New York gubernatorial election, 2018

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New York gubernatorial election, 2018

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  Andrew Cuomo 2014 (cropped).jpg Marc Molinaro (cropped 2).jpg Hawkins 2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Andrew Cuomo Marc Molinaro Howie Hawkins
Party Democratic Republican Green
Running mate Kathy Hochul Julie Killian Jia Lee

  Cynthia Nixon and Christine Marinoni 2014 (cropped).jpg Larry Sharpe by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Miner-Stephanie-2016-0326 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Cynthia Nixon Larry Sharpe Stephanie Miner
Party Working Families Libertarian Serve America Movement
Running mate Jumaane Williams Andrew Hollister Michael Volpe

Incumbent Governor

Andrew Cuomo
Democratic



The 2018 New York gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 6, 2018. Both the Governor of New York and the Lieutenant Governor of New York are scheduled to be elected on that date; while each party's candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor form a combined ticket in the general election, each party's candidates to the two posts run separately in the primaries.

On November 15, 2016, incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his intention to seek a third term.[1] Cuomo also has the ballot lines of the Independence Party and Women's Equality Party. On September 13, 2018, Cuomo won against actress and activist Cynthia Nixon in the Democratic gubernatorial primary.[2] Cuomo's running mate, Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul won a Democratic primary challenge from New York City Councilmember Jumaane Williams.[3]

Dutchess County Executive and former New York State Assemblymember Marcus Molinaro is running for Governor on the Republican, Conservative, and Reform Party lines; Molinaro's running mate is former Rye City Councilmember Julie Killian. Third-party gubernatorial candidates that are eligible to appear on the general election ballot include: Larry Sharpe of the Libertarian Party, who was the runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian primary contest for Vice President of the United States; former mayor of Syracuse Stephanie Miner, running on the newly-created Serve America Movement line; Howie Hawkins and Jimmy McMillan, running on the Green and Rent Is Too Damn High party lines, respectively, and Cynthia Nixon, running on the Working Families Party line.

Background[edit]

Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo decided to seek re-election in 2014 to a second term in office. Governor Cuomo defeated Zephyr Teachout in a primary election, 63% to 33%, and went on to defeat the Republican nominee, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, 54% to 40%, in the general election.

New York gubernatorial elections operate on a split primary system: governor and lieutenant governor candidates in each party run in separate primary elections. In the general election, candidates are chosen as unified governor/lieutenant governor tickets. New York recognizes electoral fusion; candidates can count the votes they receive on all party lines toward their overall vote total, but only if the governor and lieutenant governor match on all of the parties (thus, in theory, it is possible for a gubernatorial candidate to receive the most votes and still lose if there were different lieutenant governors on each party line; in practice, the third parties used for electoral fusion purposes try to match their respective tickets and reassign other candidates as dummy candidates in less important races to allow the tickets to be unified).

The results of the gubernatorial election will also determine ballot access and ballot order for all elections in New York through 2022. To qualify as a political party in New York for the next four years, the party's gubernatorial candidate must receive 50,000 votes or more in this election, with each party listed in descending order from top to bottom based on the votes each party line receives.

Democratic primary[edit]

On May 23, 2018, incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo secured the nomination of the Democratic Party at the state convention after winning support from more than 95% of the state delegates.[4] No other candidates qualified for the primary ballot at the convention, as they all failed to meet the required 25% delegate threshold.[4] Cynthia Nixon afterwards filed a petition.[5] By July 12, her petition had 65,000 signatures, which is more than four times the 15,000 required to force a primary election.[6]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Lost nomination[edit]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Andrew Cuomo
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
N.Y. Lieutenant Governor
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local and state politicians
Organizations
Media
Individuals

[48]

Cynthia Nixon (defeated)
Local and state politicians (current and former)
Individuals
Organizations
Media

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo
Cynthia
Nixon
Other Undecided
Siena College September 4–7, 2018 509 ± 4.3% 63% 22% 4% 11%
Siena College July 22–26, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 60% 29% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2018 415 ± 6.2% 59% 23% 2% 15%
Zogby Analytics June 27 – July 3, 2018 63% 22% 15%
Siena College June 4–7, 2018 61% 26% 0% 11%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2018 473 ± 5.7% 50% 28% 22%
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 58% 27% 5% 11%
Marist College April 3–9, 2018 364 ± 6.0% 68% 21% 11%
Remington (R-Big Dog Strategies) April 7–8, 2018 2,038 ± 2.2% 60% 20% 19%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 363 ± 4.0% 66% 19% 1% 9%
Results[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Cuomo (incumbent) 978,168 65.6%
Democratic Cynthia Nixon 512,585 34.4%
Total votes 1,490,753 100%

Debates and forums[edit]

  • Hofstra University - August 29, 2018 - WCBS-TV[90]

Lieutenant Governor[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Lost nomination[edit]
Results[edit]
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul (incumbent) 733,591 53.3%
Democratic Jumaane Williams 641,633 46.7%
Total votes 1,375,224 100%

Republican primary[edit]

On May 23, 2018, the party unanimously nominated Marcus Molinaro as its candidate for Governor of New York at its state convention.[91] No challengers attempted to petition onto the primary ballot, so no Republican primary took place.

Governor[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Marcus Molinaro
Politicians
State Legislators
County officials
Individuals
Organizations
John DeFrancisco (withdrew)
Federal politicians
State Legislators
Municipal leaders
Municipal legislator
Organizations
Brian Kolb (withdrew)
State legislators
Municipal leaders
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Third-party candidates and independent candidates[edit]

Third parties with automatic ballot access[edit]

In addition to the Democratic and Republican Parties, six other political parties will have automatic ballot access; all six have chosen to exercise it. In order of ballot appearance, those parties are:

Endorsements[edit]

Howie Hankins
Individuals
  • Jimmy Dore, stand-up comedian and political commentator for hosting The Jimmy Dore Show and co-hosting The Aggressive Progressives on Young Turks[142][143]
Cynthia Nixon, actress and activist, secured the Working Families Party nomination and also sought the Democratic nomination but however lost in Democratic primary Election Day.
  • Working Families Party: On April 14, 2018, by a 91-8 margin, the Working Families Party endorsed Cynthia Nixon as its gubernatorial candidate, with Jumaane Williams as her running mate.[144] The endoresement came after the labor unions that formed part of Cuomo's political machine, who were able to force the party to nominate Cuomo instead of Zephyr Teachout in 2014, withdrew from the party, and Cuomo declined to seek the party's line.[145] On September 13, 2018, after being defeated by Cuomo in the Democratic primary, Nixon declined to say whether she would continue to run for Governor on the Working Families Party line.[146] Nixon could opt to remove her name from the Working Families Party line and become a candidate for a different office to avoid taking votes away from the Democratic ticket in the general election.[147]
  • Independence Party of New York: On December 23, 2017, the Party endorsed incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo for the third consecutive election cycle.[148]
  • Women's Equality Party: The party endorsed Cuomo for re-election, as the party remains allied with the Cuomo campaign.[149]
  • Reform Party of New York State: On May 19, after the party's executive committee deadlocked between Marcus Molinaro and Joel Giambra in April,[150] delegates at the Reform Party state convention nominated Republican frontrunner Molinaro as their candidate for Governor.

Independent candidates and third parties without automatic ballot access[edit]

Any candidate not among the eight qualified New York political parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Working Families, Independence, Women's Equality or Reform) must submit petitions to gain ballot access. Such candidates do not face primary elections. Third parties can secure automatic ballot access in all state and federal elections through the 2022 election if their respective gubernatorial candidates receive at least 50,000 votes in the 2018 general election.

Libertarian Party[edit]

On July 12, 2017, Larry Sharpe, business consultant and runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential primary, officially announced that he would run for Governor of New York in 2018. Sharpe was the first person to announce his candidacy to run against incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo.[152][153] On August 19, 2018, the Libertarian Party announced it had collected over 30,000 signatures to place its ticket onto the November ballot.[154] Sharpe's petitions survived a petition challenge.[155]

  • Nominee: Larry Sharpe, business consultant and runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential primary[156][157]
    • Running mate: Andrew Hollister, candidate for Rochester City Council in 2017[153]
Endorsements[edit]
Larry Sharpe
U.S. Governors
U.S. municipal legislators
Other politicians
Television and radio personalities
Commentators, writers, and columnists
Musicians and artists
Organizations

Serve America Movement[edit]

On June 18, 2018, former Syracuse Mayor Stephanie Miner, after expressing informal interest in the Working Families and Reform nominations,[178] entered the gubernatorial race as a third-party candidate.[179] Miner "plans to run under the banner of an upstart new group, the Serve America Movement, which calls itself SAM (coincidentally sharing Miner's initials), formed by people disaffected by the existing party structure after the 2016 elections. She will be the group’s first candidate." Miner circulated designating petitions to create a SAM Party in New York, and on August 21, her campaign announced that it had submitted over 40,000 petition signatures.[180] Miner's submitted petitions far exceeded the 15,000 required to qualify for the November ballot.[181] Persons tied to the Cuomo campaign, after reviewing the petitions, failed to find enough specific objections to challenge their validity.[182]

Rent Is Too Damn High Party[edit]

Jimmy McMillan, the party's founder and figurehead has indicated on the party Web site that he will make another attempt at the office.[184] He submitted petitions on August 21, 2018; as the full party name is too long to fit on the ballot, it is shortened to "Rent Too Damn High" (as opposed to the previous election in which it was submitted as "Rent Is 2 Damn High").[185] McMillan's petitions face specific challenges that the Board of Elections is still reviewing as of September 4.[155]

  • Nominee: Jimmy McMillan, party founder and perennial candidate
    • Running mate: Christialle Felix

Primary election[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of July 26, 2018
Candidate Amount raised
Andrew Cuomo $20,474,696.32
Cynthia Nixon $1,607,222.03
Marcus Molinaro $1,082,395.01
Larry Sharpe $224,647.06
Stephanie Miner $177,582.43
Howie Hawkins $23,999.35
Source: New York State Board of Elections[186]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[187] Solid D August 30, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[188] Solid D August 31, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[189] Safe D August 29, 2018
Daily Kos[190] Safe D August 13, 2018

Polling[edit]

with Andrew Cuomo
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo
(D)
Marcus
Molinaro
(R)
Cynthia
Nixon
(WFP)
Stephanie
Miner
(SAM)
Howie
Hawkins
(G)
Larry
Sharpe
(L)
Other Undecided
Liberty Opinion Research
(R-Reform Party)
August 29–30, 2018 2,783 ± 1.9% 31% 30% 14% 5% 5% 5% 10%
46% 43% 11%
Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2018 934 ± 4.1% 43% 23% 13% 1% 2% 3% 1% 14%
57% 31% 0% 8%
Zogby Analytics June 27 – July 3, 2018 708 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 14% 6% 3% 7%
50% 27% 10% 4% 9%
49% 27% 11% 12%
52% 32% 15%
Siena College June 4–7, 2018 745 ± 3.7% 56% 37% 1% 5%
Gravis Marketing
(L-Sharpe)
June 4–7, 2018 654 ± 3.8% 43% 15% 15% 4% 6% 18%
55% 45%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2018 1,076 ± 3.7% 57% 26% 2% 12%
40% 23% 20% 0% 15%
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 692 ± 4.3% 57% 31% 0% 9%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 772 ± 4.0% 57% 29% 0% 11%

Results[edit]

New York gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Cuomo
Independence Andrew Cuomo
Women's Equality Andrew Cuomo
Total Andrew Cuomo/Kathy Hochul (incumbent)
Republican Marcus Molinaro
Conservative (N.Y.) Marcus Molinaro
Reform Marcus Molinaro
Total Marcus Molinaro/Julie Killian
Working Families Cynthia Nixon/Jumaane Williams
Green Howie Hawkins/Jia Lee
SAM Stephanie Miner/Michael Volpe
Libertarian Larry Sharpe/Andrew Hollister
Rent Too Damn High Jimmy McMillian/Christalle Felix
Majority
Total votes

References[edit]

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External links[edit]

Official campaign websites