% 47% 12% 5%
Emerson College Mar 18–19, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 2.9% 47%[aa] 53% 6%
YouGov/Economist Mar 15–17, 2020 1,129 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 48% 6%[dd] 5% 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 13–16, 2020 955 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 46% 11%[gm] 6%[gn] 9%
Hart Research & Associates/Protect Our Care[H] Mar 13–15, 2020 1,015 (RV) 43% 51% 2% 4% 8%
Morning Consult Mar 11–15, 2020 9,979 (RV) ± 1% 42% 48% 11% 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Mar 11–13, 2020 900 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 52% 3% 2% 9%
YouGov/Hofstra University Mar 5–12, 2020 1,500 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 51% 2%
YouGov Mar 10–11, 2020 1,240 (RV) 41% 45% 7%[go] 6% 4%
Civiqs Mar 8–11, 2020 1,441 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 48% 6% 2%
GS Strategy Group/Patients for Affordable Drugs Now Mar 7–11, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 48% 10% 6%
YouGov Mar 8–10, 2020 1,191 (RV) ± 2.9% 43% 47% 5%[gp] 5% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 6–9, 2020 956 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 44% 10%[gq] 5%[gn] 2%
Quinnipiac University Mar 5–8, 2020 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 41% 52% 3%[gr] 5% 11%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 5–8, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3% 42% 48% 9% 6%
Morning Consult Mar 5–8, 2020 6,112 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
CNN/SSRS Mar 4–7, 2020 1,084 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 53% 1%[gs] 2% 10%
IBD/TIPP Feb 20–29, 2020 839 (RV) 46% 49% 2%[gt] 2% 3%
Harvard-Harris Feb 26–28, 2020 651 (RV) 45% 55% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 26–27, 2020 1,662 (RV) 41% 50% 6%[eq] 3% 9%
Morning Consult Feb 23–27, 2020 6,117 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
Fox News Feb 23–26, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 6%[gu] 4% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters[13] Feb 19–25, 2020 3,809 (RV) ± 1.8% 40%[aw] 47% [g] [g] 7%
YouGov/CBS News Feb 20–22, 2020 10,000 (RV) ± 1.2% 45% 47% 5%[gv] 4% 2%
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3% 39.4% 46.8% 13.8% 7.4%
Emerson College Feb 16–18, 2020 1,250 (RV) ± 2.7% 52%[aa] 48% 4%
ABC News/Washington Post Feb 14–17, 2020 913 (RV) ± 4% 45% 52% 3%[gw] 1% 7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Feb 14–17, 2020 900 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 52% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 14–17, 2020 947 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 42% 12%[gx] 6%[gn] 2%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–17, 2020 2,768 (RV) ± 1.9% 45% 48% 7% 3%
Morning Consult Feb 12–17, 2020 7,313 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
NPR/PBS News/Marist College Feb 13–16, 2020 1,164 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 50% 1% 5% 6%
Zogby Analytics Feb 13–14, 2020 1,340 (LV)[aw] 46% 46% 8% Tie
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 7–10, 2020 952 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 44% 11%[gy] 4%[al] 2%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2020-12-06 at the Wayback Machine Feb 5–9, 2020 1,519 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 50% 5%[gz] 2% 7%
Morning Consult Feb 4–9, 2020 36,180 (RV) ± 1% 42% 45% 13% 3%
Zogby Analytics Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 908 (LV)[aw] 46% 46% 8% Tie
Atlas Intel Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 1,600 (RV) ± 2% 45.4% 45.8% 8.8% 0.4%
Morning Consult Jan 27 – Feb 2, 2020 7,178 (RV) ± 1% 42% 46% 12% 4%
IBD/TIPP[ha] Jan 23–30, 2020 856 (RV) 48% 49% 2%[gt] 2% 1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[14] Jan 26–29, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 50% 4%[gb] 2% 6%
USC Dornlife/LA Times Jan 15–28, 2020 4,869 (RV) ± 2% 40% 49% 6%[hb] 5% 9%
Morning Consult Jan 20–26, 2020 8,399 (RV) ± 1% 41% 47% 13% 6%
Emerson College Jan 21–23, 2020 1,128 (RV) ± 2.8% 50% 50% Tie
ABC News/Washington Post Jan 20–23, 2020 880 (RV) ± 4% 46% 50% 3%[gw] 1% 4%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–23, 2020 1,000 (LV) 40% 49% 10% 9%
Fox News Jan 19–22, 2020 1,005 (RV) ± 3% 41% 50% 8%[hc] 2% 9%
CNN/SSRS Jan 16–19, 2020 1,051 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 53% 1%[gs] 1% 9%
Morning Consult Jan 15–19, 2020 5,944 (RV) ± 1% 41% 46% 13% 5%
Zogby Analytics Jan 15–16, 2020 882 (LV) 46% 46% 8% Tie
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 4,069 (RV) ± 1.7% 43% 50% 7% 7%
Morning Consult Jan 6–12, 2020 8,299 (RV) ± 1% 41% 46% 13% 5%
IBD/TIPP Jan 3–11, 2020 901 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 3%[hd] 2% 2%
Morning Consult[15] Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 8,436 (RV) ± 1% 40% 46% 14% 6%

2017–2019[edit]

Poll source Date Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Other Undecided Lead
Meeting Street Insights Dec 28–30, 2019 1,000 (RV) 38% 49% 11%
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 18–19, 2019 1,117 (A) ± 3.3% 35% 39% 17%[he] 9% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 18–19, 2019 1,108 (A) ± 3.4% 36% 37% 20%[hf] 8% 1%
Emerson College Dec 15–17, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 2.7% 48% 52% 4%
CNN/SSRS Dec 12–15, 2019 1,005 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 49% 1% 3% 5%
IBD/TIPP Dec 6–14, 2019 905 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 50% 3%[hd] 2% 5%
Fox News Dec 8–11, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 48% 2% 4% 7%
Quinnipiac Dec 4–9, 2019 1,553 (RV) ± 2.5% 42% 51% 4%[fb] 3% 9%
Zogby Analytics Dec 5–8, 2019 865 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 45% 1%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–21, 2019 3,850 (RV) ± 1.7% 39% 52% 9% 13%
RealClear Opinion Research Nov 15–21, 2019 2,055 (RV) ± 2.38% 39% 51% 10% 12%
Emerson College Nov 17–20, 2019 1,092 (RV) ± 2.9% 51% 49% 2%
Morning Consult Nov 8, 2019 1,300 (RV) ± 3% 40% 44% 16% 4%
YouGov/Hofstra University Oct 25–31, 2019 1,500 (LV) ± 3% 48.5% 51.5% 3.0%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 27–30, 2019 876 (RV) ± 4% 39% 56% 4% [hg] 0% 17%
FOX News Oct 27–30, 2019 1,040 (RV) ± 3% 39% 51% 7%[du] 4% 12%
IBD/TIPP Oct 27–30, 2019 903 (A) ± 3.3% 41% 51% 10%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Oct 27–30, 2019 720 (RV) ± 3.7% 41% 50% 6%[hh] 3% 9%
Morning Consult/Politico Oct 25–28, 2019 1,997 (RV) ± 2% 36% 41% 23% 5%
Emerson College Oct 18–21, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51% 2%
CNN/SSRS Oct 17–20, 2019 892 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 53% 2%[dr] 1%[hi] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 17–18, 2019 945 (RV) ± 3.6% 38% 47% 9%[hj] 6%[al] 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 3,080 (RV) ± 2.1% 41% 52% 7% 11%
Lord Ashcroft Polls Oct 1–15, 2019 15,051 (A) 41% 59% 18%
Fox News Oct 6–8, 2019 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 50% 5% 2% 10%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2021-01-16 at the Wayback Machine Oct 4–7, 2019 1,483 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 51% 2% 4% 11%
Zogby Analytics Oct 1–3, 2019 887 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% 45% 8% 2%
IBD/TIPP Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 863 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 51% 1% 3% 7%
HarrisX Archived 2019-12-12 at the Wayback Machine Oct 1–2, 2019 1,000 (RV) 35% 44% 11%[hk] 10% 9%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 26–30, 2019 1,917 (RV) ± 2.6% 36% 43% 11% 8% 7%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 23–24, 2019 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 23–24, 2019 876 (RV) ± 3.8% 36% 42% 12% 8% 6%
Emerson College Sep 21–23, 2019 1,019 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Zogby Analytics Sep 16–17, 2019 1,004 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 49% 8% 5%
Fox News Sep 15–17, 2019 1,008 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 52% 5% 2% 14%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–16, 2019 4,520 (RV) ± 1.6% 41% 49% 10% 8%
Marquette University Law School Sep 3–13, 2019 1,244 (A) 35%[hl] 45%[hm] 20%[hn] [ho] 10%
ABC News/Washington Post Sep 2–5, 2019 877 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 55% 1% 15%
IBD/TIPP Aug 22–30, 2019 848 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 54% 1% 3% 12%
Emerson College Aug 24–26, 2019 1,458 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 54% 8%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2021-01-16 at the Wayback Machine Aug 21–26, 2019 1,422 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 1% 4% 16%
Morning Consult Aug 16–18, 2019 1,998 (RV) ± 2.0% 35% 42% 23% 7%
Fox News Aug 11–13, 2019 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 50% 5% 4% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 5,459 (RV) ± 1.6% 42% 50% 9% 8%
IBD/TIPP Jul 25 – Aug 1, 2019 856 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 54% 1% 3% 14%
Emerson College Jul 27–29, 2019 1,233 (RV) ± 2.7% 49% 51% 2%
HarrisX Archived 2019-08-04 at the Wayback Machine Jul 25–26, 2019 1,000 (RV) 39% 42% 11%[hp] 8% 3%
Fox News Jul 21–23, 2019 1,004 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 49% 5% 5% 10%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Jul 7–9, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 51% 4% 3% 9%
Emerson College Jul 6–8, 2019 1,100 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 53% 6%
Rasmussen Reports Jun 23 – Jul 2, 2019 4,500 (LV) ± 1.5% 44% 48% 7% 4%
ABC News/Washington Post Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 875 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 53% 1% 10%
Emerson College Jun 21–24, 2019 1,096 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 55% 10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-06-25 at the Wayback Machine Jun 22–23, 2019 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 41% 11%[hq] 8% 1%
Fox News Jun 9–12, 2019 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 49% 5% 5% 10%
Ipsos/Daily Beast Jun 10–11, 2019 1,005 (A) ± 2.5% 35% 46% 9% 11%
Quinnipiac University Jun 6–10, 2019 1,214 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 53% 1% 4% 13%
Morning Consult Jun 7–9, 2019 1,991 (RV) ± 2.0% 33% 44% 24% 11%
Ipsos/Reuters May 29 – Jun 5, 2019 3,851 (RV) ± 1.8% 36% 50% 7% 5% 14%
HarrisX Archived 2019-06-03 at the Wayback Machine May 25–26, 2019 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 43% 5% 11% 7%
Change Research May 18–21, 2019 2,904 (LV) ± 1.8% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 12–14, 2019 1,650 (RV) ± 2.6% 44% 48% 8% 4%
Fox News May 11–14, 2019 1,008 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 49% 5% 5% 11%
Emerson College May 10–13, 2019 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54% 8%
Zogby Analytics Archived 2020-11-08 at the Wayback Machine May 2–9, 2019 903 (LV) 39% 49% 12% 10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-05-01 at the Wayback Machine Apr 28–29, 2019 1,002 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 43% 8% 8% 7%
CNN/SSRS Apr 25–28, 2019 470 (RV) ± 5.5% 45% 51% <1% 2% 6%
HarrisX Apr 25–26, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 43% 5% 15% 6%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21, 2019 1,992 (RV) ± 2.0% 34% 42% 19% 8%
Emerson College Apr 11–14, 2019 914 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 53% 6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Apr 6–9, 2019 1,584 (RV) ± 2.7% 45% 45% 10% Tie
HarrisX Archived 2019-12-31 at the Wayback Machine Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 45% 8% 8% 9%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2019 846 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 53% 7% 13%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 17–28, 2019 5,000 (LV) ± 1.5% 44% 49% 7% 5%
Fox News Mar 17–20, 2019 1,002 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 4% 5% 7%
Emerson College Mar 17–18, 2019 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 55% 10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-04-02 at the Wayback Machine Mar 17–18, 2019 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 33% 44% 8% 10% 11%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Mar 9–12, 2019 1,622 (A) ± 2.6% 43% 48% 9% 5%
Change Research Mar 8–10, 2019 4,049 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 51% 5%
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 51% 9% 11%
Emerson College Feb 14–16, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55% 10%
Change Research Jan 31 – Feb 1, 2019 1,338 (LV) ± 2.7% 45% 52% 7%
Øptimus Archived 2019-12-24 at the Wayback Machine Jan 30 – Feb 1, 2019 1,084 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% 7% 7%
Public Policy Polling Jan 19–21, 2019 760 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 53% 6% 12%
HarrisX Dec 16–17, 2018 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 42% 22% 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 24–29, 2018 3,064 (RV) 44% 53% 3% 9%
Morning Consult/Politico Aug 16–18, 2018 1,974 (RV) ± 2.0% 31% 43% 26% 12%
Morning Consult/Politico Jul 26–30, 2018 1,993 (RV) ± 2.0% 37% 44% 19% 7%
Public Policy Polling Jun 8–10, 2018 679 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% 53% 8% 14%
Zogby Analytics May 10–12, 2018 881 (LV) ± 3.2% 38% 48% 14% 10%
Public Policy Polling Mar 23–25, 2018 846 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 56% 6% 17%
Public Policy Polling Feb 9–11, 2018 687 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 51% 7% 9%
CNN/SSRS Jan 14–18, 2018 913 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 57% 1% 1% 17%
Zogby Analytics Jan 12–15, 2018 847 (LV) ± 3.4% 38% 53% 9% 15%
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12, 2017 862 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 54% 6% 14%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 9–11, 2017 1,993 (RV) ± 2.0% 35% 46% 20% 11%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29, 2017 572 (RV) ± 4.1% 38% 56% 6% 16%
Zogby Analytics Oct 19–25, 2017 1,514 (LV) ± 2.5% 41% 50% 9% 9%
Emerson College Oct 12–14, 2017 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 51% 7% 9%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25, 2017 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 53% 6% 13%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21, 2017 887 (RV) ± 3.3% 39% 51% 11% 12%
Public Policy Polling Jul 14–17, 2017 836 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 54% 7% 15%
Public Policy Polling Jun 9–11, 2017 811 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 54% 5% 14%
Public Policy Polling May 12–14, 2017 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 40% 54% 6% 14%
Public Policy Polling Apr 17–18, 2017 648 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 54% 6% 14%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2017 677 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 54% 6% 14%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Some other candidate" with 3%
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak Standard VI response
  5. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous IBD/TIPP poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah Not yet released
  8. ^ a b c d e f With the only options as Biden, Trump and "someone else" and additional weighting based on respondents' estimated chances of voting
  9. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  10. ^ a b "Refused" with 2%
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k West (B) with 1%
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak "Someone else" with 2%
  13. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  14. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Some other candidate" with 2%
  16. ^ a b c d e f Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  17. ^ a b c d e f Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  18. ^ a b c "Neither/other" with 3%
  19. ^ a b No voters
  20. ^ a b c d "Another candidate" with 2%
  21. ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 3%
  22. ^ a b c d e f g "Some other candidate" with 5%
  23. ^ "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with no voters
  24. ^ Would not vote with no voters
  25. ^ Would not vote with 0%
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  27. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  28. ^ a b c d e "Someone else" with 4%
  29. ^ Includes did not vote
  30. ^ "Don't recall" with 1%
  31. ^ Did/would not vote with 0%
  32. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  33. ^ "A different candidate" with 2%
  34. ^ West (B) with 0%
  35. ^ a b c d e f g "Some other candidate" with 4%
  36. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  37. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Undecided"/would not vote with 6%
  38. ^ a b c d e f g Includes "Refused"
  39. ^ a b c d e f "Some other candidate" with 1%
  40. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  41. ^ Likely voter model assuming 70% turnout
  42. ^ a b Likely voter model assuming 55% turnout
  43. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%; "Refused" with 1%
  44. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 5%
  45. ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
  46. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  47. ^ "None of these" with 0%; "Other" with no voters
  48. ^ "Other" with no voters; "neither" with 0%
  49. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  50. ^ a b "A different candidate" with 3%
  51. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 0%
  52. ^ With only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" available
  53. ^ "None/other" with 1%
  54. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  55. ^ a b "Neither/other" with 2%
  56. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  57. ^ "Another candidate" with 1.5%
  58. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  59. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  60. ^ "Someone else" with 0%
  61. ^ a b "Other" and "None of these" with 0%
  62. ^ Likely voter model assuming 68% turnout
  63. ^ "Skipped/Refused" with 0%
  64. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; "Refused" with 2%
  65. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae "Someone else" with 3%
  66. ^ a b "A different candidate" with 5%
  67. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; "Refused" with 0%
  68. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%
  69. ^ Registered Voters subsample of full sample of 2019 adults
  70. ^ "Other candidate or neither candidate" with 3%
  71. ^ "Undecided/third party" with 6%
  72. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 3%
  73. ^ a b c d e "Some other candidate" with 7%
  74. ^ If only Biden and Trump were candidates and including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  75. ^ LV subsample of full 1,604 RV sample
  76. ^ "A different candidate" with 4%
  77. ^ a b "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  78. ^ "Refused" with 3%
  79. ^ a b "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 7%
  80. ^ Results with tighter Likely Voter screen; additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  81. ^ Sample size not yet released, but results with looser Likely Voter screen
  82. ^ a b "Other" with 4%; "No response" with 0%
  83. ^ a b c d "Some other candidate" with 6%
  84. ^ a b "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 6%
  85. ^ a b "Someone else/third party" with 4%
  86. ^ Kanye West (affiliated with the Birthday Party, but listed in the poll as an independent) with 1%
  87. ^ "Prefer not to answer" with 3%
  88. ^ "Other" with 8%; "Refused" with 4%
  89. ^ Listed as "Not eligible to vote"
  90. ^ "Other" with 1%
  91. ^ Listed as "Neither"
  92. ^ a b "Neither/other" with 5%
  93. ^ a b "A different candidate" with 8%
  94. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate if only Biden and Trump were candidates
  95. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 2%
  96. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
  97. ^ Kanye West (B) with 2%
  98. ^ a b "Other candidate" with 1%
  99. ^ West (B) with 3%
  100. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  101. ^ "Skipped on web" and "Refused" with 0%
  102. ^ "Another candidate" with 10%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%
  103. ^ a b With Kanye West
  104. ^ a b Kanye West
  105. ^ Without Kanye West
  106. ^ Jacob Hornberger
  107. ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  108. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  109. ^ Listed as Jorgensen
  110. ^ Listed as Hawkins
  111. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "no one" with <1%
  112. ^ Response without naming third party candidates
  113. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; "no one" with 0%
  114. ^ With a third party option
  115. ^ "Third party candidate" with 11%
  116. ^ Would not vote with 1%
  117. ^ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  118. ^ "Other candidate" with 5.6%; would not vote with 0.5%
  119. ^ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  120. ^ a b c d "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
  121. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 2%
  122. ^ a b "Neither" with 2%
  123. ^ 92% of a sample of 1,886 registered voters
  124. ^ a b c d "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  125. ^ a b "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  126. ^ "No answer" with 4%
  127. ^ a b Would not vote with 6.1%
  128. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  129. ^ a b c Would not vote
  130. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote and "refused" with 1%
  131. ^ a b c Would not vote with 5.5%
  132. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  133. ^ a b Includes would not vote
  134. ^ Would not vote with 4.8%
  135. ^ "Neither/other" with 7.3%
  136. ^ Would not vote with 5%
  137. ^ "Some other candidate" with 9%
  138. ^ "Other" with 1%; "neither" with 2%
  139. ^ Would not vote with 13%; "Third party candidate" with 6%
  140. ^ "Other" and would not vote with 4%
  141. ^ a b "Someone else" with 7%
  142. ^ "A different candidate" with 6.22%
  143. ^ a b "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  144. ^ a b Would not vote with 4.7%
  145. ^ a b "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  146. ^ "Other" with 5%; "no one" with 1%
  147. ^ a b "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
  148. ^ Would not vote with 4.9%
  149. ^ "Other" and "Neither" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  150. ^ "Other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
  151. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  152. ^ "A different candidate" with 4.52%
  153. ^ Would not vote with 4.1%
  154. ^ Would not vote with 3.4%
  155. ^ a b "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  156. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  157. ^ a b Would not vote with 7%
  158. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 2%
  159. ^ "Refused" with 3%; "someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  160. ^ Amash with 3%; "Other" with 5%
  161. ^ "Other" and "neither" with 1%
  162. ^ a b "Third party/write-in" with 4%; would not vote with no voters
  163. ^ Voting intention for an exclusively vote-by-mail election
  164. ^ "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  165. ^ "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  166. ^ a b "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  167. ^ a b c d Would not vote with 4%
  168. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "no one" with 1%
  169. ^ With Justin Amash
  170. ^ Justin Amash with 5%; "Other candidate" with 1%; "no one" with 1%
  171. ^ Would not vote with 3%
  172. ^ a b "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 1%
  173. ^ Would not vote with 5.2%
  174. ^ "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  175. ^ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "refused" with 1%
  176. ^ "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  177. ^ "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 0%
  178. ^ Would not vote with 3.5%
  179. ^ Justin Amash with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%; Would not vote with 6%
  180. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Would not vote with 5%
  181. ^ Vote shares listed as proportion of decided voters for candidate X + proportion of leaners for candidate X * proportion of voters who are leaners
  182. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%; "No one" with 1%
  183. ^ "Other" with 0%; “neither” with 2%
  184. ^ a b "Neither/other" with 4%
  185. ^ "Not sure" with 9%; "Depends" with 4%
  186. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Would not vote with 2%
  187. ^ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  188. ^ Would not vote with 6%
  189. ^ "Other" with 9%; would not vote with 0%
  190. ^ "Other" with 5%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%
  191. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  192. ^ Would not vote with 9%
  193. ^ Percentages calculated as listed percentage in sample without undecided voters * Percentage of voters who are not undecided
  194. ^ "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 4%
  195. ^ "Neither/other" with 7%; would not vote with 4%
  196. ^ a b c Listed as "don't know/refused"
  197. ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  198. ^ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
  199. ^ "Neither/other" with 8%; Would not vote with 2%
  200. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Would not vote with 2%
  201. ^ a b "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 1%
  202. ^ a b "Other" with 1%; "refused" with 1%
  203. ^ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  204. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  205. ^ a b "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  206. ^ "Neither/other" with 10%; would not vote with 2%
  207. ^ "Neither/other" with 8%; would not vote with 3%
  208. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Would not vote with 3%
  209. ^ Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  210. ^ "Some other party's candidate" with 6%
  211. ^ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  212. ^ a b "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  213. ^ "Neither/other" with 10%; Would not vote with 7%
  214. ^ "Neither/other" with 12%; Would not vote with 8%
  215. ^ "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 2%; would not vote with 2%
  216. ^ "Neither/other" with 6%
  217. ^ Listed as "no opinion"
  218. ^ "Neither/other" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
  219. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 6%
  220. ^ 7% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Trump
  221. ^ 12% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Biden
  222. ^ "Someone else" with 13%; Would not vote with 6%; no answer with 1%
  223. ^ See Biden and Trump notes
  224. ^ "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 5%
  225. ^ "Other" with 8%; would not vote with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ The Conservative Energy Network primarily supports Republican candidates
  2. ^ Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act Organisation
  4. ^ Giffords is a PAC which supports gun control measures
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic Senate candidates, and Priorities USA, a Democratic super PAC
  6. ^ The 314 Action Fund is a PAC which supports the election of scientists
  7. ^ The poll's sponsor is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  8. ^ This poll's sponsor, Protect Our Care, is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation

References[edit]

  1. ^ Panagopoulos, Costas (2021). "Polls and Elections: Accuracy and Bias in the 2020 U.S. General Election Polls". Presidential Studies Quarterly. 51: 214–227. doi:10.1111/psq.12710. ISSN 1741-5705.

External links[edit]