Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries

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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Aggregate polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Joe
Biden
Lincoln
Chafee
Hillary
Clinton
Lawrence
Lessig
Martin
O'Malley
Bernie
Sanders
Jim
Webb
Others
Huffington Post Average[1] Updated October 20, 2015 17.0% 0.4% 50.1% 0.0% 1.1% 24.2% 1.0% Other 2.2%
Undecided 8.0%
RealClear Politics Average[2] October 4 – 18, 2015 16.8% 0.0% 47.8% 0.5% 25.7% 1.2%
270 to Win Average[3] October 10 – 18, 2015 17.0% 0.0% 48.2% 0.3% 0.6% 25.4%

Individual polls[edit]

Polls conducted in 2015[edit]

Poll source Sample
size
Margin
of error
Date(s)
administered
Joe
Biden
Lincoln
Chafee
Hillary
Clinton
Lawrence
Lessig
Martin
O'Malley
Bernie
Sanders
Jim
Webb
Others
Morning Consult[4] 895 2.0% October 15-19, 2015 - 1% 56% - 1% 24% 1% Other 6%
Undecided 12%
ABC News/Washington Post[5] 444 3.5% October 15-18, 2015 16% 0% 54% - 1% 23% 1% None 2%
Not Voting 1%
Other 1
Undecided 1%
Monmouth University[6] 340 5.3% October 15-18, 2015 17% < 1% 48% 1% < 1% 21% 1% Other 0%
No one 3%
Undecided 9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[7] 400 3.9% October 15-18, 2015 15% 0% 49% - 1% 29% 2% None 2%
Undecided 2%
Other 0%
Emerson College Polling Society[8] 390 3.4% October 16-17, 2015 - 0% 68% - 3% 20% 1% Other 2%
Undecided 6%
CNN/ORC[9] 1,024 3% October 14-17, 2015 18% < 1% 45% < 1% < 1% 29% 1% Someone else 2%
No-one 2%
No answer 2%
NBC/SurveyMonkey[10] 1857 3.2% October 13-15, 2015 10% 0% 45% 0% 1% 31% 1% Someone else 2%
Wouldn't Vote 9%
No answer 1%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[11] 760 3.6% October 14, 2015 8% 42% 5% 34% 12%
Ipos/Reuters[12] 530 3.0% October 10-14, 2015 16% 1% 51% 2% 24% Wouldn't Vote 6%
Fox News[13] 353 October 10–12, 2015 19% 0% 45% < 1% 1% 25% < 1% Don't Know 5%
YouGov/Economist[14] 633 2.8% October 8–12, 2015 20% 1% 48% 1% 2% 23% 0% No preference 6%
Morning Consult[15] 862 2% October 8–10, 2015 1% 54% 1% 22% 1% Don't Know 15%
Reuters/Ipsos[16] 624 4.5% October 9, 2015 20% < 3% 41% < 3% 28% < 3% Wouldn't Vote 8%
CBS News[17] 343 6% October 4–8, 2015 16% < 0.5% 46% < 0.5% < 0.5% 27% 2% Don't Know 5%
1% 56% < 0.5% 1% 32% 2% Don't Know 4%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[18] 339 5.3% October 1–5, 2015 17% < 1% 45% < 1% 1% 23% 1% Other 1%
Wouldn't Vote 3%
Don't Know 7%
Public Policy Polling[19] 551 4.2% October 1–4, 2015 20% 1% 42% 0% 1% 24% 2% Not Sure 9%
Google Consumer Surveys/IJ[20] 1004 2% September 30 – October 3, 2015 14.1% 1.3% 37.6% 1.6% 38.4% 1.6% Elizabeth Warren 5.3%
IBD/TIPP[21] 344 5% September 26 – October 1, 2015 22% 42% 18%
Centre College[22] 229 6.5% September 24 – October 1, 2015 15% 1.3% 31.3% 0.8% 30.4% 0% Don't know 15.3%
USA Today/Suffolk[23] 430 5% September 24–28, 2015 20% 1% 41% < 1% 0% 23% < 1% Other < 1%
Undecided 14%
Pew Research Center[24] 387 5.7% September 22–27, 2015 8% 45% 24% Other 2%
Don't Know 21%
NBC/WSJ[25] 256 6.1% September 20–24, 2015 17% 0% 42% 0% 35% 1% None 1%
Other 4%
0% 53% 1% 38% 1% None 2%
Not sure 4%
Other 1%
Reuters/Ipsos[26] 618 4.5% September 19–23, 2015 15% 0% 40% 2% 30% 0% Andrew Cuomo 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 10%
Fox News[27] 381 5% September 20–22, 2015 18% 0% 44% < 1% 2% 30% 1% None of the above 2%
Don't know 3%
Bloomberg/Selzer[28] 375 5.1% September 18–21, 2015 25% 0% 33% 1% 24% 2% Other 8%
Undecided 7%
Quinnipiac[29] 587 4% September 17–21, 2015 18% 0% 43% 0% 0% 25% 0% Someone else 2%
Wouldn't vote 2%
Don't know 10%
Morning Consult[30] 955  ?% September 18–20, 2015 1% 49% 2% 28% 1% Undecided 13%
Zogby Analytics[31] 515 4.3% September 18–19, 2015 52% 3% 24% 2% Undecided 19%
CNN/ORC[32] 392 5% September 17–19, 2015 22% 0% 42% 1% 24% 0% Someone else 2%
No one 4%
No opinion 2%
NBC/SurveyMonkey[33] 1774 3.2% September 16–18, 2015 15% < 1% 41% < 1% 1% 29% 1% Other 3%
Undecided 9%
Reuters/Ipsos[34] 642 4.4% September 12–16, 2015 18% 0% 46% 0% 25% 1% Andrew Cuomo 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 8%
YouGov/Economist[35] 651  ?% September 11–15, 2015 19% 1% 45% 1% 26% 1% Undecided 6%
Other 1%
Morning Consult[35] 955  ?% September 11–13, 2015 0% 54% 2% 24% 2% Don't know/No opinion 12%
Someone else 6%
CBS News/New York Times[36] 351[37] 6% September 9–13, 2015 15% 1% 47% 0% 27% 1% Don't know 7%
Reuters/Ipsos[38] 668 4.4% September 7–11, 2015 16% 1% 39% 2% 31% 0% Andrew Cuomo 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 9%
ABC News/Washington Post[39] 356  ?% September 7–10, 2015 21% 1% 42% 2% 24% 1% None of these 5%
No opinion 3%
Would not vote 1%
Other 1%
Reuters/Ipsos[40] 625 4.4% September 5–9, 2015 14% 1% 42% 3% 28% Andrew Cuomo 2%
Wouldn't vote 10%
Emerson College Polling[41] 392 4.9% September 5–8, 2015 21% 48% 1% 21% 1% Undecided 7%
Other 2%
CNN/ORC[42] 259 5% September 4–8, 2015 20% 37% 3% 27% 2% No one 4%
No opinion 1%
Monmouth University[43] 339 5.3% August 31 – September 2, 2015 22% 0% 42% 1% 20% 1% Other 0%
No one 4%
Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling[44] 545 4.2% August 28–30, 2015 1% 55% 1% 4% 20% 3% Undecided 15%
Morning Consult[45] 913  ? August 28−30, 2015 1% 52% 1% 23% 2% Other 8%
Undecided 14%
Rasmussen Reports[46] 536 4% August 23–24, 2015 2% 50% 2% 24% 2% Other 10%
Undecided 10%
Reuters/Ipsos[47] 356 5.9% August 15–19, 2015 12% 1% 47% 1% 23% 1% Andrew Cuomo 4%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 11%
17% 48% 29% Wouldn't vote 6%
Morning Consult[48] 884 3.3% August 14–16, 2015 1% 50% 3% 24% 1% Other/Don't Know 21%
CNN/ORC[49] 358 5.0% August 13–16, 2015 14% 0% 47% 2% 29% 1% Someone else 4%
None/No one 3%
No opinion 0%
Fox News[50] 401 4.5% August 11–13, 2015 10% 0% 49% 1% 30% 1% Other 1%
None of the above 3%
Don't know 4%
Morning Consult[51] 896  ? August 7–9, 2015 1% 56% 4% 19% 2% Other 6%
Undecided 12%
Reuters/Ipsos[52] 404 5.5% August 1–5, 2015 14% 1% 52% 1% 17% 1% Andrew Cuomo 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
Wouldn't vote 11%
Zogby (Internet)/ University of Akron[53] 459 4.7% August 3–4, 2015 21% 48% 3% 15% 2% Undecided 10%
Economist/YouGov[54] 499 4% July 31 – August 4, 2015 13% 1% 51% 1% 21% 2% No preference 10%
Morning Consult[55] 860  ? July 31 – August 3, 2015 1% 60% 2% 16% 2% Other 6%
Undecided 13%
Fox News[56] 499 4% July 30 – August 2, 2015 13% 1% 51% 1% 22% 1% Other 1%
None of the above 3%
Don't know 6%
Monmouth University[57] 429 4.7% July 30 – August 2, 2015 12% 0% 52% 2% 16% 2% Other 2%
No one 3%
Undecided 11%
CBS News[58] 362 5.3% July 29 – August 2, 2015 11% 1% 58% 1% 17% 2% None of them 4%
Don't know/No answer 7%
NBC/WSJ[59] 253 6.16% July 26–30, 2015 1% 59% 3% 25% 3% Other 1%
None 4%
Not sure 4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[60] 803 2.5% July 29, 2015 8% 2% 55% 3% 18% 5% Elizabeth Warren 9%
Emerson College Polling[61] 481 4.4% July 26–28, 2015 9% 1% 54% 2% 33% 1% Other 1%
Reuters/Ipsos[62] 505 4.9% July 25–29, 2015 12% 0% 58% 1% 15% 1% Andrew Cuomo 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 9%
Quinnipiac[63] 681 3.8% July 23–28, 2015 13% 0% 55% 1% 17% 1% Someone else 1%
Wouldn't vote 1%
DK/NA 11%
CNN/ORC[64] 392 5.0% July 22–25, 2015 15% 0% 56% 0% 19% 1% Someone else 4%
None/No one 3%
No opinion 1%
Reuters/Ipsos[65] 406 5.5% July 18–22, 2015 10% 2% 51% 1% 18% 5% Andrew Cuomo 5%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Wouldn't vote 8%
Public Policy Polling[66] 496 4.4% July 20–21, 2015 3% 57% 2% 22% 5% Not sure 12%
ABC News/Washington Post[67] 357 4.0% July 16–19, 2015 12% 0% 63% 1% 14% 2% Other 2%
None of these 3%
Would not vote 1%
No opinion 2%
Fox News[68] 382 July 13–15, 2015 8% 1% 59% 1% 19% 1% Other 1%
None of the above 4%
Don't know 5%
Reuters/Ipsos[69] 381 5.7% July 11–15, 2015 10% 1% 51% 2% 16% 3% Andrew Cuomo 4%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Wouldn't vote 12%
USA Today/Suffolk[70] 434  ? July 9–12, 2015 8% 0% 59% 0% 14% 2%
Monmouth University[71] 357 5.2% July 9–12, 2015 13% 0% 51% 1% 17% 1% Other 0%
No one 2%
Undecided 15%
Reuters/Ipsos[72] 504 5.1% July 4–8, 2015 8% 1% 52% 3% 21% 1% Andrew Cuomo 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 3%
Wouldn't vote 8%
The Economist/
YouGov[73]
309 July 4–6, 2015 8% 0% 55% 0% 24% 1% Other 4%
No preference 8%
64% 29% Not sure 4%
I would not vote 3%
Reuters/Ipsos[74] 540 4.8% June 27 – July 1, 2015 11% 3% 49% 1% 20% 2% Andrew Cuomo 4%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Wouldn't vote 8%
The Economist/
YouGov[75]
348 June 27–29, 2015 9% 0% 59% 2% 19% 1% Other 1%
No preference 9%
CNN/ORC[76] 490 4.5% June 26–28, 2015 16% 0% 57% 1% 14% 2% Someone else 4%
None/No one 5%
No opinion 1%
Fox News[77] 375 June 21–23, 2015 11% 0% 61% 1% 15% 2% Andrew Cuomo 3%
Other 1%
None of the above 2%
Don't know 5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[78] 345 5.5% June 15–21, 2015 0% 63% 3% 15% Other 1%
Wouldn't Vote 3%
Don't Know 14%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[79] 247 6.24% June 14–18, 2015 0% 75% 2% 15% 4% Other 1%
None 2%
Not Sure 1%
Public Policy Polling[80] 471 4.5% June 11–14, 2015 4% 65% 5% 9% 4% Not Sure 12%
Monmouth University[81] 350 5.2% June 11–14, 2015 12% 0% 57% 1% 12% 2% Other 0%
No one 2%
Undecided 14%
Reuters/Ipsos[82] 1,628 ± 2.8% Jun 6–10, 2015 13% 2% 49% 4% 16% 2% Andrew Cuomo 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Wouldn't vote 10%
19% 53% 22% Wouldn't vote 7%
Fox News[83] 1,006  ? May 31 – June 2, 2015 8% 1% 57% 4% 11% 2% Elizabeth Warren 7%
Andrew Cuomo 1%
Other 1%
None of the above 2%
Don't know 6%
CNN/ORC[84] 433 ± 4.5% May 29–31, 2015 14% 0% 60% 3% 10% 1% Someone else 7%
None/No one 5%
No Opinion 1%
ABC/Washington Post[85] 1,001 ± 3.6% May 28–31, 2015 14% 1% 62% 2% 10% 2% Other 2%
None of these 3%
Would not vote 1%
No Opinion 2%
Quinnipiac University[86] 748 ± 3.6% May 19–26, 2015 9% 1% 57% 1% 15% 1% Someone else 1%
Wouldn't vote 2%
Don't know 14%
Fox News[87] 370 ± 5% May 9–12, 2015 6% 0% 63% 0% 6% 2% Elizabeth Warren 13%
Andrew Cuomo 2%
Other 1%
None of the above 2%
Don't know 6%
The Economist/
YouGov[88]
314 ± 4.6% May 9–11, 2015 7% 64% 0% 16% 1% Other 4%
No preference 8%
71% 19% Not Sure 7%
I would not vote 2%
Public Policy Polling[89] 600 ± 4% May 7–10, 2015 5% 63% 2% 13% 6% Not sure 11%
The Economist/
YouGov[90]
329 ± 4.2% May 2–4, 2015 13% 58% 2% 17% 0% Other 2%
No preference 8%
68% 20% Not Sure 10%
I would not vote 2%
The Economist/
YouGov[91]
329 ± 4.1% April 25–27, 2015 7% 59% 2% 10% 1% Other 7%
No preference 15%
Fox News[92] 388 ± 5% April 19–21, 2015 9% 0% 62% 1% 4% 0% Elizabeth Warren 12%
Andrew Cuomo 3%
Other 0%
None of the above 4%
Undecided 5%
36% 1% 4% 4% 1% Elizabeth Warren 24%
Andrew Cuomo 7%
Other 0%
None of the above 13%
Undecided 11%
Quinnipiac University[93] 469 ± 4.1% April 16–21, 2015 10% 0% 60% 3% 8% 1% Other 0%
Wouldn't vote 3%
Undecided 14%
40% 1% 8% 11% 4% Other 1%
Wouldn't vote 5%
Undecided 30%
CNN/ORC[94] 458 ± 4.5% April 16–19, 2015 11% 1% 69% 1% 5% 3% Other 5%
None/No one 3%
No opinion 2%
Poll source Sample
size
Margin
of error
Date(s)
administered
Joe
Biden
Hillary
Clinton
Andrew
Cuomo
Martin
O'Malley
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Jim
Webb
Others
Monmouth University[95] 356 ± 5.2% March 30 –
April 2, 2015
16% 60% 2% 7% 1% Other 0%
No one 2%
Undecided 12%
34% 4% 4% 8% 18% 3% Cory Booker, Deval Patrick 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Joe Manchin, Terry McAuliffe 1%
Brian Schweitzer 0%
Other 0%
No one 1%
Undecided 18%
Fox News[96] 397 ± 5% March 29–31, 2015 12% 61% 3% 2% 3% 11% 1% Other 1%
None of the above 3%
Don't know 3%
42% 9% 4% 3% 22% 3% Other 1%
None of the above 8%
Don't know 8%
Public Policy Polling[97] 449 ± 4.6% March 26–31, 2015 7% 54% 3% 6% 14% 2% Other/Undecided 13%
ABC News/Washington Post[98]  ? ± 6% March 26–29, 2015 12% 66% < 0.5% 5% 12% 1% Other/
None of these/
Wouldn't vote/
No opinion 3.5%
CNN/ORC[99] 466 ± 4.5% March 13–15, 2015 15% 62% 1% 3% 10% 1% Other 6%
None/No one 2%
No opinion 1%
16% 67% 1% 5% 1% Other 6%
None/No one 2%
No opinion 1%
Rasmussen Reports[100]  ? ± ? March 8–9, 2015 30% 2% 7% 31% 6% Undecided 13%
McClatchy-Marist[101] 462 ± 4.6% March 1–4, 2015 13% 60% 1% 5% 12% 1% Undecided 9%
Quinnipiac University[102] 493 ± 4.4% February 26 –
March 2, 2015
10% 56% 0% 4% 14% 1% Other 1%
Wouldn't vote 1%
Undecided 14%
35% 1% 7% 25% 3% Other 1%
Wouldn't vote 2%
Undecided 25%
Public Policy Polling[103] 310 ± 5.6% February 20–22, 2015 16% 54% 1% 5% 12% 2% Other/Undecided 10%
CNN/ORC[104] 475 ± 4.5% February 12–15, 2015 15% 60% 1% 3% 12% 2% Other 4%
None/No one 2%
No opinion 1%
Fox News[105] 390 ± 5% January 25–27, 2015 17% 55% 4% 2% 3% 12% 1% Other 0%
None of the above 2%
Undecided 3%
37% 14% 4% 5% 21% 1% Other 0%
None of the above 10%
Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling[106] 386 ± 5% January 22–25, 2015 15% 60% 1% 2% 10% 1% Other/Undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports 648 ± 4% January 18–19, 2015 6% 59% 2% 4% 12% 3% Other 5%
Undecided 9%
The Economist/
YouGov
353 ± ? January 10–12, 2015 7% 61% 0% 3% 17% 2% Brian Schweitzer 1%
Other 0%
No preference 9%

Polls conducted in 2014[edit]

Polls conducted in 2013[edit]

See also[edit]

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling

References[edit]

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